November 12th, 2007
09:30 AM ET
7 years ago

Poll: Clinton lead over Obama shrinking

Clinton's lead over Obama in New Hampshire has grown tighter according to the latest poll.

(CNN)–Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton has seen her lead over fellow White House hopeful, Senator Barack Obama, D-Illinois, grow tighter.

In the latest poll of likely New Hampshire Democratic primary voters from the Marist College Institute for Public Opinion, the New York senator had 36 percent support, to Obama's 25 percent. Last month, Clinton led Obama by 21 percentage points according to Marist.

In the latest poll, former North Carolina senator John Edwards had 14 percent support, and New Mexico Governor Bill Richardson, had 6 percent.

On the Republican side, former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney's support over his closest rival, former New York mayor Rudy Giuliani grew as well.

In a poll of likely New Hampshire Republican primary voters in October, Romney had a 6 percentage point lead. That number has increased to 11 percent according to Marist's latest poll.

In the latest poll, Romney got 33 percent support, to Giuliani's 22 percent. Senator John McCain, R-Arizona, had 13 percent support in the latest poll, with Rep. Ron Paul, R-Texas, and former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee both registering 7 percent support. Former Tennessee senator Fred Thompson had 5 percent support in the latest poll.

The poll involved telephone telephone interviews conducted November 2-6, with 458 likely Democratic voters and 372 likely Republican voters in New Hampshire. The margins of sampling error were 5 percentage points for Democrats, and 5.5 points for Republicans.

A poll released by the Boston Globe on Sunday, also showed both Clinton and Romney leading the latest poll of likely New Hampshire voters.

In a poll of likely Granite state Democratic primary voters, Clinton registered the support of 35 percent of those polled, to Obama's 21 percent. John Edwards was third with 15 percent support, and Richardson was fourth with 10 percent.

On the GOP side, Romney led Giuliani 32 percent to 20 percent, with McCain in third at 17 percent. Huckabee came in fourth with 5 percent support, and Thompson came in fifth with 3 percent support.

The Globe surveyed 400 likely Democratic voters, and 404 likely Republican voters in New Hampshire between November 2 to November 7. The Globe said it had a margin of error for each party sub-sample of plus or minus 4.9 percent.

Click here to see CNN's new political portal: CNNPolitics.com

– CNN Political Desk Editor Jamie Crawford

soundoff (143 Responses)
  1. Anonymoust, Somewhere, MI

    I beg of every god worshipped by every civilized man and savage, will somebody, anybody, please beat this insipid woman.

    November 11, 2007 02:45 pm at 2:45 pm |
  2. beth,nashua,nh

    OBAMA: This is for you.

    Row, row, row your boat gently down to White House.

    Merrily, merrily, merrily, merrily American Dream is alive.

    Its crunch time and the polls are crunching as expected. Please please please Obama winning the elections should be no shocker for those who know what is really going on.

    The best is yet to come, please keep your eyes on thursdays debate in Nevada, and that is if CNN plays fair and realistic with the questions to Clinton.

    Okay Obama haters and clinton supporters, now give me your fake reasons for remaining in a sinking ship.

    Posted By Emmanuel, VA : November 11, 2007 12:17 pm

    hahahahahahaaaaaaaa, I haven't laughed for a while in this misearable American we are living in right now...I read your comment and I could not help it....

    November 11, 2007 02:49 pm at 2:49 pm |
  3. A. Thomas, New York, NY

    Obama's narrowing the lead in NH means nothing in the dems nomination.

    Obama has narrowed the lead behind Hillary by 11 pts in New Hampshire because he has spent tons of money in ads in NH more than Hillary and other dems candidates. He goes for broke in NH (and in Iowa), as Romney has done. Obama have been running ads statewide in New Hampshire and in the expensive Boston-media market. Obama is spending more than $300,000 a week for his spots. In New Hampshire primary ads so far, Obama has spent more than $1.5 million, while Hillary has spent much less.

    Meanwhile, Hillary’s leads in other states are going strong, and she still leads over Obama by 23 pts across the nation, which means that Obama will be swept away by Hillary after NH or Iowa.

