Watch CNN's Bill Schneider report Sen. Hillary Clinton has a commanding lead in the latest CNN New Hampshire poll.
WASHINGTON (CNN) - Democratic presidential hopeful Hillary Clinton has significantly increased her lead over rival Barack Obama in the crucial early-voting state of New Hampshire, according to a CNN/WMUR poll conducted by the University of New Hampshire released Tuesday.
The New York Democrat registered 43 percent in the latest poll, 23 points more than Obama, a senator from Illinois. In a similar poll conducted in July, only 9 points separated the candidates, with Clinton then at 36 percent and Obama at 27 percent. (Full poll results [PDF])
"The seven-point change for both candidates is within the poll's sampling error, but may indicate growing support for Clinton as the primary approaches," CNN Polling Director Keating Holland said.
Meanwhile, former North Carolina Sen. John Edwards stands at 12 percent in the latest poll, three points higher than July. New Mexico Gov. Bill Richardson is at 6 percentage points, 5 points lower than the last survey from CNN and WMUR. (CNN Interactive: The latest poll results)
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Hill as "most electable"?! They be smokin' too much ganga in NH.
Before all these Obama nuts get on this board and spew hackneyed phrases like "agent of change" and "fired up" I want to say that Clinton is in the lead because she is a better candidate than Obama or Edwards. A vote for Obama is just as bad as a vote for Ralph Nader; all that anti-DLC stuff got Bush elected in 2000 and it will put the repubs in office in 08.
Clinton 08
vs
NObama 08
Yeah for Hillary!
We await your nomination to let the "games" truly begin. Now that Rove and Co. aren't obligated with White House duties – more time can be set aside for preparing the media blitz for Hillary's "benefit".
And please... eveyone act surprised when Norman Hsu is paraded and confesses to illegal campaign scheme involving key Clinton people. All of this in the Fall 2008.
You go girl! Your candidacy assures conservatives a Presidential Victory, continued efforts in the Middle East to take out Iran, and to finish replacing certain Supreme Court hold-outs.
I am not American. I cannot vote.
But just as I have been saying: Mr Obama should position himself for a place on the ticket and wait until 2016 for his turn.
GO WOMAN GO
Polls in New Hampshire at this point are meaningless. 80-90% of overall NH voters right now are undecided or don't want to share their opinions with pollsters until a week or two out.
She is not likeable! Of course. Americans–along with many others of course–still cannot swallow the simple fact that women have smart brains too.
I don't believe this mess> What are the independents going to do who will they swing their support to
I was wondering how CNN was going to make sure Obama and Hillary were getting the required 15 posts a day on the ticker.
I am an independent voting in the New Hampshire primary, and I am so excited to vote for Hillary Clinton.
It doesn't matter whether or not I like her, I know that she's the best choice for our country with the best experience.
Don't know who these poll-takers are talking to. They are a joke now anyway, and no one is talking to the people who are on cell phones only. Check out the money given in $5 & $10 donations by over half a million Obama supporters. Talk to people on the ground and independents who will overwhelmingly support Edwards or Obama, but never Hillary.
This Hillary coronation is getting really tiring.
If Hillary is the nominee, Barack Obama is still the winner, he has transceded politics and hope in people who beleive in him, And I Truly beleive that obama and edwards cor supporters will not vote for this woman, I know i wouldnt, and many peple i talk to wont. Unless George W. Bush is th repub nominee
I find the whole process interesting these are the people that voted for the War have us 50 trillion in debt. Social security and Medicade, plus are regular debt. They are voting to raise the debt ceiling even higher, but it is not their fault. The republicans did it. They are all guilty.
They are professional at one thing getting a "vote" These people are not leaders. They have no idea what a leader is. They can not answer a question they are not honest, they take money from anyone that will give to them.
They should all be ashamed of what they ahve done to this Country on their watch. Run for President, fire them all.
We have to pay the 50 trillion, they have health care and all the benefits. I pay a 1,000 a month for Blue Cross
There is no one on either side that does not lie and cheat for their own "EGO" If Hillary would have had any pride she would have left Bill, but the White House was more imporatant than pride or character.
God help us fromt the same gargage day in and ay out. Where is a leader to save us????
This is the first time I will note vote for any of these double talking do nothings
"Polls in New Hampshire at this point are meaningless. 80-90% of overall NH voters right now are undecided or don't want to share their opinions with pollsters until a week or two out."
