November 20, 2007
Posted: November 20th, 2007 09:15 AM ET

WASHINGTON (CNN) - Less than two months before Iowans cast the first votes of the 2008 election cycle, the Democratic race in the Hawkeye State is still a toss up, according to a new Washington Post-ABC News Poll released Monday.

Sen. Barack Obama, D-Illinois, is in the lead with 30 percent support from likely Iowa voters, followed closely by Sen. Hillary Clinton, D-New York, who earned 26 percent. Former North Carolina Sen. John Edwards got 22 percent and New Mexico Gov. Bill Richardson earned 11 percent.

Clinton, the national frontrunner, has seen her lead drop on some key fronts, according to the poll. In July, 50 percent of Iowans thought she had the best experience to be president, but in the poll released Monday, 38 percent said they thought she did. Despite that, 39 percent said they still thought she is the most electable candidate, with Obama in second in that category with 25 percent.

The Washington Post-ABC News poll was conducted from November 14-18. The poll surveyed 500 Iowans and had a margin of error of 4 percentage points.

–CNN Associate Producer Lauren Kornreich

Filed under: Barack Obama • Hillary Clinton


fred stoner------ Hinsdale NH   December 3rd, 2007 2:24 pm ET

What a HUGE pile of crap CNN is, "Obama,Clinton tied in Iowa" what kind of garbage is this. Every poll that showed Clinton ahead showed clinton ahead, now that Obamas ahead they are tied?????? no agenda here

Ed Homer   November 24th, 2007 12:00 am ET

When people started to pay a close attention, people would see Clinton's real face. She is divisive, she is calculative, and her experience was only to put up thicker mask. She introduced no major bill in Senate; she distracted Bill Clinton during White House year; and dont' ask why Vincent Foster died.

Olu, London, United Kingdom   November 21st, 2007 5:20 pm ET

CNN has appalled me with its unparalled bias towards Senator Clinton. Since when does 30% and 26% become the same number. This is very disheartening in a world where many expect examplary and unbiased reporting from arguably the most internationally widely watched news network.

Ben David Meridian, Ms.   November 21st, 2007 12:55 am ET

To run this story all day is silly. If I were the pollster for CNN I would be mad. WHY? Because the polling for CNN says something entirely different.Not once during the day did CNN show their poll and others that showed Clinton in the lead and the polls were taken within the same time period.
From the way this story ran it was like there were no other polls but the one from ABC/Washington Post.
If I were Obama I would enjoy my one day in the sun with one poll out of 10 saying I was ahead. Now I would like CNN once a new ABC/Washington Post poll comes out within 10 days and says Clinton has the lead I want the whole day covering this.

Mark, TX   November 20th, 2007 11:01 pm ET

If Obama wins the primaries in any of these states, it is a proof that America is a country of immature voters who are falling for sensational and empty words.

What team would Obama be able to improvise if elected? Presidency is not only about speeches (which doesn't mean ability to persuade people), confessions about teenage years (which doesn't mean political honesty), memories of childhood abroad (which doesn't mean foreign relations experience)and 'I won't tolerate' statements (which means just being bold not strong).

This guy is an ideologist and even worse one with socialist ideas. I am not surprised Americans don't get it, one has to know a little history and/or travel the world to read behind his lines.

Fair,Washington DC   November 20th, 2007 9:12 pm ET

At the end of the day Polls are good for the supporters of the candidates leading...I know I could go back and find comments from Obama supporters that when Hillary was ahead in the polls the polls didn't count. Vice versa for Hillary supporters. At the end of the day we'll have our answer when all the primaries are over and we pick a candidate. I hope its Hillary, but unlike the Republicans, Democrats have a good field of candidates and I won't have a problem votinng for any of them in the general election..even the guy that saw UFOs just not as enthusiastically...LOL.

Daniel, Dallas, TX   November 20th, 2007 8:33 pm ET

I can't believe it! By this logic, Clinton is tied for third in Iowa! What happened to Inevitability?

