December 4th, 2007
11:17 AM ET
7 years ago

Poll shows Clinton, Giuliani down big

Giuliani's support has dropped 9 points in one month, according to a new poll.

WASHINGTON (CNN) - The presidential race in both parties isn't just tightening in the key early-voting states, but across the rest of country as well, according to a new USA Today/Gallup poll out Monday evening.

One month before Iowa and New Hampshire voters kick off the presidential primary season, the poll seems to show nationwide support for frontrunners Hillary Clinton and Rudy Giuliani has dropped considerably from this time a month ago.

Giuliani, the former New York City mayor, is down 9 percentage points in one month while Clinton, the senator from New York, has seen her support drop 11 points. Both Clinton and Giuliani's declines are the biggest one-month drop they have seen since the presidential election season began.

"The movement away from the frontrunners may be a sign that the public is starting to pay attention to the election, and may be moving beyond the "name recognition" phase," CNN Polling Director Keating Holland said. "It's an early indication of what might happen after Iowa and New Hampshire, when a few second-tier candidates will get instant name recognition to rival that of Clinton and Giuliani."

One-time dark horse candidate Mike Huckabee has shot up to second place in the national survey, now 9 percentage points behind Giuliani, 25 percent to 16 percent. Arizona Sen. John McCain and former Tennessee Sen. Fred Thompson are one point behind at 15 percent. Former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney is just behind the pack with 12 percent.

Responding to the poll, Giuliani spokeswoman Maria Comella said, "We’ve been saying from the beginning that this race was always going to tighten. But when you look at the numbers, Rudy has been consistently leading in every major national poll since February. Unlike some other candidates, Mayor Giuliani has steady strength and real staying power."

On the Democratic side, Clinton's lead now stands at 15 percentage points over Illinois Sen. Barack Obama, 39 percent to 24 percent. In last month's poll Clinton's lead was 28 percent over the Illinois senator. Former North Carolina Sen. John Edwards stands at 15 percent, meanwhile, with the rest of the field in single digits.

While Clinton's support is down, Holland notes no single Democrat is the direct beneficiary.

"No single candidate has emerged as the ABC - Anybody-but-Clinton - candidate," he said. "Edwards went up 3, Obama went up 3, [New Mexico Gov. Bill] Richardson went up 2, [Delaware Sen. Joe] Biden went up 2. That's how Clinton maintains a double-digit lead - Democrats may be moving away from her, but they aren’t moving toward one of her rivals."

The poll surveyed 425 Republicans and leaning Republicans and 494 Democrats and leaning Democrats on November 30 through December 2. It carries a margin of error of plus or minus 5 percentage points.

Related video: CNN's Candy Crowley reports it's a dead heat in Iowa with a month to go

– CNN Ticker Producer Alexander Mooney

Filed under: Iowa • New Hampshire • Presidential Candidates • South Carolina
soundoff (196 Responses)
  1. Mike, Newark, DE

    The most notable thing about this poll is that somebody who has publicly stated that he does not believe in the theory of evolution now has a fighting chance of being president. Imagine a leader whose decisions are based more on blind belief instead of concrete evidence. All the money, people, and technology invested by this country for doing foreign intelligence could be brushed aside in favor of what his faith says. This country has already suffered through 8 years of this type of decision making – four more would be devastating.

    December 4, 2007 12:01 pm at 12:01 pm |
  2. Don White, Brooklyn, NY

    These headlines are big distractions. Unless the results of Iowa and NH are out, one can't say positively about any of the candidates. American people thia time are not going to vote based on the polls. They will find who is the most qualified and electable candidate.

    December 4, 2007 12:02 pm at 12:02 pm |
  3. alan St Louis MO





    AMERICAN SHEEP WANT CLINTON if she wins the sheep be dissapointed in there pick. "give me my handout you promissed me Hilliary.
    OMG you lied to me!!! You gave my JOB, Land ,Money to CHINA. !!! Why did you do that Hillary??"