If you read the results it's actually 55%. There is still a lot of room for anybody to make up ground. Clinton only won because all those 55% were required to pick somebody and they went with a name they knew. The GOP can beat Clinton in the general election. My vote is for Barack.
New Hampshire (and Iowa) don't like Obama? This is no surprise.
Why Is CNN not reporting Hillary And Bills Attempt To SILENCE THE MEDIA..
GQ was threaten by them to keep a neg story.
Good idea Dems! Put Hillary as candidate, it's the only way to get a Republican back in there!
A good friend of mine works on the Giuliani campaign.
He tells me all the time that it is common knowledge within the campaign that they are hoping Hilary Clinton wins, because they are afraid they cannot beat Obama in a general election. They know they can beat Hilary.
So celebrate now Hilary fans.
And lose the White House for another four years in 08.
Congrats.
I am a Republican – and I know that if Obama ran..I might have to think about my vote....he has a nice message...(if he dropped all the left wing issues...I would like him better) – I really know many Democrats who side with several bloggers – Hillary is unelectable – its just like in my state – the Democrat wanted to send Joe Lieberman a message – that they are the majority..and they don't like the Iraq war (who does?) – and did not pick him as the Democratic nominee – anyway – he starts his own party....and wins Connecticut as an independent – (even though Jesse Jackson and Al Sharpton were all there supporting Ned Lamont) – lesson to be learned – moderate Democrats (and Republicans will think for themselves – the left will elect Hillary...the rest of the country...including many Democrats...will not....she's unlikable – and unelectable....she is not the right candidate...unless we abandoned capitalism...and embraced socialism
Hillary pulls ahead. Big deal.....
Now, I'd like to hear from some of you bloggers that have actually been called and asked to participate in a political poll. Anyone? That's what I thought. Now, where do I sign up so I too can be involved in these ridiculous polls?
I think that she has peaked and is going to spend the rest of the time not messing up, and that will look too fake. People like underdogs and that is going to start showing soon.
this state has 40% of its voters registered independent more then either party ... Obama fares better with independents... This race is long from being over and I can't wait for H.R. Clinton to go down.
I have a lot of respect for the Hillary supporters and those saying Obama should just want to be on the ticket. However if you look at certain articles questioning Hillary's electability vs. someone like a Rudy Giuliani......Obama is in a statistical deadheat with Giuliani in congressional districts leaning democrat while Hillary is 10 points behind.
My question is to the die hard dems, is why pic the candidate that says what you want to hear instead of the candidate of your party with the best chance of getting elected in the general. Why take that chance???? It seems so unnecessary just to appease Bill Clinton.
Hillary Clinton is too polarizing.
Barack Obama is too inexperienced.
John Edwards is too slick.
Joe Biden can't stop talking.
Rudy Guliani is too mean spirited.
John McCain is too old.
Fred Thompson is too lazy.
Mitt Romney can't remember what he really believes in.
Dennis Kucinich, Mike Gravel, and Ron Paul need to go back to the insane asylum that lets them out for a couple of hours for the debates.
Is this the best that America has to offer??? Are there no better candidates our country can select for the most powerful office in the world???
The point our friend from New Hampshire is trying to make is that a poll of 307 people from a state of some 1.3 million people is rather piddly at best, completely misleading at worst.
I'm afraid only time will tell, but let's hope that dear old Karl Rove isn't right– nominating Mrs. Clinton (whatever happened to the Rodham?) may only stimulate the conservative base.
Before you know it, we'll be renamed United States of Guantanamo, and given the record of unbelievable civil-liberties infringements in the last 6.5 years, I'm guessing we'll all be citizens of such a pleasant barb-wired country.
But in the end, I'll vote Hillary for President...of the WNBA maybe...
Sen. Barack Obama will be the Democratic party nominee.
The polls are slanted and meaningless. They're intended to keep the pundits and spin doctors occupied with blabber.
Instead of discussing Sen. Clinton hosting a fundraiser in which she sold access to members of congress to lobbyists, they're talking about meaningless polls.
Instead of talking about the Clintons manipulating the press and killing negative stories, they're talking about polls which they know to be meaningless.
I remember when we could trust our government and the press. Times really have changed.
Again, Sen. Barack Obama will be the Democratic party nominee.
Hillary, just keep on being consistent and cool. You will get the nomination!
Any fool who thinks a Republican can win next election (honestly that is), needs to seriously analyze how screwed up our lives are becoming because of this disastrous administration currently in the White House. Gas Prices, Occupation of Iraq, (and don't believe it's about anything but greed), The slow painful death of the middle class, housing market, the super rich tax breaks, health care crisis, Katrina, etc.