    November 11, 2007 03:22 pm at 3:22 pm |
  4. Mike, Sacramento CA

    I beg of every god worshipped by every civilized man and savage, will somebody, anybody, please beat this insipid woman.
    Posted By Anonymoust, Somewhere, MI : November 11, 2007 2:45 pm

    this post cracked me up, dont worry man, obama is on the job

    November 11, 2007 03:32 pm at 3:32 pm |
  5. beth,nashua,nh

    After watching the speeches at the Democratic Fund Raiser in Iowa I am astounded to hear people say that Obama gave a great speech. Well, they must have been watching a different speech then I was. He floundered through the speech and looked as though he was trying to think of something to say. When he did say something, he spent most of his time getting in his digs against Hillary Clinton without mentioning her name. Oh the other hand, Senator Clinton gave a great speech WITHOUT running down her opponents. Some may say that Obama is a good speaker, a Mr. Nice Guy with a 100 wat smile but to me he was terrible at the Iowa fund raiser and he certainly WASN'T Mr. Nice guy. I hope that people go back and re-watch the speech he gave and just see how unprepared he was. You could not even follow his train of though. He thanked, and thanked and thanked again the audience at the beginning and they were not even applauding and he acted as if he was trying to quiet them so he could speak. It was one of the worse speeches I have seen. Wether you are a Hillary or Obama fan, if you saw and heard this speech you will have to admit that Obama was terrible and Hillary was dynamic.

    Posted By D Ward Mena, AR : November 11, 2007 1:13 pm

    All what you are trying to do is tell us to join you in supporting hillary clinton.....However, that is not gonna happen because you know what, I want fresh politics something different from what we have right now, I want Barack Obama....Wherever he goes, this guy gets astouding audience, check this one out in boston in october,

    [youtube=http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Jh66yoTIlVA&w=640&h=390]

    If you feel people were not fired up enough put your volume up!

    November 11, 2007 03:36 pm at 3:36 pm |
  6. Nancy, Tx

    Read this from Obama's MTP interview:

    MR. RUSSERT: You were not in the Senate in October of 2002. You did give a speech opposing the war. But Senator Clinton’s campaign will say since you’ve been a senator there’s been no difference in your record. And other critics will say that you’ve not been a leader against the war, and they point to this: In July of ‘04, Barack Obama, “I’m not privy to Senate intelligence reports. What would I have done? I don’t know,” in terms of how you would have voted on the war. And then this: “There’s not much of a difference between my position on Iraq and George Bush’s position at this stage.” That was July of ‘04. And this: “I think” there’s “some room for disagreement in that initial decision to vote for authorization of the war.” It doesn’t seem that you are firmly wedded against the war, and that you left some wiggle room that, if you had been in the Senate, you may have voted for it.

    SEN. OBAMA: Now, Tim, that first quote was made with an interview with a guy named Tim Russert on MEET THE PRESS during the convention when we had a nominee for the presidency and a vice president, both of whom had voted for the war. And so it, it probably was the wrong time for me to be making a strong case against our party’s nominees’ decisions when it came to Iraq.

    Wonders who is pandering here. Anyone who can help me understand?

    November 11, 2007 03:39 pm at 3:39 pm |
  7. Sean, Detroit, MI

    Go Obama! I have always been turned off by politics and though I have voted consistently, I have never really trusted or supported a candidate like this. He is a remarkable, honest, uncorrupt person, and we NEED him to lead this country. Lack of experience? We've seen where "experienced" people have led us (Bush, Cheney). Is America "ready" for a black president? ABSOLUTELY.

    As someone said previously, Obama is the American Dream. An intelligent, hard working person coming out of nowhere to achieve great success because of the qualities of their character, not who their father or spouse is. A Bush/Clinton/Bush/Clinton 20+ year American monarchy is not what we need.

    November 11, 2007 03:47 pm at 3:47 pm |
  8. fair,washington,dc

    Barack Obama can win the Primary election ..he mght win the general election...that still won't change the fact he's not best candidate for the job. I did watch the Meet the Press interview this morning...and it was clear why Obama didn't emphasize his difference with Hillary Clinton before he did because there is no difference..when Tim Russert made him get off of the I'm gonna unite Republicans and Democrats and everybodys gonna sit at the table and sing kumbaya fairytale that he preaches and asked him what he's gonna do if they still can't come to an agreement his answers were so simnilar to Hillary's that I thought I was listening to HIllary. His views on all the topics that were bought up were pretty much dentical to Hillary's and as much as he tried to make some distintion Tim Russert pushed the issue and in the end he didn't have any. The best he could come up with was on Iran, he would get troops out of Iraq , and leave a contigent there to protect our embassys, interest, etc(like Hillary) but his difference is Hillary said she would leave them just in case there were issues with Iran or other terrorist and he wouldn't leave any for that purpose..so a numbers game.I will vote for Obama if he is the dem candidate and hope he wins, but I am not just interested in getting a Dem in the whitehouse I want a Dem thats gonna be able to handle the job and Hillary with the backing of Bill is more appealing to me then Obama with the feel good speeches and the unknown of who he's gonna have backing him up and yes his experience issue does matter and if he wins the nomination the Republicans are gonna pound on it heavy and we can only hope it doesn't resonate with voters.