Adam, Plano, TX   November 20th, 2007 6:05 pm ET

It is really frightening to me that Iowa would even think of voting for Obama. He is running before his "time"…he is inexperienced and unseasoned.
How shrewd to behave as though he's being slimmed w/o any proof that it is coming from Hillary.
We need competency in the white house.
Obama didn't even show up to vote for the Lieberman amendment and criticizes Hillary for her vote. If you don't show up, what gives you the right to bash Hillary?
Posted By S. Alexander : November 20, 2007 10:39 am

have you seen where seasoned got us? or maybe you haven't been paying attention for the last oh, 20 years? considering Obama has more time in elected office than hillary, how exactly is he inexperienced? was john f. kennedy too inexperienced to be president? or abraham lincoln? how about george washington? was he too inexperienced?

Sophie, Dallas TX   November 20th, 2007 3:34 pm ET

WOOHOO Obama in the lead!

Why didn't you put that in the title CNN?!?

MarkieBee, SacTown, Cali.   November 20th, 2007 2:20 pm ET

"Let's not be mislead by the polls. Obama has no winning chance in the world. Clinton '08!
Posted By Hillarylover"

Yes, let's not be misled by the polls, which is Hillaryious coming from a Hillary supporter who has been crowing about the polls fro months now. Suddenly they can't be trusted huh? Of course they can't be trusted, just ask CNN and Vinod Gupta who spin the polls for Hillary every day. Despite the CLEAR lead that Obama enjoys in this ONE poll, we Obama supporters will continue to work hard on the campaign as if our candidate was still trailing by 20 points and the caucus/primary was next week. The only poll that matters (unless Karl Rove is around) is the exit poll.

J.Latz, Leavenworth, Kan.   November 20th, 2007 1:51 pm ET

The polls come and go. There are several political "lifetimes" between today's latest and the primaries.

Roger Kelly, Columbia, SC   November 20th, 2007 1:38 pm ET

Whether Obama is in lead in Iowa or Hillary pulls of in New Hampshire? Afterall, the democrats will decide who amongst is the best suitable for the presidency and who will survive in the general election. All we need is the best democrat in the White House. The polls at this early stage means nothing. Bill Clinton lost Iowa and New Hampshire and came back to win the nomination. Who knows, Joe Biden will pull off after Iowa. All we need is a non-biased debate conducted by PBS or NPR where every candidate will have a chance to explain his/her position in more than 5 minutes (not 30 sec) without personal attacks. That way voters can decide who is the most qualified and experieced candidate to go for.

RD   November 20th, 2007 1:28 pm ET

Don't be suprised to see Hillary and Osama Obama both in a loss when the real vote is taken. I have great faith in the people of Iowa. to believe they will chose someone who will be a great president. They want someone who can lead this county with dignity and stand firm in their decisions Hillary and Obama have hurt there ownselves. I'm still not sure where Hillary stands and Obama just is not experienced enough he is a great spokesman but no experience to run the state of Illinois greater yet the USA. the People of Iowa will make americans proud just trust me.

Sean, Detroit, MI   November 20th, 2007 1:17 pm ET

still can't believe this one. this news was the lead story on Drudge Report last night, in bold, red letters. CNN barely mentions it, puts it here without a picture (unlike most posts), and then mischaracterizes the facts in the headline. UNBELIEVABLE You'd expect this type of thing from FoxNews or something.
To be fair, CNN has called a Hillary 2% lead a "tie" in previous postings. However, 4%, despite margin of error, is a sizeable enough lead to be called "a lead", which is what it is described as within the article. Also, as another poster commented, if you read the full results, they are quite favorable to Obama. It's just one poll, but it is indicative of much more than a "tie"

AT, ny, ny   November 20th, 2007 1:11 pm ET

The obama supporters now suddently embrace polls while they rejected polls in the past.

