November 5th, 2007
04:01 PM ET
10 years ago

Poll: While still dominant, Clinton's support slips

Sen. Clinton campaigned in Iowa on Sunday.

WASHINGTON (CNN) - Sen. Hillary Clinton continues to dominate the race for the Democratic presidential nomination, but after coming under pointed attacks from rivals, her lead has shrunk from a month ago, according to a CNN/Opinion Research Corporation poll released Monday.

The New York Democrat is the top choice of 44 percent of the likely Democratic voters interviewed for the poll. Her closest rival, Sen. Barack Obama of Illinois, was the top choice of 25 percent, and former Sen. John Edwards of North Carolina has 14 percent.

All other Democratic candidates were in single digits. New Mexico Gov. Bill Richardson was was backed by 4 percent, Sen. Joe Biden of Delaware by 3 percent, Sen. Christopher Dodd by 2 percent, Ohio Rep. Dennis Kucinich by 2 percent and former Alaska Sen. Mike Gravel was at 1 percent.

The poll involved 467 interviews conducted on November 2-4 with Democrats or independents who lean Democratic. The poll's margin of error was plus or minus 4.5 percentage points.

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Filed under: Hillary Clinton • Poll numbers
soundoff (45 Responses)
  1. Lance in Monrovia CA

    Although polls are still insignifigant at this point, except maybe in Iowa, it's still aparent that Hillary's slip ups and refusal to give a solid answer at Tuesday's debate did definetely affect public and media opinion of her.

    People are finally waking up to the fact that I've been paying attention to for some time. You can't get Hillary Clinton to give a straight forward answer on anything, and if you somehow do get a yes or know, she'll qualify and quantify that answer to death in interviews to come.

    She's the most calculated, most careful, most annoying candidate I've ever seen. I simply don't believe her when she speaks.

    Barack Obama, on the other hand, is an inspiration. I've never seen another politician speak so clearly, so honestly and so bluntly about the problems we're facing. he's got great ideas and he's got a vision to truly bring us out of our slump.

    We're in dark, dark times in this country and we need a truly visionary communicator, a truly great communicator of the type that Abraham Lincoln of JFK was. Barack Obama speak at my level, and in ways that do not muddy the water. He speaks with the same clarity and passion that all great leaders have.

    Obama turned a corner at Tuesday's debate, because he finally directly pointed out the differences between he and Hillary. He pointed out how confused her answers often seem and how she subtley shifts her opinions dependent on whom she's speaking too.

    Obama on the other hand, has gone to Detroit to talk to auto manufacturers about global warming and to Wall Street to talk about how unfair it is that our richest one percent controls ninety percent of the countries wealth and pays virtually no taxes. He also there unveiled his plan to eliminate taxes for senior citizens.

    He's got bold, progressive ideas that can bring us into the future while Hillary reeks of politics as usual. It's a stench that voters are going to pick up on more and more once they get a good whiff of what she's really saying.

    Obama is the only candidate that previously has brought republicans and democrats together in bipartisan and meaningful ways. He also is the democrat that has brought meaningful ethics reform to our government in a generation.

    Wonder why Hillary can no longer take the Wall Mart jet when she flies to events? it's because of Barack's ethics reform bill that just went into affect.

    The stakes have never, ever been higher. We need a visionary like Barack Obama. We don't need another politician, we need a leader.

    Elect Barack Obama in 08.

    November 5, 2007 05:35 pm at 5:35 pm |
  2. AJ, Chicago, IL

    I am getting sick of polls. Let me understand this, 400 to 500 polled people represents the thoughts and aspirations of hundreds of millions of people. Hmmm...don't believe the hype

    November 5, 2007 05:44 pm at 5:44 pm |
  3. J. McKinney SW MO

    I think that if Hillary is ahead by different percentages in all the polls, then this would indicate that she is definately in the lead. But when they are just polling 500 or 1000 people, I don't think the percentages going up or down 10% points or so is an accurate judgement that her support has gained or slipped. Depends on who gets the phone call. What is important is that she is still ahead!!!! Go, Hillary!

    November 5, 2007 05:44 pm at 5:44 pm |
  4. VoiceForTheUniter

    So that guy running for president with the weird name?

    Oh yea that guy Barack?

    Yea. He graduated Harvard Law and had his pick of six figure jobs to walk into.

    Oh yea and that guy Barack?

    He turned down all those jobs to organize voters at the grassroots for 14k a year.

    Oh yea and that guy Barack?

    He's served elected office for longer than hillary clinton and John Edwards.

    Oh yea and that guy Barack?

    Says ethics reform is the cause of his career.

    Oh yea and that guy Barack?

    Co-Authored a ground breaking ethics reform bill last year AND it passed the house and senate AND the president signed it into law.

    Oh yea and that guy Barack?

    Doesn't take money from lobbyists

    Oh yea and that guy Barack?

    Isn't afraid of big corporations and doesn't need their money.

    Oh yea and that guy Barack?

    Held a meeting for the Big Wigs on wallstreet and told them he thought it was wrong that 1 percent of the population controlled 90 percent of the wealth in America.

