December 10, 2007
Posted: 04:01 PM ET

Huckabee and Giuliani are in a virtual dead heat, a new poll shows.

DES MOINES, Iowa (CNN) — Mike Huckabee’s dramatic jump in the polls is going nationwide. The former Arkansas governor is in a virtual tie with Republican presidential front-runner Rudy Giuliani in a CNN/Opinion Research Corporation national poll out Monday.

Giuliani, the former New York City mayor, is backed by 24 percent of Republican voters nationally while Huckabee, the former governor of Arkansas, is at 22 percent.

With the two-point difference well within the survey’s sampling error of 5 percentage points, Huckabee is in a virtual tie with Giuliani.

Former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney is at 16 percent in the new poll, followed by Sen. John McCain of Arizona at 12 percent, Former Sen. Fred Thompson of Tennessee at 10 percent, Rep. Ron Paul of Texas at 6 percent, Congressman Duncan Hunter of California at 2 percent and Congressman Tom Tancredo of Colorado at 1 percent. Complete poll results (pdf)

The poll, conducted December 6-9, involved nationwide telephone interviews with 377 registered voters, including Republicans and independent voters who lean Republican.

Huckabee is now the front-runner in the polls in Iowa, the first state to vote in the presidential primary process, taking the top spot from Romney, and he's also jumped dramatically in South Carolina, the first southern state to vote.

Now he appears to be on the rise in national surveys as well. Two countrywide polls last week, Gallup/USA Today and Los Angeles Times/Bloomberg, put him in second place, a prelude to the results in the new CNN survey.

Huckabee doubled his support in October and doubled it again in November, going from 5 percent in October to double digits last month to over 20 percent this month, in the CNN poll.

"Huckabee's strength so far may be a positive, values-oriented message," CNN Polling Director Keating Holland said. "He ranks first when GOP voters are asked who shares their Republican values and who has spent the least time criticizing his opponents. He also scores well on likeability and believability, although Giuliani beats him on those measures.

Huckabee's Achilles' heel?

"Experience," Holland said. "Huckabee places fourth, behind Giuliani, McCain and Romney, when Republicans are asked to rate the GOP candidates on experience."

– CNN Deputy Political Director Paul Steinhauser

Filed under: Mike Huckabee • Polls • Rudy Giuliani


Rada, Houston TX   December 10th, 2007 4:11 pm ET

There you go… we are going to have another "family values" candidate from the GOP… go ahead give us another Flake… with no real convictions. Just because he a "Christian" does not make a good president… how high is the pulpit we have to fall down from?
nothing to learn from the last 7 years?

John, Michigan   December 10th, 2007 4:18 pm ET

Huckabee would be one sure way to get me to vote for Hillary.

Rich Des Moines, IA   December 10th, 2007 4:18 pm ET

I really hate to say this…But if Huck is the nominee, I will vote (for the very first and hopefully the last) for a democrat. This is a sad day.

Huck is just playing the religion card and the last time I checked…he with the largest church, isn't automatically the most qualified.

IMHO he is the least qualified of all of the candidates.

Clay, Herndon, VA   December 10th, 2007 4:21 pm ET

Let him, the more the GOP puts stock in someone who doesn't believe in evolution, the better. Cling to your idea of a 6,000 year old Earth, and let the rest of us, who believe in SCIENCE retake our country from the televangelist nation.

Gorbashov, Long Beach, Ca.   December 10th, 2007 4:22 pm ET

Huckabee's Achilles' heel? Isn't just "Experience", it's his promotion of a RADICAL change in the tax code which goes from our current system to a National Sales Tax (Fair Tax). This would eliminate home mortgage deductions and all other deductions! While there is no difinitive study on what this RADICAL NEW TAX RATE would be, the proponents talk about 23%, while some studies say the rate could go as high as 57%!

One could only imagine how this regressive tax would effect the middle class and the economy!

