Ah… YES!

Please people, PLEASE make Hillary the Democratic nominee. I can imagine no one more repulsively divisive who could galvanize the Republican counter-vote than she. Even half her own party wouldn't vote for her on a bet!

Pleeeeze…

Ah… YES!

Please people, PLEASE make Hillary the Democratic nominee. I can imagine no one more repulsively divisive who could galvanize the Republican counter-vote than she. Even half her own party wouldn't vote for her on a bet!

Pleeeeze…

Posted By Charles in Salt Lake City, UT : December 24, 2007 8:08 pm

Then why are you so scared?

Yeah right, and who is the poll by?
How does Obama go from the lead to just in front of Biden in a matter of a week?

Obama all the Way!

Just as Bill Clinton wiped his opponents off the map so will Hillary. The polls that you refer to are not etched in stone, and don't measure the the mood of the country for change. Charles your tarnished and tattered Republican party that has given this nation a river of red ink with its deficit spending, an illegitimate war, an explosion in the size of government,a decaying infrastructure, a image of shame around the globe,a decimated middle class,a deceitful/incompetent presidency, and plethora of other problems environmental and otherwise will be sufficient motivation to throw the bums out.

its sad because the republicans are just about foaming at the mouth at the possibility of a clinton victory… there is no other candidate whom they would rather have to tear to shreads and galvanice the neo-christian nutcases in the south to mobilize in an anti-clinton free-for-all.. Its astonishing that so many americans are so stupid not to see that she will be the most divisive candidate in all of time… but then again we did elect george bush twice… I guess its normal for democrates to be blindly stupid?

Well we wont have to worry about Hillarys Support, Because she told them to show up on the 14th.

HAHAHAHAH
This lady is a Joke!!!!!!
This is how she will lead this country to the bottom of the food chain.

why do polls seem to be going all over the place now

first obama is up by 10

then obama is barely ahead of john edwards

then hillary is up

then edwards is up

then obama is ahead in N.H

then hillary is ahead in N.H.

then hillary is ahead in S.C

Then obama is ahead in South Carolina

and these polls come out only days apart

so whats going on?
can someone explain?

Enough polls, let's vote. CNN had HRC up by double digits in Iowa last week. The next day someone else relesaed a different poll that had Obama up by 2%.

Unfortunately, the "Obama is a Muslim Terrorist" gambit WORKED for Hillary Clinton. That's a shame for our country.

There is no limit as to how low Hillary will go to get power and to keep it.

2008 will be a very nasty year.

what a bogus poll….. I think you guys started to skew the reality. CNN, please be the news agency that we can all trust. this is not the way to coronate Hillary. she needs to earn it. so far, she is 3rd or may be 4th, next to Biden.

To those who continue to attempt to perpetuate the myth that Hillary Clinton is too divisive to be elected President, explain how George W Bush could have been re-elected if high negatives and the charge of being divisive are decisive factors. The American people are not stupid, they are not going to vote on superficial garbage. They want a better economy, an end to the war in Iraq, and a government they can trust to help adress their problems. They know Hillary Clinton is the candidate best prepared to do that.

Agrees with Charles…why would any democrat nominate someone who the republicans want to run against and a democrat like myself will not vote for..will vote all other democratic but will not push the button for Hillary…I want to be able to say I never voted for her….She is has a deceptive manner about her….never really answering questiions…reminds me of Bush!

Go Hillary go!!! By the way, right wing nut jobs, don't think for one minute that democrats will withhold their vote if Hillary is the nominee. We will support ANY democrat to get us out of this mess that the republicans have gotten us into, even if it's not our first choice.

CHANGE!! Hillary will not win, watch this space. Obama will win by landslide. He is the only one who can unite America and heal us from our ugly past.

I Agree Charles! Hand the Repubs '08 by voting for Hill!

This Fake Poll will fool NO one. How can five other polls show Obama ahead or a threeway tie and this poll show Hillary magically ahead by 15?

Let us all be glad when this is over so our intelligence can stop being played with and insulted. It’s up to you Iowa to put this kind of thing to rest (TURN THE PAGE PLEASE!)

Charles don't be a hater. Clinton is by far the best. You can say whatever you please - bottom line she is ready to lead on day one.

I wouldn't put too much weight into this "poll". Most pols say Obama is in the lead. The fact is, you can pretty much disregard all of the polls until about Jan. 1.

Ha ha it seems that the Obamara hype is finally coming to end. Finally people area paying attention to the candidates and issues and they are realizing that Edwards, Clinton and Biden are the serious ones in the Democratic party. No wonder Obama was attacking everybody, pure sign of desperation!
Obama is full of good slogans and nothing really concrete or that makes sense. Go Edwards, Go Clinton!
Merry Christmas!

