December 18, 2007
Posted: 09:30 AM ET

Bill Schneider takes a look at Huckabee's gamble.

WASHINGTON (CNN) — Republican Mike Huckabee caused a stir last week when he publicly criticized the Bush administration's approach to foreign policy. Bill Schneider takes a look at how that might play with the party's base.

Filed under: Mike Huckabee


Quinn Smith, Louisville, KY   December 18th, 2007 3:38 pm ET

My thoughts on the whole campaign: I believe Hilary will be the democratic nominee and it is my feeling the only way to beat her in the general election is to nominate one of two people: Mitt Romney or Giuliani.

This is my logic: People want great change in America and a clean break from Bush; democrats and republicans alike. If Huckabee is the nominee, Hilary will convince voters that if you think Bush brought too much religion into the white house, then watch out…Huckabee will be worse. He is having success in the "Bible Belt” states but I feel that some of his poor decisions as Gov. will ultimately be his downfall.

Fred Thompson I feel would make a decent VP but he lacks the support and to be frank, the knowledge of crucial issues. He is also too much like Bush.

Ron Paul: Ron Paul who? No, I'm just joking. Paul can sure raise a lot of money in one day…what was it, $6 million? Wow! But his views and some of the policies he wants to introduce are neither pro-democrat nor pro-republican. He is by far the worst debater in the republican race. Hilary would be a shoe-in if Ron Paul was the rep nominee.

John McCain has a lot of experience and has a good consistent record to back it up. His downfall is his lack of organization. He spent something like $36 million during this campaign and not much to show for it. Also, the man tends to be a hot-head. I feel that if nominated, the Hilary team will find a way to hit a nerve and make him explode. He will say something very un-presidential and look stupid.

Giuliani and Romney have the money, support, and organization. Out of Giuliani and Romney, I feel that Romney has the better shot at beating Hilary. The logic behind my theory:

Giuliani has many personal skeletons in his closet. Hilary will find them, exploit them, and make him look unfit and unworthy to run the country. He is tough on crime and terror and I personally think he is running his campaign very savvy by not attacking anyone and playing the "American's Mayor" card. But I feel that his stance on abortion, gay rights, and his scandalous personal life will play a big role with conservatives. Hilary vs. Giuliani would be a very close race and it would be anyone's ballgame. I only hope and pray that Giuliani wins if these two meet.

Romney vs. Hilary on the other hand would make for a very interesting presidential race. The first woman nominee and the first Mormon nominee. Their views differ drastically on almost every issue. All the democrats will vote for Hilary and the same with the republicans voting for Romney. I feel that the presidential debates will be important and will sway enough independents towards Romney because he is the best debater and orator. Hilary is a politician. Romney is a business man/politician/leader. He is charming and likable, presidential and has a history of success. Hilary will probably play the "Mormon" card against Romney, kind of like the "Kindergarten" card she played against Obama. It will only hurt her in the end. In general, I believe that the voters will not judge the nominee on religion but on experience, views on critical matters, and their integrity. The only hope for Hilary is to make Romney out to be a "flip-flopper," and I must admit, he seemed to have changed his views on certain issues. But I'm confident that if given the opportunity to explain himself, the American voting population will understand and sympathize. I see this race being close but not as close as a Hilary vs. Giuliani race. Romney wins by almost double digits.

Garry Lemons, Benton, Arkansas   December 18th, 2007 3:09 pm ET

Some of you folks are just plain stupid! "We trusted one Arkansas Governor and look where it got us" is one STUPID comment. get over the darn cigar missy! At least Clinton did more for this country than this fool we have in office now! And you wanna talk about trust and lies, look to our current Bozo in the White House, talk about a "trust issue"!
And you folks haven't lived in a state where the Huckster had his reign.
You folks better wise up to the Hucks plans..he will take this country down the same path with his devout religious fanatisism. He is against everything EXCEPT what he says.

JD, Syracuse, NY   December 18th, 2007 2:55 pm ET

A kettle calling a pot black. Both are ignorant in foreign policies.

