November 12th, 2007
09:30 AM ET
10 years ago

Poll: Clinton lead over Obama shrinking

Clinton's lead over Obama in New Hampshire has grown tighter according to the latest poll.

(CNN)–Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton has seen her lead over fellow White House hopeful, Senator Barack Obama, D-Illinois, grow tighter.

In the latest poll of likely New Hampshire Democratic primary voters from the Marist College Institute for Public Opinion, the New York senator had 36 percent support, to Obama's 25 percent. Last month, Clinton led Obama by 21 percentage points according to Marist.

In the latest poll, former North Carolina senator John Edwards had 14 percent support, and New Mexico Governor Bill Richardson, had 6 percent.

On the Republican side, former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney's support over his closest rival, former New York mayor Rudy Giuliani grew as well.

In a poll of likely New Hampshire Republican primary voters in October, Romney had a 6 percentage point lead. That number has increased to 11 percent according to Marist's latest poll.

In the latest poll, Romney got 33 percent support, to Giuliani's 22 percent. Senator John McCain, R-Arizona, had 13 percent support in the latest poll, with Rep. Ron Paul, R-Texas, and former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee both registering 7 percent support. Former Tennessee senator Fred Thompson had 5 percent support in the latest poll.

The poll involved telephone telephone interviews conducted November 2-6, with 458 likely Democratic voters and 372 likely Republican voters in New Hampshire. The margins of sampling error were 5 percentage points for Democrats, and 5.5 points for Republicans.

A poll released by the Boston Globe on Sunday, also showed both Clinton and Romney leading the latest poll of likely New Hampshire voters.

In a poll of likely Granite state Democratic primary voters, Clinton registered the support of 35 percent of those polled, to Obama's 21 percent. John Edwards was third with 15 percent support, and Richardson was fourth with 10 percent.

On the GOP side, Romney led Giuliani 32 percent to 20 percent, with McCain in third at 17 percent. Huckabee came in fourth with 5 percent support, and Thompson came in fifth with 3 percent support.

The Globe surveyed 400 likely Democratic voters, and 404 likely Republican voters in New Hampshire between November 2 to November 7. The Globe said it had a margin of error for each party sub-sample of plus or minus 4.9 percent.

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- CNN Political Desk Editor Jamie Crawford

soundoff (143 Responses)
  1. Maria, Houston

    For anyone who watched last night JJ Dinner in Iowa this should not come as a surprise. In comparison to other candidates Barack Obama definitely came across as the leader with a genuine passion, purpose, drive and ability to be our future president. The audience was ecstatic and there is no doubt that Obama is on the road to win the nomination. Fantastic speach, highly regarded by all serious political commentators – check it out on YouTube!


    November 11, 2007 12:43 pm at 12:43 pm |
  2. DY, Garland, TX

    People want honesty and consistency, not Hillary's two-faced position-taking. Obama '08!

    November 11, 2007 12:44 pm at 12:44 pm |
  3. PollM, Dallas Tx

    Barack on issues and policies did very well this week. Polls in Iowa shows that Obama is closing the gap.

    In your opinion how well did Barack Obama do on NBC's Meet the Press with Tim Russert?


    November 11, 2007 12:54 pm at 12:54 pm |
  4. Don, Eureka,CA.

    This comment won't be posted.
    How come nothing is mentioned
    about Hillary's recent
    campaign in Iowa for cheating
    on political questions from
    her staff on CNN'S web page?

    November 11, 2007 12:56 pm at 12:56 pm |
  5. hillarylover NY NY

    This drop in the polls was to be expected after that poor performance during that last debate in Philadelphia. All she has to do is have another sterling performance at the debate in Vegas and all will be forgiven. Make no mistake about it–SHE still is ahead either way. When you look at football scores at the end of the day a win is a win no matter if you won by one point. All candidates plant questioners in their audiences. Stop acting like this doesn't happen. It's really crazy that the "democrats" that post on here want Hillary to take a stand on the issues–yet they still offer no support of her even if she does take the very position they want.

