September 12, 2007
Posted: September 12th, 2007 10:45 AM ET

Giuliani trails in three key primary states, a new poll shows.

WASHINGTON (CNN) – One day after a national CNN/Opinion Research Corporation poll showed Republican White House hopeful Rudy Giuliani with a mere 1 point lead over newcomer to the race Fred Thompson, a new round of LA Times/Bloomberg polls indicates the former New York City mayor trails in three key primary states.

According to the state polls released Wednesday, Giuliani trails former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney in Iowa and New Hampshire, and also comes in second to Thompson in South Carolina. But Giuliani is just within the margin of error in the New Hampshire and South Carolina polls - an indication of an extremely tight Republican race for the White House four months before voters start to officially weigh in.

Romney, who has significantly out spent his rivals on advertising in Iowa, holds a 12 point lead over both Thompson and Giuliani in the Hawkeye State, 28 percent to 16 percent. The same poll shows former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee in third place with 8 percent, 1 point higher than Arizona Sen. John McCain. Huckabee has focused the bulk of his efforts in Iowa, and was the surprise second place finisher in that state's straw poll last month.

Full story: Analysis: Rivals must strike early to topple celebrity frontrunners

Filed under: Iowa • New Hampshire • Presidential Candidates • Race to '08 • South Carolina


kirk, westfield,in   September 14th, 2007 10:53 am ET

fred thompson will win with ease almost reagan like.

and ron paul oh please do you folks even listen to that kook i am sick of that guy already and i have only seen him 3 times

Tricia M Charlottetown PEI   September 13th, 2007 8:28 pm ET

HOORAY Way To Go Rudy!!
Keep those numbers plummeting!
There is justice in this world!

Jack Mehoff, Scranton, Pa   September 13th, 2007 2:01 am ET

Ron Paul is going to win! Down goes Rudy!

TR Kingston, Des Moines, IA   September 12th, 2007 7:40 pm ET

Well choose your phony, no wonder they are both polling so closely.

Who is Ahead in the Early States « Lead Us Forward   September 12th, 2007 6:07 pm ET

[...] Who is Ahead in the Early States Jump to Comments http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2007/09/12/new-polls-show-giuliani-trailing-in-key-states/ [...]

J, Seattle, WA   September 12th, 2007 5:35 pm ET

Wow I know of an interesting movie related to Rudy Giuliani, George Bush, and Dick Cheney! Check it out at world.zeitgeistmovie.company. Its really interesting! It shows how corrupt the politicians are.

Ray, Rochester   September 12th, 2007 4:00 pm ET

Ron Paul???? I am sick and tired of you Ron Paul Loonies pushing this idiot.

I saw him on O'Reilly and he was a total idiot...stumbling over words, looking totally lost.

Give it up on Ron Paul. He's a clown who makes Mike Gravel look legit.

Guilliani is winning big in Florida and will win the nomination and presidency.

Chip Celina OH   September 12th, 2007 3:58 pm ET

Did Iraq have WMDs? NO NO and NO. Not even the Bush administration continues to spout that lie. "

E, It depends on your definition of WMD. If you constrain the definition to mean nuclear weapons, your answer is correct. The term WMD is inclusive of not only nuclear weapons, but also chemical and biological (e.g. nerve gasses and anthrax).

There is no dispute tha he did indeed possess these weapons sonce he used them on Kurds in the northern provinces of Iraq.

Happy Wednesday,

infragreen, Saint Paul, MN   September 12th, 2007 3:37 pm ET

"Light of the world, shine on me, Fred is the answer.

Shine on us all, set us free, Fred is the answer.

Posted By F. Hodges, Ozark, Mo. : September 12, 2007 3:03 pm "

That's about the dumbest thing I've ever heard.
Fred Thompsoni is just about the WORST choice for candidate between BOTH parties.

Americans are STUPID.
Guliani and Hillary.
What's the difference, more war, probably more taxes and god knows what else. The CFR has chosen your next candidates. Congratulations on being totally brainwashed by FAUX America.

