July 31st, 2007
03:04 PM ET
3 years ago

Poll: Clinton, Obama running close; Giuliani leading

WASHINGTON (CNN) – New polls shows former mayor Rudy Giuliani, R-New York, ahead in the early caucus and primary states of Iowa, South Carolina, and New Hampshire and Sens. Barack Obama, D-Illinois and Hillary Clinton, D-New York, neck and neck.

According to the from polls the American Research Group, Giuliani is the leading Republican candidate in all three states with former Gov. Mitt Romney, R-Massachusetts, coming in second in New Hampshire in Iowa, and former Sen. Fred Thompson, R-Tennessee, placing second in South Carolina.

On the Democratic side, Sen. Clinton in ahead in Iowa but neck and neck in New Hampshire with Sen. Obama. In South Carolina, Sen. Obama has the advantage.

Democrats 
              IA      NH     SC 
Clinton       30%     31%    29% 
Edwards       21%     14%    18% 
Obama         15%     31%    33%

Republicans 
              IA     NH       SC 
Giuliani      22%    27%      28% 
McCain        17%    10%      10% 
Romney        21%    26%       7% 
F. Thompson   13%    13%      27%  

Sampling Date: July 26-30 
Sampling Size: 600 likely voters 
Margin of Error: +/- 4%

–CNN Political Researcher Xuan Thai

soundoff (29 Responses)
  1. EMS, Minneapolis, MN

    Giulinai ahead in IA, NH, and SC

    Spell check, please.

    July 31, 2007 04:24 pm at 4:24 pm |
  2. Robert Disney, Las Vegas Nevada

    What about Nevada? South Carolina will be caucusing after the silver state. Your dismissal of western opinions is at least annoying, and at worst dismissive of an entire region. And, yes, I am from Nevada.

    July 31, 2007 04:28 pm at 4:28 pm |
  3. Zak Washington DC

    wow. I can't wait to hear the analysis on this. I thought HC won the debate. But I think he handled the post debate debate well.

    Has starting a feud with Obama actually helped him this drastically?

    BTW, I'm rooting for Obama, though I am surprised he hasn't been masacred by HC. Perhaps she has been over estimated.

    Does anyone have post debate national polls?

    July 31, 2007 04:49 pm at 4:49 pm |
  4. Glenn,B'ham,Al

    Bush, Clinton, dynasty is getting old. Obama or Romney only chance for a change I believe.

    July 31, 2007 04:59 pm at 4:59 pm |
  5. Mitch from Minneapolis

    To EMS in Minneapolis (I'm also in MPLS by the way)- The misspell of Guliani is the least of their problems with this ticker story. Originally, they were reporting, with the same data you see now, that Clinton led in all three of those states. I guess the fact checking team at CNN is as sleepy as I am at my cube.

    To Robert in Nevada- I agree that it is most annoying that the entire Western United States is not represented in this poll. It makes no sense that states are arbitrarily chosen to represent such an important and influential part of our Presidential Nomination process.

    July 31, 2007 05:06 pm at 5:06 pm |
  6. NoNAUandNWO Madison, WI

    "New" polls because the old ones showed that Americans want Ron Paul?

    July 31, 2007 05:10 pm at 5:10 pm |
  7. Kathy Callan

    John Edwards is leading in Iowa, according to the Des Moines Register's latest poll, which has Edwards leading Hillary Clinton by a margin of 27% to 22%. Once again, CNN and the corporate media choose to ignore Edwards. The last thing the corporate media wants in the White House is a trial attorney who cares about the common man and who spent his life fighting corporate abuse. That's why we need him in the White House. Go, John!

    July 31, 2007 05:11 pm at 5:11 pm |
  8. RB, Los Angeles, CA

    CNN needs a copy editor.

    July 31, 2007 05:27 pm at 5:27 pm |
  9. jamal, San Diego, CA

    well, let me make some thing clear here, when the war started in Iraq which was supported by Ms.Clinton, because it was a lot of emotional and pariotism act. no one would have said no, when it they saw the 911 impacts on the society. see, if Ms.Clinton would have said no, then it would have been relexed different impacts on her political career. because she is already popular figure. In compare to Mr. Obama who was a rear politian who wasn't known to anybody. I mean whatever he would said then no one would give importance. but Ms.Clinton say something, then it is always a front line story..... Don't hate the player, hate the game.....