    December 4, 2007 12:02 pm at 12:02 pm |
  4. Jill Owings Mills, MD

    I see some of the recent increase in Obama's popularity is due to the "endorsements" by TV stars like Oprah. For her fans who need someone to guide them by the nose to tell them who to vote for, they are glad to have someone make the decision for them. People need to do research on the various candidate's positions and not blindly follow some star's choice!

    December 4, 2007 12:03 pm at 12:03 pm |
  5. Puck, Pittsboro NC

    What always strikes me when reading comments such as these is that we have become a nation of illiterates who care more for sniping at each other than we do about seriously considering the issues.

    Learn to read carefully, questioning everything. And for crying out loud - learn how to spell and write a coherent sentence.

    December 4, 2007 12:08 pm at 12:08 pm |

    And these polls are the result of how many? 500 people? Is this the definitiveness of CNN's accuracy?

    Will this small group of unknown people have such a large say in our political future?

    December 4, 2007 12:10 pm at 12:10 pm |
  7. Bruce Taylor,Berkeley,CA

    The tide is indeed turning.By mid-January,Barack Obama will have replaced Clinton as the Democratic leader. If the Democratic Party is to truly embrace change,not a facsimile,the candidacy of Obama is to be embraced. The past just won't do now.

    December 4, 2007 12:13 pm at 12:13 pm |

    In this horse race, it's neck and neck with four furlongs to go... Not much to place bets on yet.

    December 4, 2007 12:17 pm at 12:17 pm |
  9. Jim, Columbus, OH

    This is exactly why the early states, like Iowa and New Hampshire, are important. The people in those places are making up their own minds and not being led entirely by what the media and polls say...If candidates were to be chosen according to whoever tops the polls on any given week, we'd be undermining the electoral process...

    December 4, 2007 12:17 pm at 12:17 pm |
  10. Joseph, LA, CA

    Does CNN report news or try to make it? It seems that every news-show is an attack on the front-runner to bring them back so that the race is more competitive. And then you report those attacks as if they are newsworthy. Self-fulfulling prophecies? Great marketing, terrible reporting. Why, you're becoming more and more like.... Fox News.

    December 4, 2007 12:22 pm at 12:22 pm |
  11. jenna, Henderson NV



    (by the way, if you’re reading this right now, it’s a miracle, because there is a very good chance that CNN won’t post something as truthful as this.)

    December 4, 2007 12:25 pm at 12:25 pm |
  12. David, Dallas Tx

    Just keep showing those photos of Hillary in a victory pose, CNN. Never mind how many candidates are in the headline, much less in the body of the story.

    December 4, 2007 12:28 pm at 12:28 pm |
  13. Anonymous

    Almost every single liberal Democrat in America sees the people out in the streets of the middle east screaming for the teacher who allowed a student to name a teddy bear Mohammad to be killed as the same or even better people than Americans who are not liberal democrats. The proof is all over the internet, check out DemocracyUnderground and other sites that show you just how the average liberal democrat thinks and feels.

    Sure, the republicans suck, but this evil that is the liberal democrat and the hate that consumes their being is the last thing that any decent human being in America can and should support.

    Do you think that people should hold parades for and continue to support and vote for child molesters and murderers? If that's a no then you will be voting republican in November. The above is fact, check out Ted Kennedy and Mr. Studds, learn the truth, base your vote and support solely on the truth and facts, thank you.

    BTW, if this sound in truth and facts post makes it up on this site you will find further proof of the evil that is the liberal democrat below it, liberals show their true colors whenever someone posts the truth about what type of person most of them are.

    Posted By Doug, New Jersey : December 4, 2007 10:31 am

    Dude, I don't even know where to begin, you obviously know NOTHING about liberals or Democrats. I don't know anyone who is in favor of the fanatics ranting and raving in the streets of the middle east.
    Go back on your meds Doug you're scaring the small children

    December 4, 2007 12:29 pm at 12:29 pm |
  14. Danny C TN

    So raising over 10 million this quarter so far doenst get a mention from you all?? Ron Paul is rising while they are falling. Hmmm even Faux news reported that Ron Paul could easily pass the 12 million this quarter. Very impressive if you ask me. But then again I support Dr. Paul. We dont need you to spoon feed us our candidates. Could you be any more bias? Yellow journalism at its best.

