August 8, 2007
Posted: August 8th, 2007 12:00 PM ET

WASHINGTON (CNN) - New York Sen. Hillary Clinton is increasing her lead over her Democratic rivals and either beating or tied with the Republican frontrunner in Ohio, Florida and Pennsylvania, according to a new Quinnipiac poll released Wednesday.

"Sen. Clinton is inching ahead," Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute, said in a press release. "Not only does she lead by a nose in two of the most important swing states in the Electoral College, but she is turning around independent and Republican voters who previously viewed her negatively."

In Florida, a crucial swing state, Clinton leads Giuliani 46-44 percent. She tops Giuliani in Pennsylvania by 45-44 percent and is tied with the Republican leader in Ohio.

The poll also evaluated other hypothetical match-ups. In all three states, Giuliani topped Illinois Sen. Barack Obama. But both Clinton and Obama beat former Sen. Fred Thompson, who has done well in polls but has yet to announce his candidacy.

The florida poll involved interviews with 962 voters and had a margin of error of plus-or-minus 3.2 percent. The poll of Florida Republicans had a margin of plus-or-minus 5.1 percent and the poll of Florida Democrats had a margin of error of plus-or-minus 5 percent.

The Ohio poll involved interviews with 974 voters and had a margin of error of plus or minus 3.1 percent. The poll of Ohio Republicans had a margin of error of plus-or-minus 5.3 percent. The poll of Ohio Democrats has a margin of error of plus-or-minus 5.1 percent.

The Pennsylvania poll involved interviews with 1,011 voters and had a margin of error of plus-or-minus 4/7 percent. The poll of Pennsylvania Republicans has a margin of error of plus-or-minus 4.7 percent. The poll of Pennsylvania Democrats had a margin of error of plus-or-minus 4.8 percent.

–CNN Associate Producer Lauren Kornreich

Filed under: Presidential Candidates


Richard Orlando, FL   August 9th, 2007 2:18 pm ET

Get real; no one of sound mind is going to trust Republicans again with national security. When they were in majority, they had a chance to shine, and they blew it in the most destructive, abhorrent way. Instead of providing the proper oversight in a time of war, they decided to rubber stamp every one of Bush's ill-conceived efforts in this Iraq debacle, escalating it into the mess we have today. If Republicans were to gain power again (which is the only thing they care about BTW), they would expand this war instead of looking for ways to bring it to a reasonable close. Another point to consider, national security also requires an equally strong diplomatic effort to work properly, and we see where modern-day Republicans are with that one–LOST. Just look at Tancredo’s nonsense as a prime example.

Greg, Phoenix, AZ   August 9th, 2007 1:18 pm ET

DMW,

It's great that you are basing your vote on the fact that Hillary is not a male but most of us don't use that kind of "logic" in making choices of this magnitude. We prefer to use our sense and our sense tells us that this candidate would not be good for this country.

Barabas, Hot City, TX   August 9th, 2007 12:55 pm ET

To NV in Chicago:

The last time I checked, republicans don't run against democrats in "primaries". This report is about Clinton (A DEMOCRAT!) leading Giuliani (A REPUBLICAN!). In other words, it relates to the election for President, not the primary.

I guess YOU were left behind by Bush's "no child left behind".

DMW, Roeland Park, KS   August 9th, 2007 8:50 am ET

I am very glad that we have so much time to really study and watch the candidates.

It is early, but as time goes by, Hillary will move further and further ahead. All of those who are trying very hard to demonize her will not be successful because she has lots of time to counter their attacks.

We are beginning to see that all of this hatred towards Hillary will not stand.

Her intelligence, reasonableness, compassion, and being fresh air for us, rather than seeing just white males seriously vying for President this time is a joy for the majority of the people I know.

It feels that someone other than a white male can be President for the first time in our country's history.

I say continue on Hillary and I am proud that you are not silent in having your voice heard!