    Met with the Automotive industry in Detroit and ripped them on fuel efficiency and emissions standards.

    Oh yea and that guy Barack?

    Turned out 10,000 people to come see him speak when it was 40 below zero outside.

    Oh yea and that guy Barack?

    Turned out 24,000 people in New York even though the media mysteriously overlooked the event.

    Oh yea and that guy Barack?

    Reportedly has the largest grassroots network in history in place in South Carolina.

    Oh yea and that guy Barack?

    Has a clear stance on everything but the media only reports on what he says about clinton...Hmm

    Oh yea and that guy Barack?

    Tells the truth.

    Oh yea and that guy Barack?

    Is the most popular candidate for president in America because all polls are conducted by landline and who is home to answer the housephone except 75 year olds who don't know his name yet. Until conversations at the bingo game begin to start with,

    Oh yea and that Guy Barack?

    November 5, 2007 05:46 pm at 5:46 pm |
  5. Rodney Dallas TX

    Polls are kinda silly to me. Although I am a fan of Hillary, I do not believe these polls carry much weight. So you interviewed 467 people last time and she had 51%. This time you interview 467 people and she's at 44%. I guarantee you if you interviewed another 467 people tomorrow, it will be different. The polls don't make much since. Voting will determine everything. Everyone will get a chance to give their opinion and then we'll really see who is leading the pack. Until next year, I don't even care who's leading right now. If Hillary farts, her standings will go down significantly, if she saves a drowning baby, they'll go up. Too much time left to be worrying about it now.

    November 5, 2007 05:51 pm at 5:51 pm |
  6. TheRealist

    In a head-to-head matchup of the two front-runners, Clinton leads Giuliani 51 percent to 45 percent. That lead has increased since October, when Clinton led Giuliani 49 percent to 47 percent

    “Clinton’s strength is about where it was throughout the summer, indicating that she has lost the support she gained last month but that Obama has not yet cut into her core constituency,” CNN political director Keating Holland said.

    How you headline a story has a lot to do with the narrative you select.

    "Clinton maintains lead, Increases lead over Rudy, republicans, would be just as true. There is no evidence, within the stated 4.5% margin of error of any slippage. The increase over Rudy and the republicans goes against your, "unelectibility", theme, and is therefore not emphasized.
    The more you know yourself, the less that media slant can influence your thinking.

    November 5, 2007 05:53 pm at 5:53 pm |
  7. therealist

    When Hillary's support starts slipping in the biased CNN\Opinion Research Corporation poll, you know things are going badly for her..

    November 5, 2007 05:54 pm at 5:54 pm |
  8. Jon

    She is unelectable. If she gets the nomination, she will lose. Just about anyone else the Democrats have will likely win.

    That means the Democrats, who are about the most useless, spineless and senseless group of people one can imagine, will nominate her.

    Then we'll get Rudy as President.

    Hopefully people will start to realize this and support someone who can actually win and do some good for this country. She certainly isn't it.

    November 5, 2007 06:03 pm at 6:03 pm |
  9. Phil Chicago, Ill

    Hillary enters the political elevator. The attendant politely asks, "Going Down?". Hillary scowls, looks forward, says nothing.

    The elevator attendant smirks, "Ah – heading down to the Dean Suite located in the Basement" as the doors close.

    Ba-bye Hillary!

    November 5, 2007 06:06 pm at 6:06 pm |
  10. roger, conway sc

    Obama has turned into a negative hate machine just like John & Elizabeth Edwards & you can see where that has gotten them NO WHERE...People do not want to hear candidates bashing others in their party. If you have a strong campaign program with the right people you don't have to be so negative,take your anger out on the GOP where it belongs. As dems we have sense enough to make up our own minds about the candidates without the negative crap..unlike the republicans...Oh yea and that guy Barack is going to lose more support now that he is negative...

    November 5, 2007 06:09 pm at 6:09 pm |
  11. Gitahi, Dallas TX

    Now this is when you know that the country is moving away from partisan politics. Obama is the only politician who is capable of healing the divide that exists in this country. He has a secret weapon that the media is not picking up. Wait while he picks up the conservatives/evangelical vote in IA and NH. Boy..oh boy. People do not want to accept it but Obama is the only one in the democratic race that can win the general elctions comfortably. I am waiting for Obama haters like Theinsider, Kyu Reisch, Radcliff, Kentucky, Jeff Spangler, Monte Brown, New York, NY, Daniel, NY, sevens7777 Frisco, Tx and the other uninformed to spill bile over this. Get over it guys. Hillary invincibility is an illusion created by the media. Do I hear Howard Dean all over again?

    November 5, 2007 06:11 pm at 6:11 pm |
  12. Danny G. Boca Raton, FL

    HILLARY 08 We all live and learn, don't think she is going to sit idle and let the Obama, Edwards spin machine get the best of her... this is one of the most important times in recent history, Pakistan is returning to military rule, Afganistan is poorer than ever, Iraq's infrastructure are 10-15 years away from any true modernization. and you all think the war is ending with the next president? no President will either take us or get us out of confilcts for the next decade... Excercise your vote and be sure to do it in the best informed way possible, if Obama or Edwards are your candidates, may God Bless you and vote for them, but if you are not sure at least pay some attention to Sen. Clinton... Let's go Dems!

