November 20th, 2007
09:15 AM ET
12 years ago

Poll: Obama, Clinton tied in Iowa

WASHINGTON (CNN) - Less than two months before Iowans cast the first votes of the 2008 election cycle, the Democratic race in the Hawkeye State is still a toss up, according to a new Washington Post-ABC News Poll released Monday.

Sen. Barack Obama, D-Illinois, is in the lead with 30 percent support from likely Iowa voters, followed closely by Sen. Hillary Clinton, D-New York, who earned 26 percent. Former North Carolina Sen. John Edwards got 22 percent and New Mexico Gov. Bill Richardson earned 11 percent.

Clinton, the national frontrunner, has seen her lead drop on some key fronts, according to the poll. In July, 50 percent of Iowans thought she had the best experience to be president, but in the poll released Monday, 38 percent said they thought she did. Despite that, 39 percent said they still thought she is the most electable candidate, with Obama in second in that category with 25 percent.

The Washington Post-ABC News poll was conducted from November 14-18. The poll surveyed 500 Iowans and had a margin of error of 4 percentage points.

–CNN Associate Producer Lauren Kornreich

soundoff (83 Responses)
  1. Blayze Kohime, Columbus OH

    Seems that Obama is getting more popular and Hilary less. Looking from a neutral viewpoint, this could arguably be good for the democrats, as the Republicans have spent all their time bashing Hilary and not Obama.

    November 20, 2007 11:07 am at 11:07 am |
  2. Brennan - Seattle, WA

    Tied? Nice headline Clinton News Network. And no picture is a good move also. Don't want to draw any attention to this story. Keep this Obama movement under wraps. Even if I wasn't an Obama supporter I would recognize this as biased, especially considering the headlines you have given to Clinton in the past few weeks. Completely Disappointed!!!!

    November 20, 2007 11:12 am at 11:12 am |
  3. Bea, Hoboken, NJ

    Hillary may or may not lose in Iowa, but she's the only candidate who doesn't need to win that state to win the nomination. Furthermore, she can even afford to lose in New Hampshire. If Obama loses Iowa he can still limp along to NH, but a loss for Edwards would mean that he's out of the race since he doesn't have the money nor the votes to continue to the next round. Either way, barring any disastrous occurrence, Hillary will be the Democratic nominee going to the genereal election.

    November 20, 2007 11:22 am at 11:22 am |
  4. Pete

    Talk about not wanting to draw attention to the tie (lead). When i found this story (and I went to CNN specifically to find out how they dealt with it) it was the 9th story down on the political ticker with no apparent reference anywhere else on the site. Check out the rest of the world...this is a big story for every other news outlet (not just Fox). But if you go to CNN, you have to work hard to find out that Hillary is slipping. I guess she did not only pressure Wolf Blitzer, but the whole organzition.

    November 20, 2007 11:29 am at 11:29 am |
  5. Rob

    This is it CNN? You can't give Obama a better headline like the rest of the media is doing? CNN you are biased and unfair!

    November 20, 2007 11:30 am at 11:30 am |
  6. Andrew, Washington DC

    love how he's finally gaining traction in the polls and this article is conveniently buried. CNN, please do better in being unbiased, yeah?

    November 20, 2007 11:31 am at 11:31 am |
  7. Jimenez - Texas

    Obama will not take Iowa or any other state. I am beginning to wonder if the Republicans are really playing this. The United States of America isn't ready for Obama and Obama isn't ready to lead the United States.

    November 20, 2007 11:39 am at 11:39 am |
  8. Ike Woodbridge, VA.

    To all true Democrats out there, just remember that a vote for Obama is a wasted vote. Obama's nomination to run on the democratic ticket is a sure win for Republicans in '08. I am an African American and I know that Obama will not win a single southern state in a general election. Please, please, please don't give the Republicans another chance in the White House. Also, Iowa voters are not true representation of the the U.S. Remember that the last two Democratic Presidential cndidates that won in Iowa ended up not winning in Iowa. Hillary has a better chance to win this thing and all true Democrats should rally behind her and go for victory in '08.

    November 20, 2007 11:43 am at 11:43 am |
  9. T.O. Houston Texas

    Come on Clinton News Network.....shame on you. Report fairly and accurately: I'm sorry that's another network. Don't create the facts. Report them! Someone over there is doing some fuzzy math. As bad as you want Clinton to win try not to be so obvious, your viewers won't resent you.

    November 20, 2007 11:43 am at 11:43 am |
  10. John Adkisson, Sacramento, California

    The headline says Obama "tied" but the text and the poll put Obama "in the lead." Obama is experiencing serious movement just at the right time. That's the story.

    November 20, 2007 11:50 am at 11:50 am |
  11. Salita, SC

    They call it a tie when the spread of points is within the margin of error which in this case is 4.5. Cnn is wrong on that one. AND Cnn didnt say that 43% said they could change their minds.

    November 20, 2007 11:58 am at 11:58 am |
  12. ronnie knoxville , tn

    are people voting based on what other people answer in polls?! are we sheep...?

    November 20, 2007 12:04 pm at 12:04 pm |
  13. Hilde McNeil, Irvine, California

    Did anyone at CNN actually read the entire poll from ABC-Washington Post? It is clear to anyone who did that either CNN did not or they chose to only report information that would diminish the impression that Obama is making significant gains in Iowa in many important areas.

    I am sure that if Hillary Clinton was ahead in this most recent poll and showing growing (as opposed to declining or flat) support on most issues, the results of this poll would have been place prominently on your website instead of buried in the political ticker.