KD, Dallas, TX   August 9th, 2007 8:11 am ET

CNN has already decided the race and hoping that people who don't take the time to know what's really going on just pay attention to headlines and vote for Clinton. Geez, I have never seen a news channel so devoted to one candidate.

Larry, West Covina, Ca   August 9th, 2007 2:03 am ET

Go HIllary!!!!!!!!!1

David, Salinas, CA   August 8th, 2007 9:49 pm ET

Chip says: “I keep seeing references to Hillary’s superior intelligence and experience etc. etc. on this thread. Where’s the beef? Name something SPECIFIC that she has done. A REAL, tangible action that has demonstrated these qualitites...”

Okay, how about:

Compensation to the families of 9/11 victims.

Grants for small NY businesses damaged by the terrorist attacks.

Health care for front line workers at Ground Zero.

Tracking the health status of our troops.

Expanded health benefits to the National Guard and Reserves.

Protecting our food supply from bio-terrorism.

Improving the quality and lowering the cost of prescription drugs.

Middle-class tax cuts, marriage penalty relief and property tax relief.

Reduction in the Alternative Minimum Tax.

Broadband Internet access to rural communities.

The Best Pharmaceuticals for Children Act.

The Prevention First Act.

The Renewal Communities Program.

The Children's Health Insurance Program.

Senator Clinton has authored, co-sponsored or supported all of these specific pieces of legislation.
She is acknowledged on both sides of the aisle as one of the most capable legislators on the senate floor. She has also been a courageous and vocal critic of the most incompetent administration in American history

What have the Republicans done for us, Chip?

Jeff Spangler, Arlington, VA   August 8th, 2007 9:49 pm ET

Let's sing it again:
SIMPLY UNELECTABLE
(With apologies to the late great Robert Palmer)

How can it be permissible
She'll compromise our principles, yeah yeah
Her elective lust is mythical
She is anything but typical

Her money ain't so powerful, huh
Her candidacy is voidable
Her trend is so reversible
The woman is so vincible

She's unnatural law, she don't leave me no awe
She deserves no applause, don't surrender because
She used to look good to Bill, but now I find her

Simply unelectable
Simply unelectable

Simply unelectable
She's so shrill, there's no tellin' where her real voice went
Simply unelectable
She's not ours, there's another way to go

She is so avoidable, don't get backed against the wall
She gives me icy feelings like I never felt before
She'll break all promises, she'll break most every law
She used to look good to Bill, but now I find her

Simply unelectable
She's so shrill, there's no tellin' where her real voice went
Simply unelectable,
She's not ours, there's another way to go

Her mind is most inscrutable
The proof is irrefutable, Ooh-ooh-ooh-ooh-ooh-ooh-ooh
She's totally dismissible, huh
Our lives are incompatible

She's a craze we can't endorse, she's a powerful farce
You're not obliged to conform, 'cause there is another course
She used to look good to Bill, but now I find her

Simply unelectable
Simply unelectable

She's so shrill, there's no tellin' where her real voice went
Simply unelectable, She's not ours, there's another way to go
She's so shrill, there's no tellin' where her real voice went
Simply unelectable, She's not ours, there's another way to go

Simply unelectable

* * * * *

Sue Harris, Elmira, NY   August 8th, 2007 8:55 pm ET

Yes, Hillary has introduced quite a lot of legislation. Quit commenting unless you know. If you really want to know, it's easy to find out. Look it up! No one should have to do it for you, so in order to make true statements if you are going to make comments, be prepared.

Sue Harris, Elmira NY   August 8th, 2007 8:50 pm ET

I don't know where you live upstate New Yorker, but I am one as well, and Hillary has done lots for the people in this area and they appreciate her. You should know what you are talking about before you make statements like that. AND she'll make a really good president. After Bush, you should be thankful there are Democrats in the world.

