August 9th, 2007
03:57 PM ET
7 years ago

Poll shows Clinton holds strong lead

The Democratic frontrunners, Sens. Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton, speak before the AFL-CIO forum Tuesday.

WASHINGTON (CNN) - Sen. Hillary Clinton of New York retains her position firmly at the front of the pack of Democratic presidential candidates, with a poll Thursday giving her 44 percent of the vote, nearly double the 24 percent garnered by the next-closest candidate, Sen. Barack Obama of Illinois.

But the data were not all rosy for the former first lady.

Among Democrats who never graduated from college, Clinton leads Obama by 26 points. But among Democrats with a college degree, Clinton has only a three-point edge. Turnout is typically higher among college graduates, particularly during primaries.

Sen. John Edwards of North Carolina was favored by 16 percent of the 458 registered voters who described themselves as Democrats or as independents who lean Democratic. (Full poll results [PDF])

New Mexico Gov. Bill Richardson followed, with 5 percent; Sen. Joe Biden of Delaware attracted 3 percent; and Rep. Dennis Kucinich of Ohio won 2 percent. Sen. Chris Dodd of Connecticut and former Sen. Mike Gravel of Alaska each attracted less than one half of one percent.

The poll, which had a sampling error of plus-or-minus 4.5 points, was conducted by telephone Monday through Wednesday.

Since June, no candidate's support has changed by more than one point with Gore out of the race.

soundoff (45 Responses)
  1. katwac oakland calif

    "A POLL" What Poll, where, when who???Probably same poll that says Bush is back on top??? I am sorry, I mean TickMan is back on top. I knew I was starting to itch for some reason.

    August 9, 2007 04:11 pm at 4:11 pm |
  2. Henry W, Milwaukee

    Way to go, CNN!! We're 6 months away from the FIRST primary yet you're crowning Hillary.

    If I remember correctly last time there was a candidate FIRMLY out front named Howard Dean.

    How about a little more balance in reporting and less cheerleading.

    August 9, 2007 04:12 pm at 4:12 pm |
  3. Greg, Phoenix, AZ

    Funny, the highly educated people don't like Hillary Clinton.

    Makes sense to me.

    August 9, 2007 04:21 pm at 4:21 pm |
  4. Kim, Sacramento, CA

    Why is so much emphasis put on the polling in political races when they poll such a small sampling of people? 458 people can't possibly be a good representation. I'll tell you why – this is the only way that Hillary and the machine can get the numbers to poll the way they want them do. As someone pounding the pavement in this election cycle I can tell you that the election is alot closer between Obama and Clinton then people want you to believe.

    August 9, 2007 04:27 pm at 4:27 pm |
  5. Erica, Seattle, Washington

    I am hesitant to support Hillary if she refuses to address foreign aid in matters of Global Poverty. Every 3.6 seconds , another person dies of starvation (Borgen Project)and the United states as done little to stop this or even address the Millennium Goals. I am disappointed that this is not one of the more important issues that Hillary is taking on.

    August 9, 2007 04:28 pm at 4:28 pm |
  6. Anonymous

    I miss you, Al.

    August 9, 2007 04:30 pm at 4:30 pm |
  7. Bored Already, Chicago

    Let's see – 458 voters for an election that is in November of 2008...why even take a poll like this and then release the results? Waste of time and effort!

    August 9, 2007 04:35 pm at 4:35 pm |
  8. Lou, Mississippi

    Just like clock work. CNN/Opinion Poll that is linked with Bill Clinton. Very good work atleast you aren't hiding your bias.

    August 9, 2007 04:38 pm at 4:38 pm |
  9. lyn, MD

    Notice how your numbers change when you use Opion Research (INFOUSA-Clinton ally) vs when CNN use hotline.10 point difference. Make syou wonder !!