    December 4, 2007 12:35 pm at 12:35 pm |
  15. hmr, fernandina beach, fl

    Hillary won't win the nomination, nor would she win the election. An Edwards/Obama ticket would chew up any Republican opposition, as well they should.

    December 4, 2007 12:36 pm at 12:36 pm |
  16. Joeley Reno, Nevada

    Hillary's experience is far more extensive than almost all the other candidates (Richardson is awesome too).

    As a woman, she will have to work twice as much, twice as hard and be far more dedicated to success than any of the other candidates.

    She will, she can, she must, so let's support her.

    GO HILLARY 08!

    December 4, 2007 12:38 pm at 12:38 pm |
  17. S. Wright

    USA Today is considered a "scientific" source for a "poll"?

    USA Today is for people who like their news written in crayon.

    These appeals to authority by the mainstream press is why Americans are so uninformed by the mainstream press, and are looking at alternative sources.

    December 4, 2007 12:42 pm at 12:42 pm |
  18. Tex Mex, NYC, NY

    It is becoming obvious that the nation as a whole does NOT want a "long term relationship" with "this woman,"...Mrs. Clinton. Clearly, the worse is yet to come for "this woman."

    December 4, 2007 12:44 pm at 12:44 pm |
  19. Jonathan Drake, Columbus, Ohio

    I can't help but notice that while Mitt Romney is "just behind the pack", there's not one mention of Ron Paul anywhere...was he even included in the poll? Doubt it.

    December 4, 2007 12:47 pm at 12:47 pm |
  20. JB, MD

    A much more interesting ticker might read: Down, Clinton shows Guiliani big poll.

    December 4, 2007 12:48 pm at 12:48 pm |
  21. Brandi Feheley, Jonesboro, AR

    Where's Ron Paul? We obviously did not find him here in your pocket, CNN. Guess we'll have to keep searching.

    December 4, 2007 12:53 pm at 12:53 pm |
  22. anon, new york, ny

    The difference is that Giuliani is in downfall, while Hillary is not. As some of my stocks in the market, she is just taking a temporary correction. She will rise again soon.

    While many republicans do not think Giuliani represent the republican core values, most democrats do think Hillary represents the democrat core values than Obama or other candidates. In addition, polls consistently show that Hillary is the best of all democrat candidates to handle all political issues, and she is most electable. YES, ELECTABILITY WILL PROPEL HILLARY TO HIGHER POLL STANDING.

    Hillary's poll standing will rise as the caucus and primary dates get closer. I will bet my tuna sandwich that she will win the nomination. LOL.

    Hillary 08.

    December 4, 2007 12:57 pm at 12:57 pm |
  23. Jonathan Drake, Columbus, Ohio

    A closer inspection of the polling data does confirm that those polled were not asked whether they would support, not support, or had not heard of Ron Paul.

    December 4, 2007 12:57 pm at 12:57 pm |
  24. Bernard, Scotch Plains NJ

    Are folks going to tell me with a straight face that this woman and her cadre are capable of unifying the country? Healing old wounds? Creating consensus to solve the great problems?

    If you want anger, hatred, and fear to be the dominant factors in American politics, she's 'your girl.'

    December 4, 2007 12:59 pm at 12:59 pm |
  25. Surrealist, Fort Myers, FL

    Good! A little shaking up of the top dogs–shows us the credibility of the others. Looks like the next Presidential candidate from either party will be truly the best. Clearly, the competition is tough, and it will be no "cake walk". I just hope in the national election we can do better than 50% of eligible voters actually taking the time to cast a ballot!!!

    December 4, 2007 12:59 pm at 12:59 pm |
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