    Also if I were Barack Obama or John Edwards I wouldn't want the support of the people just because they don't like someone else. If you are the "Anyone but Hillary" candidate what does that really say about your candidacy? Something to think about.

    HILLARY 2008

    November 11, 2007 12:58 pm at 12:58 pm |
  6. Glenn,Birmingham,Al

    Clinton is old politics. Safe but no different than what we have now. Obama offers us a choice. Do we make a change or plod along like we are going? Congress will not change, but with him in the lead we can have a look at other options.

    November 11, 2007 01:01 pm at 1:01 pm |
  7. Craig Pittsburgh, PA

    Where is CNN's coverage of the Clinton campaign's tactic of planting questions among "voters?"

    November 11, 2007 01:09 pm at 1:09 pm |
  8. D Ward Mena, AR

    After watching the speeches at the Democratic Fund Raiser in Iowa I am astounded to hear people say that Obama gave a great speech. Well, they must have been watching a different speech then I was. He floundered through the speech and looked as though he was trying to think of something to say. When he did say something, he spent most of his time getting in his digs against Hillary Clinton without mentioning her name. Oh the other hand, Senator Clinton gave a great speech WITHOUT running down her opponents. Some may say that Obama is a good speaker, a Mr. Nice Guy with a 100 wat smile but to me he was terrible at the Iowa fund raiser and he certainly WASN'T Mr. Nice guy. I hope that people go back and re-watch the speech he gave and just see how unprepared he was. You could not even follow his train of though. He thanked, and thanked and thanked again the audience at the beginning and they were not even applauding and he acted as if he was trying to quiet them so he could speak. It was one of the worse speeches I have seen. Wether you are a Hillary or Obama fan, if you saw and heard this speech you will have to admit that Obama was terrible and Hillary was dynamic.

    November 11, 2007 01:13 pm at 1:13 pm |
  9. Sue Cav, Fairfax, VA

    I'm glad that Clinton's lead in the polls is narrowing, but never understood how she got to be a front runner. Aside from her highly political answers to even the simplest of questions, practically speaking, Clinton is a terrible choice for nomination. As a purely practical matter, why don't the Democrats realize that many of the other candidates are much more likely to defeat the Republican candidate? Clinton as the democratic nominee would only bring us closer to the scary possibility of another Republican White House.

    November 11, 2007 01:13 pm at 1:13 pm |
  10. Kevin Rogers, Atlanta, Georgia

    Lol; this poll is funny. Nowhere does it compare what the numbers were from the previous one. But of course, the Far-left that hates the Clintons as much as the Far-Right must be having a good day. Only trouble is, that the good people of Iowa, who are more mature and seasoned the Obama or Edwards people will set the stage rolling with a comfortable win for Hillary on January 3rd. G

    November 11, 2007 01:29 pm at 1:29 pm |
  11. Bhar

    Did anyone else notice that CNN
    (Clinton News Network) used the caption "Rival Closing in on Clinton Lead" not mentioning Obama as the actual page is titled. This stuff isn't coincidence. It's been reported before in the Washington Post how CNN is trying everything they can to shore their candidate up. Well guess what, it isn't working.... Go America Go!!!!!

    November 11, 2007 01:34 pm at 1:34 pm |
  12. Joan, New York.

    Do you know what is most exciting to me (democrate NY)? That most of the comments today REFLECT my beliefs! YAY! FINALLY! A TRUE REFLECTION REGARDING AMERCIA'S VIEWS ON THE CLINTONS! HOORAH! YIPPEE YI YAY!

    November 11, 2007 01:44 pm at 1:44 pm |
  13. Bonnie, Raleigh, NC

    Note to Cnn-Not "a Rival", but Barack Obama. Learn the name well, it will be in the top of the news for at least the next 5-1/2 years.
    Obama 08!

    November 11, 2007 01:52 pm at 1:52 pm |
  14. Hank, Fort Myers, Fl

    She still has the right combination of talent, agenda, and momentum. The Dark Side is attacking on every front trying to split up the Democratic base–and fracture support for change. They will assuredly use it too in the general election. Hold true–hold true. We're so close to positively changing the country–and reversing the downward spiral the RNC and their bedfellows have launched us on. Hold true!!