    July 31, 2007 05:45 pm at 5:45 pm |
  10. allen, jackson,ms

    Obammy, he's yo' mammy
    do dah, do dah

    July 31, 2007 06:09 pm at 6:09 pm |
  11. Lyn, MD

    Jamal...Making the tough decisions is called leadership. Not just going along with the crowd.

    Thank you for making the point we all have been saying...she lacks leadership

    July 31, 2007 06:57 pm at 6:57 pm |
  12. Greg, Phoenix, AZ

    Looks like Hill's bulldog attack on Obama the day after the debate did her a lot of good, huh!

    Not too smart of her to remind people why they hate her so much!

    If she's not careful, Mr. Obama will be getting the honor of getting taken to the woodshed by Rudy G in the general election.

    July 31, 2007 07:08 pm at 7:08 pm |
  13. Dan Haege Des Moines Iowa

    I think that you will find different poll numbers if you go to other polling groups such as Rasmussen, who has Hillary way ahead. But I think that any 3 of the top Democrat candidates would make great Presidents. Obama, Edwards, and Clinton would make great presidents. In this day and age you are not voting for a person, you are voting for a set of political issues. All of the Democrats stand for the same core beliefs and issues. You are also voting for Supreme Court Justices in addition to the President, so keep that in mind when you vote. The democrats are the party of the people, the party of the individual, the party of the working class and of the poor. The democrats stand for the moral values of peace and not war, fairness and not fear, for freedom and not fascism. The democrats are the party of the environment, of a balanced budget, and for giving tax cuts to the middle class and the poor as opposed to giving tax breaks to the wealthiest of americans. The democrats will nominate supreme court justices who rule in favor of individual rights and freedoms as opposed to the rights of big corporations and the rights of states and other forms of government. The democrats want to find cures for diseases using stem cell research, research that could save millions of lives and cure thousands of diseases. Do I like abortion? Of course not, no one does. But abortion should be a private issue, not a political issue. The government should not be able to tell a women what she can and can not do with her body and her reproductive organs. The democrats are the party that has real moral values. Cure diseases, help the middle class and the poor, fight poverty, keep social security the way it is so elderly people can have that nest egg to fall back on, affordable health care so people do not have to choose between putting a roof over their head and paying for their prescription medicine, investing money for health care, education, and to help people here in the United States as opposed to investing billions of dollars on this uneccesary and disgraceful war in Iraq. The republicans biggest welfare program is giving free money to corporations, and giving free money to wage war. Feed the rich, and hate the poor. That is the republican motto. The republicans hate welfare, the kind of welfare that helps kids to eat in the morning and go to school, but they love free money (welfare) to give to corporations and to wage war. That is a very hypocritical set of moral beliefs to have. Check out my Homepage Website: http://www.greatestofalltime.homestead.com/intropage.html and vote Democrat in 2008!

    July 31, 2007 07:14 pm at 7:14 pm |
  14. Jonathan, Albuquerque, NM

    Oh, so the other candidates' numbers aren't worth mentioning? Is this because those other candidates are more progressive, more experienced, and have more honest and important things to say about our country?

    By the other candidates I mean Joe Biden. But I'm sure there are supporters of other media-slighted candidates who are also fatigued with the media's injection of bias into this campaign so early on.

    Campaign-fatigue? No. Pre-packaged-bias-fatigue.

    July 31, 2007 07:39 pm at 7:39 pm |
  15. Sam, Erie, PA

    I am a democrate and I will not vote for Hillary both in primary and general election. If it's Obama, I will vote for him. If not, my vote is for Rudy Guliani. There is something about this woman that I don't like. In her speeches, she comes as dry and shrewd minded.

    July 31, 2007 08:13 pm at 8:13 pm |
  16. A. Thomas, New York, NY

    On the other hand, based on the same poll report, HRC had a big margin lead over Obama in Arizona, Florida and Colorado. And, the democratic primary voters for the "national primary" favors HRC (38%)over Obama (25%).

    July 31, 2007 09:15 pm at 9:15 pm |
  17. Mike, HI

    So Jamal, if I understand you, we should forgive Clinton for voting for the war because she was playing politics? I'd think we want a President that does what's right, and not what is politically safe.