    November 11, 2007 03:49 pm at 3:49 pm |
  9. Daniel, NY

    A SECOND poll was just released this afternoon, and confirms the findings of the Marist polls: Clinton slides here too, while Romney expands his lead... and Thompson is near dead. Check out the full numbers here.

    November 11, 2007 04:04 pm at 4:04 pm |
  10. Adrenalyn, Liberalia, formerly known as California

    where is the news item on Hillary using people to toss planned questions to her ?

    this is all over the fair to right leaning websites but nothing here at the Clinton News Network
    gee, and you wonder why America calls CNN the mistrusted name in news

    November 11, 2007 04:08 pm at 4:08 pm |
  11. Eugene Anaheim California

    To in arizona What???Clintons left the whitehouse with disgrace,No left America a better place than the loser bush 41 had made our country strong economy,strong dollar and plenty of oppotunities and David in Birmingham Al No u the loser that why you live in Alabama

    November 11, 2007 04:28 pm at 4:28 pm |
  12. jennifer laforce oakland, ca

    Obama's a master in negotiation and mediation. This has been a lost art in the Bush Administration with incredibly negative reverberations throughout the world. Obama is the person to lead America in this period of extreme polarization. He is a man we can be proud to present to the world as our figurehead and he can help nurse the wounds currently inflicted on ourselves and others for the last 8 years. I'd vote for him under any party banner.

    J

    November 11, 2007 04:31 pm at 4:31 pm |
  13. Nancy, Tx

    I wish CNN is impartial and not biased. But my posts, which are just informative for people to know where there candidates stand, are being blocked :-( Anyway, as an American citizen, I will keep trying.

    Read this interview of Obama:

    MR. RUSSERT: And we’re back in Des Moines, Iowa, with Democratic presidential candidate Barack Obama.

    Last night at the dinner you said we shouldn’t be—tell people what they want to hear, but what they should hear.

    SEN. OBAMA: Right.

    MR. RUSSERT: You’ve been talking a lot about lobbyists and money in politics. This is The Boston Globe in August: in eight—“Obama’s eight years in the Illinois Senate, from 1996 to 2004, almost two-thirds of the money he raised for his campaigns came from” political action committees, “corporate contributions,” “unions, according to Illinois Board of Elections records. He tapped financial service firms, real estate developers, healthcare providers, oil companies, and many other corporate interests, the records show.” You now talk about, “Well, I’m not taking any money from lobbyists.” You do take money from state lobbyists. You took $1.5 million from federal lobbying—employees who work for federal lobbying firms. There seems to be a real inconsistency between the amount of money you raise and where it’s coming from, and your rhetoric.

    SEN. OBAMA: Well, Tim, look, I, I have said repeatedly that money is the original sin in politics and I am not sinless. I have raised money in order to bankroll my campaigns.

    -
    Any intelligent citizen would like to share their thoughts?

    November 11, 2007 04:35 pm at 4:35 pm |
  14. Tavao New York NY

    Something like Global Warming ??

    November 11, 2007 04:50 pm at 4:50 pm |
  15. Rodney Dallas, TX

    The only true reliable poll will be the one we all participate in next year. If you call 400 people today and call another 400 tomorrow, the numbers will always be different. Look at the comments on here. Half love Hillary, the other half love Obama. It clear that we all have different opinions so why even look at the polls. Just concentrate on the candidates and make your decision next year. On a side note, only 435 more days of Bush being in office.

    November 11, 2007 04:53 pm at 4:53 pm |
  16. Julie Overvig Medord,Oregon

    Democrats need to get a candidate that can get the Independent voter and the moderate Republican voter to cross over. Reagan did this back in the 80's he was able to get the Independent and Moderate Democrats to cross over to win a landslide to the White House. The only candidate that has a track record of working with both parties and getting things done is Joe Biden. Joe Biden's strong foreign policy background is unbeatable during debates.Biden has a son who will be heading off to war soon which no other candidate has.Biden has an actual plan to get out of this war which I don't see from any other candidate. Some Democrats are even saying they like Hillary Clinton because the Republicans hate her, it's shortsighted, if she some how gets to the White House the Republicans won't want to work with her. Everyone knows to get anything done in Washington you have to have some Republicans come to the table or you won't have the votes to pass anything. Obama needs to get more experience but being Vice President to Biden would give him the experience to be elected in 2016.