    November 5, 2007 06:11 pm at 6:11 pm |
  13. Karen,ny

    The poll invoved 467 interviews. What kind of a poll is that. I have never seen that poll and maybe people should be advised where we could locate this silly poll!

    November 5, 2007 06:21 pm at 6:21 pm |

    Even with the Democratic contenders and the whole of republicans vociferously attacking RCH, she still has a commanding lead over her rivals. This is good and shows that HRC support is solid and deep. It is actually a good omen for her, with all the battering she has taken she is still resolute and poise and on message. This will only make her stronger for the general election.

    November 5, 2007 06:23 pm at 6:23 pm |
  15. Charlie, Upstate NY

    Clinton's got the nomination in the bag and everyone knows it. The rest are running for 2nd place.

    Discounting polls is naive. Polling is nearly everything in politics. Believe the hype. She has a colossal lead in support and dollars and she's too smart to cough it up.

    Obama is an admirable man who was right about Iraq, but that doesn't qualify him to be President. A Black can be president, but not with an underdeveloped resume. Fairly or not, he's got to be better than equal in order to stand a chance. He's ten years away, if that.

    Edwards is a clever politician whose southern twang doesn't hurt. Doesn't seem to have the network he should have in order to mount a serious and potentially winning campaign. He's so smart and successful that he thinks that should be enough. In a way, he's the Dems' answer to Romney. If Clinton stumbles badly, he'll be there to pick up the pieces. But don't count on it.

    Dodd and Biden rightly believe they've paid their dues more than Hillary, and that alone justifies their campaigns. Problem is they each have about 1% more support nationally than a bum on the street corner. No chance.

    Kucinich. Earth to Kucinich. Not happening. Please leave the building.

    Richardson. Get that man an ironing board. He looks like an unmade bed. Strong on the issues, solid resume. Probable character deficiencies. It's too uphill a fight, but would obviously be heard from in a Hillary administration.

    November 5, 2007 06:24 pm at 6:24 pm |
  16. Hank, Fort Myers, FL

    Perhaps this is a valid pole (unclear how it was obtained). My fingers are still crossed that Hillary will continue on to win. Our nation needs healing and hope again.

    November 5, 2007 06:26 pm at 6:26 pm |
  17. TheInsider

    Ba-bye Hillary!
    Posted By Phil Chicago, Ill : November 5, 2007 6:06 pm

    I save some of these comments to torture the posters at a later date. Thanks

    November 5, 2007 06:32 pm at 6:32 pm |
  18. Tere, FL

    I think we should add these individuals to the Hall of Shame of people who will do anything to defend anything Hillary does no matter how obviously wrong it is:
    Kyu Reisch, KY
    TheInsider (I am beginning to think it should be "TheOutsider" as his predictions seem wrong every week)
    Monte Brown (With his famous "READY TO LEAD" BS)
    Daniel, NY
    a. THOMAS

    November 5, 2007 06:33 pm at 6:33 pm |
  19. TheInsider

    When Hillary's support starts slipping in the biased CNN\Opinion Research Corporation poll, you know things are going badly for her..
    Posted By therealist : November 5, 2007 5:54 pm

    You know nothing...

    Right wing troll.

    November 5, 2007 06:34 pm at 6:34 pm |
  20. Leo, VA

    If Americans' opinions are based on a debate they perhaps didn't even watch, just heard about in the media, this country is in trouble.

    November 5, 2007 06:45 pm at 6:45 pm |
  21. Gabe Peterson, Houston TX

    This is so silly. Is CNN that desperate for news coverage. Clinton is still leading by almost 30pts in most national polls. She did not take a hit in Iowa or New Hampshire. Give me a break. She has one less than steller performance in a debate and all the sudden the media is done with her.

    November 5, 2007 06:52 pm at 6:52 pm |
  22. Mike, Lansing, MI

    Obama had me in his back pocket until last week when he turned into your normal back-stabbing politician. He should be his own man and not do what everyone tells him what he should do (including his wife). For me he has lost his fresh inspiration and honesty that he once had. Now he is on the same level as the rest of them. Now guys like Richardson are starting to look better.

    November 5, 2007 07:07 pm at 7:07 pm |
  23. Jonathan, Evanston IL

    You guys who are complaining about small samples in the polling don't understand statistical theory. Those polls are done by people who know what they are doing and they are very consistent. It's true that what they are trying to measure is difficult to measure and all they have right now is a proxy, but don't worry about a sample size of 500. That's plenty.

    November 5, 2007 07:32 pm at 7:32 pm |
  24. Russell NC

    Hillary talks and talks, but is very careful not to say anything.

    November 5, 2007 07:39 pm at 7:39 pm |
  25. brandi, ny

    she looks rather *ahem* masculine in that outfit. why is she afraid of being a woman? why does she pander to each voting group, yet hold back her own belief s and convictions?

    November 5, 2007 07:48 pm at 7:48 pm |
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