    I do wonder how Obama would have voted if he was in the Senate in 2003, but there's no use speculating.

    July 31, 2007 09:18 pm at 9:18 pm |
  18. erika morgan black dimond wa

    It looks like Republicans are crossing over to poll for Clinton because they think she'll be easier to beat.

    July 31, 2007 09:27 pm at 9:27 pm |
  19. Anonymous

    Why are these polls so very different then all the other polls I have heard about in the last week? I though Edwards was winning Iowa handily, with Obama trailing substantially in South Carolina. I am pretty sure MSNBC has very different polls (I think I saw it on sundays meet the press).

    July 31, 2007 09:46 pm at 9:46 pm |
  20. Ernie North Truro, MA

    If the roles had been reversed, CNN (Clinton News Network) would have put at the top, "Clinton Shows Gains In Two of Three Early States." but Barack gets no such break. The more people get to know him, the stronger he will become. The ugly remnants of racism in this country – How big are they is the only question.

    July 31, 2007 11:09 pm at 11:09 pm |
  21. Lance, Los Angeles, CA.

    To me, Obama is a visionary leader. He has far more experience in the real world than Clinton or any of the other candidates. Everything I hear and read about him furthers this. He was a civil rights attorney, he worked to rise people above their stations. He is the kind of leader that comes along once a generation if we’re lucky. I’ve just read “the Audacity of Hope” and it was so stirring, so clear, so clearly written not by a ghost writer but in the voice of the man himself. Barry Obama is the real deal, he’s the sort of fighter that we need oh so desperately in these trying times. I would go door to door for this candidate, I would believe he would look at any issue either foriegn or domestic with clear eyes and make decisions that were both humane and smart for our country and the world. The other candidates all strike me as fodder for lobbists, career politicians. I remember how moved I was when I heard his speech during Kerry’s convention. He is indeed a uniter, someone who can bring this sadly divided dis union back into union again. People will put paintings and photos on their walls of this man in the same way they do JFK or MLK. Mark my words, America and the world will prosper under President Obama. To see that happen I’d gladly travel to Ohio, to South Carolina, to Iowa, or anywhere else I needed to go to ensure he gets a fair shot. That’s all the man needs, is one good fair shot. Given his due he’ll do us right. Do the research. Don’t be a lemming. Read about him, read his own words. They aren’t sound bites, they’re living, breathing, human thoughts full of compassion and common sense, stength and integrity. Really look at this candidate. Do your kids and their kids the biggest favor of our lives.

    August 1, 2007 12:10 am at 12:10 am |
  22. CMS, California

    IA NH SC
    Clinton 26-34% 27-35% 25-33%
    Edwards 17-25% 10-18% 14-22%
    Obama 11-19% 27-35% 29-37%

    IA NH SC
    Giuliani 18-26% 23-31% 24-32%
    McCain 13-21% 6-14% 6-14%
    Romney 17-25% 22-30% 3-11%
    F. Thompson 9-17% 9-17% 23-31%

    Margin of error applied. Who beats who?
    Clinton wins IA. Clinton-Obama split in NH. Obama takes SC.
    Rom and Giu split IA and NH. Thom and Giu split NC.

    August 1, 2007 12:18 am at 12:18 am |
  23. Amanda (Greenwich)

    Re: Kathy Callan's comment that John Edwards is an advocate for the common man because he's a trial lawyer is ridiculous. He drives up our insurance costs and the cost of everything else by pursuing exorbitant damages in (many) liability cases where things just happen because life is not fair. We, society as a whole, cannot make progress if everyone (and his lawyer) gets rich off someone else's dime.

    August 1, 2007 12:40 am at 12:40 am |
  24. Harvey, Memphis TN

    Allen, your comments show your ignorance. This is why this country is sinking in quick sand. Classless and worthless comment.

    August 1, 2007 01:29 am at 1:29 am |
  25. MM,Denver,CO

    Glad to see the race tightening. BTW, looks like the Clinton blog is heavily censored – only glowing comments by automatons seem to be allowed. I tried to post a concern re. Clinton on there and it hasn't been posted. Quite disturbing. Very different from the Obama blogs – lots of cheerleaders but opposition is clearly allowed.

    August 1, 2007 01:45 am at 1:45 am |
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