Adam, Plano, TX   August 8th, 2007 8:33 pm ET

i was speaking to my mom recently about hilary, and we both came to the consensus, we don't know a single person who supports hilary. i'm confused where all these polls are finding the people who support hilary, i've only heard from anyone i know that they'd never vote for her, or read on the internets that no one will vote for her.

David, Salinas, CA   August 8th, 2007 7:00 pm ET

Chip –

You asked "Does she have any foreign policy experience?"

Senator Clinton followed her eight years as first lady with eight years on the Senate Armed Services Committee. She has first-hand knowledge of every political, social and military situation, and has been for two decades one of the most famous political leaders on the planet.

Rudy Giuliani is an ex-mayor.

Lance, Monrovia, CA   August 8th, 2007 5:54 pm ET

Yippie, Hillary Clinton is in the lead. I wonder who she's paying off?

I hear Hillary Clinton is calling for an overhaul of infrastructure?

Wow, that’s really a genius revelation, ain’t it? Way to be ahead of the pack and speak about an issue before it comes to a head, like in say… a major bridge collapse.

Maybe you’re talking about an overhaul of government, or an overhaul of your own reactionary campaign?

The more I think of Hillary Clinton, the more I think she’s the infrastructure in need of an overhaul.

Something she said last night at the AFL-CIO debate really made me weary of her, well more so than I was already.

She said, “If you need somebody to take on the right, I’m your girl.”

Great soundbite superleftgirl. The only thing is, YOU HAVEN’T BEEN TAKING ON THE RIGHT. You haven’t been speaking up in Congress, you’ve been safely hiding, you blindly voted for a right sponsored disaster of a war and have never apologized for your mistake, you stand by and say nothing as others call for the impeachment of Bush and Cheney as they break law after law and craft bigger lie after lie to cover it.

While the American Constitution goes the way of a bald eagle in a bathtub full of DDT you say nothing.

Did I hear you speak up when Habius Corpus was reversed and when anyone’s rights where stripped away merely by the “accusation” of being a terrorist?

When Nancy Pelosi was arguing that point, or that wiretapping was illegal where you there beside her on C-SPAN?

The two “girls” in action?

Nope.

When it was revealed that Alberto Gonzalez had tried to coerce John Ashcroft into signing an illegal surviellence program on possibly his deathbed were you speaking out in outrage like John Webb or Harry Reid or even Joe Biden?

Were you even half as outspoken as Arlen Spector for cryin out loud, when he said that he’s lost all crediblity in our Attorney General? Or when he found out that an attorney in his own office authorized provisions of the Patriot Act that give the President absolute sole authority, totally bypassing your own Congress, to decide arbitrarily who should be a U.S. Attorney?

When it became known that the U.S. is outsourcing it’s interrogations of POWs and suspected terrorists to countries in the former Soviet Union, Syria and Cuba, were you there besides the dozens of other Senators that loudly proclaimed it’s unconstitutionality?

Where you beside President Jimmy Carter a few months ago when he called George W. Bush the worst President in history?

I think you were complaining somewhat about Bush, but it was not quite as loud, not quite as up front as Mr. Carter or the others, was it?

Did you personally try and block the vote that 14 of your fellow democrats signed last Friday that made Bush’s illegal spying on Americans over the last six years legal, even despite the total unconstitutionality of the law?

Nope.

Somehow, I doubt you’re our girl, Mrs. Clinton. I think you’d be okay, maybe not as bad.

Not bad ain’t enough. Shame on you for pandering to the audience and making yourself into a progressive.

YOU ARE NOT PROGRESSIVE, you are REACTIVE.

If any infrastructure needs a major overhaul, it’s that of the U.S. Government, starting with yourself.

Obama ‘08. At least the man still has his integrity. It hasn’t had time to be as corrupted as yours has been ma’am.

