November 14th, 2007
11:04 AM ET
2 years ago

Dead heat: Clinton, Edwards, Obama tied in Iowa

A new poll shows a three-way-tie among the top Democratic candidates in Iowa.

WASHINGTON (CNN) - It's a dead heat among the top three Democratic presidential candidates in the crucial early-voting state of Iowa, according to a new CBS/New York Times poll out of the Hawkeye State Wednesday.

Less than 50 days before Iowa voters kick off the presidential primary process, Sen. Hillary Clinton, D-New York, holds a statistically insignificant 2 percentage-point lead over former North Carolina Sen. John Edwards (25 percent to 23 percent.) Illinois Sen. Barack Obama is only 1 point behind at 22 percent. New Mexico Gov. Bill Richardson registered 12 percent and the rest of the field is in single digits.

But nearly half of those backing the top candidates said they may change their mind before caucus day, an indication the final outcome of the presidential season's first caucus is extremely unpredictable.

The poll also indicates former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney continues to hold his lead over the rest of the Republican presidential field with 27 percent while dark-horse candidate and former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee places a strong second with 21 percent. Former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani comes in third with 15 percent and former Tennessee Sen. Fred Thompson stands at 9 percent. The rest of the field polled in low single digits.

Like their Democratic counterparts, close to 1 in 2 Republican caucus goers who identified supporting a candidate said their mind is not definitely made up, and 14 percent say they aren't leaning toward any particular candidate at this point in time.

The poll surveyed 1,273 likely Iowa caucus goers from November 2-11. The margin of error for the Democratic sample is 4 percentage points, while the margin of error for the Republican sample is plus or minus 5 percentage points.

– CNN Ticker Producer Alexander Mooney


Filed under: Iowa • Polls • Presidential Candidates
soundoff (111 Responses)
  1. kim portland, oregon

    there are a lot of "stupids" being thrown around by people who support bullies and criminals who are screwing this country, its people, and a lot of the rest of the world. doesn't sound too intelligent to me!

    the loser's approval rating is in the 20s and 30s for a reason people!

    November 14, 2007 11:33 am at 11:33 am |
  2. Sunny, New York

    New York Loves Obama and Edwards! Keep up the good work!

    November 14, 2007 11:34 am at 11:34 am |
  3. Tom - Dedham, Mass

    Hillarity is on the downward spiral and she has NOBODY to blame but herself.

    "Vast left-wing conpiracy, vast right-wing conpiracy, the mean "boys", mean Chris Matthews, angry Tim Russert, she's being swiftboated", people have had enough of her and Bills's lies, distortions and manipulations.

    They got away with this crap in the 90's as there were not as many venues for people to get information and yes, DISCUSS the information.

    Did ABC, NBC, CBS or PBS even give coverage to her planting questions?

    The days of one type of media mindset are OVER and we will HOPEFULLY be a better informed electorate for it.

    That may not happen as fast as the technology I would gather.

    NO MORE CLINTONS or BUSH'S EVER AGAIN.

    November 14, 2007 11:35 am at 11:35 am |
  4. john williams san diego, ca.

    i heard there is a bigger nitwit in Texas and he lives in Greenville.

    November 14, 2007 11:37 am at 11:37 am |
  5. John Smith, Austin, TX

    If Democrats really want change, vote for Edwards or Obama. Clinton is just another Bush in Democrats clothing.

    November 14, 2007 11:38 am at 11:38 am |
  6. Ivan, Chicago, Illinois

    Hillary sneezes and you CNN are all over it, there's a law suit about Fox, Giuliani, and Kerik and your nowhere to be seen or heard?
    WHAT'S UP?

    November 14, 2007 11:41 am at 11:41 am |
  7. James, Phoenix AZ

    Hey – Hillary maniacs: A.Thomas, Wynter, TheInsider, VanReuter, Tom-ABQ, etc....

    What's happening with "your girl"?? LOL... here I thought she was killing everyone but now it's a dead heat.

    Hmmm... wonder why that is??

    November 14, 2007 11:44 am at 11:44 am |
  8. Robert, Iowa City, Iowa

    I live in Iowa and this is hard to believe. Right now, Hillary has good support in my area...so does Obama. Edwards I believe is dropping because he is coming across so negatively, not to mention his latest ad which is actually a lie because he can't constitutionally take away anybody's health care as President.

    November 14, 2007 11:46 am at 11:46 am |
  9. Mike USMC 95-99

    Biden (NS Advisor or Sec of St), Dodd (Dept of Labor), & Edwards (Attny Gen) will make teriffic cabinet members in Obama's White House...

    Yet, only Richardson is using Ronny Raygun's 11th commandment...He really wants to be Sec of State...

    I hope Hillary doesn't get the general election nod; but, seriously, if you vote Repub this 2008; you have some issues...

    November 14, 2007 11:46 am at 11:46 am |
  10. Doug, New Jersey

    Those who have an evil hatrid of those who have worked harder than them and have taken full advantage of the unlimited success available in the greatest nation ever vote Democrat. These nasty, hateful, evil, dishonest libs want to take money from those who are not as lazy as they are and want to punish them for working hard. If you don't support this, then you cannot vote Democrat. Remember the truth next November, the decent, good, honest Americans who make this country great will be depending on you, thank you.

    BTW, notice that Osama's recent tape is the exact same message available on the liberal Democrat internet bible, Moveon.org. He knows his allies, don't be one of them.