NoForHuck, OK   December 10th, 2007 4:24 pm ET

He may be rising in the polls, but this guy just doesn't have the experience other candidates have. Nice guy, and very polite, some southern charm, but this guy is not deep in the experience that matters for the country. What's the big fuss all about? That he was a minister? So what? So people are willing to give him the most powerful job in the world because he was a preacher? There was a reason why he was a bottom-tier candidate…he doesn't have what it takes.

Bob, Seattle   December 10th, 2007 4:24 pm ET

Straight to the White House.

John Allan   December 10th, 2007 4:25 pm ET

Dot.Com Huckabee. Huck is just like the late 1990s. All hype and no foundation. He doesn't have the experience, money, or ground organization of Romney or Guiliani, and he could never defeat Hillary in a general election. My money's on Romney. I'm voting for Mitt, who I happen to think is the best candidate this country has seen in decades.

Anonymous   December 10th, 2007 4:25 pm ET

"the survey’s sampling error of 5 percentage points"

5% POINTS!? Is that the best you can do CNN??

Charlie houston texas   December 10th, 2007 4:26 pm ET

I don't agree with Guiliani, but I do believe what he says. His past actions match the rhetoric. Huckabee on the other hand has a pattern of inconsistency. For ex.
Check this quote about Guantanamo.

Huckabee in June 2007 also warned against releasing its prisoners. “If we let somebody out and it turns out that they come and fly an airliner into one of our skyscrapers, we're going to be asking how come we didn't stop them, we had them detained,” he said. "If we're going to make a mistake right now, let's make it on the side of protecting the American people.”

Well, Huck why didn't you do that in the Dumond case, where he was released and raped/killed two more women?

Steve, NY   December 10th, 2007 4:27 pm ET

Mike Huckabee has more executive experience than any of his fellow candidates. If this is considered to be his achilles' heel then I will be the first to congratulate him on winning the nomination.

Joe G, Washington, DC   December 10th, 2007 4:30 pm ET

Huckabee is a clown! Preacher man and bigot - go back to your trailer in Arkansas.

Mary, Holland, MI   December 10th, 2007 4:33 pm ET

You know, it's time we start really listening to what Mike Huckabee says and not just how nicely he says it.

Larry, Tolland CT   December 10th, 2007 4:35 pm ET

I really like Huckabee. He's smart, likeable. He won't pull the troops of Iraq because he knows that will bring road side bombs here in America. He not willing to put our lives in danger like left loon liberals. Huckabee need to win. Vote American, vote Huckabee!

Jon B Olathe KS   December 10th, 2007 4:36 pm ET

Why is every other article on here about Obama or Hucklebee?

What about some attention to the only man who can save this country from suffering a fate similar to the Roman Empire and the Soviet Union?

I realize that Huckabee is the darling of the theocratic seeking religous right…but yeah…how about some equal exposure..

Andrew, NJ   December 10th, 2007 4:46 pm ET

His fall will be much more dramatic than his rise…as more and more people find out his fiscal record, his amnesty record, and his pushing to pardon a rapist who ended up raping and killing another woman

Garry Lemons, Benton, Arkansas   December 10th, 2007 4:47 pm ET

AS an Arkansan who witnessed first hand the antics of Huacabee, you folks better "see the light."
This man will say and or do anything to get this nomination.
I would suggest you folks in S. Carolina and Iowa take a look at this man's record before you proclaim him your answer to the White House.
There is a lot you might discover that you won't like. I know we in Arkansas did!

James Newark NJ   December 10th, 2007 4:53 pm ET

Way to go huckabee!! with little money you can still win!!

RightyTighty   December 10th, 2007 4:54 pm ET

Republican's like experience that actually shows on something besides paper..

Louis Phelps   December 10th, 2007 4:59 pm ET

He has 11 years as the govornor of Arkansas verses Hillary's 7 years as the Senator of New York. If he lacks experience, then Hillary should quit now. Then again, maybe that is why she likes to claim her husband's presidency as her experience.

Emily, Princeton, NJ   December 10th, 2007 5:02 pm ET

RON PAUL 2008.