In the Iowa poll, Hillary beats Obama and all other dems candidates in the following important areas:

- Electability to be the next president next november
- Worked the hardest in Iowa
- Best experience
- Strongest leader

Obama spent lots of money and made lots of promises to the Iowa people to gain their votes, while Hillary balances her interests in Iowa and in other states. Obama's gain in Iowa is at a bigger loss in polls in other states. Therefore, Obama may win the battle in Iowa, but will lose the national nomination war by the dems party to Hillary.

Dave   November 20th, 2007 1:10 pm ET

"Poll: Obama, Clinton tied in Iowa"
CNN is 30%-26% tied. Your bias is showing. My guess is they are trying to save their "girl"

Ron, New Jersey   November 20th, 2007 1:06 pm ET

Great news! Go Obama!!
The other great points of the poll were that Hillary had slipped in support among all groups of voters.
One significant example was Obama led Hillary by 1 point among women. With Women being a key part of her support the fact that she isn't leading by a lot is not good news for her.

Mustafa, UpsetCity America   November 20th, 2007 1:00 pm ET

Since when is a "deer leeping over a Highway patrol car" more important than the future of this country? What's playing out in Iowa should be front page, not buried in your stinking "sticker".4 points? that is a lead...you know what, I am moving my business to MSNBC.COM...now take that!
Your reporting is is truly alarming CNN!!! This is disgusting!

MD, Bethesda   November 20th, 2007 12:50 pm ET

I am going somewhere else, This is absolutely ridiculouss...I have never seen such lack of honesty. 4 points!?? that is a "flippin'" LEAD!!!

Amy, FL   November 20th, 2007 12:29 pm ET

Let's hope the 30% undecided Iowans have really done their research. If so, we can all breath easy cause it will be BIDEN 08!

Crossing my fingers, cause it is going to be another bad Republican beat in the general election if anyone else gets the Dem nomination.

Hilde McNeil, Irvine, California   November 20th, 2007 12:14 pm ET

Did anyone at CNN actually read the entire poll from ABC-Washington Post? It is clear to anyone who did that either CNN did not or they chose to only report information that would diminish the impression that Obama is making significant gains in Iowa in many important areas.

I am sure that if Hillary Clinton was ahead in this most recent poll and showing growing (as opposed to declining or flat) support on most issues, the results of this poll would have been place prominently on your website instead of buried in the political ticker.

Between the last debate and your post-debate coverage, CNN has lost all credibility and people are taking notice.

Whether you are guilty of outright bias or sloppy journalism, the result is the same: election coverage that is a disservice to the voters and dangerous to our democracy.

ronnie knoxville , tn   November 20th, 2007 12:04 pm ET

are people voting based on what other people answer in polls?! are we sheep...?

Salita, SC   November 20th, 2007 11:58 am ET

They call it a tie when the spread of points is within the margin of error which in this case is 4.5. Cnn is wrong on that one. AND Cnn didnt say that 43% said they could change their minds.

John Adkisson, Sacramento, California   November 20th, 2007 11:50 am ET

The headline says Obama "tied" but the text and the poll put Obama "in the lead." Obama is experiencing serious movement just at the right time. That's the story.

T.O. Houston Texas   November 20th, 2007 11:43 am ET

Come on Clinton News Network.....shame on you. Report fairly and accurately: I'm sorry that's another network. Don't create the facts. Report them! Someone over there is doing some fuzzy math. As bad as you want Clinton to win try not to be so obvious, your viewers won't resent you.

Ike Woodbridge, VA.   November 20th, 2007 11:43 am ET

To all true Democrats out there, just remember that a vote for Obama is a wasted vote. Obama's nomination to run on the democratic ticket is a sure win for Republicans in '08. I am an African American and I know that Obama will not win a single southern state in a general election. Please, please, please don't give the Republicans another chance in the White House. Also, Iowa voters are not true representation of the the U.S. Remember that the last two Democratic Presidential cndidates that won in Iowa ended up not winning in Iowa. Hillary has a better chance to win this thing and all true Democrats should rally behind her and go for victory in '08.