    November 11, 2007 05:18 pm at 5:18 pm |
  17. Captain-Sky

    A Man Who Just Happens On The Scene Out Of Nowhere,And A Once Professed Muslim,And Now Claims He's A Closet Christian Scares The Hell Out Of Me,Not Only Do Who In Hiding That He Has In Mind To Be His VP If He Wins And That's A Big IF,What He's Going To Do He's Already Showed That He's Unpatriotic,First By Not Wearing The Shoulder Lapel,And Then By Not Saluting The US Flag.He Has Constantly Showed That He Don't Know What The Hell To Say Or Do At Times,But Let Me Clarify This,He Doesn't Have His Flunkies Around To Answer His Questions For Him He Were Totally Lost This Morning But What The Hell,He Gives Good Speeches,He Draws Large Crowds,He Has Charisma,I Just Love Him To Death,My Guess Is By The Time The Election Gets Here,All Of You Adolescents Will Be In The MAN CAVE,Sewing Wholes All Over Your Faces And Smoking Mariujuana,My Guess Is The Election Will Bypass Most If Not All Of You That Post That S–T On Here About Obama,Being Honest,Even Though He's Already Told Two LIES That I'am Aware Of The First Were The Campaign Of The Audaucity Of Hope Which We All Know Now Were A Lie,He Were The Only Who Did Not Vote For The War,Well We Know Why He Did Not Vote For The War He Didn't Have A Vote And When Election Time Rolls Around Here Niether Will Any Of You,Basement Computer Junkies.(Have A Nice Day)

    November 11, 2007 05:28 pm at 5:28 pm |
  18. Miriam,Manchester,NH

    A Man Who Just Happens On The Scene Out Of Nowhere,And A Once Professed Muslim,And Now Claims He's A Closet Christian Scares The Hell Out Of Me,Not Only Do Who In Hiding That He Has In Mind To Be His VP If He Wins And That's A Big IF,What He's Going To Do He's Already Showed That He's Unpatriotic,First By Not Wearing The Shoulder Lapel,And Then By Not Saluting The US Flag.He Has Constantly Showed That He Don't Know What The Hell To Say Or Do At Times,But Let Me Clarify This,He Doesn't Have His Flunkies Around To Answer His Questions For Him He Were Totally Lost This Morning But What The Hell,He Gives Good Speeches,He Draws Large Crowds,He Has Charisma,I Just Love Him To Death,My Guess Is By The Time The Election Gets Here,All Of You Adolescents Will Be In The MAN CAVE,Sewing Wholes All Over Your Faces And Smoking Mariujuana,My Guess Is The Election Will Bypass Most If Not All Of You That Post That S–T On Here About Obama,Being Honest,Even Though He's Already Told Two LIES That I'am Aware Of The First Were The Campaign Of The Audaucity Of Hope Which We All Know Now Were A Lie,He Were The Only Who Did Not Vote For The War,Well We Know Why He Did Not Vote For The War He Didn't Have A Vote And When Election Time Rolls Around Here Niether Will Any Of You,Basement Computer Junkies.(Have A Nice Day)

    Posted By Captain-Sky : November 11, 2007 5:28 pm

    You are nothing but another Muslim from the cave with Osama....You need to start realizing that all what Cnn have been funning around is polls and Clinton news networking for her....Now things are changing and you might as well change your attitude because that moment you will see her either scream(like dean) or holding Obama hand telling us to join her to throw the support behind him, you will just coil your behind and go back to your cave,
    Say hi to bin laden down there,
    Cave men!
    Obama O8! :)

    November 11, 2007 05:40 pm at 5:40 pm |
  19. fair,washington,dc

    Just have to say Obama is running his campaign on this whole master mediator bipartisan lick..the Democrats control the House and the Senate and hopefully will retain both in the next election..my point is he's running his campaign on an issue thats not even pertinent right now. Yes there is a need for bipartisanship, but with the current state of affairs and as a Dem hoping it stays the same in the House and Senate it only resonates cause it works well with his good speeches that he obviously can give.

    November 11, 2007 05:51 pm at 5:51 pm |
  20. ano to

    Hillary will have a break down before the end she's not strong enough to make it thru another year on the campaign trail.She already is looking bad! Not that she would ever get my vote or enough votes for that matter to even take the Pres.seat.
    What a waist of time!

    November 11, 2007 05:51 pm at 5:51 pm |
  21. james,boston,mass

    wish CNN is impartial and not biased. But my posts, which are just informative for people to know where there candidates stand, are being blocked Anyway, as an American citizen, I will keep trying.

    Read this interview of Obama:

    MR. RUSSERT: And we’re back in Des Moines, Iowa, with Democratic presidential candidate Barack Obama.

