December 14th, 2007
01:32 PM ET
10 years ago

Poll: Clinton's lead vanishes in New Hampshire

Obama has a 1 point lead over Clint in New Hampshire, according to a new poll.

WASHINGTON (CNN) - Democrat Hillary Clinton has lost her once-comfortable lead over rival Barack Obama in the crucial primary state of New Hampshire, according to a poll released Friday.

In the new poll conducted by the Concord Monitor, Obama surpasses the New York senator by 1 percentage point: 32 percent to 31 percent. Meanwhile, John Edwards comes in a distant third with 15 percent support among likely Democratic voters, while Bill Richardson is fourth with 7 percent.

Speaking to reporters in Iowa Friday, Clinton commented on several recent polls both in Iowa and New Hampshire that show she is tied with Obama.

"I guess I've been in enough campaigns over a lot of years to know that there is no predictability and there certainly is no inevitability," she said. "You have to get out and work for every single vote. That's what I have always done. I don't know any other way to do it."

Meanwhile, at a separate event in Iowa, Obama commented on his rise in the polls, saying, "people are receptive to this message of change."

"I am confident in my ability to lead this country," he said. "And increasingly we are doing well. Not just here in Iowa but across the country."

Obama's chances of success in the Granite State will likely hinge on how many independents show up at the polls. Unlike many states, New Hampshire allows unaffiliated voters to vote in either the Republican primary or the Democratic primary - an allowance that often can give a boost to candidates who are viewed as outside their party establishment.

Of independent voters who are likely to vote in the Democratic primary, the poll shows Obama has a wide lead over Clinton, 40 percent to 23 percent. Meanwhile Clinton holds the lead over Obama when it comes to registered Democrats in the state, 36 percent to 27 percent.

The poll also shows Obama is making inroads with women in the Granite State. The Illinois senator now edges out Clinton in that demographic, 34 percent to 32 percent.

The poll carries a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points.

- CNN Ticker Producer Alexander Mooney

soundoff (126 Responses)
  1. R, Boston MA


    Go Obama! Love it.

    December 14, 2007 11:42 am at 11:42 am |
  2. R, Boston MA

    PS –
    Alexander, you should really change the title of this post to:
    "Obama takes the lead in ket state"

    December 14, 2007 11:43 am at 11:43 am |
  3. Scott, Royal Oak, MI

    Hillary : "You have to get out and work for every single vote. That's what I have always done. I don't know any other way to do it."

    Riiiiight, Hillary. Interesting words from a campaign which has gone from touting inevitability to reeking of desperation and dirty tricks. I also love how she acts like she has so much experience and has "fought for votes" for so long, but actually has LESS time in elective office than Obama.

    Good riddance, Hillary. I actually didn't mind you at first...but with you, familiarity breeds contempt.

    December 14, 2007 11:44 am at 11:44 am |
  4. Lee M

    Once the "inevitabilty" argument collapses, Hillary's support will continue to crumble.

    This is a refreshing development, much like Huckabee's rise over Mitt and Rudy (9-11 Rudy in case you all forgot).

    Although the media, talk show hosts etc. may be unhappy, the rank and file in both parties are looking for more authentic candidates, rather than those that give "political" answers to every question. It would be nice if we had a clear choice in November 2008, without triangulation, obfuscation, or dishonest flip-flopping.

    I am heartened by the evidence that once voters start paying attention more, they do not always go for the media appointed "frontrunner" but may think outside the box sometimes.

    December 14, 2007 11:44 am at 11:44 am |
  5. EE

    As an independent this is what we hear people say. Talking to people from IO or HN alot of the undecided voters say finally they will vote to sanction negativity in campaigns.

    Some dont say who is negative but it doesnt take one to be a psycho analyst to know its the Clintons.

    I cant imagine Hilary is fallen this cheap to the Senator from Illinois.Hilary stop negativity and that may help you in Nevada given that u will lose IO,NH and SC to Mr Obama.

    December 14, 2007 11:46 am at 11:46 am |
  6. Gabe, Austin TX

    Looks like that comment she made to KC about "no way I won't win" has come back to haunt her.

    That's what you get for your smug sense of self satisfaction hillary, you'd think that with all your "experience" you'd know that nothing is ever a sure thing.

    December 14, 2007 11:46 am at 11:46 am |
  7. anon New York, NY

    She just told Katie Couric last week that there was no doubt in her mind that she would be the nominee.

    December 14, 2007 11:47 am at 11:47 am |
  8. MB Nekog

    Oh what a shocker, CNN has found another poll to support its designated candidate. I'm sure I can find several more polls that indicate the absolute opposite. I find it very biased and slanted to have an entire week where your ticker column always leads with "Hillary slides." She will surprise ALL of you! Remember, who invented the concept of the "Come Back Kid!"

    December 14, 2007 11:48 am at 11:48 am |
  9. Matt, Arlington, VA

    oops– this wasn't supposed to happen, the candidate of inevitability was supposed to have a coronation! She's been Obamatized....