Matt, Columbia, SC   December 10th, 2007 5:11 pm ET

I'm a strong conservative on almost all issues, but I am not joking or exaggerating when I say that I will vote for whomever the Democrats nominate over some clown who doesn't believe in evolution.

Jacob   December 10th, 2007 5:13 pm ET

I think Mr Huckabee will make an excellent GOP presidential candidate. So authentic. So comfortable in his own skin. So disarmingly funny and charming. So genuinely manly. I bet he's even loyal, and knows his mind, and sticks with his decisions, made from the gut of course. How could he possibly not make a great president. Lord knows these are the qualities of historic presidents.

benton, indianapolis, in   December 10th, 2007 5:20 pm ET

I wonder if you are looking at the next come back kid from Arkansas?

Steve, Middlefield, OH   December 10th, 2007 5:20 pm ET

Governor Huckabee's executive experience is actually excellent. He was governor for over 10 years and considered one of America's best. He has a steady hand, strong character, and is a true statesman.

Walt, Belton, TX   December 10th, 2007 5:27 pm ET

How about neither?

Brian, Garnerville, NY   December 10th, 2007 5:32 pm ET

WHY do I read these articles to find out they are basing this on 377 people? What, IN ANY WAY does that tell us? They actually think this offers any sense of accurate information, polling 377 people when multi-millions will be voting? You have GOT to be kidding me.

Joel San Clemente, CA   December 10th, 2007 5:41 pm ET

We need a President who will make all the states
vote on the issues that are not directly tied to
national security or National Finance.
Abortion, Gay rights, gun-control,
Death Penalty (and all of the issues around it)
education, etc..
All of these issues are decided at the state level,
then shall remain in effect for 10 years.
Then, everyone can prioritize their personal
values, and move to a state that shares them, and
be comfortable with where they live.
You wanna live in a gun free zone, because that
is the #1 factor of life in your mind, move to
a state that resticts guns. You wanna live in a
state that executes a criminal for killing someone?
Move to Texas… You'd live where the State's policies
are in direct harmony with your views.
Then, the issues that would need to be addressed
would be foreign policy, immigration, etc.

Jaik , chicago, IL   December 10th, 2007 5:56 pm ET

The GOP has it all worked out, they have a canidate to go up agaainst the strength of each Dem , Guliani is there in case Hillary is ahead, Huckabee is there in case Obama pulls ahead. Huck takes the "DC outsider" thing away from Obama, the inexperience thing is less important against Obama than it would have been against Hillary, who would crush him. But he's the sort of chritian facist that they really want in their little hearts. Its a hedge bet

Jack, Atlanta, GA   December 10th, 2007 6:03 pm ET

Prepare for the fall of Huckabee. Just as he is rapidly rising, prepare for him to make a "precipitous withdrawal." These votes that Huckabee is attracting, perhaps with the exception of Iowans', are pretty insignificant. Any rapid rise such as this one is not built on a firm foundation, as Obama's appears to be. Not only that, but he's open on his flank for some harsh attacks. My prediction: within the month, the Giuliani camp will have refocused itself and will no longer be dogged by the same controversies as the voters come to the realization that they have to beat Hillary Clinton (Most Republicans, from my experience, assume she will be the nominee). Huckabee will be viewed as another Pat Robertson, and he will win Iowa by about 10 points. This momentum will definitely not carry over to New Hampshire, and possibly not to South Carolina. Romney is done. Giuliani is the only one with a chance, in my view, unless McCain launches some sort of stunning last-minute rally in New Hampshire. Then again, I'm probably wrong.