Go Hillary!

If Hillary is divisive, why does she beat all Republicans in hypothetical matchups?

I still wonder why anyone in their right mind would still be a Republican, given the abject performance of the party for the past 7 years. Really…..to just root for Hilary because she's perceived as being more beatable is an enlightening look at your priorities for this country. Party over country.

You are right Hillary is the worst candidate on the democratic side; however, she is still head and above better than anything the Republicans have to offer.

At least there would not be a crazed moron in the oval office anymore.

Doesn't look to me like it's the people who's making Hill the nominee…

Ummm…this has to be an outlier poll. No way this is for real.

Be careful what you wish for, rightard!!! Blackwell ain't Ohio's Sec'y of State this time. We will actually count THE VOTES. The counter vote you hope for is about 20%–Junior's supporters.

Who are you gonna run as your nominee? Rudi? Mitt? Mike? Fred? Sounds like a bunch of cartton characters.

The fix is in…

First, the fact that there has been an over ten point differential in the space of a week makes me seriously doubt the methodology used or margin of error applied.

Second, the only frontrunners who came in first in Iowa in the last 40 years were former vice-presidents. As much as Hillary tries, she is neither Walter Mondale or Al Gore.

Be careful what ya wish for, Charles. You need to check your statistics.
I'm for John Edwards. But, I just know you'd love to have to say, "President Hillary Clinton," for eight years!!!

Go ahead "Charles in Salt Lake". Here is one Goldwater Republican who is ashamed of the Republican Party and will gladly vote for anyone other than a Republican including Mrs. Clinton.

You don't really expect us to believe this…do you?

Best candidate the Republican's have this year. The problem with haveing only two parties is that both are catering to the lowest common denominator.

this is called an outlier …

I don't think there is any chance of Hillary winning by 15 points, but she will probably emerge as the clear winner. Edwards and Obama will have to duke it out for second place. One wonders if Obama's recent attacks on Edwards (in the last two days) are part of that fight for second place.

where is a link to the actual poll or a reference to who conducted it?

Obama lost his momentum couple of weeks ago, and this clearly shows that voters are getting serious now.
Well, time is up for all those blogers in the OBAMA GEEKS SQUAD.Get ready to accept the Clinton-inevitability.

I am uncommitted at this point and I would be fine with any of the top three, but my order of preferene would be: Hillary, Edwards, Obama.

Thank you, Clinton News Network.

My Christmas prayer…
Please save us from another decade of hypocrisy and status qou. Hillary and Obama can't fix the problem because they're too much a part of it. We finally have an opportunity to elect a President who intends to truly represent the needs of ALL Americans–and has the passion and tenacity to follow through. John Edwards is in the right place at the right time for the Democratic party–and all Americans. My special prayer is that all Democrats take a second look at Mr. Edwards–and decide on his record and the facts.

Glad to oblige you. And then you can eat her dust.

Why isn't this story being reported by all the major networks. As I've said before the media has a bias against Hillary Clinton. I believe that Clinto has not recieved a fair shake throughout this entire process. However, I still think she will prevail. GO HILLARY GO!!!!!

I'm pretty sure this poll has been debunked already. Do your homework.

I wonder how much Mark Penn paid this research group to fix this survey. Give me a break. This "survey" is so far off any other credible one that's out and being an Iowan, I guarantee that this so-called poll is not true.

If you want a Democratic president in 2008, Hillary is not the choice candidate. She has too much baggage (vote for Iraq, vote for Kyl-Leib, flipflopping on Immigration, mandated healthcare) that the Republicans are drooling at and can't wait to get their hands on. Hillary is on her latest tour, the "likeability tour". That's very sad that she needs to come out with a last minute effort to get people to "like" her. I think her smear attacks on Senator Obama have hurt her dearly.

The only people who pay attention to ARG is Hillary Clinton herself. ARG has never in Iowa by less than 9%, nationally nearly always double the other polls. ARG has been discredited over the owner's political ties to the Clinton campaign. Oops! He is a main contributor. Could that be why every ARG poll is an 'outlier'?

Hmmm… exactly who did this so called "survey" no names mentioned, maybe Clinton camp bought the story. Wonder how much to buy such post…

Impressive– Ron Paul up to 10% in Iowa? It looks like he seems to be gaining in poll numbers.

You couldnt be more wrong Charles, and Im no Billary fan. Every Dem in this country will vote for her if she wins the nom, and Im an Obama supporter.