You go girl and bring us back to a better place like your husband did!!!!
Well, that is just shrilling !
IF edwards fundrasing goals for 3rd quarter are low does that mean he drops out of race or will he stay in the race so that he canbe on the short list for VP?
The first thing you ought to say is that the lead is within the polls sampling error – so you know nothing.
Bush was right.., again!
After seeing her health care plan I can say this: ANYBODY BUT HILLARY! We have to face facts that her plan will be an unmitigated disaster. If universal health care is the goal, the European model of socialized medicine is the way to go. Her model is way too similar to the models of insurance-to-drive laws, and if you look at how those work they are largely a disaster. They disproportionatly harm poor people who are compelled to purchase this fairly expensive product, and create bureacratic criminals out of poor people who were otherwise not criminals. There's no reason not to go with the European models, those have been working just fine for decades now.
For the question "Who will most likely will bring change", 46%responded said Hillary while only 24%said Obama. Why not tell us how many democrats and independents CNN has polled; it only says democratic primary voters. This poll is a joke. Hillary people are the ones coming up with this joke, just like they killed the investigative story by GQ magazine that would expose the infighting and a lot more in the Hillary campaign.
Every one will have different leads in different states majority of all takes the win. People are scared of Obamba and we all know why but if your scared go to church.
Terri, Plantation, Fla,,,,
I agree that the truest form of democracy is expressed not by how much money is donated, but how many supporters donate.
Hillary is in bed with too many special interests. She openly defends the premise that although she accepts large sums from benefactors with desires to influence government, she will do what is right for the American people. The two agendas cannot be further apart!
When I speak to people on the subject, I find Obama supporters, Edwards supporters, but a scarcity of Clinton supporters.
I also wonder why the media tramples the other candidates in a rush to extoll the virtues of Clinton and the constant tale of poll numbers which demonstrate her outpacing the other contenders.
In the end, I fear that Clinton will be the Democratic candidate for president regardless what we the people would prefer. After all, who knows how much PAC money from the news agencies is in her war chest? Also, who ever said that political contributions had to take the form of cash? Is it possible that while the world looks at the money, the dirty dealing is conducted without any cash involved? (Until later, of course,,, ever heard of deferred payment?)
It's time for Obama to fold his tail and be nice to Hillary if he wants to become VP. But I doubt Hillary will have him for VP after the smear by him and his wife. I am actually beginning to see Obama chilling away from Hill-smear as Hill is pulling away from him in all States.
For those of you who once said Hillary led in the national polls but not in Iowa, NH and SC, I hope you are not surprised that she has pulled away from Obama and Baby Edwards in all States.
Now what Cry Babies..?
I am Black but I will not vote for Hillary if she ever, ever made Obama her running mate.
Pathetic. I can only hope that people will eventually start paying attention to what's going on instead of salivating at any ring of the "Clinton" bell. Hillary Clinton cannot win the presidential election. She alienates too many people and will bring out a large contingent of voters just to counter her. I've never voted for anyone but a Democrat and I will NOT vote for Hillary. A Republican or Independent will get my vote and I know I'm not the only one.
Obama '08 or bust.
Where are the Independents? Isn’t it true that the Indy’s vote can vote in either Democratic or Republican primaries...? Independents make a majority of voters in New Hampshire. Over 30% infact. Sounds like some one is ignoring a major block of voters...
I'm so tired of the press playing into the madness of electioneering. Why? Because the majority of these polls are accurate but these dimwit "experts" fail to explain some important facts about the polling. CNN Polling Director Keating Holland should be fired, as well as all the writers whom fail to offset their biases.
Just take a look at the full poll results and pay attention to question 34 (which I have attached below). In short, if you do the math, 55% of Democratic primary voters are undecided. Thus, Clinton's numbers reflect 43% out of the 45% leaning or decided, or in other words Clinton is supported by 19.35% of NH Dem voters, Barack Obama is supported by 9%, and Edwards by 5.4%, with the rest of the votes sent down the line (of which even 5% of those have no opinion).
I have to cry foul because this kind of crap is misleading and ends up swaying elections. Either make it honest or don't report polls.
34. (DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS ONLY:) Have you definitely decided who you will vote for in the New Hampshire primary, are you leaning toward someone, or do have you considered some candidates but are still trying to decide?