    December 14, 2007 11:50 am at 11:50 am |
  10. sally,Lowell,ma

    Oprah,drug use. CNN can you tell us something positive about Obama and stop picking fights for us please. We have seen what you can do in your main network for the last 5months. I can not wait this election to be over..

    December 14, 2007 11:50 am at 11:50 am |
  11. southcarolina1974

    Go Barack. This guy has the qualities that all of us would like to see in a president, and that we sorely missed in this current president. I am not a Democrat, but I am hoping that the Democrats are courageous enough and smart enough to nominate him. If they do, I will certainly vote for him. With Hillary, I am not so sure. That will depend on the Republican. With Obama, my vote is a done deal.

    December 14, 2007 11:52 am at 11:52 am |

    The SAGE of Albuquerque speakest. Hillary will win the Iowa caucus and will win decisively in New Hampshire. Those victories and her win in South Carolina will be just enough to silence the pundits and dismantle the machines of Obama and Edwards. the rest will be the inevitable nomination of Hillary Clinton. It is a good though to see Americans turning out for Obama, he has redefine the candidacy of diversity.

    December 14, 2007 11:52 am at 11:52 am |
  13. Frank, San Diego

    Great news for Democrats. No coronation, just a good, old-fashioned campaign. If Clinton still wins, that's fine. Obama and Edwards will have had their chance. If someone else wins, Hillary had the same chance.

    Who's it bad news for? Republicans. Given the fact that McCain is their most electable candidate, and that he can't survive a poor finish in NH, he needs the independents voting on the Republican side. If the Democratic primary stays this close, that's where they will gravitate. And the Republican's chance to nominate the only person who might bring independents back to their party will be lost. Too bad:)

    December 14, 2007 11:52 am at 11:52 am |
  14. matt,springfield,md

    Obama is a genuine politician who can clearly write and express his points validly. His inspiration and positive spirit has led many people to follow his mission of Hope and Change. However, this person before me is most likely a conservative status quo Baby Boomer struggling with their narrow-mindedness. It just shows you that America has a lot of growing to do in order to prosper as a nation. Good Luck

    December 14, 2007 11:54 am at 11:54 am |
  15. Shawn, Lincoln, NE

    I guess she is claiming all of Bill's campaigns in her own campaign experiences just like her having all of this policy experience she seems to tout. A pair of landslide wins in an East Coast state does not constitute a wealth of campaign experience. Obama is not going to claim an edge in experience in campaigns. And Another Thing!!! Do NOT use the addage "I will get out and work for every single vote." It sent chills down my spine to hear Bush Speak from her lips. It's hard work? Get real.
    Seriously. Hillary, Get real!

    December 14, 2007 11:57 am at 11:57 am |
  16. Doug, GA

    Great news that Clinton's lead has vanished. The best news will be that Bill & Hilary have vanished...

    December 14, 2007 11:58 am at 11:58 am |
  17. Alice, TN

    Burn, Burn, Burn!!!!

    December 14, 2007 12:01 pm at 12:01 pm |
  18. Manny CA

    Its a tie in NH, independent voters in NH can cast their vote during primary.

    Why is it CNN did not mention Hillary now is +8 against Obama in SC according to their poll?

    Bill Clinton lost in Iowa and NH during primary election, he was elected President. Why would people think NH or Iowa is the true measure who'll be the next President of USA?

    That's just my two cents of opinion.

    December 14, 2007 12:01 pm at 12:01 pm |
  19. Monte Brown, New York, NY

    Obama will not win New Hampshire. Hillary will win New Hampshire.

    December 14, 2007 12:01 pm at 12:01 pm |
  20. michael, ny

    "Well, Hillary, I'm looking forward to you advising me as well."

    December 14, 2007 12:02 pm at 12:02 pm |
  21. Eli, Brandeis university, MA

    Please notice how this article highlights the one percentage point lead of Obama over Clinton in a poll with an error of 4 percentage points.
    that means, that in fact, Clinton may be three points ahead.

    Conclusions shouldn't be drawn from such inconclusive polls.

    December 14, 2007 12:02 pm at 12:02 pm |
  22. Maria, Houston

    People are starting to pay attention. We are fed up with lying conniving politicians of both parties. "It is INTEGRITY, stupid". Simple as that.


    December 14, 2007 12:03 pm at 12:03 pm |
  23. michael, grand prairie tx.

    Her lead in South Carolina Has also vanished.Dirty Politics.........Hillary the Beast.
    uuuuggggghhhh.Leaves a dirty taste in my mouth.

    December 14, 2007 12:05 pm at 12:05 pm |
  24. richard,manchester,nh

    Has Hillary given out the records that she had said will be out in 2012 yet? I am still awaiting and that is why I am supporting Obama because he is atleast honest and no baggage

    December 14, 2007 12:06 pm at 12:06 pm |
  25. Margot, Cayman

    As a non American following the candidates with a neutral eye I think Hillary is by far the best candidate. I think the comment by Obama at the last debate that "Hillary could advise him" is not a joke like it is being presented in the media but underscores that even he has to admit (albeit jokingly) that she is more experienced.

    December 14, 2007 12:07 pm at 12:07 pm |
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