Thank God he’s running now, instead of waiting another 10 years to become as cautious as you have become.
Posted By Lance, Monrovia, CA : August 8, 2007 5:51 pm

Gerald Sentell, Chicago, IL   August 8th, 2007 5:42 pm ET

This is a misleading posting that borders on misrepresentation of the facts. The numbers from the poll clearly show that Giuliani and Clinton are statistically tied in the three battleground states. It is irresponsible of Mr. Brown and Quinnipiac University to issue a release claiming that anyone is "inching ahead" based on these results. The numbers quoted here are all well within the margins of error, which any high school statistics student will tell you means that the results are inconclusive at best. CNN should pay attention to details before posting a headline claiming that any candidate is ahead or behind.

nv, Chicago IL   August 8th, 2007 5:37 pm ET

RE: Barabas

the "primaries" begin in just a few months.. ever heard of those? the current race is not yet for the general election, it is to get the party nomination..

wow, what are they teaching schools..

oh yeah.. that's right, nothing.. bush's "no child left behind" has ensured our children are taught to the lowest common denominator.

please google Ron Paul and educate yourself.

VM, San Diego, CA   August 8th, 2007 5:35 pm ET

"Get used to it" and "like it or not," are deeply inspiring campaign slogans, but I think I'll stick with Obama, thanks. He seems to have a better grasp on the meaning of democracy, as naive and inconsequential as that may be to others. Why not have a look at the other polls that show Obama beating Giuliani et al in percentages well outside the margin of error? I wonder.

Kojo   August 8th, 2007 5:22 pm ET

This bias towards Clinton is begining to get on my nerves,

Greg, Phoenix, AZ   August 8th, 2007 5:16 pm ET

When it gets right down to it the most important issue to ALL Americans is national security and terrorism and Democrats do not measure up to Republicans on this issue. Noone would dispute this because the evidence clearly supports the fact. Instead of protecting the American people, the Democrats have consistantly voted against measures that would make it easier to thwart terrorist attacks. The most recent episode came this week when Hillary and Barack (and many other Democrats) voted against a measure that would allow the government to listen in on suspected terrorists communicating outside of the country. Additionally, everyone knows that it was Bill Clinton who failed to act decisively in dealing with Osama Bin Laden and that over 3000 lives were lost because of it. These are just a few of the myriad of reasons the American people favor Republicans over Democrats in dealing with this issue.

Additionally, the American people are not in favor (as the Democrats are) of granting amnesty to the millions of illegal immigrants in this country. This is another issue where the Democrats will have major trouble come election time simply because they are out of step with the American people.

The economy is in very good shape so this will not be a winning issue in the coming election.

Healthcare seems to be the strongest issue for Democrats right now but at the end of the day this will not be enough to overcome all the other important issues faced by our country.

Barabas, Hot City, TX   August 8th, 2007 4:59 pm ET

The election will be in November of 2008. Think about it......Let it sink in.....N-O-V-E-M-B-E-R 2-0-0-8. Today is August 8th, 2007. Why are we having this discussion? Am I supposed to think "Oh no...Hillary is going to win!" when we are more than a year away from the election. Stop doing polls and start doing news.

Jim Wagner, Phoenix AZ   August 8th, 2007 4:58 pm ET

"These polls mean nothing at this point"... That's what they before she was elected Senator from New York THE FIRST TIME, not the SECOND TIME.

But that isn't what they said about polls showing Bush ahead of Gore, at this point in 2000. Which is it, make up your mind.

Chip Celina OH   August 8th, 2007 4:55 pm ET

I keep seeing references to Hillary's superior intelligence and experience etc. etc. on this thread. Where's the beef? Name something SPECIFIC that she has done. A REAL, tangible action that has demonstrated these qualitites. Vague answers like "she supports women" or "she voted to ..." are not accomplishments. Has she introduced any legislation that has had an impact on you personally? Introducing failed policies is not an accomplishment.

Devoid of a record to point to, this comes down to a battle of ideas, in which case I'm afraid she's an unarmed combatant. Unless canned answers and sound-bite material written by a staff of "strategists" are what pass for original thought these days. Even then she sounds like 90% of the others.