Angel, Los Angeles of Anaheim   December 18th, 2007 2:08 pm ET

to Bryan Cox:
We trusted one former Arkansas governor and look where it got us. We still are trying to fight that one off. How can you expect the nation to trust your opinion again so soon afterwards???

JB Oakland   December 18th, 2007 2:07 pm ET

The Bible tells us not to "speak evil of the leader of our country". I am sure Mike must have read that during seminary.(Acts 23:5)

Posted By M.E.Adams Wasilla, Alaska : December 18, 2007 11:24 am

You are aware that the Bible has been translated many times with the translated editions having to have the King's approval. Hmmm, wonder why there is a verse to obey the leader???

Angel, Los Angeles of Anaheim   December 18th, 2007 2:04 pm ET

To Bryan Cox:
Just a reminder, we tried electing one former Arkansas governor and look what happeneed. We are still trying to get rid of them. How do you expect us to trust your opinion of another one?

Obama '08

C., K. Justus   December 18th, 2007 1:54 pm ET

The truth is what counts and Huckabee had the guts to tell the truth. The rest are ignoring the fact they have a failed foreign policy and they do not realize you cannot dictate to the other nations of the world.
Huckabee's rating with me went up several points. He can admit when things are not right and that takes a man to adnit mistakes and will expound on them and try to correct them.

Val Davydov, Agawam, MA   December 18th, 2007 1:54 pm ET

Bryan Cox:

I am not even close to being Ron Paul's fan, but your statement is ridiculous. Do you know what Huckabee's foreign policy is? Because we don't.

JC, Topeka, Kansas   December 18th, 2007 12:58 pm ET

I would not vote for Huckabee if he ran unapposed, but the Bush administration is arrogant and has a bunker mentality, that much I will agree with him, however, I disapprove of his efforts at damage control to the right wing fanatics by then coming out and saying I ment the foreign policy not the administration.

Call it like it is, don't go getting wishy washy.

Mike, NY   December 18th, 2007 12:33 pm ET

In the end, we've heard the same rhetoric before - from Bush in 2000. "We need to be humble" and "we need to talk to people," etc. I definitely agree with this, but how do we know Huckabee will follow through? Bush did not.

Given that Huckabee supports staying in Iraq until God-knows-when, I don't think he's sincere about a more humble foreign/diplomatic policy. And there is no record with which to compare his actions regarding foreign policy.

And, of course, there are all of his domestic policies which I find absolutely horrible.

Bryan Cox   December 18th, 2007 12:29 pm ET

Huckabee is genuine and honest. I don't know why people who don't know him and haven't lived in Arkansas under his leadership can say he isn't. They don't know. He is moderate in most things but rightly conservative with our the values (a society whose values radically change is not a society, it's an anarchy…social values should always be conservative).

And to those who praise Paul, please learn more about foreign policy. Paul wants to close down all foreign bases. Sounds good in theory but it would leave our country vulnerable and hurt us far more than anything experienced so far in Iraq. I am very surprised that so few have criticized his foreign policy views, because they are highly naive and unrealistic. It seems as if he's just using people's frustration (and in some cases hate) of the war in an attempt to get elected. If he should (heaven forbid) get elected, don't be surprised if his tune changes when he finds out all the stuff regular citizens can't know.

Surrealist, Fort Myers, FL   December 18th, 2007 12:27 pm ET

You know…as a Manager and leader myself. If I had an employee who received an evaluatio like that I'd fire them. They wouldn't have made it through the 90 day probation–much less 8 years. Mabye it's about time our politicians had to meet standards like all the rest of us.

Surrealist,Fort Myers, FL   December 18th, 2007 12:25 pm ET

I do appreciate his fortitude to finally mention what all the other GOP wimps are afraid to. But since George Bush is the current party "lead" it would be "politically harmful" for them to acknowledge our sitting President's ills. If they told their "true assessments" of GW's qualities, traits, and skills–it would read like a tragedy: lack of sound judgement,in-effective plan development and execution, poor communication and negotiating skills, and invisible leaderhship. Thank God I'm not a Republican! You know, he could have said a lot more.