September July
2007 2007
Definitely decided 17% 10%
Leaning toward someone 28% 26%
Still trying to decide 55% 64%
I love all these polls and I'm sure the media does, too. Hillary Clinton will be in for a very rude awakening when, all of a sudden, on vote-day, exit-polls start tilting in Obama's direction. We, as individuals, can create change. Obama's supporters understand that. People would "vote" for Hillary, but the test: can she get people out from in front of the TV when it -really- matters? I really don't think she can. A lot of Hillary's supporters are smug and assuming. "Of course she'll win! Eat delicious chips... or go vote? Eat chips."
Clinton's always from the beginning had a wide lead over Obama in New Hampshire. Means nothing. Neither do any of the other national poll spreads between them. What is going on, every half a second they dig for another Clinton leading poll to post! Sounds like a nervous campaign to me.
Geez, eight years of George followed by eight of Hillary? Man, it's a good thing I had four of HST and eight of RR or I'd never know what a real president was supposed to be. Fortunately I'm near the end of my time so I don't have to stick around and watch these new generations screw it alll up. Better learn farsi, people.
Looks like Edwards is fading into the sunset even as Hillary is the new Sheriff in town. Hilarious the way Bush said she's the probable winner only to get an immediate response [as perhaps desired?] that Hilary is Bush's candidate from the lefty loo-zer chorus.
I think Obama is a strong candidate, but he isn't the person we need right now to lead the nation. I wish that he had played his cards better and positioned himself for a VP seat, but with his nasty remarks he is slowly turning off the entire party
America, please wake up and do your homework. Hillary is not for change. She is for more of the same. She will not make improvements for Americans with her hands tied to special interests (big drug, oil, and insurance companies). Her healthcare plan failed before and it will fail again. She is divisive, us vs. them, Republicans vs. Democrats. We need a uniter not a divider to bring change to better us Americans. Look at Hillary's record. It is nearly fruitless. Listen to her speak. She speaks in sound-bites and rhetoric for instant applause, but doesn't present clear plans for change for our great country. She is banking on a nomination from recognition of the the "Clinton" name and her husband's record. Please people do your homework. I highly encourage you to visit http://www.barackobama.com and learn about the great Senator's vision and plans to restore America and its place in the world. He has the experience (more in elected office than Hillary or Edwards) and judgment to make America so much better than it has been ever before. God Bless.
All these rah-rah Clinton people, better be ready to knock on doors if Clinton is the nominee. I won't. People don't like Clinton. Doors will slam. There won't be any reasoning with them. So you vote for Clinton, then you get off your butt and take responsibility. I will work for Obama, but with Clinton it will just be too hard to face the backlash of negativity against her. So Good luck. I want a nominee that can bring people together, not one that creates political war. So I hope you are ready Clinton people, because if you don't get out there and hit the streets, she will lose in the general election if she is the nominee.
I must say, Obama is a good man.
If things don't work out....
Obama for VP!
Check that Eric– the GOP can easily beat Clinton in the primary... Please Dems, dont be foolish yet again– Obama is the only candidate who can unite our country. Gary-excited primary voter in NH- look at what experience has got us into? Then tell me the value you place on "experience" is justified...
If we sit thier and allow ourselves to think Hillary's "experience" is key in this primary race then we all have had the wool pulled over our eyes!! Being the First Lady doesnt equal "experience", because her husband was President (and a good one at that) doesnt equal "experience". I just want people to follow her, her likeability across the board and her shrewd personality before casting this vote. People just wake up we were fooled twice with G.W. Bush and its time for a FRESH START with a leader that doesnt look to WIN for POWER but for THE PEOPLE!!
OBMAM 08
The worse it is for your guy, the more meaningless the polls are.
Wasn't Dean "pulling away" from Kerry 4 years ago? How did that turn out, again?
Ohhhh I cant wait to see the newspapers 4 MONTHS from now when they read. Obama wins NH and continues to roll in SC,IOWA,FLORIDA,CALifornia. This is all hype. Registered democrats are not the only people voting. People who just recently registered to vote are not counted. People who just voted in the last presidential election are not polled. These polls are asked to those who have been democrats since the party started! lol who cares I wouldnt care if Obama was in the lead they show and mean nothing. Do you know how many Republicans are jumping ship to vote for Obama. Independents etc Hill's lead means nothing if it was voting day then I'd be worried but now who cares. CNN can say hillary is leading Obama 90% to 10% right now i still wouldnt flinch Obama is a force to be reconned with. They can down play his movement all they want.
YOU GO BOY!
Obama 08 this is a movement people sorry!!!