Jimenez - Texas   November 20th, 2007 11:39 am ET

Obama will not take Iowa or any other state. I am beginning to wonder if the Republicans are really playing this. The United States of America isn't ready for Obama and Obama isn't ready to lead the United States.

Andrew, Washington DC   November 20th, 2007 11:31 am ET

love how he's finally gaining traction in the polls and this article is conveniently buried. CNN, please do better in being unbiased, yeah?

Rob   November 20th, 2007 11:30 am ET

This is it CNN? You can't give Obama a better headline like the rest of the media is doing? CNN you are biased and unfair!

Pete   November 20th, 2007 11:29 am ET

Talk about not wanting to draw attention to the tie (lead). When i found this story (and I went to CNN specifically to find out how they dealt with it) it was the 9th story down on the political ticker with no apparent reference anywhere else on the site. Check out the rest of the world...this is a big story for every other news outlet (not just Fox). But if you go to CNN, you have to work hard to find out that Hillary is slipping. I guess she did not only pressure Wolf Blitzer, but the whole organzition.

Bea, Hoboken, NJ   November 20th, 2007 11:22 am ET

Hillary may or may not lose in Iowa, but she's the only candidate who doesn't need to win that state to win the nomination. Furthermore, she can even afford to lose in New Hampshire. If Obama loses Iowa he can still limp along to NH, but a loss for Edwards would mean that he's out of the race since he doesn't have the money nor the votes to continue to the next round. Either way, barring any disastrous occurrence, Hillary will be the Democratic nominee going to the genereal election.

Brennan - Seattle, WA   November 20th, 2007 11:12 am ET

Tied? Nice headline Clinton News Network. And no picture is a good move also. Don't want to draw any attention to this story. Keep this Obama movement under wraps. Even if I wasn't an Obama supporter I would recognize this as biased, especially considering the headlines you have given to Clinton in the past few weeks. Completely Disappointed!!!!

Blayze Kohime, Columbus OH   November 20th, 2007 11:07 am ET

Seems that Obama is getting more popular and Hilary less. Looking from a neutral viewpoint, this could arguably be good for the democrats, as the Republicans have spent all their time bashing Hilary and not Obama.

Jim L., Irmo, SC   November 20th, 2007 11:07 am ET

Yeah, I agree with the other posters, this whole "tied" thing is pretty bad. Come on. And while I agree with the Clinton supporter that polls don't really tell us much of anything, it is still funny to see that that is not what they say when they see a poll with her in the lead.

Carl   November 20th, 2007 11:05 am ET

1. Last night at 8 pm when the buzz was Obama leading,yes leading,not "tied" in Iowa you were sitting on this important news and instead posted about 'slime politics' which earlier in the day others talked about and already moved on.

2. When you finally decide to write you make the title about being "tied" whereas when Hillary was leading by 2 points you guys wrote it as a lead opposed to a statistical tie.

3. You also ignored many weaknesses of Hillary that the poll uncovered and rather chose to write that the poll showed she is more electable.

You ignored the following facts:

Most Democratic likely voters in Iowa, 55 percent, say they're more interested in a "new direction and new ideas" than in strength and experience, compared with 49 percent in July - a help to Obama, who holds a substantial lead among "new direction" voters.

Overall, in current preferences, 30 percent in Iowa support Obama, 26 percent Clinton and 22 percent Edwards, with 11 percent for Bill Richardson...

...just 50 percent believe [Hillary Clinton's] willing enough to say what she really thinks, vs. three-quarters who say this about Obama...

Among those "new direction" voters, 43 percent prefer Obama, while just 17 percent go for Clinton - a major component of his support...

Among women, meanwhile, Clinton and Obama run about evenly...