Nate Sacramento   December 10th, 2007 6:08 pm ET

Terrific, people are starting to realize what a joke Giuliani is. The "order" should be:

1. Huckabee
2. Romney
3. Paul
4. McCain
5. Giuliani

MarkieBee, Sacramento, Calif.   December 10th, 2007 6:09 pm ET

WOW! Vinod Gupta's company is only reporting a 10-point spread?!? That means the real story is that Obama probably has a three- to five-point lead if Gupta's slobber wasn't all over the poll. When will the Clinton News Network stop using Opinion Research Corporation polls? If Oprah Winfrey had a polling company, would you folks be posting her numbers? You know that Oscar accounting company (Price-Waterhouse I think it is) that keeps track of the voting? If CNN found out that the CEO of that accounting firm was also a producer on a movie up for best picture, would you folks question the validity of the vote? I know these are broad hypotheticals, but…If the CEO of a company that manufactured touch-screen voting machines guaranteed that Bush would be re-elected in 2004, wouldn't we all be crying foul? Oh wait, that actually happened. Anyway, InfoUSA and Opinion Research Corp. are both owned by Vinod Gupta - Hillary's best buddy. I wonder what Bill Clinton spent that $3 million on that he got from Gupta over the summer?

Richard, St. Paul, MN   December 10th, 2007 6:33 pm ET

Giuliani's a buffoon; Romney's a bald-faced liar; and McCain's a Bush clone. Huckabee isn't bad, but I worry about some of his financial policies. However, I agree with all of 'em that we need to SECURE OUR BORDERS and fix the Illegal Criminal, er, Immigrant pestilence that's spreading.

Josie   December 10th, 2007 7:22 pm ET

GAAAH!!! Another religious right freak!!!!

ED winter park fl   December 10th, 2007 7:39 pm ET

I do not think that this country needs another bible thumper,holy roller like the likes of haggard,jim swaggert jim baker,pat robertson, or jerry fallwell. As most of these big snake oil salesmen it is only a matter of time before some type of scandal will show up and old Huck will end up crying and asking for forgiveness. Wish I had better thoughts about religious people that want to change the world to there beliefs.

Jack, Atlanta, GA   December 10th, 2007 7:51 pm ET

I've gotta say something else. I like Huckabee too. But that doesn't mean I want him to be president. He's a likable guy, but what he really does is to thickly veil bigotry and hatred with his own affability. The reason I like him is that I don't think his views are borne out of hatred and bigotry. However, his affability will not hide his positions forever. Unless the GOP wants DNC fundraisers to start making calls for Huckabee, they're going to nominate a more electable candidate.

Larry Dallas TX   December 10th, 2007 7:53 pm ET

Mike "The Hick" Huckabee is a horrible and hypocritical lightweight with a barely moderate IQ, whose alleged "off the cuff wit" actually consists of nothing more than an endless stream of hackneyed one-liners stolen straight from tee-shirts, bumper strips, coffee mugs, and Joke-Of-The-Day Calendars. He has no foreign policy experience or perspective and his only appeal to the earth-tone worshiping Barco-Lounger Crowd in meatloaf-chomping Middle America is his smug claim of being a true Bible-beating Christian Conservative and former Baptist preacher. How people can be so easily swayed by someone so obviously hollow and transparent is sad testament to the dumbing down of this country as a whole. Fortunately, however, I think he will only succeed in muddying the water for the front-runner Republican candidates and strengthening the Democratic party's chances of taking back the White House. So I suppose I should actually be thanking him at the same time that I would dearly love to see him tarred and feathered.

Tom Dedham, Mass   December 10th, 2007 8:08 pm ET

I really hate to say this…But if Huck is the nominee, I will vote (for the very first and hopefully the last) for a democrat. This is a sad day.

Huck is just playing the religion card and the last time I checked…he with the largest church, isn't automatically the most qualified.

IMHO he is the least qualified of all of the candidates.

Posted By Rich Des Moines, IA : December 10, 2007 4:18 pm

Just like I would Rich, I would vote for Biden or Obama if he was the nominee and if neither of them were the Dems nominee, I would write in someone else.

I think once the book is opened on this fictional candidate, he will be toast, one can only hope.

LOL,LA   December 10th, 2007 8:13 pm ET

EXPERIENCE??? NON OF THE TOP DUMMYCRATS HAVE ANY????? WHAT'S THE POINT!! —-LMAO

concerned Citizen Lynchburg, Va   December 10th, 2007 9:02 pm ET

DO NOt VOTE FOR HUCKABEE!i say this as a moderate! he's a southern baptist preacher(no offence to baptists, or southerners) who wants to quarantine everyone with AIDS. He also believes that AIDS is a gay plague, which is probably one of the dumbest things ive ever heard. he also does not believe in evolution. Unless you want a president telling you what to believe.