    Last night at the dinner you said we shouldn’t be—tell people what they want to hear, but what they should hear.

    SEN. OBAMA: Right.

    MR. RUSSERT: You’ve been talking a lot about lobbyists and money in politics. This is The Boston Globe in August: in eight—“Obama’s eight years in the Illinois Senate, from 1996 to 2004, almost two-thirds of the money he raised for his campaigns came from” political action committees, “corporate contributions,” “unions, according to Illinois Board of Elections records. He tapped financial service firms, real estate developers, healthcare providers, oil companies, and many other corporate interests, the records show.” You now talk about, “Well, I’m not taking any money from lobbyists.” You do take money from state lobbyists. You took $1.5 million from federal lobbying—employees who work for federal lobbying firms. There seems to be a real inconsistency between the amount of money you raise and where it’s coming from, and your rhetoric.

    SEN. OBAMA: Well, Tim, look, I, I have said repeatedly that money is the original sin in politics and I am not sinless. I have raised money in order to bankroll my campaigns.


    Any intelligent citizen would like to share their thoughts?

    Posted By Nancy, Tx : November 11, 2007 4:35 pm

    Nancy, while you are entitled for your comments, Please stop editing for us because, Myself I watch meet the press every sunday morning here in massachusetts...From the interview, Obama admitted having gotten donation from that developer and having business with him privately as citizens to buy a piece of land...However, Afer and I repeat After this guy got into trouble, He distanced himself with him.....
    When you look at clintons, Chu who was a lobbyist for clintons decieved people and conned millions from them. He has been clintons best friend and had a warrant of arrest. Clintons continued lobbying him till the FBI started looking for him...You see the difference...Try put your facts straight also just know we are American citizens who watch these interviews and make our own conclusions....

    November 11, 2007 05:54 pm at 5:54 pm |
  22. Chris, Middletown, CT

    And in CT – my homestate – we are no longer considered a "lock" blue state!! finally – my state is thinking...!!! Giuliani will win the election – he is the only moderate running....links the country being socially liberal and fiscally conservative...the only thing the left has to toss at him is his divorces...and relationship with his children...(don't take marital or child rearing advice from the president....enough said!!)

    November 11, 2007 06:10 pm at 6:10 pm |
  23. sonya, atlanta, ga

    Obama was never a muslims you bigot. His grandfather was a muslim. He father was raised a muslim but became agnosostic, as well as his mother. Obama became a christian and regulary attends church.

    And by the way, who better to beat terrorist who are mostly muslims than a person who has spent time in that part of the world and knows how they think and what they believe in. In dreams of my father, Barack talks about living in Indonesia and how his stepfather was forced into the military. He talked about how people see their lives as have no will of their own, like feathers in the wind being tossed here and there due to their circumstances. Barack contrasted it with how Americans feel that they can stake a claim to their lives and independently will their desires into reality. Muslims terrorists and Americans have a total different way of viewing the world. And just like in the art of war, you need to understand your enemy before you can defeat them.

    November 11, 2007 06:20 pm at 6:20 pm |
  24. Olivia - San Antonio - Texas

    CLINTON 2008. She will bring back all that we have lost! Clinton is the best. The best and most experienced.

    November 11, 2007 06:30 pm at 6:30 pm |
  25. Lee, Los Angeles, CA

    I think it is really great that Hillary Clinton is the front runner and is winning the polls and its just sad that people have negative remarks about her. People say she is corrupt when so many people disagree. This is because nobody is corrupt and her intentions are to help the american people so I have no idea where they would come up with these things saying she is corrupt and such. She also isn't the one corrupt but Senator Obama is because he says he can do all this stuff for the nation but he can never guarantee anything because he doesn't know anything about the presidency and who would be the best candidate and the real person telling the truth about how the campaign is going to be... it will be Hilary Clinton. She is an inspiration to all of us and I know she is the best for presidency. Also you have to check the dictionary for the defintion of corrupt because it means to make worse and hillary clinton isn't doing such things. There isn't one thing corrupt she is doing or one thing she is corrupt about her. With her experience she can make our economy and the war all better... unlike unexperienced Senator Obama who don't know what the definition of corrupt is and how he keeps attacking Hillary Clinton when Hillary Clinton doesn't attack him back. Only people afraid of losing and jealous are always the one attacking people, he is jealous of Hillary's popularity and superiority. And I think he should talk more about his campaign and not just talk trash and lies about hillary clinton. Hillary Clinton is the best candidate for all the presidency and thus she should win. I support Hillary Clinton... Hillary Clinton 08'

    November 11, 2007 07:09 pm at 7:09 pm |
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