December 25th, 2007
08:45 AM ET
4 years ago

Poll: Obama, Huckabee slipping among Iowa men

WASHINGTON (CNN) – Call it an early Christmas gift for Hillary Clinton’s campaign: A new Iowa poll seems to show the New York senator with a stunning double-digit lead over her nearest rival among likely Democratic caucus-goers.

Clinton and Obama were neck-and-neck in last week’s American Research Group poll. But in the new survey, conducted December 20-23, she leads the Illinois senator by 15 percentage points, 34 to 19 percent. Obama is now in a statistical tie for second place with former North Carolina senator John Edwards, who has 20 percent of the vote.

According to the poll, Obama has lost some ground among male voters in Iowa: Last week, he led the field with 27 percent support, followed by 21 for Clinton and 19 for Edwards. This week, the leaders are Clinton and Edwards, with 28 and 27 percent support among Democratic men. Obama has 16 percent support, and Joe Biden has 11 percent.

As Hillary Clinton appears to be breaking away from the pack, the Republican race in Iowa may be tightening up. A week ago, an ARG poll placed Mike Huckabee over Mitt Romney by an 11-point margin among likely Republican caucus-goers, but the latest poll by the group puts the two back in a statistical tie, 23 to 21 percent. John McCain has 17 percent of the vote, Rudy Giuliani has 14 percent - and Ron Paul has 10 percent in the latest poll, up from 4 percent last week.

Like Obama, the poll indicates that Huckabee’s support among male voters in Iowa may be slipping. Last week, Huckabee had 31 percent support among Republican men; this week, he and Rudy Giuliani are tied at 20 percent. John McCain and Mitt Romney both have the support of 17 percent of the GOP’s likely male caucus goers.

The most recent ARG polls have a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points. The polls were conducted over the phone, and had a sample size of 600 likely Democratic and 600 Republican caucus-goers living in Iowa, respectively.

–CNN's Rebecca Sinderbrand


Filed under: Iowa
soundoff (571 Responses)
  1. tankfixer

    Nice to see CNN still doing thier part to try and influence elections.

    December 26, 2007 11:50 pm at 11:50 pm |
  2. Gerald King, New York, York

    All democrats are a greater threat to the security and economy of this country than Osama and all of Al Queda.

    December 26, 2007 11:50 pm at 11:50 pm |
  3. David, Denver, CO

    More evidence that the media is trying to wield its power and skewing numbers again. And we should listen to them because?

    December 26, 2007 11:53 pm at 11:53 pm |
  4. anon middle class america from sea to shining sea

    Don't be Afraid To Stand Up And Just Say NO – To Obama '08 :(

    Time to take back our White House and be proud to be an American again – at home and around the world.

    Dreams and hopes don't happen unless we roll up our sleeves and WORK for them!! We are not children anymore, but the future of OUR children is at stake in 2008!!

    Choose wisely...

    December 27, 2007 06:10 am at 6:10 am |
  5. Jack Kennedy

    You mean obama isnt a muslim terrorist?

    and hillary isn't a lesbian?

    Whhaaaaattt!!!

    Next you'll tell me that's it all a right wing conspiracy.

    December 27, 2007 04:09 pm at 4:09 pm |
  6. The Saint, Alabama

    Does CNN realize that there are other candidates running for president besides Obama and Clinton, and that neither of them can win?

    Want the White House back in '08, Dems? We have one chance: JOHN EDWARDS.

    Want proof? When was the last time you heard anyone in the GOP say, 'Oh! I hope the Dems nominate Edwards! That'll be easy!'

    Think, people! The GOP is licking its chops for a shot at Clinton and Obama. Don't give them what they want.

    Edwards '08!

    December 27, 2007 06:42 pm at 6:42 pm |
  7. Bill, Spring Valley NY

    Everyone should Look at the latest polls.

    http://www.strategicvision.biz/political/iowa_poll_122807.htm

    December 26-27, 2007

    Barack Obama 30%
    Hillary Clinton 29%
    John Edwards 28%
    Joseph Biden 5%
    Bill Richardson 2%
    Chris Dodd 1%
    Dennis Kucinich 1%
    Undecided 4%

    i knew the clintons were up to there ways again!

    Obama 08

    December 27, 2007 11:23 pm at 11:23 pm |
  8. Willaim Denison. Kellogg, Iowa

    I went to a High school here in Iowa to hear Hillary speak , after a many moments I realized I was in the schools lab looking at a dirty old fish tank. The room was packed with Hillary supporters doing the same thing.

    December 28, 2007 07:40 pm at 7:40 pm |
  9. Bobby

    Why is it that I see that all Democrats on this blog are now avoiding the Iraqi war issue? Since the last report, which was about a month ago...violence had dropped to levels below that before the war began...ooops, now it's time to change your tune, now it's the economy...what's the excuse there? Let's see, oh I'm sorry, all you European legislative lovers, Germany has 10% unemployment, France almost went bankrupt with it's "Universal Healthcare", similar to that of the Old Soviet Union and now now in Cuba, just ask the Canadians, who now have a conservative Government to straighten everything out. Not only that, but I also see how ignorant some of you are because some here believe that BUSH is running again! Boy, after reading this page, I'm convinced now that there really is no thought process involved when you think like a liberal! Look, I'll admit Bush was really bad! However, it doesn't help matters when your newly elected congress (that of the famous 11% approval rating), of which I admit also "voted for change". Don't vote because your a Democrat or Republican...Vote because you still can. However, that is my fear Hillary lovers. Be honest with everyone here..She's and Edwards are Socialists (Amazing, I remember a curtain Fidel Castro who ran as a...Socialist also) Yes,i am Cuban! If you are really ready for change, vote for Hillary. I know I'm not...Good Luck!