This country needs a leader that can think on their feet, not rehearse cue cards and toe the party line.

W. Berry Norwood, Scottsdale AZ   August 8th, 2007 4:48 pm ET

The media's infatuation with Hillary is so obvious; it canb't be truly said that she "leads" in three battleground states when one is a actual tie, and the two others are statistically tied (by an margin or error whatsoever). Sure, it's a small misstatement, but typical of the media bias we are all used to by now. So sad.

Jill - Metairie, LA   August 8th, 2007 4:08 pm ET

You're right, Rada of Houston, Texas! Hillary will be the next and First Female President of the USA, like it or not Repubs! She has far more intelligence and capability than any of the other candidates, not to mention Bush, and this will be even more evident in 2008!

Greg, Phoenix, AZ   August 8th, 2007 3:58 pm ET

These polls mean nothing this far out. There have been no real debates and therefore no real discussion of the issues. Most Americans, save for we poor souls, are not even thinking about who they will vote for in the next election.

The fact is Hillary Clinton is hated by a significant amount of Americans (probablly more than any presidential candidate in the history of this country) and this will present major problems for her in the general election.

Add to that the fact that the Democrats do not inspire confidence in the American people on matters of national security and terrorism (the BIGGEST issue to voters in general) and the fact that their position on illegal immigration is in complete conflict with the will of the American people and you have a very difficult road ahead for Hillary or Obama.

John, Erie PA   August 8th, 2007 3:48 pm ET

46-44 in the first state...45-44 in the second state...and a tie in the third...yet the headline says Clinton is "leading" in all three....Maybe people are right when they say that CNN is biased toward Hillary Clinton.

C. Reynolds, Peoria, Illinois   August 8th, 2007 3:37 pm ET

You GO, Hillary.......ya'all get used to it. She's the next President of the United States. You can just FEEL it!! She'll clean up the war mess and bring our troops home to protect the Greatest country on earth (no, not Iraq). She'll restore our country's brillant standing in the world, and we'll once again be a nation respected by other nations. It is Destiny that she will be President. Never in history has there ever been a time when our country has been so desperate for a real leader.....remember, in history, it is a fact that when the American people are angry about the job that an outgoing President/political party has done, they punish them by voting for the opposite party, even if they don't focus on who is offered.....probably if it weren't this particular time in history, she would not be so appealing: we have George W. Bush to thank for the screw-up of the country for the last 8 years-destroying the good financial shape that the country was in under Clinton. Now my daughter's children will also pay for all of the money that Bush sent to Iraq. Thank you, Bush!, for helping catapult Hillary to a place she maybe could never have been. : )

Mary, Holland, MI   August 8th, 2007 3:28 pm ET

The hatred and personal attacks expressed on this blog are not conducive to a healthy political dialogue.

Gordon O., Orange, CA   August 8th, 2007 3:27 pm ET

I eagerly look forward to voting for Hillary Clinton as our next President of the United States. After the political, environmental, social, and economic damage done to this country by George W. Bush and his supporters, it will take a leader with vision and the strength to set us back on the right track.

Anonymous   August 8th, 2007 3:16 pm ET

"Go HIL!!! Face the facts boys its a womens world now. She will make ground breaking history as our first woman president."

So it follows...

"Go BAR!!! Face the facts Caucasians its an African Americans world now. He will make ground breaking history as our first African American president."

Wendy, S. River ,NJ   August 8th, 2007 3:09 pm ET

Go HIL!!! Face the facts boys its a womens world now. She will make ground breaking history as our first woman president.

Josh   August 8th, 2007 3:06 pm ET

I said the primaries are a year away. I meant the conventions are a year away. I apologize.

Josh   August 8th, 2007 3:04 pm ET

Why is CNN making it seem as if Clinton and Giuliani have already won their nominations? I understand the premise of the poll, but please wait until the general election. The PRIMARIES are still a YEAR away. Why don't you report on polls that show a dead-even race in the early primary states instead of focusing on how Clinton is cruising to the White House? Everyone knows all the states will pretty much follow what the early states do, and polls show that they hardly have made up their minds.

