November 29th, 2007
03:50 PM ET
10 years ago

Clinton leads in the Sunshine State

Clinton leads in a new poll out of Florida.

ST. PETERSBURG, Florida (CNN) - It appears that a majority of Florida Democrats want Hillary Clinton to be their party’s presidential nominee.

Fifty-one percent of likely Democratic Florida primary voters support the New York senator in a new CNN/Opinion Research Corporation Poll out Thursday.

That’s 30 points ahead of her nearest rival in the Sunshine State, Senator Barack Obama of Illinois.

“Hillary Clinton has a big lead in Florida, but there is evidence that the race may change dramatically in the Sunshine State after Iowa and New Hampshire have their say,” says CNN Polling Director Keating Holland. “If the election were held today, Clinton would get support from 51% of Democratic likely voters, to 21% for Obama and 11% for Edwards.”

The Iowa caucuses, which kick off the presidential primary voting, will be held on January 3, five weeks from today. Florida will hold its primary on January 29. The state moved up its primary date to become more of a player in the presidential primary process, but it did so without permission from the national Democratic and Republican parties.

The parties, angered by the move, penalized Florida. The Democratic National Committee voted to prevent the state from seating any of the delegates at the Democratic National Convention next summer. The Republican National Committee voted to hold back half of Florida’s delegates at their nominating convention.

The major Democratic White House hopefuls also agreed to refrain from actively campaigning in Florida. The Republican candidates are stumping in the Sunshine State, and faced off last night in a CNN/YouTube debate in St. Petersburg.

So will the lack of a presence by the Democratic candidates influence the horserace?

“Six in ten likely Democratic primary voters saying they have not made up their minds and a quarter admitting that they will wait until the first primaries to decide who to vote for, so the outcome in the Sunshine State is difficult if not impossible to predict,” says Holland. “Most Democrats have not campaigned in Florida, so it's possible that Clinton's big lead is due to name recognition. If that's the case, the early primaries may provide instant name recognition to one or more of her rivals and make the Florida primary very competitive.”

The poll had a sampling error is plus or minus 3 percentage points.

- CNN Deputy Political Director Paul Steinhauser

Filed under: Uncategorized
soundoff (80 Responses)
  1. Dan Meyers FL


    CLINTON IN 2008!!!

    November 29, 2007 04:10 pm at 4:10 pm |
  2. Fred, Clearwater, Florida

    Get lost, Hillary. Florida and the USA DOESN'T NEED, OR WANT you or Bill in the White House again.

    You have lived off the taxpayers long enough. We're REALLY tired of both of you and ALL YOUR LIES.

    November 29, 2007 04:19 pm at 4:19 pm |
  3. Fred, Clearwater, FL

    Get lost, Hillary. Florida and the USA DOESN'T NEED, OR WANT you or Bill in the White House again.

    You have lived off the taxpayers long enough. We're REALLY tired of both of you and ALL YOUR LIES.

    November 29, 2007 04:28 pm at 4:28 pm |
  4. Keith, Chicago

    Why was this article even posted? Any Democratic primary poll for Florida is absoluetly meaningless as Florida moved up their primary against party rules, and thus none of their delegates will count in determining the nominee.

    My guess is that the Clinton News Network wants to show these poll results to give Clinton positive spin and press – even though the results mean nothing because Florida won't have any delegates, not to mention, since no candidates have campaigned in Florida the poll results are dominated by name recognition – which Clinton obviously would win.

    Why don't you publicize poll results in Iowa, which has ENORMOUS implications for the race, as opposed to Florida which has absolutely no impact on the race? Oh yeah, that's's because all recent polls in Iowa have Obama tied, if not ahead of Clinton. Wouldn't want to let the public know that Clinton's "inevitability" is completely false.

    November 29, 2007 04:29 pm at 4:29 pm |
  5. Surreal, Fort Myers, FL

    Thank God...without any visits to pander the old folks, and poor (which make up a large number of Florida voters. I'm glad to see her message is still getting out in spite of the GOP, Rush, and Hannity. Great job Hillary!! The tide is turning. Common sense and reason is rebounding against blind allegiance!!! This is one career military SrNCO (now retired) who awaits a new optimism in government and a President who occasionally puts the interests of average Americans first!!

    November 29, 2007 04:43 pm at 4:43 pm |
  6. Ivelisse

    I'm sick and tired of everybody giving Iowa and NH so much importance..... nothing should change in Fl after the votes in Ioaw!!!!

    when are we, as a nation, will learn to think for ourself!!!????

    the 'preferential' status of IA, NH, SC and NV should be eliminated..... everybody should vote the same day!!!!!

    November 29, 2007 04:45 pm at 4:45 pm |
  7. Anonymous

    Go Hilary! We are with you and you will win!

    November 29, 2007 04:51 pm at 4:51 pm |
  8. Jesse, Toronto, Ontario

    Go Clinton! We are with you and you will win!

    November 29, 2007 04:53 pm at 4:53 pm |
  9. Daniel, NY

    Two new polls out this morning also have Clinton in the lead in the Iowa caucuses - albeit by a very small margin - and in the New Hampshire primary - with a more comfortable lead. Check full rundown of both polls.