...Obama does notably better, and Clinton less well, among independents rather than registered Democrats (35 percent of independents support Obama vs. 18 percent for Clinton).

...Similarly, Obama does better among younger Iowans, and also among those who say it'll be their first caucus (about a third of all likely caucus-goers).

I HOPE you don't censor this because if you do you guys will become the story, how you write misleading stories and how you censor when people try to correct you. In this day and age of electronic media you can't stifle people's free speech and we will write about this on every other blog.

please do the right thing.

Randy S. Lawton, OK   November 20th, 2007 11:03 am ET

Ah, Hillarylover, When your girl is way ahead in the polls they must be the gospel truth, when she's not doing so well the it's "let's not be mislead(sic) by the polls".
You're just like your girl, Hiilary, you want to have it both ways.
Time to kick back and take a long, hard, objective reality check.

DMW, Roeland Park, KS   November 20th, 2007 11:01 am ET

Iowa Democrats rarely pick the candidate that goes on to become the nominee. Even if Obama wins Iowa, Hillary will still be the nominee. Iowa is not a reflection of the entire country.

Obama is a self-righteous hypocrite...yuk!

Tere, FL   November 20th, 2007 10:43 am ET

AJ Join the Obama wagon, it is not too late to redeem yourself. You dont want to be left alone in the cold do you?

linda, OKC OK   November 20th, 2007 10:40 am ET

sweet....OBAMA 2008!!!!!

Wayne, Silver Spring, MD   November 20th, 2007 10:39 am ET

How about I give you a better title for your post: "Clinton Slips in Iowa"

but ofcourse not, the Clinton News Network wont do that to their madame.

*ahem*

PROVIDENCE, RI   November 20th, 2007 10:39 am ET

Dear Obama fans: Don't get too excited! Not so fast! 30% of Iowans are not sure whom they are going to vote for as of today, which means they do not want to tell or they do not know whom they will vote for. Please visit http://www.usaelectionpolls.com, and you will find my claim. In 2004, at this time, Howard Dean was holding the first place, while Kerry was in the 6th position. And you know the outcome. Iowa is unpredictable. Very unpredictable. It can be any of them-Biden, Hillary, Obama, Richardson...And then in 2004, Iowa went for Bush. does not Iowa support anti war candidate? Then why Bush won Iowa in 2004?

S. Alexander   November 20th, 2007 10:39 am ET

It is really frightening to me that Iowa would even think of voting for Obama. He is running before his "time"...he is inexperienced and unseasoned.
How shrewd to behave as though he's being slimmed w/o any proof that it is coming from Hillary.
We need competency in the white house.
Obama didn't even show up to vote for the Lieberman amendment and criticizes Hillary for her vote. If you don't show up, what gives you the right to bash Hillary?

Mike Dallas, TX   November 20th, 2007 10:38 am ET

I hope you don't censor this

1. Last night at 8 pm when the buzz was Obama leading,yes leading,not "tied" in Iowa you were sitting on this important news and instead posted about 'slime politics' which earlier in the day others talked about and already moved on.

2. When you finally decide to write you make the title about being "tied" whereas when Hillary was leading by 2 points you guys wrote it as a lead opposed to a statistical tie.

3. You also ignored many weaknesses of Hillary that the poll uncovered and rather chose to write that the poll showed she is more electable.

You ignored the following facts:

Most Democratic likely voters in Iowa, 55 percent, say they're more interested in a "new direction and new ideas" than in strength and experience, compared with 49 percent in July - a help to Obama, who holds a substantial lead among "new direction" voters.

Overall, in current preferences, 30 percent in Iowa support Obama, 26 percent Clinton and 22 percent Edwards, with 11 percent for Bill Richardson...

...just 50 percent believe [Hillary Clinton's] willing enough to say what she really thinks, vs. three-quarters who say this about Obama...

Among those "new direction" voters, 43 percent prefer Obama, while just 17 percent go for Clinton - a major component of his support...