The poll strongly shows one thing: people are getting serious and do their homework.

I am expecting Obama's poll number will be even lower. More and more voters now realized that Republicans are running Obama's campaign. They do everything they can to open arms and welcome Obama, and then, tear him in pieces, they don't have to say a word. In this way, THE FINAL IS A REPUBLICAN. Just like Chris Matthrew said to Joe, we hit her (Hillary ) so hard and she is still standing, still in the lead, so tough.
If you are truly a Dem, not Rep, check this out, when you listen, wait til the end. This is a such sounding confession caught in tape.

WAKE UP, AMERICA !

http://www.taylormarsh.com
Scoll down all the way to page "Why are Karl Rove and the Neocons Endorsing Barack Obama?"

Hillary will make minced meat of any of the potential Republican rivals.

I don't believe it! You can't make me belive it! NO WAY!! Clinton News Network is making this up!

OBAMA 08

YES! the women are galvanizing support for Hill. Hands across the nation!

Please, please, please . . . let the Busheep understand that whomever the Democratic nominee turns out to be, the voters will turn out in droves to rid this country of arrogant, lying, fraudulent, immoral republicans. We've had enough of their form of fascism for at least a century or so.

If Hillary wins the nomination I will give up paying attention to current events and politics ( which I have done since a young girl) because it just would be too sad. I thought Nixon. Reagan or Bush would do me in but no it's the first woman candidate that gets in because she didn't pay attention to her husband's wandering genitals. She has such great experience like voting for the war. Iowa wake up!!!!

Thank goodness. Let's hope this keeps going like it is. We need Hillary. GO, GO, GO, Hillary!!!

Hillary will be a fine leader. Most of us New Yorkers have come to love and respect her. I believe that once she survives the process of getting elected, she will make an excellent president and is ready to make the changes to move this country in the right direction. She will win.

I expect 'journalists' such as Chris Matthews,Howard Fineman who will spin this news and start their attack levels on Hillary while pretending to be reporting hard truths. Such people think their role is to pollute people's mind with their biases. So I hope people of early voting states will try to form their opinions based on own research and facts and stay away from hatered messages by 'journalists' or other bloggers who have ulterior motives.

Stunning is the right word for this poll. There have been a zillion ones out lately and none of them show these kinds of results. If I am remembering correctly from math class, if we plotted the results of all the recent polls, this one would lie so outside the graph, we would discard it.

BUT, I suppose we can keep it and make Republicans believe we are seeing a Christmas miracle and their prayers have been answered!

This is obviously an outcast poll. The ABC Washington Post poll from late last week - which is undoubtedly a more trustable source - has Obama leading with %3.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/politics/polls/postpoll_121907.html

I will try to find more of the poll details. So many of the polls have been published with or without the error of the mean, and those that have included that important statistic generally fail to indicate if that is for Republicans and Democrats combined, or for just one party or the other or each.

Equally important is the actual number of respondents in the sample and in each group.

I assume, but do not know, that the actual margin of error for Democrats was/is 7% or so, and that the margin of error for Republicans was 9% or so.

If my guesses are even close to correct, Clinton would indeed have a healthy, statistically significant lead.

I would also guess that Obama's fall in the poll is related to Oprah's intervention. Her effort to help Obama sent a signal to a lot of whites that Obama, if elected, would be a president for Black America. Of course that's absurd, but we have not gone far enough in the tolerance department for White Americans to be more open to diversity.

Very sad, but it's still our nightmare.

Hillary is going to be the next president. Thank God, she's the best person for the job.

Hillary Clinton will do great things for our country!!!!

This is very good news!

And as far as Charles stated (above) regarding:"Even half her (Hillary) own party wouldn't vote for her on a bet!"….
Polls change everyday. She did a good job here in NN. Hillary will show you too that she is the right choice.

P.S. Edwards and Obama too would wipe the floor with any Republican in any debate.

hahahahaha

This poll is a joke. Anyone who believes that this poll reflects what is going to happen on caucus night is nuts. Obama goes down and ALL of his support goes to HILLARY? Think about it. Ain't no way. If Obama went down, his numbers would go to Edwards, not Clinton. This poll is BS.

Charles:
You should be careful what you wish for. The average of polls in realclearpolitics.com has her beating anybody the Republicans put up against her. Of course, Obama and Edwards do the same or better.