    August 9, 2007 04:47 pm at 4:47 pm |
  10. Providence, RI

    The national poll is consistent. And Hillary is on the lead, because she is intelligent, intellectual, experienced,focused, and a diplomat. Hillary has a deep knowledge of modern issues e.g. terrorism. She also has a great intellect in foreign policy. And American people see it, and that is why poll speaks for itself. Hillary proved it over and over and over in each debate. She is articualte,good speaker, sophisticated, fashionable, and Presidential. She is very specific, clear, and through. God bless her...

    August 9, 2007 04:49 pm at 4:49 pm |
  11. Providence, RI

    correction: articulate; thorough

    August 9, 2007 04:53 pm at 4:53 pm |
  12. VanReuter NY NY

    Wasn't it only yesterday that the Obama-nation was exulting in Obama's poll numbers? Why, yes, it WAS only yesterday.
    Glad to see that they don't matter again today. I'm equally sure that the next positive poll for Obama, if one surfaces, will renew their faith in the process...

    August 9, 2007 04:59 pm at 4:59 pm |
  13. Everton, Reston Virginia

    Why do all of these Obama supporters only point to polls that they like, but bash polls they don't. Try being reasonable. These internet lefties are the same people who pushed so hard for Nader in 2000, and got Bush in office to begin with. Any rational democrat can recognize that while Hillary is not perfect, Obama is a rock star without a hit. He will fizzle FAST in a general. Obama in a general election would make Walter Mondale look like John F Kennedy in terms of electability.

    August 9, 2007 05:00 pm at 5:00 pm |
  14. Eustace, New York, NY

    Why doesn't CNN put up what most blogs and agencies have up about Clinton's contradictory remarks with regards to the use of nuclear weapons?

    She was unnecessarily bothered by Obama having a human heart and saying he won't use Nuclear weapons but the Associated Press just reported that she said she would not use them either last year.

    Why doesn't CNN put this up so the American people can judge for themselves the authenticity of Hillary Clinton and her not addressing hypotheticals

    Oh wait I guess I know you wouldn't put that up here...nothing up here is ever reported that does not work for Clinton's favor.

    tsk tsk tsk....

    Isn't CNN ashamed yet... u guys should stop reporting about politics period if you cannot give everyone the same treatment.

    August 9, 2007 05:06 pm at 5:06 pm |
  15. David, Salinas, CA

    It’s a shame our educational system is in such poor shape that few of us understand statistics.
    The whole point of polling is that a well-chosen sample does represent the whole. These numbers represent the opinions of real people. Of course a poll doesn’t tell us everything. Of course there is potential for bias and error. And no one is ceding the Presidency to Senator Clinton or anyone else. But polling does tell us that Clinton is a serious contender. (And that Ron Paul isn’t). Polling is just one more piece of useful information to help candidates understand their positions and to help voters make their choices.

    The claim that CNN is somehow taking sides by reporting the results of a scientific study sounds more like paranoid conspiracy theory than rational politics. Face it folks, CNN and the pollsters didn’t give Hillary this lead. She earned it.

    August 9, 2007 05:06 pm at 5:06 pm |
  16. csh chicago

    She's way ahead in EVERY poll not just this one. And she's ahead because she is the strongest, smartest, most qualified candidate.

    Obama and Edwards simply cannot compete on her level as evidenced by her winning every debate so far.

    August 9, 2007 05:16 pm at 5:16 pm |
  17. Chris, Austin

    The poll isn't even NAMED, the margin of error is 4.5 (3 is the norm). Why should we even pay attention to this poll when there are so many reputable polls by Gallup, Washington Post, etc?

    August 9, 2007 05:19 pm at 5:19 pm |
  18. NOT TELLING

    SO IS IT NORMAL TO HAVE 10 POINT SWINGS ON A DAILY BASIS EVEN IF NOT MUCH HAPPENS IN THIS KINDA STUFF? OR IS IT JUST CNN FUDGING NUMBERS TO SUPPORT THEIR INFLUENCE? IM NOT STUPID.

