November 12th, 2007
09:30 AM ET
11 years ago

Poll: Clinton lead over Obama shrinking

Clinton's lead over Obama in New Hampshire has grown tighter according to the latest poll.

(CNN)–Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton has seen her lead over fellow White House hopeful, Senator Barack Obama, D-Illinois, grow tighter.

In the latest poll of likely New Hampshire Democratic primary voters from the Marist College Institute for Public Opinion, the New York senator had 36 percent support, to Obama's 25 percent. Last month, Clinton led Obama by 21 percentage points according to Marist.

In the latest poll, former North Carolina senator John Edwards had 14 percent support, and New Mexico Governor Bill Richardson, had 6 percent.

On the Republican side, former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney's support over his closest rival, former New York mayor Rudy Giuliani grew as well.

In a poll of likely New Hampshire Republican primary voters in October, Romney had a 6 percentage point lead. That number has increased to 11 percent according to Marist's latest poll.

In the latest poll, Romney got 33 percent support, to Giuliani's 22 percent. Senator John McCain, R-Arizona, had 13 percent support in the latest poll, with Rep. Ron Paul, R-Texas, and former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee both registering 7 percent support. Former Tennessee senator Fred Thompson had 5 percent support in the latest poll.

The poll involved telephone telephone interviews conducted November 2-6, with 458 likely Democratic voters and 372 likely Republican voters in New Hampshire. The margins of sampling error were 5 percentage points for Democrats, and 5.5 points for Republicans.

A poll released by the Boston Globe on Sunday, also showed both Clinton and Romney leading the latest poll of likely New Hampshire voters.

In a poll of likely Granite state Democratic primary voters, Clinton registered the support of 35 percent of those polled, to Obama's 21 percent. John Edwards was third with 15 percent support, and Richardson was fourth with 10 percent.

On the GOP side, Romney led Giuliani 32 percent to 20 percent, with McCain in third at 17 percent. Huckabee came in fourth with 5 percent support, and Thompson came in fifth with 3 percent support.

The Globe surveyed 400 likely Democratic voters, and 404 likely Republican voters in New Hampshire between November 2 to November 7. The Globe said it had a margin of error for each party sub-sample of plus or minus 4.9 percent.

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- CNN Political Desk Editor Jamie Crawford

soundoff (143 Responses)
  1. Greg , Meadville, PA

    George W. has held NOTHING BUT FAKE NEWS conferences. And we're supposed to worry about one question to Hillary being staged?!!! If she's such a loser, what does that make all the G.O.P'ers that she's beating?
    (also: when's W going to jump out of a plane?...WITHOUT a parachute!!!

    November 11, 2007 07:12 pm at 7:12 pm |
  2. Chris, Norwalk, CT

    Tell me that Hillary wouldn't at least be better than the clown we have right now, who can neither juggle nor ride a bicycle, let alone a unicycle...

    November 11, 2007 07:54 pm at 7:54 pm |
  3. bymyside, Long Beach, CA

    Obama's speech last night was absolutely incredible. It was also inspiring to see that his supporters embody his message. This man can unite men and women from all ages, cultures, races, political parties, and backgrounds.

    He makes me proud to be an American.

    The world will be a better and safer place when he is President

    OBAMA '08

    November 11, 2007 08:05 pm at 8:05 pm |
  4. Rex, Houghton, Michigan

    Everyone keeps talking about polls being close. When we get the spoiler (Edwards) out of the race then we’ll see Obama’s lead jump 25 points.

    November 11, 2007 08:46 pm at 8:46 pm |
  5. Nick, Eden Praire MN

    George W. has held NOTHING BUT FAKE NEWS conferences. And we're supposed to worry about one question to Hillary being staged?!!!
    Posted By Greg , Meadville, PA : November 11, 2007 7:12 pm

    But Greg, THAT'S EXACTLY THE POINT! Lots of people see her as just the democrat version of Bush. Voting for her will end up with us getting the same garage right now. Voting for Hillary is the same as voting for 4 more years of Bush politics! Why would anyone want that?