It is upto to the IOWA Caucus Voters - Are not tired of 8 years of Clintons in the WH? Paaleez go for it!!! I am republican and I don't care if the Media and the Negative Publicity of Clintons, the loser Joseph Wilson or Kerry back up Hillary…. People can't give up …. there is a great awakenng in America and the only HOPE is OBAMA… who can repair the tainted image of ourselves around the world.
OBAMA '08

Why does no one reporting a poll ever acknowledge that there is a world of other polls out there. Any place doing rolling averages (real clear politics, pollster.com) all show obama with an advantage as of today and this new result is probably an outlier. Has Hillary really picked up 16% points in the last two days. Incredibly unlikely. I'm not saying Obama will win, but why not acknowledge the world of information out there that contextualizes this info.

Dear Charles,

I don’t know how you or anyone can speak for the "half of her party". I’m sorry you have nothing better to do on Christmas Eve but call someone you don't personally know as being "repulsively divisive".

There is such a thing as destiny. If Hillary Clinton is meant to become president, no one can stop her. We can all try our best to rally behind the candidate closest to our hearts, but in the end, the nation gets the leader they deserve. Let’s see what happens.

Merry Christmas and God Bless.

This new survey showing Hillary "pulling away" and Obama falling back will send shock waves to the pundits that were writing Hillary off. I am convinced that the media pundits are like sheep. They follow the conventional wisdom, it safer that way. But do they know about the dynamics in play? I'm glad for Hillary, she's worked hard in Iowa and desrves the Iowans support. So does Senator Edwards.

Be careful what you wish for Charles. None of the GOP guys look good in the general election.

Right. We want Obama 20 or Edwards 19. Equals 39.
Let's combine. That beats Hillary's 34.

Charles, pleas wish a merry Christmas to the other trolls like yourself in the tree trunk.

No Wonder it comes from CNN.

We see your game. We the people are going to speak. We are going to beat HRC and CNN>

Isn't it interesting that they don't identify who conducted the poll?

Sounds like Mark Penn is up to his usual tricks. He really underestimates the intelligence of the American people.

Good riddance to Hillary Clinton, Mark Penn and Howard Wolfson.

Sorry, Charley. You've had your eight years.

You better prepare yourself. You have some pretty awful candidates.

Iowa voters are proving they are scared of real change and have bought into Hillary's claim that she is so much more experienced than Obama, it is worth giving up real change.

The truth is that Hillary has no history of accomplishments. It is a sham! She blew it on health care. What has she actually done? Her staff helped a few constituents. That is not experience.

If Democrats want tested Washington experience, vote Joe Biden. If Democrats want an exciting leader with intelligence and and the judgment that would have kept us our the Iraq war, the ONLY choice is Barack Obama!

Why has an outlying poll become a factual part of the story line? I just don't understand the partisian nature of polls, newspapers, and faceless 527s, they really work together to obscure the reality.

Who did this survey? Who did this opinion poll? What was the methodology? The results of a survey are meaningless unless we know the details of the methodology including how the questions were asked and who were the respondents.

Charles…um, yeah, right - after eight years of what the GOP has done to this country and the sheer embarrassment it's caused us around the world, I'm sure any Republican candidate will have a chance in hell of winning no matter who the Democratic candidate is.

And since you love reverse psychology, pleeeease pleeeeeease make Rudy Giuliani the Republican candidate! Talk about someone as repugnant as that thug turning off voters on the Left and Right! Please win the nomination, Rudy! If you do, Democrats are virtually guaranteed the White House in '08!!

This is good. Very good news. The Republicans could not stop her from becoming senator in a year that they won the Presidency. They could not stop her from re-election. They will not be able to stop her from being President. Contrary, she will attract republican voters like she did in 36 of 40 New York counties.
The country is in too much hole and trouble to gamble with a neophyte.
This poll is good news.

Let us pray this proves inaccurate. If accurate, it could only reflect last week's underground attacks against Obama by the Clintons since he was leading as recently as last week. Since all the attacks were made up slurs, this would be a sad commentary on the prospect of whether voters are capable of distinguishing fact from fiction.

Hopefully this poll is wrong. The Clintons will never change.

God help the Democratic Party. The Democratic Party, the party of the people, has taken to annointing Kings & Queens of the establishment classes. Make no mistake, Hillary as the Democratic nominee will result in many voters, including this one to send a message and vote for whomever is the Republican nominee. Yes, there are many registered Democrats who strongly that we do not want the Clintons back in the White House. Their Co-Presidency is itself an end run around the intent of the 22nd Amendment. We should be ashamed of ourselves as a people for even considering the Clinton duo back in the people's house.

Any Republican will continue the Iraq disaster, while any Democrat would end it. No more soldiers should die for this needles war. So, Charles in Salt Lake, why do you hate American soldiers so much?

Hillary will TROUNCE the GOP nominee next November!!