Nicci, Amarillo Texas   December 18th, 2007 12:02 pm ET

A true Christian is one who stands for his beliefs, but does not attack others' beliefs.
Ron Paul may be genuine, but Huckabee is not. Besides, there's no way he could stand up to Hilary - she'd crush him in the final elections. Move along Huckabee. . .

Steve, NY   December 18th, 2007 11:51 am ET

Hey Ron…..go read Rasmussen

Bryan, Fireston, CO   December 18th, 2007 11:49 am ET

The quote:
"The Bush administration's arrogant, bunker mentality…"

Huckabee's follow-up:
I didn't say Bush was arrogant. I said his policies were arrogant.

Just last week, referring to some of Romney's efforts to draw the line between the two candidates, Huckabee metaphorically suggests that Romney was a 3rd grade tattle tale. When asked if Huckabee was suggesting that Romney was acting like a third grader, Huckabee says, "I didn't SAY that. I said it's LIKE a 3rd grader — I speak metaphorically, you should know that"

Enough with the little innuendos. This kind of cutesie metaphoric talk is ridiculous. We know what you're talking about Huckabee, no matter the pretty lacey, metaphoric decorations you put around your message. Of course you were saying Bush was arrogant…you wrote in your very own words, the Bush administration. If you're not talking about Bush, then who are you talking about? Give a name. Don't mask it behind "Bush administration" and then try to cover it up by claiming you weren't really talking about Bush.

George   December 18th, 2007 11:47 am ET

I love how they censor my posts.

Huckabee is a liar.

He pardoned criminals
He will raise taxes
His Fair tax at 23% will actually be more like 32%
He doesn't know about mormons?? He was involved with an antimormon rally in Salt Lake City in 1978

Go for honesty. Vote RON PAUL 2008!

Kevin M, Myrtle Beach SC   December 18th, 2007 11:33 am ET

Lee,

I agree with you about Americans wanting a truthful honest candidates.
I disagree that Huckabee is one of them.

Isnt it fairly obvious that Huckabee is the medias candidate? He is their golden boy now. Wolf in sheeps clothing, look at his records.

If Huckabee had a dollar for everytime his name was in the news he would have no fundraising trouble at all. It is shameful how the corperate media trys to pick our presidents for us instead of letting the people decide.

Ron Paul '08

Mike, Fredericksburg, VA   December 18th, 2007 11:30 am ET

Huckabee now leads in the Rasmussen daily tracking by 6 points over his nearest rival - his biggest lead yet. http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/daily_presidential_tracking_polling_history

Erik, Austin TX   December 18th, 2007 11:25 am ET

I disagree with Huckabee on virtually every issue, and I would never vote for him, but I would think distancing yourself from Bush would be a wise move at this stage given Bush's approval ratings. He may alienate part of the base, but he will gain a lot of moderate Republicans.

M.E.Adams Wasilla, Alaska   December 18th, 2007 11:24 am ET

The Bible tells us not to "speak evil of the leader of our country". I am sure Mike must have read that during seminary.(Acts 23:5)

Bill Seattle, WA   December 18th, 2007 11:23 am ET

Lee, I agree that Huckabee is authentic.

He's authentically bigoted and misogynistic. He authentically rejects evolution.

I'm a Christian and I wholeheartedly reject him and his ignorant views. We've had enough of this mindset the past seven years. Huckabee will 100% guaranteed NEVER be able to win at the national level.

Todd A., Mount Pleasant, MI   December 18th, 2007 11:21 am ET

Disloyal to a Republican president? More like disloyal to a Neo-Conservative meat puppet. I admire Huckabee for clearly denouncing the Bush administration's bully-boy foreign policy. So, we're safe at home: great, wonderful, magnificent. Everywhere else, we are despised for our government's short-sighted, expansionist policy.

I also cannot fathom why voters allow religion to influence their vote. What are you, a bunch of papists? Surprisingly, I agree with Mr. Lee M; Huckabee and Paul appear to be the most transparent Republicans in the whole arena, and, for Republicans to be honest, that, my friends, is truly a divine miracle.