Among women, meanwhile, Clinton and Obama run about evenly...

...Obama does notably better, and Clinton less well, among independents rather than registered Democrats (35 percent of independents support Obama vs. 18 percent for Clinton).

...Similarly, Obama does better among younger Iowans, and also among those who say it'll be their first caucus (about a third of all likely caucus-goers).

I HOPE you don't censor this because if you do you guys will become the story, how you write misleading stories and how you censor when people try to correct you. In this day and age of electronic media you can't stifle people's free speech and we will write about this on every other blog.

please do the right thing.

banko   November 20th, 2007 10:33 am ET

CNN OBAMA is leading. This is not a tie. Stop spinning. The handwriting is on the wall. We need real change not cosmetic change.
Run Barack, Run.

OBAMA 08

Fred, Reston   November 20th, 2007 10:32 am ET

Mark my words; when the next group of polls come out, these Obama supporters will decry the use of polls, and blame the media because THEIR candidate is an empty suit.

I am calling you out Dan from TX and therealist.

John Smith, Austin, TX   November 20th, 2007 10:29 am ET

I guess the voters of Iowa pay attention. Good, maybe they recognize that a vote for Clinton is a vote for another 4 years of Bush-style politics.

Sue in Florida   November 20th, 2007 10:08 am ET

YES.....CLINTON '08. Why do the naysayers come here to just protest CNN. Read elsewhere, the polls are basically the same. Better yet, I like the comment by AJ...empty suit housing Obama. You don't seriously want this guy, do you? That's scary.

karl, Texas   November 20th, 2007 10:07 am ET

Actually the poll means they are tied. It has a 4.5% margin of error. Further its the only poll with this result. Every other poll in Iowa who had larger sample size had Clinton ahead–but also with the margin of error. Clearly the candidates are in a tight race in Iowa.

Arshad, Newburgh, NY   November 20th, 2007 10:03 am ET

AJ,
It shows people in IOWA take the responsibility of nominating the next president very seriously. They attend meetings, research policy positions, ask candidate questions, observe how candidates conduct themselves and so on. They don't sit in front of TV camera like Clinton supporters and make decisions based on what so called journalists like Keith Olberman (MSNBC) and Wolf Blitzer (CNN) spins on TV or what bunch of Polls show.

It tells people are much smarter than media thinks they are. It tells an honest candidate with principle and integrity can stand tall against all odds (media bias or establishment or lobbyists) and still his message can resonate to people when he stands for what people are looking for. It inspires that American people did not give up on democracy and allowing corporate media and lobbyist to play a mockery about the long tradition of american democracy by declaring a corrupt politican as inevitable long before the fist vote ever cast.

AJ, you should be proud of the hard work of IOWANs to identify the right candidate and learn from them and change yourself and many others like you.

therealist   November 20th, 2007 9:31 am ET

Obama greatest challenger is not Hillary or the Republican's, it's the corrupt media. And he doesn't stand a chance against his own ideological escorts who support Hillary...

sally,portsmouth,NH   November 20th, 2007 9:29 am ET

'It starting to look alot more like Christmas, everywhere you goooooo'

Cnn is getting it now.....Or we flash them down in the toilet with clintons.......

Matt Sutton, Central Point, Oregon   November 20th, 2007 9:28 am ET

Hmm. You've contradicted yourself CNN. Your headline says they are tied, your article says Obama is in the lead.

Please fix your headline. You've had Hillary in the lead on headlines of even tighter polls. What gives?

Ryan, New Jersey   November 20th, 2007 9:26 am ET

Haha, yes, lets not let numbers or reason stand in our way, blind faith in Hillary and her corporate brethren!

The system we have is broken. Hillary won't fix it. That's a fact. Obama might. I'll take my chances with Obama.

Xavier, Washington, DC   November 20th, 2007 8:50 am ET

Since when is a 4 point lead a tie? Oh, I get it. This is CNN and you can't portray Clinton is a bad light.