    Between the last debate and your post-debate coverage, CNN has lost all credibility and people are taking notice.

    Whether you are guilty of outright bias or sloppy journalism, the result is the same: election coverage that is a disservice to the voters and dangerous to our democracy.

    November 20, 2007 12:14 pm at 12:14 pm |
  14. Amy, FL

    Let's hope the 30% undecided Iowans have really done their research. If so, we can all breath easy cause it will be BIDEN 08!

    Crossing my fingers, cause it is going to be another bad Republican beat in the general election if anyone else gets the Dem nomination.

    November 20, 2007 12:29 pm at 12:29 pm |
  15. MD, Bethesda

    I am going somewhere else, This is absolutely ridiculouss...I have never seen such lack of honesty. 4 points!?? that is a "flippin'" LEAD!!!

    November 20, 2007 12:50 pm at 12:50 pm |
  16. Mustafa, UpsetCity America

    Since when is a "deer leeping over a Highway patrol car" more important than the future of this country? What's playing out in Iowa should be front page, not buried in your stinking "sticker".4 points? that is a lead...you know what, I am moving my business to MSNBC.COM...now take that!
    Your reporting is is truly alarming CNN!!! This is disgusting!

    November 20, 2007 01:00 pm at 1:00 pm |
  17. Ron, New Jersey

    Great news! Go Obama!!
    The other great points of the poll were that Hillary had slipped in support among all groups of voters.
    One significant example was Obama led Hillary by 1 point among women. With Women being a key part of her support the fact that she isn't leading by a lot is not good news for her.

    November 20, 2007 01:06 pm at 1:06 pm |
  18. Dave

    "Poll: Obama, Clinton tied in Iowa"
    CNN is 30%-26% tied. Your bias is showing. My guess is they are trying to save their "girl"

    November 20, 2007 01:10 pm at 1:10 pm |
  19. AT, ny, ny

    The obama supporters now suddently embrace polls while they rejected polls in the past.

    In the Iowa poll, Hillary beats Obama and all other dems candidates in the following important areas:

    – Electability to be the next president next november
    – Worked the hardest in Iowa
    – Best experience
    – Strongest leader

    Obama spent lots of money and made lots of promises to the Iowa people to gain their votes, while Hillary balances her interests in Iowa and in other states. Obama's gain in Iowa is at a bigger loss in polls in other states. Therefore, Obama may win the battle in Iowa, but will lose the national nomination war by the dems party to Hillary.

    November 20, 2007 01:11 pm at 1:11 pm |
  20. Sean, Detroit, MI

    still can't believe this one. this news was the lead story on Drudge Report last night, in bold, red letters. CNN barely mentions it, puts it here without a picture (unlike most posts), and then mischaracterizes the facts in the headline. UNBELIEVABLE You'd expect this type of thing from FoxNews or something.
    To be fair, CNN has called a Hillary 2% lead a "tie" in previous postings. However, 4%, despite margin of error, is a sizeable enough lead to be called "a lead", which is what it is described as within the article. Also, as another poster commented, if you read the full results, they are quite favorable to Obama. It's just one poll, but it is indicative of much more than a "tie"

    November 20, 2007 01:17 pm at 1:17 pm |
  21. RD

    Don't be suprised to see Hillary and Osama Obama both in a loss when the real vote is taken. I have great faith in the people of Iowa. to believe they will chose someone who will be a great president. They want someone who can lead this county with dignity and stand firm in their decisions Hillary and Obama have hurt there ownselves. I'm still not sure where Hillary stands and Obama just is not experienced enough he is a great spokesman but no experience to run the state of Illinois greater yet the USA. the People of Iowa will make americans proud just trust me.

    November 20, 2007 01:28 pm at 1:28 pm |
  22. Roger Kelly, Columbia, SC

    Whether Obama is in lead in Iowa or Hillary pulls of in New Hampshire? Afterall, the democrats will decide who amongst is the best suitable for the presidency and who will survive in the general election. All we need is the best democrat in the White House. The polls at this early stage means nothing. Bill Clinton lost Iowa and New Hampshire and came back to win the nomination. Who knows, Joe Biden will pull off after Iowa. All we need is a non-biased debate conducted by PBS or NPR where every candidate will have a chance to explain his/her position in more than 5 minutes (not 30 sec) without personal attacks. That way voters can decide who is the most qualified and experieced candidate to go for.

    November 20, 2007 01:38 pm at 1:38 pm |
  23. J.Latz, Leavenworth, Kan.

    The polls come and go. There are several political "lifetimes" between today's latest and the primaries.

    November 20, 2007 01:51 pm at 1:51 pm |
  24. MarkieBee, SacTown, Cali.

    "Let's not be mislead by the polls. Obama has no winning chance in the world. Clinton '08!
    Posted By Hillarylover"

    Yes, let's not be misled by the polls, which is Hillaryious coming from a Hillary supporter who has been crowing about the polls fro months now. Suddenly they can't be trusted huh? Of course they can't be trusted, just ask CNN and Vinod Gupta who spin the polls for Hillary every day. Despite the CLEAR lead that Obama enjoys in this ONE poll, we Obama supporters will continue to work hard on the campaign as if our candidate was still trailing by 20 points and the caucus/primary was next week. The only poll that matters (unless Karl Rove is around) is the exit poll.

    November 20, 2007 02:20 pm at 2:20 pm |
  25. Sophie, Dallas TX

    WOOHOO Obama in the lead!

    Why didn't you put that in the title CNN?!?

    November 20, 2007 03:34 pm at 3:34 pm |
1 2 3 4