Independent Voter, TN   December 10th, 2007 9:03 pm ET

Sadly, the one candidate who doesn't reek of sleaze seems to bring out the ire of people who don't believe in God and "family values."

Back up your positions with facts…not hyperbole, speculation and "feelings." This candidate, by most accounts, did a pretty good job of running Arkansas from the statehouse, not the pulpit. Not saying he was perfect, but then again, haven't yet met a politician who was.

Having core beliefs that mirror those of 90% of the population of our country merits some appeal to the electorate, don't you think?

Thomas Wells, Laer Ton MI   December 10th, 2007 9:05 pm ET

I'm not sure if this is correct. I'm sure they are both in the poll. Can't some of you think that there are guys from your neighborhood or community that would make an excellent leader?

I'm just in a state of disbelief. How did we get to this point? It's so obvious that NO ONE IS WORTH ELECTING.

Someone help me out, seriously. Am I the only one that thinks something strange is going on? Why isn't there are leader, a mans man in the running. I am referring to both sides of the isle too.

Martin, Miami, FL   December 10th, 2007 9:17 pm ET

Everything just washes off of Huckabee.
Only in the USA you can be a smiling, likable church minister and sent somebody to the electric chair. In the middle age in Europe you could too. And I guess only on the View you will be able to say without serious consequences that you don’t believe that the earth is round.
You can invent crazy fair taxes and put America into the next turmoil because you have good visions for good Americans.

Giuliani, catholic and divorced (no chance you go to hell immediately). This sounds like real life to me. Not everything is straight, a personal blessing of God (because to talk to each other daily), but twists and turns, hard explanations to do.

Trollmaster, CA   December 10th, 2007 9:32 pm ET

I'd like to see someone ask him point blank if he really thinks the Earth is 6000 years old, and see him make a fool out of himself.

After he wins the primaries that is.

AJ, IC, IA   December 10th, 2007 9:47 pm ET

If Huckabee is the GOP nomination, I am voting Dem. I would vote for the person who acknowledges that they are liberal and not one who THINKS they are conservative! I think Mr. Huckabee is thoroughly confused.

George,Nashua,NH   December 10th, 2007 10:54 pm ET

Good picture of Rudi….Thanx Rudi!

James Izzard   December 10th, 2007 11:07 pm ET

really interesting article and i don't mean to cross post, but i love articles that tell it like it is

Sorry for a bit of blatant promotion but this article on Upchuckabee was to good to pass up passing on.

http://www.queerty.com/news/huckabee-may-have-lost-weight-but-hes-still-a-pig-20071210/#comments

mike, Cols. Ohio   December 10th, 2007 11:39 pm ET

How does Mike Huckabee not have experience? He ran a state for a decade! What is Hillary's experience? married to a pres? a do nothing senator? What about Obama? less than 4 yrs in the seante? running for white house for 3 yrs? And FYI, the scientists that you worship have produced more evidence proving god than disproving god!

Sal lincoln nebraska   December 11th, 2007 12:36 am ET

Hasnt anyone noticed that once Ron Paul started voicing his economic positions and didnt get blasted for it and got the praise that the working class should be giving it, that everyone else starts shoveling out these watered down versions of what to do with taxes and tax codes…If you want to stop paying taxes and you want the infastructure in america to return to quaility standars should probably start with the whole basis of capitalism, tax corporation the additional 90% they should be paying in taxes…The whole point of capitalism is for corporations to make as much money as possible to pay in as much taxes as possible so we can sustain a decent way of life in this country.

Larry, Birmingham, AL   December 11th, 2007 1:58 am ET

Larry, Tolland CT….If you think that getting out of Iraq will result in roadside bombs over here, you are delusional. Huckabee is not a real Christian. He calls himself a "pro-lifer" yet he has no problem watching young American men and women die in a faraway desert.