I bet CNN already has their celebration planned with Clinton in '08. Let's just go ahead and project her the winner of the general election and get this whole campaign overwith.

Ryan E. Benally, Montezuma Creek, Utah   August 8th, 2007 2:54 pm ET

As a Iraqi War 2 Veterans(twice over), i feel that it was it was this WAR and my involvement that shaped my opinion Policy wise. It also helped ignite my Alignment with the Democratic Party, however with this slap-fest happening so early into the Race...i suppose my main concern are the people who Genuinely are positioned to run for President. Senator Clinton and Governor Richardson certainly seem to be the only people worthy for this Run and for me its a constant struggle between the two

Omalley Palm Bay, Fl   August 8th, 2007 2:53 pm ET

"like it or not she the next President of the USA!!! go Hilary"

Hopefully spelling and punctuation are at the top of her education agenda.

Bob, New York, NY   August 8th, 2007 2:44 pm ET

Too bad she is inching ahead only because Obama keeps opening his mouth about his ideas on how to turn the middle east into a bloody cauldron. Not because her ideas of fixing things are any better then Obamas.

rada, houston tx   August 8th, 2007 2:34 pm ET

like it or not she the next President of the USA!!! go Hilary

Chip Celina OH   August 8th, 2007 2:32 pm ET

Pat writes about Giuliani:
"the one who doesn’t have any foreign policy experience", then talks up Hillary.

Does she have any foreign policy experience? Well, beside tea with Mrs. Arafat.

Greg, Phoenix, AZ   August 8th, 2007 2:20 pm ET

Laughable...

She has NO chance to win...

Pat Putignano, Huntington, NY   August 8th, 2007 2:20 pm ET

While I agree that it is somewhat misleading to say Hillary's topping Guiliani in those states, the truth of the matter is that once he gets Swift Boated in those states, and people learn about the true Guiliani, the one NY'ers couldn't wait to say goodbye to on 9-10-01, the one who became a 9-11 photo-op who did nothing about that day but make pretty speaches, the one who doesn't have any foreign policy experience, the one who'll engage in the same reckless cowboy diplomacy with the rest of the world, then Hillary will trully top Guiliani in those states.

Andy J., Upstate, NY   August 8th, 2007 2:20 pm ET

What is with the media and Hillary Clinton? She hasn't done anything for NY since she became a senator... When Bill was president, her health care plan was a failure. She claims claims to be a moderate, but in reality she is another washington insider who isn't moderate, but rather will say anything to get votes. She is a flip flopping, lobbyist pawn who will pander to special interests, like ALL OUR POLITICIANS CURRENTLY DO. Clinton is a fraud and a bum, not to mention she's not even a New Yorker, but somehow became a senator here– A stepping stone in her plan to run for President? i would answer with a resounding YES. She is a power-hungry woman, and i personally don't trust her. Let's see Hillary get the bad press she deserves, Rudy is the real New Yorker, Not Hillary.

Greg, NY, NY   August 8th, 2007 2:04 pm ET

lol wow, yeah Clinton is really "topping" Giuliani. All of those percentages are well within the margin of error for each separate poll. So what you're trying to say is that they're basically tied in every state.

Chip Celina OH   August 8th, 2007 2:02 pm ET

This is rich! She "tops" Giuliani in three battleground states. Two showed her ahead, one was a tie, and all were within the margin of error. Then the mind-control brainwash freak tells us that: "she is turning around independent and Republican voters who previously viewed her negatively."

Why not just have Dr. Phil start doing political commentary and he can tell us we'll "feeeeeeeeel goooooood" if we vote for good 'ol Hill.

Our whole political process has been turned over to snake-oil salesmen and the majority of those showing up in the voting booths are merely lemmings.

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