December 20th, 2007
08:50 AM ET
10 years ago

Three Democrats in a dead heat in Iowa

John Edwards, Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama are virtually tied for the Democrats' top spot in Iowa.

WASHINGTON (CNN) - Just two weeks until the Iowa caucuses, the Democratic presidential candidates appear to be in a dead heat in the Hawkeye State, according to a new CNN/Opinion Research Corp. poll.

Thirty percent of likely Iowa Democratic caucus-goers support Sen. Hillary Clinton of New York as the nominee, with Sen. Barack Obama of Illinois at 28 percent and former Sen. John Edwards of North Carolina at 26 percent, according to the poll, released Thursday morning. (Read full results [PDF])

With the poll's sampling error at plus or minus 4 percentage points, it's a virtual tie for the top spot in Iowa, the first state to vote in the race for the White House.

Full story

Filed under: Iowa • Polls • Presidential Candidates
soundoff (31 Responses)
  1. Jack Berkeley, CA

    Doesn't appear that Senator Obama is Dr. Martin Luther King Jr's DREAM after all (Wonder if Oprah is going to take him to task now – like she did the author of the book she promoted for her Book Club "A Million Little Pieces" after he conned her too? Will he still be her ONE?)

    New York Times: "Obama's Vote in Illinois Was Often Just 'Present'
    In 1999, Barack Obama was faced with a difficult vote in the Illinois legislature — to support a bill that would let some juveniles be tried as adults, a position that risked drawing fire from African-Americans, or to oppose it, possibly undermining his image as a tough-on-crime moderate."

    "Among those, Mr. Obama did not vote yes or no on a bill that would allow certain victims of sexual crimes to petition judges to seal court records relating to their cases. He also voted present on a bill to impose stricter standards for evidence a judge is permitted to consider in imposing a criminal sentence.

    On the sex crime bill, Mr. Obama cast the lone present vote in a 58-to-0 vote.

    Mr. Obama’s campaign said he believed that the bill violated the First Amendment. The bill passed 112-0-0 in the House and 58-0-1 in the Senate."

    "Mr. Obama was also the sole present vote on a bill that easily passed the Senate that would require teaching respect for others in schools. He also voted present on a measure to prohibit sex-related shops from opening near schools or places of worship. It passed the Senate.

    In both of those cases, his campaign said, he was trying to avoid mandates on local authorities."

    It seems the Illinois Senate records are finally catching up to him Is Senator Obama REALLY a champion of womens' rights, an advocate for victim's of sexual and other crimes, and a protector of children??? 😦


    Political Hot Topics
    (Today's top political stories from news organizations across the country)
    Compiled by Lindsey Pope
    CNN Washington Bureau

    The Hill: Lobbyists On Obama's '08 Payroll
    Three political aides on Sen. Barack Obama's (D-Ill.) payroll were registered lobbyists for dozens of corporations, including Wal-Mart, British Petroleum and Lockheed Martin, while they received payments from his campaign, according to public documents.

    December 20, 2007 09:07 am at 9:07 am |
  2. BKK, Atlanta, GA

    This should be good for Clinton because, if you see the PDF results, she is ahead of all in all categories except Environment where she lags obama by 1 percentage point. If Iowa caucus goers, weigh more on economy or Iraq, undecided may vote for clinton than other candidates. May the best person win.

    December 20, 2007 09:08 am at 9:08 am |
  3. Joe Stebbins

    Go Hillary !!

    December 20, 2007 09:08 am at 9:08 am |
  4. BlueGoose

    tide is turning against Obama because people are realizing he can't win the electoral college in the general election

    December 20, 2007 09:13 am at 9:13 am |
  5. Brad, Charleston, SC

    Go Get 'Em, John!

    December 20, 2007 09:15 am at 9:15 am |
  6. Joseph/ Memphis, TN

    Rudy was named man of the year in the aftermath of 911, he didn't deserve it. His selection was pure hype.

    December 20, 2007 09:21 am at 9:21 am |
  7. MikeNJD

    What's so interesting about this poll is that Clinton is the favorite of liberals and Obama the favorite of moderates, while most pundits say that Clinton is too far right and Obama is too far left. So interesting.

    December 20, 2007 09:25 am at 9:25 am |
  8. La Chatte, Portland, OR

    Joseph, you're off topic!

    December 20, 2007 09:42 am at 9:42 am |
  9. hmmm...OKLAHOMA

    I find it interesting that many Clinton supporters suffer from memory loss when it comes to their "backed horse" in this race:

    a. Former President Bill Clinton is the only president in the history of this country to actually be impeached while in office.

    b. The only significant plan Mrs. Hillary Clinton has pushed for, Universal Heathcare, failed miserably in the 90's (oh, and that she hasn't learned from that mistake because Bill came out and said it was his fault the plan failed).

    c. She plants questioners in the audience and has pre-rehearsed answers to the questions (seriously, if you watch the planted question asked of her by the college student, she begins to answer with "this question is asked of me all over the nation, namely by college students and children")

    If her husband is a proven liar and she's chosen to "stick with him," why would she be any different? Please don't be naive, vote for something other than the establishment.

    ps. I am neither republican or democrat, I am an independant. I will vote Obama in the primaries because I believe he is honest, but who in the general election? That remains to be seen.

