November 12th, 2007
09:30 AM ET
7 years ago

Poll: Clinton lead over Obama shrinking

Clinton's lead over Obama in New Hampshire has grown tighter according to the latest poll.

(CNN)–Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton has seen her lead over fellow White House hopeful, Senator Barack Obama, D-Illinois, grow tighter.

In the latest poll of likely New Hampshire Democratic primary voters from the Marist College Institute for Public Opinion, the New York senator had 36 percent support, to Obama's 25 percent. Last month, Clinton led Obama by 21 percentage points according to Marist.

In the latest poll, former North Carolina senator John Edwards had 14 percent support, and New Mexico Governor Bill Richardson, had 6 percent.

On the Republican side, former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney's support over his closest rival, former New York mayor Rudy Giuliani grew as well.

In a poll of likely New Hampshire Republican primary voters in October, Romney had a 6 percentage point lead. That number has increased to 11 percent according to Marist's latest poll.

In the latest poll, Romney got 33 percent support, to Giuliani's 22 percent. Senator John McCain, R-Arizona, had 13 percent support in the latest poll, with Rep. Ron Paul, R-Texas, and former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee both registering 7 percent support. Former Tennessee senator Fred Thompson had 5 percent support in the latest poll.

The poll involved telephone telephone interviews conducted November 2-6, with 458 likely Democratic voters and 372 likely Republican voters in New Hampshire. The margins of sampling error were 5 percentage points for Democrats, and 5.5 points for Republicans.

A poll released by the Boston Globe on Sunday, also showed both Clinton and Romney leading the latest poll of likely New Hampshire voters.

In a poll of likely Granite state Democratic primary voters, Clinton registered the support of 35 percent of those polled, to Obama's 21 percent. John Edwards was third with 15 percent support, and Richardson was fourth with 10 percent.

On the GOP side, Romney led Giuliani 32 percent to 20 percent, with McCain in third at 17 percent. Huckabee came in fourth with 5 percent support, and Thompson came in fifth with 3 percent support.

The Globe surveyed 400 likely Democratic voters, and 404 likely Republican voters in New Hampshire between November 2 to November 7. The Globe said it had a margin of error for each party sub-sample of plus or minus 4.9 percent.

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– CNN Political Desk Editor Jamie Crawford

soundoff (143 Responses)
  1. Ed,Ellenville,New York

    Good job Chris,Middleton, Rudy will be a good fall guy for us. Romney will work too. Keep working for a social liberal and everybody will be happy. Lieberman is a neo-nazi though,I wouldn't push him if I were you. I'd tell you whom I support but then you'd know our gameplan. Keep in mind that all positions on issues are fluid until after primaries. They're all flip-floppers until then. That tin-foil hat doesn't lend you much creedence. Chuck it and use brains instead. Let's make this race an american one.

    November 12, 2007 10:30 am at 10:30 am |
  2. Ron, TX

    The Clinton-Machine is crumbling!

    A name change isn't enough! We need REAL CHANGE in the WhiteHouse!

    Obama' 08!

    November 12, 2007 10:46 am at 10:46 am |
  3. Bridgette Theller Mesquite Tx

    It is time to make a change. Hillary need to win and i know that she will do what is right.

    November 12, 2007 10:53 am at 10:53 am |
  4. Sarah, San Diego, CA

    What's frustrating to me is that people aren't voting for Hillary Clinton – they're voting either for
    a "woman in the White House" or "Bill Clinton's wife!" It's rare for the Hillary supporter to actually be informed. If I had to vote Democrat, I'd probably go for Edwards.

    On the Republican side of things, how refreshing to see Paul getting more polling percentage! I think the people who call Paul "crazy" don't understand what he's saying. When the guy says, "eliminate the Department of Education" he's saying, "let's get rid of this department that sucks up a lot of money and yields no results." As a country, we have one of the poorest education systems in the world. The guy sounds extreme, but he's really just smart.

    November 12, 2007 11:07 am at 11:07 am |
  5. laurinda ny

    you GO boy !

    November 12, 2007 11:17 am at 11:17 am |
  6. Robert Cadalso NYC, NY

    Watch Clinton fly to the nomination!

    Hillary will be our next president.