    November 11, 2007 08:56 pm at 8:56 pm |
  6. Adam, Cincinnati Ohio

    Why is it that this story is "filed under" Barack Obama, Bill Richardson, Fred Thompson, Hillary Clinton, John Edwards, John McCain, Mike Huckabee, Mitt Romney, New Hampshire, Race to '08
    ... and not Ron Paul? He's leading some of those named in polls.

    November 11, 2007 08:57 pm at 8:57 pm |
  7. Karen,ny

    Hillary is a rag doll who lets men walk all over her and doesn't do anything about it because she is to busy trying to get what she wants. I can't stand her and I hope she loses. I don't care if this comment gets taken off either because this is how I feel.

    November 11, 2007 09:31 pm at 9:31 pm |
  8. Patti, Mandan, ND

    I fully support Hillary and her efforts, America really needs her right now. Hillary 2008!!!!!!!!!

    November 11, 2007 09:36 pm at 9:36 pm |
  9. Mark Columbus, Ohio

    Seriously, I think Obama has a point. As a Republican, I know that we will lose if Edwards or Obama got the nod from the Dems. People are tired of Bush and will vote for a change. But if Hillary gets the nod, us Republicans have a good shot in getting our own guy in.

    November 11, 2007 09:49 pm at 9:49 pm |
  10. lee, syracuse, NY

    Bigger news item:

    Clinton's leads over Obama are WIDENING in South Carolina, North Carolina, Nevada, Florida, Maryland, Michigan, New Jersey, PA, OH, NY, CA,.....

    November 11, 2007 09:50 pm at 9:50 pm |
  11. Karen,ny

    Obama will make a great president.

    November 11, 2007 09:56 pm at 9:56 pm |
  12. Karen,ny

    Hillary will make a great president.

    November 11, 2007 09:58 pm at 9:58 pm |
  13. laurinda,ny

    Either on of these candidates would make a great president.

    November 11, 2007 10:00 pm at 10:00 pm |
  14. Karen,ny

    I have had enough of your bs, go ahead and quit because like I said before you don't know what you are doing. I am still furious about this hugh stunt you pulled and I have to go around checking on people to see if they are real. Eileen you came out of nowhere too and your house looked empty and Ann I bet you are one to. As far as all your 'words', what is wrong with you. How dare you get mad at me when you started it. Linda was wierd also and so was Annie and Chris. The whole town is like the Steppard Wives.

    November 11, 2007 10:12 pm at 10:12 pm |
  15. Ron Paul fan, Fulerrton, CA

    If this shrinking continues, Rudy will be the president, Saudi Arabia will be wiped out. Good, Hey Obama continue to attack Hillary, the more you attack her the more the path becomes wider and easier for Rudy

    You dumb democrats, you never learn. Though Bush was dumb he won because Kerry and Edward were the dumber and now Obama is even dumbest.
    Congratulations Rudy the smartest President who got easily elected.

    November 11, 2007 11:16 pm at 11:16 pm |
  16. Dan, TX

    Posted By fair,washington,dc : November 11, 2007 3:49 pm

    You said Hillary and Obama are similar, but you'd vote for Hillary because she'd have Bill's advice.

    SO, you think Bill Clinton wouldn't give advice to Obama if he asked for it?????

    FAIR, you aren't fair. I don't want a third term for Bill Clinton. And Hillary isn't as good as Bill.

    Hillary is Bush league. Obama has all the experience needed to do the job on DAY 1.

    November 11, 2007 11:25 pm at 11:25 pm |
  17. John NY

    did Karen post an email? now I want to know what it is about. Who cares about this story. Clinton will be a memory in a couple of months.

    November 12, 2007 12:21 am at 12:21 am |
  18. Trollmaster, CA

    Didn't this article say Ron Paul is tied with Huckabee in the polls with 5 to 7% earlier? They changed it.