Hillary all the way!!

It would be great to see an Edwards/Clinton ticket… and i guess i'd be alright with a Clinton/Edwards ticket.

But thankfully that poser Obama… is finally being seen for what he is… a fake populist.

His universal health care plan isn't even universal, like the plans of Clinton and Edwards.

Obama doesn't represent change… he represents nothing. He's the status quo candidate.

Right wingers continually say they want Hillary as a nominee because it will galavanize their side. This is a scare tactic to keep her from getting the nominee because they are really afraid she will win.

She will win.

The Republican side is split among too many contenders. The Democratic side is making their choice now.

I imagine a lot of Republicans are getting tense this holiday season.

ya right you people are shaking you know you say that cause your afraid of the clinton machine the bluedogs are the only ones who spank the republicans butt everytime so start crying now you big babies

Yah Charles, sure, dream on buddy! : )

This will be all for naught, both Obama and Clinton admit that Edwards' people are the most organized. So we are already working on your Christmas gift for next year: A brand new Democratic president!

Merry Christmas!

Please, you Republicans think your so slick. It's obvious that you want Obama to win b/c he will be an easier general election candidate to beat. Honestly, Hillary will be the most formidable b/c even Republican woman who openly say they won't vote for her will do so privately once the booth's curtain is closed b/c she is a woman. HILLARY, GO GIRL, we love you and want to see clean up Bush's mess.

To Iowa’s voters:

Your are the reason why politicians flip-flops. Hillary this week, Obama next week. Hillary again, Obama again. You can’t seem to make-up your minds. The poor politicians have to keep changing their positions to gauge your mood.

My god, obama might lose "that thing" afterall! Obama's dream is turning into a nightmare! Without Iowa, Obama is finished.

He was counting his eggs last week before they are hatched, and became lazy as usual, while hillary began her 99 counties tour of iowa. Her effort has paid off. And the endorsements of all Iowa newspapers also helped.

careful what you wish for glazed-over Republicans and other Hilary haters.

There has never been a more 'divisive' presidential candidate in modern history than "President" George W. Bush (I use the term 'president' loosely) and HE got elected, sadly. I an assure you for every one of you folks who despise Hilary for whatever irrational, made-up, or ideological reason, there are dozens and dozens of us happy to vote for her, or for that matter, a trained goat, rather than see four or 8 more years of a Republican chief executive, particularly hypocrites and panderers like Romney, Giuliani, or heaven forbid, Huckabee. Hilary may not be all we could ever hope for as Progressives, but then no one with a realistic chance is, and furthermore, she opens the door wider, appeals to the center of the nation, and more importantly, is COMPETENT. but then, those george bush lovers out there (both of you) wouldn't know much about that. Careful what you wish for if you really think any of the 'strong' candidates from your silly 'unified' republican party can beat her … don't say we didn't warn you.

Please, you Republicans think your so slick. It's obvious that you want Obama to win b/c he will be an easier general election candidate to beat. Honestly, Hillary will be the most formidable b/c even Republican woman who openly say they won't vote for her will do so privately once the booth's curtain is closed b/c she is a woman. HILLARY, GO GIRL, we love you and want to see you clean up Bush's unfortunate mess.

if obama were white would he be a factor in this election

What red-neck nut job in our country (50+ %) is gonna vote for a WOMAN or a former MUSLIM - BLACK person? We may pride ourselves on our "advanced" nature as a society, but we're not that far out of the Dark Ages.

The HRC defeat will be specular!
The annnointed, appiointed and inevetable one will fail either in Iowa!
*If* she is elected in the primary (very doubtful) will find herself losing to anyone in the general election.

And all along I thought she couldn't unite the country. I now change my view, she can and will unite the country in defeating her.

ANYONE BUT HILLARY '08

Remember in 04 Dean was ahead in the polls in Iowa by like 13 points and then for no reason at all he dropped 13 points to Kerry & Edwards a week before the caucus. Here we go again.

For no reason what so ever, Obama drops significantly in the poll and Clinton is way up after having the worst month in her entire campaign so far. What gives? Her new X-Mas ad that outstanding? This is all a bunch of crap, pure Rove-like bs. I don't trust Hillary or the corporate media much at all anymore.

If these primaries, polls & election were on the up and up, Obama and Ron Paul would be the respective nominees. No doubt, no question. Merry Christmas.

There will be many more polls and this one isn't particularly important. That said, wouldn't a proper summary point out that EDWARDS is in second, and focus less on Obama, given that he trails Edwards in this poll>

Maybe God has listened to our prayers. America needs a strong president. Its time for a woman to bring her view of how a country should be run.