How can a candidate be the most electable and be the least liked? It doesn't make sense! The Republicans want her to be the nominee for that reason. That's the reason they attack her. Democrats feel forced to defend her; then, it's not that far to go to support her. But, that's a mistake. We had too much of the devisive politics in this country. I am a independent voter. If you want my vote do not elect her as the nominee. Obama is the most likeable, and therefore the most electable. An Obama/Edwards ticket is the winning ticket. Please believe it!
Your headline is "Clinton pulls way ahead of Obama" when the difference is within the margin of error?
Come on, I know that your polling company is owned by Clinton backer Sanjay Gupta, but this is getting a little extreme.
It was the American people who voted for Bush/Cheney. It will be the American people who vote for Clinton, again... Then the whole cycle starts again. In all honesty the American people are responsible for the mess this country is in. We are to blame. We love to vote for bad candidates then complain about them when things go bad. Americans need only to fault ourselves if this two family cycle starts again. We are WHINNY HYPOCRITES and until we wake up things will never change!
Mock these words this election will go two ways if the polls truly reflect the American opinion.
1. Clinton will be voted back in and the petty fighting will start agian and won't end until after 2012 when the whole congress is Republican again. By then Jeb Bush will run against the Democrats for the presidency. After he's done with his 8 years here come Chelsea Clinton... a never ending cycle.
2. If Clinton is the nominee all of the Obama/Edwards supporters will stay home because they are frustrated with the way things are going. Clinton will try desperately to push anyone’s better than Bush. She'll get a few to cross over but not enough. The race will be extremely close because the Republicans hate her and will see an opening. They will win by any means necessary.
The ones who lose are the ones who have the power to vote in these people who only do what we want them to. What is that you say? By the way and who we vote in office the American people only want anger, mismanagement, divisiveness and hate. This country was built on hate of other and will fall because of it too.
Obama message is to good for America.
Hold on, I thought it was the Republicans who were suposed to be racists? Now it turns out that the always-politically-correct Dems are likely to nominate Hillary and not Obama? Does that make Democrats racist?
My long-held opinion has been that the first woman or black President or Vice President will likely be a Republican. Why? Because a Democrat is more likely to vote on the basis of gender or race, while a Republican is more likely to vote on the basis of principle. Have a black woman on the Republican ticket in 2008 and she will win on the basis of conservative principles. Have a black woman on the Democrat ticket in 2008 and she will lose – on the basis of socialist principles.
Don't call me racist or sexist because I won't vote for a black woman socialist... call me opposed to socialism.
For those who are pointing to the polls and smiling, drooling over the fact that HRC is "pulling away" from Obama, here is something to ponder about. Let's just say...food for thought.This article was published on September 30, 2003. Its now September 30,2007. Ring..ring..ring..
http://archive.seacoastonline.com/2003news/hampton/09302003/news/52855.htm
Dean still leading Kerry in Granite State
By Shir Haberman
shaberman@seacoastonline.com
Seacoastonline.com
Classified Market Place
http://www.seacoastclassifiedads.com
Former Vermont Gov. Howard Dean is sporting a double-digit lead over U.S. Sen. John Kerry of Massachusetts among New Hampshire Democratic voters, a poll reported last Thursday.
The poll, conducted by the Institute for Public Opinion at Marist College, showed that 36 percent of Democratic voters favored Dean; 24 percent for Kerry; and 8 percent for former Army Gen. Wesley Clark, who entered the race just last week. The seven other candidates trailed further behind.
When independents who have expressed an interest in voting in the Democratic primary – which is permitted in the Granite State – are included in the mix, Dean leads the field at 35 percent, followed by Kerry at 22 percent and Clark at 11 percent. None of the other contenders broke into the double digits.
"It’s clearly a two-person race at the moment in New Hampshire, but Clark has established a presence there and is a force to be reckoned with," said Lee Miringoff, head of the Poughkeepsie, N.Y.-based institute.
I love all the crazy people on here! You people are so hateful. If you'd shut up and listen to her, you might like her. My vote is for Hillary Clinton. Republicans only bring perverts and war criminals to America.
GO HILLARY!!! AMERICAN LOVES YOU!
Barack has no experience & exposure at all. It is better for him to be president of Columbia University so that he could get to meet Ahmedinezad. Hillary does not look presidential unless she gives her chair to bill. Democratic presidential candidates are in the wonderland and media including CNN is giving them too much exposure so that the audience is unawar eof reality. Wake up guys, they do not have credentials to be the president of greatest nation on earth.
with the 3rd quarter $$$ goals are due this sunday will does anyone see johnedwards having to step down out of 2008 race?