Scott, Orlando fl   December 18th, 2007 11:19 am ET

HUCKABEE RISES IN NATIONAL POLLS !!! Rasmussenreports.com indicates Huckabee has his highest lead ever at 23% Rudy is far behind at 17%

Also Rasmussen polls shows Huckabee is doing better than other candidates in other key states (oh and missouri) in a match up with Clinton.

Huckabee is also leading in Florida according to Rasmussen (one of the most trusted polling sites).

Huckaboom !!

Mikehuckabee.com

Independent in IA   December 18th, 2007 11:13 am ET

Re: Lee M, Egg Harbor NJ

Huckabee authentic? You have GOT to be kidding…the only thing authentic about Huckleberry is is the drivel that comes out of his mouth. It is PURE drivel.

The fact that he doesn't seem inclined to separate church from state should warn all voters that if he is elected it will be a total disaster and religious theocracy will prevail.

tex, Texas   December 18th, 2007 11:11 am ET

If he would just tell the truth about tax increases to pay for illegal immigrants and how his FAIR tax is going to destroy sales and thus have a ripple effect throughout the economy that will drive us further into a recession.

Ron   December 18th, 2007 11:08 am ET

HUCKABEE DROPS IN NATIONAL POLLS!!!
Anti-Huckers blog this story!
End the Huckabaloo!!!

Tom, Naperville, IL   December 18th, 2007 11:01 am ET

"Our Nation's Home" or Bush Administration Bunker

I am shocked by Mitt Romney's criticism (calling for an apology) of Huckabee's comment that the Bush admininstration has a "arrogant, bunker mentality."

http://www.boston.com/news/nation/articles/2007/12/15/huckabee_sees_bushs_bunker_mentality/

Apparently Mitt is kowtowing to the Bush administration as just illustrated by this story.

http://www.cnn.com/2007/POLITICS/12/17/visitor.logs/index.html

I thought the White House was "Our Nation's Home", not a (SECRET) arrogant Bush (and Cheney) bunker.

Dale Davis, Glendora, California   December 18th, 2007 10:51 am ET

Kudos to Mitt. Romney was right on when he said Huckabee is sounding like a Democrat. Just wait until that idot keeps opening his mouth.
Welcome to the BIG LEAGUES Huck.

Greg, Phoenix, AZ   December 18th, 2007 10:34 am ET

The quicker the Republicans move off of this diversion the better.

Huckabee has no chance whatsoever to win a general election because the only support he will be able to get is the evangelical vote. Moderate Republicans will be leary of his religious agenda and lack of any kind of foreign policy experience, and Independents won't even consider him. Needless to say, NO Democrats would vote for him.

The longer they mess around with a fatally-flawed candidate, the less chance they have of mounting a serious challenge to whomever wins the Democratic nomination.

Lee M, Egg Harbor NJ   December 18th, 2007 10:22 am ET

Telling the truth is a gamble worth taking.
True Christians understand this. Those that are "Republican" first and "Christians" second (like Pat Robertson supporting Guiliani only for political reasons) will disagree.

Huckabee and Ron Paul are easily the most authentic candidates on the Republican side. There are totally unlike on the issues, but with both men you know where they stand and you know what they believe in.

For this reason both of them are rising on the strength of the people, while the republican establishment, Fox News, and their print and radio outlets are trying to push Mitt, Rudy, or, as a last resort, McCain upon us.

The average republican is tired of being lied to and used by the corporate wing of the Republican Party.

John   December 18th, 2007 10:02 am ET

I dislike Huckabee. He is a liar. I'm glad he is getting noticed now though so people will reserach him and begin to find all of his lies.

He pardoned thousands as governor.
He raised taxes
He's against the war
He's a religious nut.
(He knows plenty about Mormons, he was involved in an AntiMormon rally in Salt Lake city in 1978)
He is underestimating his "fair tax". It will be well into the 30s by the time he could push it.
He steals ideas from Ron Paul.

Recognize him for who he is, a liar, and a theif of ideas.

RON PAUL 2008!

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