Merry Christmas Hillary!

I can't find a Hillary supporter anywhere, yet I keep on hearing she's winning or, according to her, she's got it wrapped up. So far, she has failed to convince anyone that she is a principled person with conviction about any issue. She has failed to dispel the notion that she is a calculating and poll-driven politician. If she wins, America loses.

If anyone thinks that the Republicans want to run against Hillary, well, you don't know what you're talking about. The Republicans would MUCH rather go against Obama who has very little experience and a relatively weak and volatile base. Hillary, on the other hand, has not only been through the wars, but she has solid experience (which, no matter how hard you try, can not be refuted) and an incredibly solid base of voters. Granted, her negatives are high, but so is every other political figure that has high exposure (including the "likeable" John McCain). Case in point: since Obama has started to run, his negatives have been steadily climbing. By the time the general election roles around, if Obama were the nominee, his negatives would be along par with Hillary's, McCain's, and Guiliani's. No, I suspect the Republicans are most scared of Hillary — as they should be.

Ah…I see some people are mad. Oh well. While I won't put my hopes up too much until I see more polls, I know for a fact that Iowa is definitely trending towards Hillary. A lot of recent developments could attribute to this. Hillary has gotten the endorsements of all the most prominent and most circulated newspapers in Iowa. This alone could be a reason for the shift. Another thing is that Obama, mostly in the last few days, has chosen to play the "race victim" card. I think this might turn off a lot of voters. Anyways, all in all, I think Obama will come in third in Iowa. Either Edwards or Hillary will come in first. Which explains why Obama feels the need to suddenly start attacking Edwards. Desperate times call for desperate measures.

I dont buy this poll for a few reasons. It says that Obama has lost mostly male voters, and 90% of the Obama voters I know would go to Edwards if they didnt vote for Obama. Espeshially men. Most men I know dont like Hillary at all. The thing is that Edwards didnt go up much at all in this poll and thats why it looks too one sided. I find it very hard to believe that Obama undecideds would run to Hillary in such huge numbers. Second, There is no break down of what the age groups were so I imagine that it must have been a much older demo. Young voters are not going to Hillary at all. Third, this was a telephone poll, so they could disqualify many people for whatever reason if they didnt get the result they wanted…So while I would rather a poll say that Obama is 15 points ahead, I still would like to see a few polls say this before I take it as if Obama is really in trouble. Remember a few weeks ago, a NH poll had hillary up by 12, and then two new polls had it even and her down by 2. So we'll see what happens.

Isn't it fun watching Neocons with their prayerful pants in a bunch over Hillary!!!! Bush was all their doing and now their party will have to think about it in the corner as this might nation gives them a 4 year time out…
Go Hillary!!!!
Bill in CO. (soon to be a blue state!)

Hillary Clinton has high negatives simply because almost everyone knows everything about her, while the other candidates are much less known. At the same time she is way ahead of all of the other Democratic candidates in national polls. Voters tend to fill in the empty blanks about the less known candidates with positions favorable to their own. The public is just now starting to learn about the other candidates many scandals, flip-flops on positions, and unpopular positions. Hillary Clinton has the needed experience, maturity, and intelligence to be President. All of the other candidates, Democratic and Republican, are so unfit that they are jokes. While most of the other candidates try to appeal to the extremists on the right or the left Hillary is the best uniter because she appeals to the center. The Bush presidency is a great disaster and if elected Hillary Clinton will start bringing the USA out of the mess Bush and his associates made.

If Republicans are so bent on running against Hillary, why are they spending so much money opposing her and only her??????

From WaPo:
"Two conservative groups also got into the act yesterday, announcing that they will be financing advertising campaigns in the week before the Jan. 3 caucuses.

Yesterday, a political action committee affiliated with Republican Alan Keyes declared its intention to spend $39,000 on phone banks and mailers opposing Clinton. And a PAC called RightMarch.com, which describes itself on its Web site as a conservative group that targets liberal Republicans and Democrats for defeat, reported yesterday that it will spend $16,465 on mail opposing Clinton."

Oh,and why is it that a lot of conservatives, such as Bill Kristol, have actually either endorsed, or been promoting Obama?

Here is a great article to answer the question of why Republicans love Obama:
http://www.salon.com/opinion/conason/2007/12/21/right_and_obama/

If this poll is indeed true, and Hillary wins Iowa and goes on to win the Democratic nomination, then I say congratulations to the Dems. It will be the third consecutive presidential election where you will have handed the Republicans the office. Way to go!!

Okay here is the why Hillary would win the nomination.