If Hillary's support was nearly as high as the polls suggest, if she had even half the support Obama has, she would not have a problem with maxing out. If after three quarters, her supporters (who're pledging to vote for her as per the polls) haven't turned up in huge numbers to de-throne Obama's fundraising numbers, then she's not the front-runner she'd like people to think she is and the polls are not what people think they are.
While no one has cast an actual vote yet, the only true test of campaign strength so far, remains as true today as it was 6 months ago when everyone said no candidate could outraise the most powerful political machine in modern history. I thought some people said white America couldn't be this commited about a black candidate.
If NObama is not even holding his own now, how in the world would he beat out the best GOP candidate, be it Mitt Romney, Fred Thompson or Rudy Giuliani? He is not just failing to gain support, he is LOSING support. If by some improbable stretch NObama becomes the Dem candidate, a lot of Dems will take a reality check and throw their support behind a capable GOP candidate. I sure will.
You people just can't stand that Hillary is doing so well. She IS going to be your next president. Might as well get used to it. History has shown that any time a war is occuring during a presidential election, it always changes sides. Repubs are now in office, Dems will take over in 08. History always repeats itself. People say that the United States is the most powerful country in the world. Well Greece used to be, there Rome ruled the world, England ruled the world, Russia ruled the world. What do all these countries have it common? They have all fallen. The US will rule the world for many centuries but will not hold the power status forever. Especially when you have people like Bush running the country. Hillary will make us strong again. Get some of our allies back on our side. I went to Paris on vacation and I couldn't believe how rude some of the French people were to American's. I'm proud to say that I did not vote for Bush, I did not vote for either my my Senators who currently control the voting in Texas. I'm proud to be an independent in Texas.
I am from the future. Obama makes a surprise showing in the primaries and wins the nomination. I know it sounds silly but it's true.
Hillary Clinton HSU, whonder what she will sell to China for campaign money.
In last two weeks I've done my own random polling asking 50 people whom they would vote for. I made a point of asking completly different individuals, friends, co-workers, clients,even few chatty strangers.
19 said Obama or leaning towards Obama, 8 Edwards, 23 Republicans (combined Giuliani or Thompson).
There was not one person for Hillary Clinton. Nobody. But than – what do I know, I don't work for CNN...
And I personally spent last weekend canvassing in Nevada for Obama. Never done a thing like it before. There were over 200 volunteers gathered in a Vegas Union Hall in 100 degree heat. When the organizer asked if anyone had canvassed before, barely a dozen hands went up.
That says everything about Obama and who he's inspiring.
I personally, PERSONALLY talked to maybe 200 indie or registered Democratic voters in Vegas over the weekend. I found ONE hardcore Hillary supporter and many, many that hated her guts. Again and again I found people very interested in or completely supporting Obama.
The question of who is electable is moot to me. Hands down, it's Obama.
Don't let the media fool you again.
Hillary is indeed qualified, smart, and able ... and it would be good to elect a woman president. Unfortunately, her negatives remain at approximately 50% and the Republicans see her as their best shot at winning. We can't let the Republicans be in a position to 'finish' the war or appoint the next two or three Supreme Court justices.
My choice will remain someone good, with the best chance of winning in 2008. Edwards and Biden are the candidates who have offered the most substance, and both are articulate and would make great standard bearers.
I think McCain won NH in 2000 (over GWB).
For the Obama supporters, don't lose too much sleep over this.
Thanks CNN for you Hillary Pub, but my vote is still for Barack!
Ijust wanna know since when does 307 polled represent the whole state.That's why these polls should not be taken seriously.They always just poll several hundred people here and there.
Mews flash Hillary, you capitalized all the wrong words in your sign, and didn't capitalize the one word that needed it, "The". If the change we need is improper use of capitalization and illiteracy, count me out!
I believe in Obama, about as much as I believe in the tooth fairy, santa clause and the easter bunny.
Hey CNN, is Romney still winning in NH?
Oh, I am sorry, my bad.
I canvassed for Obama in N.H. last weekend and everyone I talked to was undecided. Every single person! Everyone said it was too early for them to focus on the primary and all were eager to get information on Obama (and probably other candidates).
Hillary is pulling away as Barack switches gears and looks to the VP slot.
I find it hard to understand any other reason for his inexplicable absences from events all the other Dem candidates are attending.
This poll in and of itself doesn't mean much but many polls taken over time and banded together signal Hillary with a sizable lead that is growing.