    August 9, 2007 05:26 pm at 5:26 pm |
  19. nope, not even close

    JUst for everyone claiming whom won this debate or that, dont be a nazi or the media and spread your OPINION to try and sway others. Just cause you THINK hilary has won every debate, DOESNT ACTUALLY EQUATE TO HER WINNING EVERY DEBATE. only in your small, simple mind has she won every debate, cause in my small simple mind, i feel obama has won every debate.

    Regardless, its ssoo early in this process to even care much about whats being said. I do know that its the equvalent to calling the superbowl champion after one preseason game, which hopefully we all know is assanine. besides, we all know CNN is biased and censors the news they dont want you to see. a good example are these "polls" that they report on daily cause cnn the clintons have their hands soo deep in cnn's pockets that im amazed there isnt an unsightly protrusion. these polls are a joke, and are about as accurate as my attempts at spelling chinese vocabulary.

    August 9, 2007 05:31 pm at 5:31 pm |
  20. Steve, San Francisco, CA

    I keep looking for reasons not to embrace Hillary Clinton and I cannot find one. As it stands, she has my vote. She is an expert politician and our country desperately needs her expertise.

    Hillary Edwards ticket....anyone?

    August 9, 2007 05:31 pm at 5:31 pm |
  21. TK, Cbus, IN

    First of all I am tired of seeing these national polls from CNN practically claiming Hillary as the inevitable. If we are going to look at polls we should probably examine the early states where candidates are spending their time and money. The numbers are a little different to say the least once people get to know these other candidates.

    Nest why do we put so much faith and news into polls these days? They call landlines not cell phones, thus young people are essentially excluded from these polls amongst others.

    Why isnt there a ticker story concerning Hillary consistent flip flopping, this is sad biased news. Shame on you CNN.

    Another final note since we are meaking big deals about national polls already even though we do not have a national primary. I believe John Kerry was polling 5th before the Iowa Caucuses in 2004. Then he mobilized voters and ran the table. Obama might appear to be playing catch up now, but just wait, the tables are going to turn. Its onlya matter of time.

    August 9, 2007 06:01 pm at 6:01 pm |
  22. vINCE

    All these venomous statements against Obama's candidacy tell me one thing.....AMERICA IS AFRAID OF A BLACK MAN AS POTUS.....Hilary is NOT the Angel of mercy people think...SHE'S BUSINESS AS USUAL...and people are deluding themselves into thinking differently. Obama is the best choice for doing things differently. Proof of this is the dust up in the last debate. Hilary virtually says the same thing Bush says about Pakistan and Hilary supporters are falling all over themselves trying to show this as proof of Obama's inexperience...if you people want more of the same CRAP we've had the last 8 years...vote for Hilary......I'M VOTING FOR BARAK OBAMA!!

    August 9, 2007 06:04 pm at 6:04 pm |
  23. Hoke L Mynatt

    I'm a 61 year old w/m southern BAPTIST south of the mason dixie line, pro life , pro " one man & one woman " marriage, and ( I CAN'T WAIT UNTIL I CAN CAST MY VOTE FOR HILLARY!!!)

    August 9, 2007 06:10 pm at 6:10 pm |
  24. Don Mesner, Los Angeles, CA

    This poll is not named!!
    OBAMA WILL WIN.
    LOBBYISTS LOVER CLINTON HILLARY hit the bottom when she said: " Lobbyists represent "real" Americans"! No more universal healthcare plan. No more energy plan. Welcome to Abramoff scandals Part II.

    August 9, 2007 06:18 pm at 6:18 pm |
  25. Greg, Phoenix, AZ

    Anyone see the CNN story detailing how Clinton stated a year ago that she was NOT in favor of keeping the nuclear option on the table, YET RECENTLY ATTACKED OBAMA FOR SAYING THE SAME THING?

    Don't worry, the reason you didn't see the story is CNN decided NOT to report on it.

    Suprised?

    August 9, 2007 06:21 pm at 6:21 pm |
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