December 5, 2007
Posted: December 5th, 2007 11:00 AM ET
WASHINGTON (CNN) – Hillary Clinton and Rudy Giuliani may have greater support than their primary-season rivals in the vote-rich swing states that will play a major role in deciding the general election winner next year, according to a Quinnipiac University survey released Wednesday. But the hypothetical general election match-ups between the frontrunners in both parties remain neck and neck in Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania. The biggest shift in opinion seems to have come in Florida, where the results changed from a 3-point edge for Giuliani last month to a 7-point advantage for Clinton this month. In Ohio, Clinton appears to have a 45 to 41 percent margin over Giuliani. In Pennsylvania, the race is tied at 44 percent of the vote for each candidate. Clinton, alone among the Democratic primary field, beats or ties any of the major GOP primary candidates in all three states. The Democratic primary results in Florida, which votes at the end of January, are: Clinton 53 percent, Obama 17 percent, with none of the other candidates receiving more than single-digit support. The Republican results were 30 percent for Giuliani, 12 percent for Romney 11 percent Huckabee and 10 percent Thompson.
Florida has been penalized by the national Democratic and Republican parties for setting its primary date so early in the cycle. National Democrats have said that none of the state’s delegates will be able to vote at the party’s nominating convention next summer; Republicans have vowed to cut the delegation’s voting strength in half. “The primary match-ups on both sides appear to be driven in part by name recognition,” said CNN Polling Director Keating Holland. “Since the candidates have not campaigned extensively in any of these states, the voters may be choosing up sides based on who they know. “All that is likely to change after Iowa and New Hampshire convey instant name recognition on one or more of their rivals.” The poll had a margin of error of plus or minus 2.9 percent in Ohio and Florida, and plus or minus 3 percent in Pennsylvania. Filed under: Hillary Clinton Rudy Giuliani
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