September 18, 2007
Posted: 01:06 PM ET

WASHINGTON (CNN) – Republican Sen. John Sununu, who trailed former New Hampshire Democratic Gov. Jeanne Shaheen by double digits in a hypothetical matchup at the beginning of summer, has now closed the gap to 5 percentage points, according to a new poll released Tuesday.

The American Research Group Poll was conducted over the weekend after Shaheen officially announced she would challenge Sununu for his seat in 2008. Shaheen and Sununu squared off in 2002 for the Senate seat.

In June, the ARG Poll showed Shaheen with a whopping 28 point lead over the first term senator. The new poll, conducted from September 14-17, has Shaheen up by 5 points just outside of the 4.2 percentage point margin of error. ARG surveyed 558 registered voters.

– CNN Ticker Producer Xuan Thai

Filed under: New Hampshire • Polls


James, Phoenix AZ   September 18th, 2007 4:17 pm ET

Hmmm… now where or where are those Shaheen supporters calling this a "done deal" and a "cake walk"??

THANKFULLY the voters of New Hampshire will get to actually vote for their representation and not just have the CNN bloggers ordain Ms Shaheen.

Cable King Pittsburgh Pa   September 18th, 2007 4:34 pm ET

Yes, James, the voters will vote like in every other election in this great land of ours. Is this a newsflash or is there something else that you would like to share
with us?

James, Phoenix AZ   September 18th, 2007 5:38 pm ET

Ummm Cable guy,

CNN posted an article just a few days ago of Ms Shaheen announcing her candidacy. The liberal posters were commenting how Ms Shaheen has already locked up the victory (more blue states, another victory for Dems, etc). I'm curious to hear the opinion of those over-confident dems explain how Mr Sununu has effectively closed a 28-point gap in a week?

Here is the previous article should you, Mr Cable King, wish to catch up:

http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2007/09/14/former-new-hampshire-governor-to-challenge-senator/#comments

Robert W, Bloomington, IL   September 18th, 2007 7:03 pm ET

This story exemplifies a common error made by the media. When comparing poll numbers for two candidates BOTH numbers have a margin of error. In this case Shaheen's 4.2 percentage point margin should be added to Sununu's 4.2 percentage point margin of error for a total margin of 8.4 percentage points. That means the 5 percentage point difference between the two is well WITHIN the margin of error, not outside the margin, as incorrectly reported by CNN. CNN should check with a statistician and then issue a correction.

Joe, Cleveland, Ohio   September 18th, 2007 8:30 pm ET

Wow. These numbers are trying to predict a senate election that is over a year away. They're shouldn't be taken seriously no matter who they say is winning.

Kanawah, Fairfield, Oh   September 18th, 2007 8:32 pm ET

One less republican in the senate sounds good to me.

Max, Fresno, California   September 19th, 2007 7:53 am ET

These numbers are predicting a senate election that is still over a year away, and anything could happen. Anyone who says that a race is a 'lock' or tries to predict it is a fool.

Wynter, Loudon, NH   September 19th, 2007 7:58 pm ET

As a citizen of New Hampshire, I will be one of those supporters that will definitely be voting for Shaheen. She was one helluva great governor and Sununu has turned a blind eye to those of us wanting him to put Bush in check. He has made some attempts to influence the war, but always voted with the leadership when he was told to. Party loyalty isn't what New Hampshire voters put him in office for. We put him there to be loyal to us back in his home state.

Go Jeanne!

Telling it like I see it,
Wynter

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