HILLARY AND EDWARDS supporters are older groups, who by and large are people w/ families and are interested in a candidate on meaty issues. Things that effect their families and kids and they do not hang out on blogs!

OBAMA supporters by and large are young, single crowd that are moved by passion. The republicans fondly call them tree huggers. They are infested all over the blogs, yet when you look at the amount of pro Obama supporters on the blogs (like here), it in not indicative of the polls. Else we would have him show up at a 90% lead over others. You can"t dispute- The Obama supporters on blogs out number Hillary and Edwards, ask yourself then why is Obama not leading polls by the same margins

MERRY CHRISTMAS IOWA!!! Finally. You are chosing the BEST Candidate Ever!!!

Just a small list of Hillary's accomplishments in her early years in Arkansas:

Rodham co-founded the Arkansas Advocates for Children and Families, a state-level alliance with the Children's Defense Fund, in 1977.[30][66] In late 1977, President Jimmy Carter (for whom Rodham had done 1976 campaign coordination work in Indiana)[67] appointed her to the board of directors of the Legal Services Corporation,[68] and she served in that capacity from 1978 through the end of 1981.[69] For much of that time[70] she served as the chair of that board, the first woman to do so.[71] During her time as chair, funding for the Corporation was expanded from $90 million to $300 million,[64] and she successfully battled against President Ronald Reagan's initial attempts to reduce the funding and change the nature of the organization.[64]

Following the November 1978 election of her husband as Governor of Arkansas, Rodham became First Lady of Arkansas in January 1979, her title for a total of twelve years (1979–1981, 1983–1992). Clinton appointed her chair of the Rural Health Advisory Committee the same year,[72] where she successfully obtained federal funds to expand medical facilities in Arkansas' poorest areas without affecting doctors' fees.
As First Lady of Arkansas, Hillary Clinton chaired the Arkansas Educational Standards Committee from 1982 to 1992,[80] where she sought to bring about reform in the state's court-sanctioned public education system.[81][82] One of the most important initiatives of the entire Clinton governorship,[81] she fought a prolonged but ultimately successful battle against the Arkansas Education Association[81] to put mandatory teacher testing as well as state standards for curriculum and classroom size in place.[81] She introduced Arkansas' Home Instruction Program for Preschool Youth in 1985, a program that helps parents work with their children in preschool preparedness and literacy.[83] She was named Arkansas Woman of the Year in 1983 and Arkansas Mother of the Year in 1984.

(above from Wikipedia). That doesn't even begin to cover what she's accomplished as First Lady and U.S. Senator.

Don't listen to the media, she will make a fantastic President. Let's send her to the General Election with an overwhelming WIN and MANDATE.

Hillary is a dunce. Bill was elected promising universal health care. The Congress was democratic. The public was behind it. The economy could support it. Yet her program was 100% failure. She had another 6 years to try to revive it. Nothing happened. Can anybody actually be that incompetent? Now there's an election, she wants to be entrusted with healthcare again - with an unworkable plan to force down people's throats - a windfall to the insurance lobbies that fund her. She flunked healthcare. She flunked Iraq. She flunked Iran. She even flunked the Washington bar exam, and is a serial failure as a housewife. But wants to be your president.

ARG is a fraud. They have no boiler room and don't actually make calls. Dick Bennett is basically a pay-for-play extortionist. If you slide him some money, he puffs up your numbers.

He also did "work" for Charlie Bass. Bass was the GOP congressman who got bounced out of office by Rep. Paul Hodes, Obama's national co-chair. Bennett has an axe to grind with the Obama camp, and he's cooking up bogus numbers as a way of getting even.

A Christmas gift to Hillary and her supporters, but in this day of peace and joy,

Merry Christmas to one and all!!!!

Count me for Bloomberg or staying home if she gets the nod. She is sure to lose in the general.

I've had a hunch for weeks this was going to happen. This process reminded me of the race to choose the American Idol last season. You will remember the kid with the goofy hair remained in the running for weeks despite his having little discernible talent. But when the race came down to the last two-three weeks, the fans took their votes seriously and voted the guy out of the competition. This is what is happening to Obama. More and more voters are realizing what those of us who opposed him from the beginning thought: Obama is an empty suit.

Those of you who believe Hillary is too divisive to win in November, and the GOP will "tear her to shreds," need a history check. The GOP has been attacking Hillary since 1992. The Republicans have never prevailed against her. Never. There is absolutely nothing they can say about her that has not already been said. There is no hidden scandal to pick over. She has always fought toe to toe with the liars and bandits of the Republican party. Obama never has.