F. Hodges, Ozark, Mo.   September 12th, 2007 3:03 pm ET

Light of the world, shine on me, Fred is the answer.

Shine on us all, set us free, Fred is the answer.

mb, nyc   September 12th, 2007 2:56 pm ET

Rudy was never a serious candidate. Yay, he was here when 9/11 happened. But umm... yeah that's about it.

Bill W, Coatesville, PA   September 12th, 2007 2:51 pm ET

No surprise Guiliani is trailing. He's the second worst candidate – right behind Hillary Clinton.

New Bern, NC   September 12th, 2007 2:47 pm ET

The fact is this is a not your normal election year chenneys not runing for pres so anything is possible. People think because rudy is leading nationally in polls thats good but what they fell to see is that – Vice Pres have always first focused on the early states. Rudy has ignored this and I think it will come back to hurt him very bad. It does look like Romney will win these key first states. Romney could be our next president.

E, New Orleans   September 12th, 2007 2:34 pm ET

Again, I beg beg beg CNN to ask Fred Thompson what he meant when he said this to a reporter the other day in response to a question as to whether it was appropriate to invade Iraq without first dismantling al-Qaeda:

“It's not an either/or situation; sometimes you don't have a choice. Saddam Hussein was on the cusp as having defeated the United Nations and the free world and the United States. He had certainly had weapons of mass destruction and had the capability of reviving his nuclear program. In light of what Iran is doing today with their nuclear program, he certainly would have gotten back on the stick and gotten there again…"

Was Sadaam on the verge of defeating the free world?

I doubt it.

Did Iraq have WMDs? NO NO and NO. Not even the Bush administration continues to spout that lie. Why would Thompson? Why has no media outlet questioned him as to why he would say that?

http://wecouldbefamous.blogspot.com/2007/09/fred-thompson-is-lying-or-stupid.html

Jim Fisch Vacaville , Ca.   September 12th, 2007 2:26 pm ET

The Repubs really show they are looking for anybody with a hope and a prayer. Fred Thompson, what has he really done, former Senator ok I will give him that. He is a lobbyist, an actor and he ran Scotter Libbys defense fund. Oh he has a wife young enough to be his daughter. Not my President. Dems win in 08. Repubs keep looking
The True American

C-Dawg C-town   September 12th, 2007 1:54 pm ET

"New polls show Giuliani trailing in key states"

Good!

lavelle, Rochester,ny   September 12th, 2007 1:49 pm ET

Who cares about these stupid polls! There is a poll conducted ever 5 minutes. And the media is trying to shape this presidential race because they caught on to the fact that Americans trust there words and judgments more then they trust there own. SAD SAD SAD

Winston Hsia, San Antonio Texas   September 12th, 2007 1:36 pm ET

GOP says "chose winning." Well, who is winning? Brave american solders are not, they are dying. Americans are not, they have to foot the $900 billions bill which means $3000 each person, young and old. The only winners are Bush and his oil friends. Do you want to let them win again and you lose again???? Chose the party which will make YOU the winner and stop billing you $3000 per head. Democrats will make YOU a winner.

Justin, Ada OK   September 12th, 2007 1:09 pm ET

You Ron Paul nuts are ridiculous. Of course he doesn't get the same coverage as 1st-tier candidates. Ron Paul does is not competitive in any of the early primary states, nationally, or in fundraising. Ron Paul has nothing more than a small group of very vocal supporters like you. Polls you volunteer to take are not statistically accurate(Duh).

Guiliani is simply losing voters to other candidates, previously unknown, who are getting their message out and increasingly accruing supporters.

Eric, Houston, Texas   September 12th, 2007 12:58 pm ET

Amazing how candidates can be so different. At this stage, if anyone were to ask, I'd be "strongly inclined" to vote for Giuliani, but if he loses to Thompson, I'd be "strongly inclined" to vote for Hilary. I've been voting Republican for 20+ years but I am growing weary of the antagonism.

Cary - Lowell, IN   September 12th, 2007 12:05 pm ET

Thompson will blow all these guys out of the water because Fred has no baggage and is the true conservative of the field.