Who cares what Democrats in New Hampshire think. They haven't selected a successful challenger since Jimmy Carter.
Wow,Henry Tucker must be a fake name.FBI material there.Hey Tom isn't it past your bedtime?You youngin's are so silly.
Who cares about these stupid, meaningless polls?
the primary system of electing nominees is very undemocratic. How can a member of either party who lives in Texas for example, have a say on who is the nominee> Its stuid that new Hampshire and Iowa have so much power in this regard. Oh and by the way, New Hampshire and Iowa do not represent a good cross section of Americans.
With 40% of New Hampshire voters registered as Independent (and able to vote either way in the primary), as well as the large number of undecided voters, this story doesn't mean much.
She can win, some southerners who tend to vote republican don't think she can, but I sense a repeat with the Democrats again winning New Mexico, Colorado and Arkansas; yes the Democrats have someone that can compete....unlike a Thompson who won't win one Northern state or maybe not even the purple ones.
I think CNN should've highlighted the important question of the poll; questions 34.
34. (DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS ONLY:) Have you definitely decided who you will vote for in the New Hampshire primary, are you leaning toward someone, or do have you considered some candidates but are still trying to decide?
Definitely decided 17%
Leaning toward someone 28%
Still trying to decide 55%
That's a whopping 83% of the whole primary goers did not decide who to choose for! This idea of HRC's inevitability is laughable.
Who are you idiots saying you are going to vote for Hillary? How can you live with yourselves? Hillary was and is part of the problem, HOW CAN SHE BE THE SOLUTION TOO??!! Bill is the president most responsible for 9-11, he should have captured Osama Bin Laden, she voted to go to Iraq and then condemns Bush for being there. By the way, all of that is just the obvious stuff. Nevermind Hillary's failed health care program, or Bill overstretching and drastically underfunding our military to the point where it couldnt actually afford ammunition. Then Bill and Hill bragged about a "balanced budget" What a joke!!! So are you; those of you who vote for her, because the fact of the matter is – you would have voted for her then and now and it doesnt matter what you (choose) to hear or read (if ever or at all) because you will vote for her anyways! I just wish somehow that only those of you that vote for her would have to suffer through that nightmare, spare the rest of us!
What is it about that Clintons that anyone could find appealing. Do people just stick to "Well, Bill was the President during our countries most successfull decade." There must be more than that. If that is it, and anyone out there justifies a vote for Hillary with that reasoning, I implore to do 10 minutes of research for the opposition. You will find more than enough contradiction. You will find that Bill was pretty much a useless President, who did little to nothing meaningful, while many extraordinarily damaging things such as some the things I mentioned previously. I guess now you want more of the same, and you don't even know it, because you probably didnt read this.
Adam, Plano, TX
I am sorry you were upset by Hillary's sign: the improper use of capitalization and the illitaracy it shows. Did you vote for BUSH ????
Fred thats fine that you want your candidate to get elected...but to bash fellow democrats the way you do is distasteful at best...
"The seven-point change for both candidates is within the poll's sampling error, but may indicate growing support for Clinton as the primary approaches..."
If a result is within the margin of error, it carries absolutely no statistical weight. Come on CNN, you can do better than this. A basic statistics course would teach you otherwise. How about you say, "Clinton's lead is within the margin of error, so for all we know, Obama could be ahead."
I feel a bad beat coming for the Democrats if Hillary wins the nomination. HAving said that,I will support her and work for her if she gets the nomination, but deep down I am afraid this country will not let her win. Too much baggage and hate among republicans, even if not deserved. If we blow it this time Dems, we have only ourselves to blame. Wake up people, Joe Biden can beat any Republican contender. Think long and hard about this (not that my vote in FL will count in the primary).
Hillary........Definately an Idiot...No Doubt.....
Wow! That Hillary sure has a big ol' booty and some thick thighs. I sure would like to see her in a dress. She wears those long jackets to try to hide those thick thighs and big butt! Sadly to say, I don't think we have very many good candidates. I would like to see someone not connected to the "Good Ol' Boy" network. Tancrendo is my choice, but doesn't stand a chance. Ron Paul would be my second choice.
First of all, the sample size of 307 is not large enough to get good results. However, the glaring problem with this non random survey is the sample error margin; 5.5 is way too high for this size of samples. In other words, this poll is worthless.
"But just as I have been saying: Mr Obama should position himself for a place on the ticket and wait until 2016 for his turn"
wait his TURN?
oh im sorry, i thought this was a democracy. i forgot that we don't pick the president; its picked based on seniority.
idiot.