    November 12, 2007 11:20 am at 11:20 am |
  7. kit, SC

    Both of them shouldn't win. But the reason for Hillary having a lead is because CNN reports the stories it wants you to read and posts the posts that don't harm the candidate whoever has told them to front. I haven't seen a single candidate on either side that talks about things we really care about. Oh and don't even think about mentioning SCHIP. To me that is asking me to take care of the child you BROUGHT into this world. You should take care of them. If you can't then you should give them to someone that WILL take care of them properly. Don't go begging for help on something you should have been prepared for. Now a universal healthcare for ALL PEOPLE is a different story. I'd be all for that. But for just the poor, or the children or whatever else you can beg others for. No I call that not taking care of yourselves and the people you are responsible for. I didn't bring any children into this world, why should I pay for someone elses child?

    November 12, 2007 11:43 am at 11:43 am |
  8. Robert, Bethesda, MD

    As voters learn more, the early big leads are fading. Watch the candidates that are now rising, like Obama and Ron Paul. Voters are tired of the political establishment and want a new voice based on principle not politics.

    November 12, 2007 11:58 am at 11:58 am |
  9. Steve, New York

    Anyone who thinks it’s a good idea to give Drivers Licenses to illegal immigrants does not deserve to be the President of the United States of America!

    November 12, 2007 12:07 pm at 12:07 pm |
  10. John New York, NY

    I typed in "Barack Obama" and "Hillary Clinton" into Google News yesterday...

    The consensus was clear- Barack blew away his rivals at the Iowa Jefferson-Jackson dinner with his speech and his thousands of cheering supporters.

    November 12, 2007 12:23 pm at 12:23 pm |
  11. Mark Columbus, Ohio

    Steve from NY says: "Anyone who thinks it’s a good idea to give Drivers Licenses to illegal immigrants does not deserve to be the President of the United States of America!"

    I second that. Any common sense person that sees any politician from either party that endorses giving driver licenses to illegal immigrants does not deserve to hold public office!

    WatchingHillary.com

    November 12, 2007 12:29 pm at 12:29 pm |
  12. Bea, Hoboken, NJ

    Hillary had a tough 2 weeks but she's not down for the count by far, she's still the candidate to beat.

    I have nothing against Obama, but these are very difficult times for our country and I want a president who has more than 3 years of elected national experience under his/her belt. I think that his time will come, but not in 2008.

    My vote goes to Hillary and if Bill can lend her a hand to get us out of the mess we're in, then that's just the icing on the cake.

    November 12, 2007 12:37 pm at 12:37 pm |
  13. Tom Koster Salinas, CA

    Hillary will lie (planting questions/ more than once) cheat, steal, do whatever is necessary for her to assume "her proper place" in history... look past her husband's lying, because he is the key for her to "be boss". It's disgusting. Can anyone trust her..? can any democrat, for that matter, put the country first and elect Obama? or will this be "about Bush" and vote Hillary out of spite/hatred? We are not running against Bush... please remeber that! e

    November 12, 2007 01:00 pm at 1:00 pm |
  14. Adriana Birmingham, Al

    I don't think Hillary or Obama can win a general election. Hillary because the Republican's have donized her so much people don't like her and can't even tell you why. Unfortunate because she would probabably do a good job. Obama can't win because he is young and inexperienced and people are scared of everything now. The fact that he is part African-American doesn't help. The Republicans will do the same thing to hiim that they did to Ford in Tennessee in the '06 senate election. The Republicans can't win on policy or ideas they can only win by smear but apparently that's what the American people respond to.

    November 12, 2007 01:13 pm at 1:13 pm |
  15. John Columbus Ohio

    Mark & Steve,

    Could you share the politicians name who prefer giving drivers license to illegal immigrants?

    Or you are the lying, cynical Americans who have ruined America thru deception so far?

    --
    Steve from NY says: "Anyone who thinks it’s a good idea to give Drivers Licenses to illegal immigrants does not deserve to be the President of the United States of America!"

    I second that. Any common sense person that sees any politician from either party that endorses giving driver licenses to illegal immigrants does not deserve to hold public office!

    Posted By Mark Columbus, Ohio : November 12, 2007 12:29 pm

    November 12, 2007 01:15 pm at 1:15 pm |
  16. Bewildered, Real World

    CNN Comment Policy: CNN encourages you to add a comment to this discussion. You may not post any unlawful, threatening, libelous, defamatory, obscene, pornographic or other material that would violate the law. Please note that CNN makes reasonable efforts to review all comments prior to posting

    HELLO CNN.....
    How about Rodney Dallas TX...