Keith - Atlanta, GA   September 12th, 2007 11:41 am ET

I'd like to see the national polls dropped as an indicator in news since there is no such thing as a national election (just ask Al Gore). There are 50 separate state elections.

Also, I think the Ron Paul voters need to calm down. If the election was held today "Mickey Mouse" would get more votes as a write-in candidate.

Dan (Baltimore, MD)   September 12th, 2007 11:20 am ET

Bumps in support always follow well publicized campaign entrances. Unfortunately for Thompson it will be short lived as he continues to blumble answer after answer. Meanwhile, despite what the media has been saying there isn't declining support for Rudy. He's been steadily attacting 25-30% in polls since May. Given, the trend it will never go down beyond that range, though Romney, Thompson, McCain and Huckabee will divide the remaing votes and allow Rudy to get the nomination. Watch and see.

Chet M, Lansing MI   September 12th, 2007 11:19 am ET

Oh yes, go Ron Paul. In fact, maybe all the Ron Paul supporters could get together and persuade him to run a third party campaign for president after he loses the primaries. You can do it, Ron Paul; we need another RP to bedevil the Republicans (and provide much needed comic relief, which you seem to be good at), as we haven't had one since 1992

Greg, Phoenix, AZ   September 12th, 2007 11:18 am ET

Given that Romney has spent millions campaigning in Iowa and NH it is no surprise at all that he would be doing well there at this point. Given his lackluster performance in the recent NH debate, I believe this is a sign of things to come for him. Even if this lead were to last in these two early states, he has virtually no chance to win the Republican nomination. It doesn't say much for the folks of Iowa and NH to be supporting a candidate who has COMPLETELY changed his views with regard to abortion, illegal immigration and many other major issues just to try and win an election. At the end of the day, however, I believe the people of Iowa and NH will finally start seeing through Romney's blatant pandering and understand that he is in NO way prepared to lead this country.

Thompson's lead in SC is also misleading given the fact that he just entered the race and some Southern voters are presently intoxicated with the false belief that he might be the next Reagan. He has proven that he lacks the fire to win a presidential election and the constant problems of his campaign will continue to plague any chances of him winning the nomination. The debates will likely finish Thompson off because it will become obvious to everyone that he is just doing this because many Christian Conservatives have pushed him into it.

The Democrats are hoping that one of these two are able to get the Republican nomination because they know that neither has a chance against Hillary. Unfortunately for them, Giuliani does have a very good chance against Hillary and at the end of the day that will be the candidate that Hillary would have to beat.

Ron Paul Supporter, Tampa, Florida   September 12th, 2007 11:05 am ET

Once again showing bias. Amazing how Ron Paul gets left out once again. I guess it doesn't matter who the American people want for President. You forgot to mention anywhere on your site that Ron Paul came in at 33% on the Fox News Polls after the debate in New Hampshire. Yes, he was in fact chosen by the people as the #1 candidate. I guess it will take losing every right Americans are entitled to before corrupt media wishes they would have supported the right man! ***RON PAUL 2008***

Carlo Pittsburgh PA   September 12th, 2007 11:04 am ET

Giuliani is a joke. Where's the Ron Paul news at? We don't want another Bush Jr. Thanks.

Tom - Dedham, Mass   September 12th, 2007 10:59 am ET

This isn't some new "news" story as the numbers have reflected for a period of time that Romney was beating this one-trick pony in the early states.

Do they ever mention how much other candidates like Hillary has spent in key states? Don't think so.

Romney did so because he needed to get name recognition and he was primarly known only in Utah, Michigan and the Northeast.

Ghouliani already had the name recognition based on one thing and one thing only.

Let the race begin.

Anybody but Shrillary 08.

TheRealist   September 12th, 2007 10:55 am ET

Rudy's souffle is falling. Obama's never fully rose. By Thanksgiving, it'll be all about Fred and Hillary.

Cable King Pittsburgh Pa   September 12th, 2007 10:46 am ET

If these polls are valid one has to question the veracity of Guilanni's support

Comments have been closed for this article

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