November 29th, 2007
03:50 PM ET
11 years ago

Clinton leads in the Sunshine State

Clinton leads in a new poll out of Florida.

ST. PETERSBURG, Florida (CNN) - It appears that a majority of Florida Democrats want Hillary Clinton to be their party’s presidential nominee.

Fifty-one percent of likely Democratic Florida primary voters support the New York senator in a new CNN/Opinion Research Corporation Poll out Thursday.

That’s 30 points ahead of her nearest rival in the Sunshine State, Senator Barack Obama of Illinois.

“Hillary Clinton has a big lead in Florida, but there is evidence that the race may change dramatically in the Sunshine State after Iowa and New Hampshire have their say,” says CNN Polling Director Keating Holland. “If the election were held today, Clinton would get support from 51% of Democratic likely voters, to 21% for Obama and 11% for Edwards.”

The Iowa caucuses, which kick off the presidential primary voting, will be held on January 3, five weeks from today. Florida will hold its primary on January 29. The state moved up its primary date to become more of a player in the presidential primary process, but it did so without permission from the national Democratic and Republican parties.

The parties, angered by the move, penalized Florida. The Democratic National Committee voted to prevent the state from seating any of the delegates at the Democratic National Convention next summer. The Republican National Committee voted to hold back half of Florida’s delegates at their nominating convention.

The major Democratic White House hopefuls also agreed to refrain from actively campaigning in Florida. The Republican candidates are stumping in the Sunshine State, and faced off last night in a CNN/YouTube debate in St. Petersburg.

So will the lack of a presence by the Democratic candidates influence the horserace?

“Six in ten likely Democratic primary voters saying they have not made up their minds and a quarter admitting that they will wait until the first primaries to decide who to vote for, so the outcome in the Sunshine State is difficult if not impossible to predict,” says Holland. “Most Democrats have not campaigned in Florida, so it's possible that Clinton's big lead is due to name recognition. If that's the case, the early primaries may provide instant name recognition to one or more of her rivals and make the Florida primary very competitive.”

The poll had a sampling error is plus or minus 3 percentage points.

- CNN Deputy Political Director Paul Steinhauser

Filed under: Uncategorized
soundoff (80 Responses)
  1. fair,washington,dc

    I am a Hillary supporter and hope she wins Iowa, but I am bracing myself for a loss after reading somewhere that in
    Iowa you are allowed to vote in the other parties primary.Might explain why they say Iowa is so unpredictable. Not sure of how it works, but there is no doubt in my mind that if Republicans can cast a vote against Hillary they are not gonna pass up the opportunity. I hope I'm wrong, but don't be surprised or discouraged Hillary supporters.

    November 29, 2007 05:56 pm at 5:56 pm |
  2. Bob Florida

    No! No! No! Clinton... We desire OBAMA as the next American President.

    November 29, 2007 05:56 pm at 5:56 pm |
  3. kevin,kennesaw,GA

    go hillary, you will win and we all with you. america need women president for the last century ...and it's you.
    go to white house hillary!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    November 29, 2007 06:01 pm at 6:01 pm |
  4. Ted Iowa

    Why do they keep insisting to force feed Americans Clinton like a child being force fed brussel sprouts. Stop it we the American people are not interested in it.

    November 29, 2007 06:09 pm at 6:09 pm |
  5. Joe Santa Fe Springs CA

    Looks like extreme desperation to me. Obama 08.

    November 29, 2007 06:14 pm at 6:14 pm |
  6. Jim, Irmo, SC

    I agree that the primaries should be all on the same day, the same as the general election. But that's not the way it is, and I think these folks that want to back the winner, who are only backing Clinton because she has promoted this air of invincibility are going to back Obama when he wins Iowa.

    November 29, 2007 06:20 pm at 6:20 pm |
  7. Gary, Lakeland, Florida

    Seems that there is more than a few conspiracy theories out there about why and how this story got online. RELAX people.... You know as well as I that all politicians hold back info and keep a certain amount of their decision making to themselves. The only difference is: who hids it the best. OK... she doesnt hide it well. So what.
    Hillary has taken the uncharacteristic approach to political life and learned what it takes to run for office and lead from the front. She is no different than a woman of a fortune 500 company. She has shown her intelligence, whit, leadership skills, willingness to work with the other side, and her willingness to compromise. As well all know this is need in politics as well as a marriage. Her brazen approach to getting things done rubs a few the wrong way but they still get done. Bush is about as redneck as they come and he is our president now... go figure "Billy Bob" in the White House. Hillary has the skills to be a wonderful President because she knows one of the true basic skills in politics..... To surround yourself with the best possible people for each position. And she WILL do that IM sure of. GO HILLARY... CANT WAIT TIL 01/20/09- THE END OF A HUGE ERROR!!!

    November 29, 2007 06:29 pm at 6:29 pm |
  8. John Halverson DC

    after that "debate' that CNN put on do you really think that this poll holds any water? if it comes from CNN it is obviously biased.

    November 29, 2007 06:43 pm at 6:43 pm |
  9. Craig, Seattle, WA

    Clinton (Bill) lied.. but NOBODY DIED!.. HILLARY '08! Washington State loves you too!

    November 29, 2007 06:43 pm at 6:43 pm |
  10. Tom Z, FL

    This article doesn't add up. 51% for Clinton, 21% for Obama, 11% for Edwards. Then the pollster says that 60% of the people haven't decided who they want. HUH?

    November 29, 2007 06:56 pm at 6:56 pm |
  11. wale azeez boca raton

    morons!!!! The primaries are not over yet and clinton is a an easy punching bag for the GOPs'....wait until the general election and then you'll see hilary the soccer ball...she does not stand a chance against the GOPs. She has too many issues and can easily be picked on....oh not to talk about her always waiting until edwards and obama release their initiatives and then just copy, edit and paste and say she's come out with hers too. puleeeeez!!!!!!