    November 29, 2007 04:55 pm at 4:55 pm |
  10. donna tamaqua pa

    I want Hillary Clinton for president. She will be the one to help us live. I will be voting for her and i have never voted in my life. Due to the fact our vote really don't matter. We are just a popular vote any way.

    November 29, 2007 05:00 pm at 5:00 pm |
  11. Stephen Fisher, Chicago

    Hillary, the best!
    Obama is not capable and he needs to be more mature!

    November 29, 2007 05:02 pm at 5:02 pm |
  12. Mark Tickler, Iowa

    Clinton will be the first femal President but one of the best Presidents in America!
    We are with you!

    November 29, 2007 05:05 pm at 5:05 pm |
  13. James,chicago,illinois

    This is a women who believes her soul purpose is to just prove to every women that she can run for president and nothing will happen to her. She is proving to everyone that women are becoming part of the back bone of America. Yet in still, i feel she lacks in certain areas when it comes to playing hardball with other country leaders when they reject her sit down invitations.

    November 29, 2007 05:05 pm at 5:05 pm |
  14. Monte Brown, New York, NY

    Hillary Clinton is the most qualified candidate, the most experienced candidate and she's READY TO LEAD ON DAY ONE.

    November 29, 2007 05:17 pm at 5:17 pm |
  15. spinstopper

    It also appears that a majority of Florida voters will not vote for her in the general election.

    November 29, 2007 05:17 pm at 5:17 pm |
  16. Kennesaw, GA

    the 'preferential' status of IA, NH, SC and NV should be eliminated….. everybody should vote the same day!!!!!

    I totally agree!!!!! This should be done just like the general election! I think it wrong to make one state more important the another!!!!!

    November 29, 2007 05:18 pm at 5:18 pm |
  17. Ron, TX

    No big surprise, in a state where no potential democratic nominees are campaigning, the potential nominee with the biggest name will always draw the most votes. That is the reason the primary system is designed the way it is. Name recognition drives votes. As people begin to learn about and meet candidates face to face, their opinions change, often dramatically.

    In these early primary states, where Barack Obama, Clinton, and Edwards are all meeting voters face to face, where people are actively involved in the political process, Clinton's lead has shrunk DRAMATICALLY. That's no coincidence. Clinton's last name is a big draw for democrats. Unfortunately, once they get to know her, they begin to despise her and hate her secrecy and deception.

    November 29, 2007 05:30 pm at 5:30 pm |
  18. Surrealist, Fort Myers, FL

    Yeah.....! You know there are many people living in Florida who are a virtually slaves to the economy–the local and state government is really doing nothing to help them–like attracting good paying industrial jobs of restraining growth to allow for economic development etc.–it's all about tourism here. Work in the winter===starve in the summer. I see elderly working into their 80's and beyond because their pensions and social security COLA are not keeping up with the staggering costs of food, gas, and shelter, property taxes, and healthcare. I'm not suprised she has gained support here!! After 7 years we finally have the opportunity to elect a President who is in touch with the needs of average Americans and will strive to improve their quality of life. A President who realizes that in a modern civilized nation affordable quality healthcare isn't a privilege–it is a right. A President who can not only effectively wind down the war in Iraq with dignity–but look after the needs of our citizens on the home front.

    November 29, 2007 05:38 pm at 5:38 pm |
  19. Carol, Brooklyn, NY

    Hillary is still doing very well and is still ahead nationally and in many of the individual states!!!


    November 29, 2007 05:39 pm at 5:39 pm |
  20. Zeke, Tustin, California

    Wow! Yesterday Rudy and today Clinton. Its obvious they want to plant the names of Hillary and Rudy into voter minds so when voters go to the polls, they vote for the (Planted) names. Get it. If the media are for the frontrunners then it will be surprising who America is really for.

    November 29, 2007 05:40 pm at 5:40 pm |
  21. Zeke Tustin, CA

    Obama will win all of the States anyway. I think CNN and everyones plus CNN knows it. All of this pre media predictions crap ain't gonna mean nothing. This is why people vote. Time for fresh face and ideas. OBAMA 08.

    November 29, 2007 05:47 pm at 5:47 pm |
  22. Dave, Cheverly, MD

    The only thing this post shows is that Hillary’s Campaign is really getting desperate and scared. EVERYONE knows Florida’s Primary votes will not count. This scheme of moving Florida’s date up was to provide a Firewall for Hillary as she loses Iowa, NH and SC. This Ace card was to be played after such loses to boost her name in the media. The fact that this card is being played now. Says that things are REALLY bad in the Hillary camp. She needs to show a poll with her winning. Why not tell us who is winning Alaska poll right now. Even that poll would be more relevant then this.

    November 29, 2007 05:48 pm at 5:48 pm |
  23. Anonymous

    So What?

    November 29, 2007 05:51 pm at 5:51 pm |
  24. Anonymous

    More corruption and scandel.

    November 29, 2007 05:53 pm at 5:53 pm |
  25. civic

    go hillary, now is the time for democrat change the whitehouse. and you will win definetly

    November 29, 2007 05:54 pm at 5:54 pm |
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