    December 29, 2007 10:44 pm at 10:44 pm |
  10. Bobby

    Hello

    December 29, 2007 10:57 pm at 10:57 pm |
  11. Jeri Thormaehlen

    The people in this Country better wake up and vote right this time. We need to forget the politics and look really close at all the candidates and wonder why only a few get the top places in the debates. Who's running the show the news media (nbc,cbs,abc) or are we grown up enough to check out the voting records and background of these people ourselves. The news media are going to try and tell you who is ahead and who you should vote for but can you trust them. I think not. I have not voted for a Rep. since Reagan ran the first time and a Dem. since Geo. Wallace ran. I don't trust the true Rep or Dem I see no difference in them. Geo. Bush has proven this for 8 years. He and Mr. Clinton have gone down the same path. And it ain't an American path. Look at the candidates. Look at Mr. Ron Paul's voting record in the Congress. We have a Ron Paul sticker on our car and have had for 12 years and we don't even live in his district anymore. That is how good he is. When the Rep. and Dem. do not give you someone to vote for you have to go elsewhere or write someone in and I have done this on may occasions.
    Jeri

    December 30, 2007 11:16 am at 11:16 am |
  12. Anonymous

    The absurd argument to vote for Clinton bceause she is the candiate of "experience" doesn't sit well with me. As first lady she jet-setted about with Bill and sipped tea with a few dignitaries and suddenly she's the saviour of our party? What a load of crap. Futhermore, people wake up! Clinton can't beat a republican, in fact, she will rally their base to unprecedeted numbers – ..and where will that leave us....with Mitt Romney as President? Good Lord, I might as well move to Canada now if they will have me. Even if you think she can win, Clinton voters, please ask yourselves...."What good is Clinton as our democratic nominee if all she gives us is 4 more years of dynastic politics?" This year I'm voting my conscience. I'm going to "roll the dice" and vote for Obama. He is THE candidate of hope and change in the democratic party. If two decades on the ground fighting for civil rights is good enough for the folks he fought for, then its good enough for me as a middle class american trying to make ends meet.

    December 30, 2007 10:18 pm at 10:18 pm |
  13. Tracey

    Wake up America. Do you really want 4 more years of dynasitc politics? Furthermore- even if you do.....Hillary is not the best bet to beat the Republicans- if anything she will rally their base to unprecendented numbers. If you really want a candiate wh can win AND bring about real change- vote OBAMA. He not only has a vast amount of support among democrats, but he can seal the deal with independents and moderate republican's too. As for experience, if Obama's two decades of service on the ground as a civil rights activist is good enough for the people he fought for, its good enough for me as a middle class american trying to make ends meet. This year I'm voting my conscience instead of voting the way my fellow dems bullied me to in the last election ( which was ultimately fruitless ). They told me Kerry was more electable than Dean. %^*$! Thanks.

    December 30, 2007 10:25 pm at 10:25 pm |
  14. MR. PICKFORD ROBINSON, NY / NY

    OBOMBA IS THIRD OUT OF 3 ....CLINTON RULES AGAIN... FACT

    January 2, 2008 02:59 pm at 2:59 pm |
  15. grassrootsblog

    Yeap, here’s another poll showing Clinton ahead in the Iowa poll. Two of my daily reads are our Atlanta Journal Constitution (ajc.com) and the Internet News Agency (internetnewsagency.com). INA’s Matt Towery, (he used to be the chair for Newt’s political campaigns and now he writes a national political column and he does a web broadcast about everyday), has posted an article and a web cast discussing his Iowa Poll. It’s a interesting read as well as a good narration on the web cast.

    January 2, 2008 04:31 pm at 4:31 pm |
  16. Englebert Humperdink

    Nice friggin poll. Billary comes in third, which rhymes with turd.

    January 4, 2008 10:34 am at 10:34 am |
  17. VSE Banker

    Bill Clinton was one of the greatest Presidents of the U.S. And I'm sure Hillary would do a great job if not BETTER. Hillary Clinton on the way to the top Strike Team style baby!

    January 4, 2008 10:50 am at 10:50 am |
  18. SMKim

    Obama's intentions are good but he won't be able to deliver change because he is still "wet behind the ears."

    HILLARY DOES AND WILL DELIVER – ROCK ON HILLARY!!

    January 8, 2008 08:29 pm at 8:29 pm |
  19. SMKim

    People get REAL!!!

    Obama does not have the experience it takes to make the changes he is promising – perhaps in the future, but not this election.

    HILLARY TO THE HILL!!!

    January 8, 2008 08:41 pm at 8:41 pm |
  20. Bostonian

    OBAMA DOES NOT HAVE THE EXPERIENCE TO MAKE CHANGES, HE IS STILL A LITTLE BOY IN THE PLAYGROUND OF POLITICS!!

    January 8, 2008 09:22 pm at 9:22 pm |
  21. BrOoKlYn

    hill is nothing but a huge joke who needs some one whos going to cry every time something bad happens "boohooo boo hooo"

    January 24, 2008 05:13 pm at 5:13 pm |
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