    November 29, 2007 06:58 pm at 6:58 pm |
  12. Preacher

    Any Senator who votes against English as our country's official language should be removed from office immediately and never again allowed to represent the people of the United States in any capacity.

    Birds of a feather flock together and the flock that Clinton belongs to does not represent this country's best interests. Like her husband she will disgrace our country.

    It is my belief that NO person who has not served HONORABLY in our military should ever hold a seat in congress or the senate and should NEVER be allowed to become our commander and chief. And...

    When elected officials vote against our country's core values they should immediately be removed from office and preferrably tried for treason since they are actually undermining our Nation's existence.

    November 29, 2007 06:58 pm at 6:58 pm |
  13. Markie Bee, Sacramento, Calif.

    Monte, I challenge you AGAIN to please list for me and everyone else how Hillary is more experienced than Obama – who has almost twice as much elected legislative experience than Hillary amnd has been a more effective senator in half the time. I'm waiting man. I need a list of meaningful bills she AUTHORED and passed and I need you to equate somehow (since she locked up the records) that eight years picking out official White House China patterns qualifies her for a run for president. The challenge has been issued again. Will you heed the call or continue to regurgitate Mark Penn talking points?

    November 29, 2007 07:19 pm at 7:19 pm |
  14. Alex, LA, CA

    It should be evident by now that polls are absolutely meaningless at the moment, as most voters haven't even made up their minds yet. We won't know who is "winning" until the first votes are cast, so poll coverage does nothing but shift attention toward certain candidates and keep others in the dark.

    November 29, 2007 07:20 pm at 7:20 pm |
  15. Brian, Milwaukee, WI

    Take that rocket to Mars Mrs. Clinton !!!

    November 29, 2007 07:24 pm at 7:24 pm |
  16. Markie Bee, Sacramento, Calif.

    Preacher, what good does declaring English as our official language due? It's like slapping a "I support The Troops" sticker on your car or wearing an American flag lapel pin. They're all worthless exercises in futility. They mean absolutely nothing. Everyone knows that English is our unofficial official language. Heck, English is the world's unofficial official language. And I like having a president without military experience leading the country. It lessens the chance of a military junta or overthrow. It lessens any chance of a inter-force battle for weapons procurement, etc. The military's sole goal is to protect and defend the constitution and the citizens/civilians of the United States. That includes the civilian president. Other than the native-born and age 36 requirements I don't think we should have any limits on who can become our leader. You become the leader by being better than the other candidates – or having Kark Rove steal the election. One of those two.

    November 29, 2007 07:29 pm at 7:29 pm |


    November 29, 2007 07:35 pm at 7:35 pm |
  18. Charlie, St. Petersburg, Fl

    There are fair minded friends who
    find it a little too progressive to vote for a woman for president. Too emotional, too about the hair, or dress. Ladies and gentlemen, if we continue to vote on such superficial irrelevant concepts, we deserve more of the same, moving in the wrong direction. We are being hit hard economically, and it's time for a new direction in this counrty. Let's start here at home, showing ourselves we can do better and we will.

    November 29, 2007 08:03 pm at 8:03 pm |
  19. Micah, Winnipeg, Manitoba, Canada

    Hil-dog is quite possibly the worst president candidate I have ever seen in my entire life. How well will negotiations in the middle east go when leaders from Arab nations refuse invitations to talk to her like they do now?

    Hillary is garbage.

    November 29, 2007 08:11 pm at 8:11 pm |
  20. CNN has lost the trust of the American people

    Given CNN's recent record for trustworthiness, I wouldn't place a lot of faith in this poll.

    November 29, 2007 08:17 pm at 8:17 pm |
  21. Ben

    Craig in Seattle:
    No one may have died when Bill Clinton lied, however, 4,000 have died when Hillary Clinton voted for the war in Iraq.

    November 29, 2007 08:18 pm at 8:18 pm |
  22. Chris, Middletown, CT

    yet....they won't be able to figure out how to use the ballot...and will claim they are disenfranchised...and Hillary will think up a million excuses as to why she didn't win...and will eventually settle on the fact she's a woman – when in reality...its because nobody in their right mind trusts her....

    November 29, 2007 08:21 pm at 8:21 pm |
  23. Bill , Covington,LA

    Craig, Seattle, Washington.
    What planet have you been on Craig? Ypo claim Bill Clinton lied, noboby died. Did you ever hear of one of his lawyers, a gentleman in his employ, murdered in Fort Marcy Park. Get a life.

    November 29, 2007 08:22 pm at 8:22 pm |
  24. Jeremy, Columbus OH

    Preacher states that "Like her husband she will disgrace our country." I strongly disagree with this, as our country was more respected under the Clinton Administration than it currently is now. More countries in this world have more disrepect for our nation than ever before, thanks to Bush's child-like behavior. You also state that whoever did not serve our country should not be commander in chief, well what is Bush doing in office then???? What type of service did he do beside hide behind daddy? Clinton has the most experience, she is smart, and it's about time this country got with the program and elected it's first woman president.

    November 29, 2007 08:32 pm at 8:32 pm |
  25. Dianne, Miami, Florida

    I have no idea these polls are polling, any way the media is pushing hillary. I don't know who is voting for hillary because most everyone I converse with is not voting for hillary, they are voting for obama. We need a new direction and hillary cannot take us there; obama is a fresh new face without all that baggage that hillary has. Hillary cannot lead a pack of dog. Please get lost hillary. We would love to see a woman president, but not YOU.
    Obama 08!

    November 29, 2007 08:55 pm at 8:55 pm |
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