JB Boston MA   November 20th, 2007 8:36 am ET

NO-

Obama is in the lead!!!

It may be a statistical tie, but he is in the lead.

You people are ridiculous! CNN you are not being stealth. Start being unbiased and fair!

Ray Hampshire, Lima, Ohio   November 20th, 2007 8:14 am ET

I'm trying to figure out how CNN interprets 30% vs 26% as a tie. Can someone help me understand this?

AJ; Montpelier, VT   November 20th, 2007 7:41 am ET

Just goes to show that people in Iowa arent the sharpest bunch around. How anyone could be taken in by this empty suit is just amazing.

Mark, Delaware   November 20th, 2007 7:34 am ET

A 4% margin of error puts them in a dead heat, that is factual – not biased.

Hillarylover - SA   November 20th, 2007 6:58 am ET

Let's not be mislead by the polls. Obama has no winning chance in the world. Clinton '08!

EE   November 20th, 2007 5:53 am ET

My guts tell me Mr Obama will win Iowa

Chip Celina OH   November 20th, 2007 5:45 am ET

CNN, didn't you report a few weeks ago when she was barely ahead (within the margin of error) in a poll that she was "dominating" the polls or something like that. Now, here's one where she's four points down and they're tied. Nice work!

Remember, you can't spell CliNtoN without CNN.

Dan, Tx   November 20th, 2007 5:20 am ET

In another month the national polls will start to catch up with Iowa. The democratic nomination is a toss up.

Steve, South Orange NJ   November 20th, 2007 5:19 am ET

30 to 26 means Obama is winning in Iowa not tied with Hillary. You can make this piece much more objective by saying they are in a statistical tie. Just thought I'd give you guys a little advise in how not to be biased.

Sérgio, Porto, Portugal   November 20th, 2007 4:23 am ET

Obama may be more inexperienced than Hillary, may not answer question as politaclly as Hillary but he is the most honest candidate, having the ability to make the better judgements....

Go BA-RAAACK!

From a Portuguese who has been following the primaries since day 1.

AP, New York, NY   November 20th, 2007 3:56 am ET

Why is it that whenever Clinton has a 1-4 point lead in a poll, CNN labels her as "winning" but when Obama has a 1-4 point lead in a poll, CNN labels it a "tie?" Face the facts, the people who are following this closely (the people in Iowa) are starting to see the holes in Clinton and as the rest of the country begins to pay more attention, they will see the same holes.

Eric, NY, NY   November 20th, 2007 3:54 am ET

One of the less known numbers from the poll is that a majority of people polled had met Obama in person while only around a third had met Hillary Clinton. In the retail world of Iowa politics this matters. That said in the last two months Obama has missed the most votes of any Senator on the Democratic side running for President and Clinton the least so this could be one reason why he has met more people in Iowa.

john halverson DC   November 20th, 2007 2:39 am ET

it's a downward slide now. yee haw

James   November 20th, 2007 2:36 am ET

Why are you so pro Hillary? This poll should not say it is tied! Obama is ahead!!!!!!!

Please be more objective. I like you! Don't loose credability

theprofessional   November 20th, 2007 1:38 am ET

If Hillary was ahead by 4 points, CNN's headline would read: "Poll: Clinton leads in Iowa". When it's Obama that's ahead, all of a sudden CNN cares about statistical margins of error.

And just a few more results from the poll that CNN failed to report:

According to Democratic Party rules, a candidate must draw at least 15 percent at each caucus site for the votes to count; if that fails to happen, their supporters often throw their votes to a more viable contender. Combining the second-choice picks of candidates outside the top three, 34 percent would select Obama, 28 percent Edwards and only 15 percent Clinton.

Obama also leads among those who are "certain to attend" the January 3rd caucus, those who have previously caucused, and those who are planning to caucus for the first time.