    What's wrong with you people!

    November 12, 2007 01:17 pm at 1:17 pm |
  17. Lance in Monrovia CA

    Obama is going to crush Clinton and crush any Republican in a general election. The more people know about Obama, the more they like him.

    The cavassing numbers are 30 percent Obama, 7 percent Clinton, 40 percent undecided. If they aren't for Clinton yet, they won't be.

    Obama 08!!!!

    November 12, 2007 01:18 pm at 1:18 pm |
  18. A. Thomas, ny, ny

    POLLS:

    OBAMA LOSES TO HILLARY IN EVERY STATE in USA (except Illinois) by averaging 23 points hehind.

    By next February, people will ask "Barrack who?"

    November 12, 2007 01:19 pm at 1:19 pm |
  19. Sophie, Baton Rouge, Louisiana

    Both candidates are worthless if you ask me.

    November 12, 2007 01:22 pm at 1:22 pm |
  20. Sean, Detroit, MI

    Bea, how many years of "elected national experience" does Hillary have?

    Being the First Lady does not qualify as elected experience, by any measure.

    November 12, 2007 01:23 pm at 1:23 pm |
  21. AJ, IL

    It's good to see the poll showing a tighter race. But again polls are statistically meaningless to me. Polls typically represent less than 0.5% of the voting population regardless of state or country. Candidate stands on current national issues is important, but ultimately American voters go on likeability, perceived trustworthliness and experience. Hillary does not have these qualities. She has come a long way in developing them but still is lacking. Hillary's popularity within Democrats stems mostly from being the wife of Bill Clinton. Obama on the other had is perceived as likeable and trustworthy. The experience issue is hard to overcome because the average American voter thinks that experience at politics is the same as experience in say, science.

    Executive leadership is game of judgement, ability to motivate others, and intelligence.

    Obama has demonstrated all three, so I say OBAMA in ' 08!

    November 12, 2007 01:38 pm at 1:38 pm |
  22. Dan, TX

    Unfortunately for Clinton, she will not win in Iowa, it will be Edwards or Obama.

    Voting for Clinton because it puts Bill back in the office is nonsense. Bill's experience is available to anyone who asks for it, not just Hillary.

    Voting for Hillary because it is time for a woman president – OK, can't argue with that.

    November 12, 2007 01:51 pm at 1:51 pm |
  23. Laura, Lexington, Kentucky

    Finally! I have been hoping my fellow Dems would wake up and see that Hillary is unelectable. I don't trust her, and if she's the Democratic candidate, I might have to consider what the Republicans are offering, much as it pains me.

    November 12, 2007 02:04 pm at 2:04 pm |
  24. Coach Haughton NH

    Steve from NY says: "Anyone who thinks it’s a good idea to give Drivers Licenses to illegal immigrants does not deserve to be the President of the United States of America!"

    I second that. Any common sense person that sees any politician from either party that endorses giving driver licenses to illegal immigrants does not deserve to hold public office!

    I dont second that at all. I understand that it's a little hard to swallow but there are 12 million illegal aliens here many of whom are going to drive. There is no way to deport them all immeadiately, so why not make our roads safe now?

    I'm sorry but that makes perfect sense.

    I'm beginning to feel like you guys are just bigots who dont like mexicans.

    BTW Barack Obama stated that very clearly and did not waffle, or try mislead the people of his viewpoint.

    November 12, 2007 02:04 pm at 2:04 pm |
  25. Mark Columbus, Ohio

    This is to the person who was to coward to put up his/her name when they tried to trash Steve and Mark. This is what they said:

    Mark & Steve,

    Could you share the politicians name who prefer giving drivers license to illegal immigrants?

    Or you are the lying, cynical Americans who have ruined America thru deception so far?

    —-
    Steve from NY says: "Anyone who thinks it’s a good idea to give Drivers Licenses to illegal immigrants does not deserve to be the President of the United States of America!"

    I second that. Any common sense person that sees any politician from either party that endorses giving driver licenses to illegal immigrants does not deserve to hold public office!

    Posted By Mark Columbus, Ohio : November 12, 2007 12:29 pm

    Posted By John Columbus Ohio : November 12, 2007 1:15 pm

    I can give you at least two politicians: Governor Spitzer of New York and SENATOR CLINTON

    WatchingHillary.com

    November 12, 2007 02:13 pm at 2:13 pm |
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