    December 20, 2007 09:54 am at 9:54 am |
  10. AJ, IL


    December 20, 2007 10:07 am at 10:07 am |
  11. Dazed and Confused in DC

    Clinton now ahead in Iowa–but the headline is that its all tied up. If Obama was ahead by a tenth of a point, you'd be breathlessly reporting the Obama surge BS the media has been shoving down our throats for the last month. Clinton's up by 2 here, and up by 4 in Rasmussen's poll of 775 likely voters taken on 12/17 and released yesterday. Read together, these two most recent polls–with the CNN poll taken over the five-day period 12/14-18–actually show a Clinton surge. Check the New Hampshire numbers and you'll see the same thing (Fox and CNN now have Clinton up by 9 and 12 points respectively, after Obama was within a point a week ago). This after the Oprahpalooza and six weeks of horrendous press for Clinton and fawning press for Obama. How to explain it? Try this–in the end, the people are smarter than the press.

    December 20, 2007 10:10 am at 10:10 am |
  12. Claude, Mesa AZ

    CNN, why don't you start reporting the two polls that came out yesterday where Obama is clearly ahead.

    December 20, 2007 10:16 am at 10:16 am |
  13. demwit

    Wheres Hillary's Merry Christmas ad??

    December 20, 2007 10:28 am at 10:28 am |
  14. Joy Samone

    Oh, like Putin deserved Time Magazine "Man of the Year". Maybe next year they'll pick Fidel Castro.

    December 20, 2007 10:30 am at 10:30 am |
  15. Dan, TX

    Polls mean nothing at this stage. Getting every possible person to the caucus is important.

    I think experience as a community organizer, working with people face to face and understanding their problems, will pay off here.

    Go Obama!

    December 20, 2007 10:42 am at 10:42 am |
  16. Ajay Jain, Dallas, USA

    People, polls and pundits have unfairly exaggerated thyew importance of the IOWA caucuse results. Super Tuesday is all that matters. Why do all the pollsters behave as if 2008 cycle is like any other? It is NOT. Super Tueesday is different this time and organization and money will matter.

    Hillary has BOTH on her side and she is doing well nationally so GO HILLARY!

    December 20, 2007 10:52 am at 10:52 am |
  17. Jeff Sacramento, CA

    This is a great opportunity to see what the leading Dem's are made of. The phrase is "the cream rises to the top". Soon we shall see. Who makes a stand, and starts making clear and concise statemnts of their intent as President? Who goes negative and starts attacking their opponents first? The next two weeks will be very interesting!!

    December 20, 2007 12:09 pm at 12:09 pm |
  18. david, Cherry Hill, NJ

    Iowa has never elected a woman to a higher office ever! so why does any one think they would elect a woman this time even if she is the most qulified and experienced and will make a drastic change to the political system in our country. any one who says a woman president for the 1st time in the history of country is not a change is so blind! they will elect another man to the job.

    December 20, 2007 12:39 pm at 12:39 pm |
  19. Alreadytiredofit, Las Vegas, NV

    Who cares about Iowa anyway? It doesn't matter who they chose because ultimately they are too small when the rest of the country is included. Candidates should spend their time in Cali, NY, FL, OH – that is where this election will be determined. I'm sick of hearing about Iowa and NH – they just do not matter!

    December 20, 2007 12:41 pm at 12:41 pm |
  20. Bob, Seattle

    'Dead Heat' is correct. They are D.O.A. in the general election anyway so being without heat in the primary should be no big deal.

    December 20, 2007 12:52 pm at 12:52 pm |
  21. htp,seattle,wa

    WAKE UP AMERICA. Did we elect Bush because he was a change, he was straightforward kind of guy, he made us feel connected etc...? Yes, he was all that but WHERE ARE WE NOW? Trillions of dollars in deficit, more ennemies and less allies in the world, the middle-class americans are suffering. Please
    ask yourself tough questions before voting for the candidate:

    December 20, 2007 12:59 pm at 12:59 pm |
  22. Lew Zionts, Pacific Palisades, CA

    Do yo mean to tell me that there are THREE top candidates for the Democratic nomination? Who knew?

    December 20, 2007 01:11 pm at 1:11 pm |
  23. John, Fairfax, Virginia

    Even more good news for Hillary. A slew of poll numbers have been trending her way in the past few days....

    December 20, 2007 01:49 pm at 1:49 pm |
  24. PS, KC, MO

    Uh-oh, CNN, now you've done it. By citing the margin of error and declaring a statistical dead heat, you've once again ticked off the ardent Clinton supporters. They will, no doubt, use this as yet another example of how you are prejudiced against their candidate by failing to proclaim her the leader.
    Just for the record, I am not an Obama supporter or an Edwards supporter or a Republican. Chalk me up as still undecided (a rare thing this late in the campaign).

    December 20, 2007 01:51 pm at 1:51 pm |
  25. Brian, Syracuse NY


    We didn't elect Bush. Your weak attempt at connecting Obama with Bush is pathetic, considering Hillary has voted in lock step with the Bush administration. Get your facts straight, Clintonite.

    December 20, 2007 02:29 pm at 2:29 pm |
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