    November 14, 2007 11:49 am at 11:49 am |
  11. Lloyd Carter, Davenport, IA

    As an independent, I would be happy to settle with any of the democrat. Enough of this republican stroghold on White House who sold this country to oil companies, private defense contractors, and big conglomorates. That is the reason defnce bill of 500 billion is passed and 10 billion increase on health and education gets a boot.

    November 14, 2007 11:49 am at 11:49 am |
  12. Tom, ALBUQUERQUE, NM

    This polling data is a preamble to an exciting campaign season ahead. I think the numbers bolds well for Hillary at this impasse. When one consider the negative press she has gotten the last two weeks and the beating she took during the last debate I believe she is holding up well. However she can't afford any more planted questions or dubious answers to important issues.

    November 14, 2007 11:50 am at 11:50 am |
  13. Tim, Lawrence KS

    Edwards is gonna take it. Bottom line. He's a white male, and no matter how much support we have for Hilary and Obama, the truth is we're not ready for that strong of a change. This is a landmark election, it gets the idea out there finally. But Edwards will take it. Doesn't matter if its the right or wrong thing to do.

    November 14, 2007 11:51 am at 11:51 am |
  14. Francesco, Hartford CT

    Democrat...Republican...its all the same in a two party system. In the end, we all lose anyway.

    November 14, 2007 11:53 am at 11:53 am |
  15. MacKenzie

    Sen. Hillary Clinton's campaign Monday accused John Edwards of acting like President Bush and dividing Democrats. That said, when Clinton left office, didn't his administration leave the dems DEEPLY divided? And who has been THE MOST DIVISIVE person in politics over the past decade? Interesting how none of that matters to Hill and Bill. They still want to get back into office to fill their own needs.

    November 14, 2007 11:58 am at 11:58 am |
  16. Francesco, Hartford CT

    Guns don't kill people. Chuck Norris kills People. There is no theory of evolution. Just a list of animals Chuck Norris allows to live. Chuck Norris does not sleep. He waits. The chief export of Chuck Norris is Pain. There is no chin under Chuck Norris' Beard. There is only another fist

    November 14, 2007 11:58 am at 11:58 am |
  17. John Swanson

    Um, this should probably be the top story, not what Chuck Norris thinks about politics. Honestly. Cnn has got to be the worst news outlet in America.

    November 14, 2007 11:59 am at 11:59 am |
  18. Jesse, Burnsville, MN

    From a Democrat in Minnesota, PLEASE Iowa and New Hampshire, support Obama or Edwards!!! If Hillary gets the nod, I will still support Democrats and the local and regional levels, but I will be voting third party for President.

    Our country needs a change and Hillary will not provide it!

    Edwards/Obama or Obama/Edwards '08

    November 14, 2007 11:59 am at 11:59 am |
  19. Russell NC

    Obama and Edwards are up in the polls because people are beginning to see the real side of Hillary.

    November 14, 2007 12:11 pm at 12:11 pm |
  20. Jean, Mankato MN

    "John Edwards had his chance. He needs to move over and stop trying to divide the Democratic party and let people who are "fresh" to Presidential politics have their chance in front of the voters."

    Ummm ... hello? You think Hillary is "fresh" to Presidential politics? Really????

    Personally, as a woman, I would rather be underrepresented in positions of national leadership than be represented by someone like Hillary Clinton. Seriously, girls ... wake up!! What has she achieved on her own merit??

    Barack has what it takes – integrity and honesty – qualities that are refreshing in today's two-party corrupt political system. So far, I have yet to hear of shady business deals in his past. So far, I have yet to hear of quid-pro-quo in his past. So far, I have yet to hear of him throwing his "friends" under the bus. He is intelligent and articulate, and has the people skills to bring people together.

    So far, he's got my vote! (And I was a Republican ...)

    GO BARACK!!!!!!!!

    November 14, 2007 12:13 pm at 12:13 pm |
  21. JJaynes, Waco, TX

    YaaaaaWWWWWWnnnnn....Stttttrreeeeeeccch...wake me up when you really have something newsworthy.

    November 14, 2007 12:16 pm at 12:16 pm |
  22. Bea, Hoboken, NJ

    Sen. Hillary Clinton's campaign Monday accused John Edwards of acting like President Bush and dividing Democrats. That said, when Clinton left office, didn't his administration leave the dems DEEPLY divided? And who has been THE MOST DIVISIVE person in politics over the past decade? Interesting how none of that matters to Hill and Bill. They still want to get back into office to fill their own needs.

    Posted By MacKenzie : November 14, 2007 11:58 am

    I beg to differ, despite the impeachment, Bill Clinton left office with an approval rating in the mid 60s and it has since increased to the 70s. He is the most popular ex president since Reagan.

    As a matter of fact, at the international level, the Clintons are the most popular US presidential couple since the Kennedys.

    November 14, 2007 12:19 pm at 12:19 pm |
  23. Daniel, NY

    I messed up the link above. The other Iowa poll I mentioned is listed here instead!

    November 14, 2007 12:19 pm at 12:19 pm |
  24. Evan Esteves, Boca Raton, FL

    Hillary, Edwards and Obama. What a dismal choice the democrats have.
    Posted By Mike, Houston, TX : November 14, 2007 10:57 am

    Coming from a Republican this is rather ironic...Mitt "The Twit", Rudy Fooliani, John "Bushie" McCain?

    I'll take the dems any day of the week

    November 14, 2007 12:35 pm at 12:35 pm |
  25. ronnie - knoxville, tn.

    Sory, but John Edwards' expression is one of disinterest, haughtiness and arrogance. His demeanor is also elitist, even tho he wears jeans to counter that impression .

    November 14, 2007 12:35 pm at 12:35 pm |
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