Obama also showed that he's the candidate who is resonating the most with women voters. 32% of women polled are supporting Obama, compared with 31% for Clinton and 19% for Edwards.

And by a 2 to 1 margin, Iowans find Obama more "honest and trustworthy" than Clinton.

Also of note: Obama doubled Clinton's support among Independent voters (Obama 35% to Clinton 18%)– another indicator that he will be the strongest candidate going into the general election.

Vik N   November 20th, 2007 1:31 am ET

How are they tied when Obama is ahead? – I understand the margin of error issue but the headline should report the poll as is.

Sheesh – this really is the Clinton News Network

Mason, Wales, WI   November 20th, 2007 1:11 am ET

If Obama is in the lead with 30 percent, and Hillary has 26 percent, how are they tied? I'm just glad Iowa is waking up and seeing what a good president Obama will be.

Mannie   November 20th, 2007 1:10 am ET

I guess if Clinton was up a few points, CNN would say "Clinton Leads IA". I am so sick of CNN. It is so hard to write that Barack Lead in New IA Polls. Well I just did it.

The Democrat, Phoenix, Arizona   November 20th, 2007 12:55 am ET

Finally people are looking outside the box and not giving into the Clinton hype. Hopefully Obama will win Iowa and Edwards can come in second.

Bernie Moore-Knowles, Papa'aloa, Hawai'i   November 20th, 2007 12:54 am ET

Aloha! I have one thing to say:

"Obama 2008"

Len, sparks Nv   November 20th, 2007 12:30 am ET

Well, I see Obama as ahead. I guess there is a margin of error, but it is an upswing for Obama and not Clinton. That is a good trend.

Tere, FL   November 20th, 2007 12:25 am ET

CNN remember when Hillary was leading Obama by 2-3 points in Iowa your headline said that "Hillary and Romney ahead" What BS from CNN that now that Obama is 4 point ahead you give us that BS that they are tied in Iowa. You already proved your bias in the last debate and I am sure you are really MAD that the debate has lost news coverage and that Obama is getting more coverage now. Wait and watch the next debate by CBS where Wolf Blitzer will not be there to babysit Hillary

Dave, Cheverly, MD   November 20th, 2007 12:20 am ET

When it's Clinton 28 Obama 26 CNN you say Clinton's ahead.

NOW Obama is 30 Clinton is 26. So Obama is WAY AHEAD by your own caclulated methods.

Dallas, CA   November 20th, 2007 12:11 am ET

So, when Clinton was 2 points ahead of Obama in Iowa, she was "leading," but when Obama is 4 points ahead of Clinton, they're "tied"? Interesting, CNN.

Also interesting that there's no mention of the fact that Obama's support among over-45 voters has risen dramatically and that his support among women in Iowa is now greater than Clinton's.

Jeff Johnson,Cedar Rapids,Iowa   November 20th, 2007 12:11 am ET

don't trust the poll obama it might hunt you down.we iowan not crazy...i live in iowa and i know about how iowan alwayz change their mind in the last minute...we did that last caucus when we chance our mind and vote for John Kerry...so don't trust the poll...no Q Hillary will win Iowa...

jack, NY   November 20th, 2007 12:03 am ET

if Obama is the candidate, then I will
switch my vote to Rudy. A lot of the people think that way.

marsha d, omaha ne.   November 20th, 2007 12:02 am ET

wow! Can't believe Hillary has dropped in Iowa to even with Obama ! ...

Hanna,andover,ma   November 19th, 2007 11:53 pm ET

Hallejah, Cnn is waking up!

Sean, Farmington Hills, MI   November 19th, 2007 11:51 pm ET

this is the most blatantly ridiculous thing i've ever seen. ARTICLE SAYS: "Sen. Barack Obama, D-Illinois, is in the lead". CNN HEADLINE SAYS: "Obama, Clinton tied in Iowa"

It doesnt matter how close the numbers are, a lead is a lead. Unbelievable, CNN.

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