    Once again the media is doing a horrible job.

    November 12, 2007 12:22 am at 12:22 am |
  19. YEP

    He better watch it,she's biting her tounge back she'll mop up the floor on him she way more Talented and smarter than you....she is well ahead and im not not voting for someone who hasn't lived in the USA all of his way in heck.
    yeah he'll opt us alright right in to the ground....GO Hillary GO !!! shut this man up hes false as a need to really read into his speeches.its rethoric.and corrupt.and little bankrupt USA.

    November 12, 2007 12:30 am at 12:30 am |
  20. Sara, Ames, IA

    Anyone who thinks Hillary will make a great President, hasn't been paying attention to the mood and stalemate in Washington these past 15 years. Hillary in the WH will be a disfunctional disaster. Wise up people!

    November 12, 2007 07:52 am at 7:52 am |
  21. Brian, Boston, MA

    "CLINTON 2008. She will bring back all that we have lost! Clinton is the best. The best and most experienced."


    OMG. This comment looks more like a prompt from a "straight man". It is so riddled with delusion, I don't know where to start. Let me just say, God help us, the American electorate will doom us all. We aren't learning from our past mistakes. Hillary is symbolic of all that is wrong with Washington...and, on the matter of experience, WHAT? Please people, if you make a statement so bold, back it up. But, I guess we are ALL waiting to hear Hillary explain herself when she self-proclaims her overwhelming experience.

    November 12, 2007 08:19 am at 8:19 am |
  22. dineen, wilmington nc

    go Obama !!

    November 12, 2007 09:43 am at 9:43 am |
  23. Rodney Dallas TX

    sonya, atlanta, ga

    Actually, you are wrong Sonya. Obama was raised Muslim and attended a muslim school in Phillipines or whatever country he was raised in. His mother is atheist but he was raised as a Muslim. He only "became" a Christian when he ran for the Illinois Senate. Even then, he swore in on the Kuran and NOT the Bible. You might want to check your story before you start calling people a bigot.

    November 12, 2007 09:44 am at 9:44 am |
  24. alan St Louis MO


    The RADICAL right and RADICAL left pick the runners. But at least the radical right is smart enuf to pick a runner that the swing voters can back.

    Im fed up with the REPUBLICANS screw ups. But im not gona replace ONE SCREW UP WITH ANOTHER SCREW UP "CLINTON" Might as well stay republican.

    You got my VOTE Biden, OBAMA, Edwards. But a Clinton Im going to vote REPUBLICAN.


    1 Clinton VOTED for Bush Iraq WAR
    2 Clinton VOTED for Bush future IRAN war
    3 Clinton VOTED for most of BUSH policy.

    4 I think Clinton should be running as a REPUBLICAN then as a DEMOCRAT. Clinton is more REPUBLICAN then any other DEMOCRAT runner. Except republican runners will take a stance on issues vs HILLARY. LOL I think Hillary is more REPUBLICAN then the REPUBLICAN FRONT RUNNER GHOULINIA.


    It is the SWING VOTERS that pushes the RADICAL RIGHT OR LEFT to win the GENERAL ELECTIONS.


    If Clinton wins the primaries. You will see her chances fall to the 35% which makes up the hard left.

    November 12, 2007 10:04 am at 10:04 am |
  25. Kyu Reisch, Radcliff, Kentucky

    fair, Washington dc, You couldn't decide your own mind? I think you are dreaming to use Obama for the Republican's victory? It is a kind of cunning plan but it won't happen.
    You watched meet the press on Sunday, why don't you mention how awfull person Obama is, he got the money from lobby and bought the land from a lawbreaker, he refused to answer about his political record then attacked Hillary all the time? It was very stupid answer "I don't have record and schedule, IL State kept the record, don't you think he made a fool of you?
    You should vote the most qualified person to White House you like that candidate or not, for our Country and for your next generation.

    November 12, 2007 10:12 am at 10:12 am |
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