Alan Hale, Richmond, VA   December 11th, 2007 2:03 am ET

Thomas Wells, Laer Ton MI I can help you by asking that you take a look at Ron Paul. I'm not telling you to vote for him because it is your choice. But I do ask that you look at the facts about Dr. Paul and I think that you will realize that he is the only candidate who is "for the people".

Joe,georgetown Texas   December 11th, 2007 8:15 am ET

Huckabee let a rapiest free several times when he was governor

Ton, Idaho   December 19th, 2007 3:58 pm ET

How does a clown (Huckabee) without a real campaign or even a leg to stand on jump to the head of the polls. Does it occur to anyone that the media is largely Democratic? Wouldn't they love to convince the Republicans to nominate the biggest joke on a stage of several other candidates that could easily beat any of their front-runners. In the last debate, Huckabee was spouting cliches like a philosopher…not a leader. It was humiliating. Then, the media tried to spin it as a win for Huckabee, because no one attacked him. No one needed to, he sunk himself. Republicans are smarter than this. Get to know the candidates. Don't listen to the media's sales job.

Anthony   January 6th, 2008 7:57 am ET

The problem is, none of them say anything at these debates…they interrupt and defend each other without letting the points be clear… it's ego wars. I would learn more by doing my own digging and finding out what they really believe. FactCheck.org has been helpful, seems they are all a bunch of liars except for Ron Paul, who is a bit too timid at times, or perhaps that's what they call "class".

E-Z   January 8th, 2008 1:35 pm ET

I don't care how people "feel" about Huckabee and his values and opinions, but I like his view on things. He is a good man who can help raise the sinking morality of this country… So he doesn't believe in evolution. Look deeper into it and you might not either… Look deeper into him and you might like him. I've grown up with many politicians (seeing how my grandfather was one) and this man reminds me of my grandpa, even though my grandpa was a democrat… If he is on the general election ticket, I will definately vote for him!!!

Anonymous   February 11th, 2008 12:57 pm ET

Some of you say that Huckabee lacks credentials and the experience needed to become the next President. You are entitled to your opinion, but I fail to see how 11 years of being the best governor this country has ever seen qualifies as a so called "lack of experience". He single handedly organized one of the largest relief efforts to the people of New Orleans, when FEMA failed to even make a dent. He completely turned the state of Arkansas, with a budget surplus of $600 million dollars. The major news channels just write him off, so he doesn't get even 1/3 of the air-time that the other candidates get, yet when the word got out in the south, embraced Mike Huckabee as a true conservative. Romney and Obama say that this is not an election based on race, gender or religion. I would say that they are both correct. This is a money race.

Comments have been closed for this article

subscribe RSS Icon
About The Ticker

The latest political news from CNN's Best Political Team, with campaign coverage, 24-7. Sign up for our twice daily Ticker emails. Got a news tip or feedback? For complete political coverage, bookmark CNNPolitics.com.

Categories
CNN Comment Policy: CNN encourages you to add a comment to this discussion. You may not post any unlawful, threatening, libelous, defamatory, obscene, pornographic or other material that would violate the law. Please note that CNN makes reasonable efforts to review all comments prior to posting and CNN may edit comments for clarity or to keep out questionable or off-topic material. All comments should be relevant to the post and remain respectful of other authors and commenters. By submitting your comment, you hereby give CNN the right, but not the obligation, to post, air, edit, exhibit, telecast, cablecast, webcast, re-use, publish, reproduce, use, license, print, distribute or otherwise use your comment(s) and accompanying personal identifying information via all forms of media now known or hereafter devised, worldwide, in perpetuity. CNN Privacy Statement.
Home  |  World  |  U.S.  |  Politics  |  Entertainment  |  Health  |  Tech  |  Travel  |  Living  |  Business  |  Sports  |  Time.com
Podcasts  |  Blogs  |  CNN Mobile  |  Preferences |  Email Alerts  |  CNN Radio  |  CNN Shop  |  Site Map
© 2007 Cable News Network LP, LLLP. A Time Warner Company. All Rights Reserved.
Powered by WordPress.com