September 4, 2007
Posted: 12:10 PM ET

WASHINGTON (AP) — As many as seven states are expected to flout Republican rules Tuesday and schedule their presidential primaries or caucuses before Feb. 5, establishing an unprecedented early start to the nominating process.

The early voting states risk losing half their delegates to the Republican convention next summer, though some are banking that whoever wins the GOP nomination will eventually restore the delegates.

Tuesday is the deadline for states to submit to the Republican National Committee the date and format of their primaries or caucuses. But it might not turn out to be much of a deadline because some states could continue jockeying for earlier votes.

South Carolina submitted its plan to hold a Jan. 19 Republican primary several days ago. But state GOP Chairman Katon Dawson said he won't hesitate to move the vote even earlier if another Southern state jumps ahead — regardless of how many delegates South Carolina loses.

"I can assure you South Carolina will the first in the South, no matter what happens," Dawson said in a telephone interview.  "If I have to watch (the GOP convention) on TV, then so be it."

GOP rules call for states that schedule their nominating contests before Feb. 5 to lose half their delegates to the convention, though the national party is not expected to take any action Tuesday.

That will come later when RNC Chairman Mike Duncan formally invites states to the nominating convention in Minneapolis-St. Paul next summer and declares how many delegates each state gets. He must issue the invitation, or call, to the convention by Dec. 31.

If states reschedule their primaries after the call is issued, RNC rules call for them to lose 90 percent of their delegates.

Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina, Nevada, Florida, Wyoming and Michigan are expected to vote in January. On Tuesday, Michigan Gov. Jennifer Granholm signed legislation moving Michigan's primary to Jan. 15.

Dates and delegate allotments are in flux as states jockey for earlier contests.

The Democrats have similar issues with their nominating calendar. On Aug. 25, a national Democratic rules committee voted to strip Florida of all its delegates to the Democratic convention unless it reschedules its planned Jan. 29 primary.

Michigan is risking its delegates as well with its move to January. Granholm stood by her decision, saying the earlier date will put greater emphasis on issues related to the Midwest state.

"We want candidates to talk about how they plan to enforce trade policies that are so critical to our manufacturers, the need for universal access to affordable health care and how they plan to reduce our nation's dependence on foreign oil," Granholm said in statement.

Her action came despite the fact that the top Democratic candidates all have signed pledges not to campaign in Florida or Michigan if they do not reschedule their primaries to later dates.

Under the Democratic rules, the only states that may hold a primary before Feb. 5 are New Hampshire, Iowa, South Carolina, and Nevada. Iowa is slated for Jan. 14, Nevada on Jan. 19, New Hampshire on Jan. 22 and South Carolina on Jan. 29.

GOP rules have no exceptions to the Feb. 5 requirement.

Related: Florida, Michigan play chicken with Democrats over primaries

Related: Early 2008 primary calendar beginning to look overbooked

Filed under: Florida • Iowa • Michigan • Nevada • New Hampshire • Primary Calendar • South Carolina • Wyoming


Jon, Sacramento ~ Ca   September 4th, 2007 1:58 pm ET

Instead of punishing states by loss of delegation votes - how about putting together a PLAN that actually puts each state into play: Regional voting blocks (North, South, Midwest, West), rotating the voting blocks each election cycle?

Lance, Monrovia, CA   September 4th, 2007 2:08 pm ET

has someone asked the question, "Why?"

Why are they so afraid they feel they need to move the timetables up. I'm honestly curious about this and would appreciate an enlightened answer here.

However, my theory is, that the nominations are being moved up because they're afraid of Sen. Barack Obama.

Nuff said.

New Bern, NC   September 4th, 2007 2:15 pm ET

well at least the rep want be as dumb as the dems and alinate there own voters - the rep seem to be good at that when all is said and done - and the dems? well the seem good at self destructing!

Anonymous   September 4th, 2007 2:54 pm ET

manipulative and confusing

Patrick, Baltimore, MD   September 4th, 2007 3:41 pm ET

Given how little consensus there is on a single candidate in either party, and the fact that the delegate votes for almost half of the states are going to be up for grabs on Feb. 5th, we could have least one contested convention, in which case a Florida or South Carolina could be giving up significant influence and the process could be held as less representative.

Justin, Minneapolis   September 4th, 2007 3:57 pm ET

It's going so early because everyone is anxious to get George out of the office. I just wish election day & inauguration could be earlier too..

Bukky, Baltimore, MD   September 4th, 2007 4:14 pm ET

What is the point of having an earlier primary for these states. And what is the effect of their delegate not being allowed to the convention. Are the nominations done like Electoral voting. As in one State (delegate) votes for who ever they want and the person with the most votes wins?

I'm confused, what is all the hoopla about?

Christian, Tampa FL   September 4th, 2007 4:26 pm ET

I agree with Lance from Monrovia. Obama is building enough momentum to possibly take the nomination, but bumping all the primaries certainly wouldn't help him.

James, NY, NY   September 4th, 2007 5:21 pm ET

Who elected the DNC and the RNC? With all this crap about states losing delegates you would think it was "The People".

I would like to congratulate both parties leadership for giving people just another reason to go independent and think for themselves. Now if only there was someone capable of organizing a third party and doing it because they care about the current mess our political system has become.

Boyd Ames - Dana Point, California   September 4th, 2007 6:04 pm ET

Will someone please tell me where, in the Constitution of the United States of America - or any of the amendments thereto - the people of this country have granted to the Democratic or Republican National Committees their right to choose when they are to vote in Presidential Primaries as - or in this instance - "on whatever date" their state-wide 'elected' representatives decide to select? How is it that these two self-serving groups feel compelled to impose their "rules" when the Constitution affords these rights to the States? Can they even SPELL Federalism?

Mitt Romney Jibes as Fred Thompson Finally Enters GOP Race « New Republican Party Blog   September 5th, 2007 6:19 am ET

[...] why shouldn't Mitt feel good, especially when his native-Michigan moved their contest to third-in-the-country after New Hampshire and Iowa. As many as seven states are expected to break Republican rules Tuesday and schedule their [...]

Samantha, Jacksonville, FL   September 6th, 2007 9:48 am ET

There must be something I'm missing … why such a big to-do about this? I'm serious…could someone please explain why it matters and who gets affected?

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