    November 11, 2007 01:55 pm at 1:55 pm |
  15. Lorenz, Queens, NY

    Ron Paul is rising ;D Whats up with Fred?

    November 11, 2007 01:55 pm at 1:55 pm |
  16. Jim, Columbus, GA

    Happy Veterans Day … take a couple of minutes to Honor their sacrifice so some of you have the Freedom to complain about how sorry America is…

    Hitlery ain't got the Balls to be Prez and Osama can't even render proper courtsey to the National Anthem

    Go Huckabee!! and pick Liberman as VP!

    From a retired Army Command Sergeant Major

    "Move Out and Draw Fire!"

    November 11, 2007 01:57 pm at 1:57 pm |
  17. Paul, Visalia CA

    This poll is pretty indicative of the excessive value placed on statistics. Any poll with greater than 3%+- error is erroneous. The sample size is too small for both the Republican and Democratic results.

    November 11, 2007 01:58 pm at 1:58 pm |
  18. david Birmingham, AL

    hillary is a guaranteed loser. if the dems had any sense, edwards would be the nominee and obama the VP or vice versa. of course, if there was justice it would be gravel/kucinich in a landslide. hillary strikes me as the female joe lieberman, a pro-war, pro-corporate and essentially bush-lite. it also bothers me profoundly that the office could be dominated by two families for so darn long. bush-clinton-bush-clinton... someone change the channel.

    November 11, 2007 02:00 pm at 2:00 pm |
  19. sandy Sayre,Pa.

    I am a stauch Obama supporter with the exception that he is also failing to listen to the American people when it comes to immigration. When he decides to listen to us,then he has my vote,not until. Build a fence, punish companies who hire these people for monetary gain and see that our current immigration laws are enforced. That is what the American people want from our President, no matter who he is. As for Hillary, she's just politics as usual and I for one have had enough of Washinton politicians. I want someone who will stand up for the American people on immigration,jobs, security on all levels. Do this Barack and you have my vote as well as millions of other votes.

    November 11, 2007 02:16 pm at 2:16 pm |
  20. TO AZ

    Hillary, sorry but Obama support is on the rise, while your falling.
    I think Ron Paul will take the Presidential seat!

    November 11, 2007 02:16 pm at 2:16 pm |
  21. TO AZ

    Look up in the sky is it a plane?
    No just looking where Ron Paul is in the polls, But we can fix this cut 3/4 off the poll.

    November 11, 2007 02:28 pm at 2:28 pm |
  22. Dom

    Senator Barrack Obama.

    Godspeed. My prayers are with you, your family and your campaign.

    I am convinced that you are a true and honest patriot who will give this nation a chance at redeeming itself and hopefully bring peace.

    Your message is getting through, and people are listening, nay they are hopeful at last.

    November 11, 2007 02:30 pm at 2:30 pm |
  23. Trang, Fremont, CA

    Well, there might be hope after all. Give Hillary a good fight. Hillary has to demonstrate that she can answer questions posed to her. I am going to see the upcoming debate and see how she responds to the questions. I think her weakness has been pointed out clearly and I shall see whether she can overcome this weakness. I would say spelling your position clearly is a minimun qualification for leadership, and if she fails at this, she doesn't deserve the leadership post. I don't know what many people see in Clinton and why she leads in the poll other than the name recognition perhaps.

    November 11, 2007 02:38 pm at 2:38 pm |
  24. Jaik , chicago, IL

    CNN will makje sure Obama doesn't get any closer to their sweetheart, the corporate democrat.

    November 11, 2007 02:42 pm at 2:42 pm |
  25. beth,nashua,nh

    Hey, look at this,

    The size of Hillary lead over her rivals is constant. Whether the lead vacilate a few points is really insignificant. In the vernacular of the streets, size doesn't matter. As I have said on numerous occasions, unless Hillary do a dastardly deed or commit a serious faux pas she is the Democratic nominee, it is nearly a fait accompli

    Posted By Tom, ALBUQUERQUE, NM : November 11, 2007 11:19 am

    November 11, 2007 02:43 pm at 2:43 pm |
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