The margin of error is 4.9%, Hillary (29) is 7 points ahead of Obama (22), I wouldnt call them a tie, and prefer to call it a lead. On the other hand, Obama is considered a stat tie with Edwards (23).

George Bush already thinks that she will win the Democratic nomination. The Republican candidates, particularly Rudy Giuliani, are positioning themselves as “Hillary-slayers”. And Hillary's Democratic rivals are paying her the ultimate compliment of concentrating their fire on her rather than on each other. More reasons:

First, Hillary is not like Howard Dean of 2004, who was favored first and then lost. The situation today is very different from 2004, when Iowa's unfortunate Democrats were confronted by a left-wing insurgent, the unattractive Howard Dean, and a rabble of second-division candidates.

Second, people put far too much unnecessary emphasis on Iowa. Hillary's narrower margin lead in Iowa is swamped by her strength elsewhere. She is ahead in national opinion polls by about 20 points, a lead she has sustained for months. She is also ahead in New Hampshire and South Carolina, where her nearest rival, Obama, has been losing traction since late summer. Hillary is currently crushing Obama in the political futures markets by as much as 55 points. These poll numbers are built on rock. Hillary is formidably disciplined and knowledgeable. And she has the best political machine in the business—built up over decades and honed by relentless battle with the “vast right-wing conspiracy”. The machine boasts most of the Democratic establishment's mainstream thinkers.

Third, the dem voters want Hillary and Bill back to white house. Most Democrats associate the Clinton years with peace and prosperity rather than stained dresses and disappearing furniture. Bill Clinton left office with a job-approval rating of 66%. Three-quarters of Democrats, and 53% of voters in general, would like him to play an active role in a future Clinton administration. Nearly nine in ten Democratic voters (88%) express a positive view of Hillary's candidacy; 38% express a very positive view.

Bush has proved that polarisation is far from fatal, provided you can combine it with a ruthlessly disciplined campaign. Hillary does not have to paint America blue; she only has to win one more state than John Kerry. And Giuliani seems less impressive in person than he does in the polls. His speeches are poorly prepared and convoluted, and he is given to silly gimmicks, such as stopping in mid-speech to the NRA to take calls from his wife on his cell-phone.

Moreover, Hillary 2007 is not Hillary 1993. She has shown an impressive ability to learn from her mistakes. She has also moved sharply to the centre: witness her success in winning rural votes in upstate New York in 2006, and her ability to work with former Republican tormentors in the Senate.

Hillary 08.

HILLARY IS THE ONLY CHOICE FOR PRESIDENT

Rudy Guiliani has his position solely by virtue of happening to be mayor on that day and then being the only government official hogging the television camera for the first 2 days while Bush and Cheney were cowering somewhere in a bunker.

Of the 3, Hillary is the most qualified on national affairs although the experience is thin. She is also the only non-republican of the 3 which means that she will not support divisive republican politics and will not support a party that has ruined and bankrupted America the past few years.

So she is easily the best of the 3 but I sure hope the democrats are smart enough to pick someone other than Mrs. Clinton.

http://www.time.com/time/poy2001/poyprofile.html

i heard nothing from CNN when a poll came out last week with OBAMA leading in Iowa

i hear nother from CNN about the many polls that show JOHN EDWARDS leading in Iowa

...whats up with that??

Besides, her polics look a lot like Rudy Guiliani's except that she has more hair and a much more stable marraige history (and that's quite a statement considering Bill's history but it's nothing like Rudy's ramblings).