Of course. Folks in New Hampshire are not stupid.
I think the PDF document tells another story.
If you ready question 34, it says 83% of the people who were sampled in this poll are undecided!
Why isnt this highlighted in the article?
Polls at this point do not have much meaning. The Clintons are too corrupted and dishonest. I belive that the country has better candidates (i.e. Obama) than Hillary. If you read Obama's books, you can not helping admiring his intelligence, vision, wisdom, and leadership. In fact, he has more public service experience than both Hillary and Edwards. And we know he has better judgment than them, too, shown on the Iraqi issue back in 2002. Obama is not afraid to say what he thinks is right for the country, while others say what people want to hear to get the votes – traditional politicians.
Get ready to rumble guys.
Hillary Clinton Will BE the next President of The United States.
Love her or hate her, she's the best candidate in this election, everyone knows and realizes that. This is why, along with many other reasons, the American People will make her President in 2008.
By the way, to all those who say the polls are meaningless, you clearly don't know squat about statistics.
Have you ever questioned why state polls usually have a sample size in the hundreds? There's a reason for it. Results from samples have always proven to be more accurate and better representatives of the whole picture than a general population poll. Again, be conservative WITH numbers. It's Math guys, don't argue. Don't believe me, just ask a Statistics teacher.
"By the way, to all those who say the polls are meaningless, you clearly don't know squat about statistics."
Posted By Joe, Florida : September 26, 2007 8:50 am
Joe, buddy. Have you looked at the actual document and not the spin that's posted here.
Read question 34! It clearly says 83% of the sample is still undecided.
Do you now see how these polls are meaningless?
I hope that Hillary does not get the presidency. If she get's it, we are in big trouble. Does America forget what her husband did when he was in office? You might as well vote for him because he will be helping Hillary run the show. All it will take is for Hillary to have a bad day, or go through menopause or something like that to screw our country up. I don't want her to get in.She has no business being President. We need somebody who has balls enough to stand up and do what's right for our country. and Hillary is not that person.
Ed, Ellenville NY
You wrote, "Wow,Henry Tucker must be a fake name.FBI material there.Hey Tom isn't it past your bedtime?You youngin's are so silly."
Actually Ed, it's Henry and I live in Tucker, Ga – not too far from Atlanta. Tom (I assume you're refering to Tom /Needham, Ma?) and I share some similar ideology – but we aren't the same person. I wouldn't vote for Obama, but Tom finds some of Obama's views and centurist ideas appealing. Nothing wrong with a healthy debate.
You, Ed – or is it Vanrueter?, consistently post Bush-bashing Moveon.Org rhetoric. It's fun entertainment but does little to inspire constructive dialogue.
Warmest Regards!
I just learned something interesting about this poll on another site when I actually saw the poll. Something like 70 percent of NH voters are STILL UNDECIDED. That means that when CNN says Hillary's pulling away, they're talking about a tiny percentage of voters. Most of the people are still considering and the reason for that is Obama is actually forcing them to think about the race instead of just repeating soundbites like what this article would have you believe.
The more they investigate Obama, the more they will like him. Come back in three months and tell me she's pulling ahead. It ain't gonna happen. There's no way she can win. Hands down, Barack Obama will be the next President of the United States.
I make my home in New Hampshire and I consider myself an average American voter, but I will never vote for Hillary...Period.
It's unbelievable how we democrats always find a way to lose elections. Given the current political climate, we are in such a sweet spot to caputre the White House and increase our numbers in both houses, yet we are trying very hard to blow it.
GOD PLEASE HELP US
Its NOT a gender issue for me. Sen. Feinstein, Speaker Pelosi, Gov. Napolitano, or Gov. Minner would make a GREAT president.
Its just that HILLARY is a republican-lite. She would be only slightly better than any of the repubs running.
Edwards is the MOST electable Democratic candidate, a simple fact.
I am a die-hard anti-republican, but I certainly won't vote for Clinton if she wins the nomination. I'll vote with the GREENS, if Hillary is chosen.
It's clear that Clinton has more experience than Obama. Should this matter? I can't imagine electing someone to a top gov. position that doesn't have a vast array of experiences. Unthinkable. The country is such desperate need of repair-what happens if he is elected and his experience is not sufficient?? Scary-the economy, war, healthcare is at stake. Massive change is needed. Who can deliver?? Obama is a risk. Can we afford to risk his lack of experience at this point in time?