The Republicans fear Hillary because she is no wilting violet. Unlike Kerry, and Obama, she will never crumble under the Republican onslaught. Obama's campaign has been a blessing to the GOP. Obama supporters including those "journalists" and bloggers who are easily seduced by fuzzy speeches and utopian dreams. have been doing the Republicans' work for them. They have been trying to hamstring her campaign and denigrate her personally.

Obama, on the other hand, has no idea of what he will face if he is the nominee. Because he is not well known, the GOP would have a much freer hand defining him.

Dennis Kucinich can't really win… can he?

Read more: KUCINICHCANTWIN.COM

Thank you IOWA!!! You just made the right choice…CLINTON is strong and will never fail us. Republicans hate her coz SHE IS DOING THE RIGHT THING.

WHOSE POLL? WHAT? WHEN? WHERE? WHO?
Don't believe it. Sounds like a Paid For Political Ad…….

These results testify, primarily, to the difficulty of polling caucus-goers in Iowa- not to the dynamic of the race. It is foolish to conclude otherwise.

I will vote for Hillary if need be just to see Anne Coulter and Bill Orallys heads explode in anger and spin spin spin off. LMAO

I find it interesting that the polling organization is unnamed. I have been looking for it everywhere. I honestly think this is a ploy by the dirty Clintons in attempt to give Hillary the appearance that she is surging. which is a load of crap. everyone knows it.

sorry i misspoke, i just found it. it's called american research group. never heard of them. CNN is obviously desperately looking for positive news about Hellary.

ARG has a horrible track record and has historically put out these horribly skewed results. Consider the following:

In New Hampshire on the 19th they put out a poll showing Hillary Clinton in the lead by 14% points over Obama. The very next day the University of New Hampshire showed Obama up by two in that state. Both Gallup and Rasmussen, releasing data on the 19th and 18th respectively produced results within the margin of error, with Gallup showing a tie and Rasmussen showing Hillary with a 3 point lead. That's 3 different polling agencies within the span of two days showing results much tighter than ARG's.

In South Carolina on November 29th (the last data I can find from them on that state) ARG put out a poll showing Clinton in the lead by 24% points. Princeton Research Associates on the 25th of that month revealed a lead of only 14%, whereas Rasmussen on December 5th showed Clinton with a lead of on 2%. Again, two different polling agencies were showing a tighter race than ARG.

So, onward to Iowa. In the past 10 days 6 different polling agencies have produced results far tighter than this ARG poll. A quick run-down; 12-13 Research 2000 shows a 9 point lead for Obama, 12-17 Insider Advantage shows a 1 point lead for Obama, TNS Intersearch shows a 4 point lead for Obama, and Rasmussen shows a 4 point lead for Clinton, 12-18 Strategic Vision shows a 3 point lead for Obama, 12-19, and here's the kicker, ARG's own tracking shows only a 4 point lead for Clinton. ARG's poll flies not only in the face of 5 other polling agencies, but also of their own data from four days prior.

ARG has skewed results in nearly every state they poll and produce inconsistant results. Sorry, but this is not a reliable polling agency.

The only question in my mind is whether this poll is horribly inaccurate because of poor methodology or error, or rather was it willfully wrong. It is completely out of line compared with other recent polls.
Iowa could go either way, but to think that Clinton is beating Obama by this much given all the other evidence is just plain gullibility. I am VERY disappointed that this piece is not at least raising the question of unreliability for this poll.

Nobody made a peep when Hillary went from 14 points ahead in NH to tied 3 days later. I didn't hear about how the poll was rigged.

Of course, if there's a Clinton surge, it cannot be true. Obama sailing to victory and uniting the country — that is obviously true.

When one poll disagrees with all the others run at about the same time, a headine like "Iowa poll says Clinton breaking away from the pack" whether it's Clinton or anyone else, is misleading and poor journalism. Sample outliers are a basic fact of the process. Large outliers are more likely to suggest a substantial base of undecided voters than a major shift in voter intentions.

Conclusion: The reactions show that Mrs Clinton will not be and should not be the Democratic nominee.

You cant be the nominee when 40% of your own party is ready to vote against you. Its unheard of in US history.

As a statistician I can tell you how polls can be wrong. First biased sampling, then wrong sampling, then wrong timing,then wrong questionaires,then push polls etc etc.This polls disagrees with all other five polls conducted at the same time. Please discard this polls

I will be supporting Biden but i have watched Hillary tie the rightwing hate radio nuts in knots for 16 years. As she has said they have tried to destroy me for 16 years and i'm still here. I will proudly cast my vote for her if she is the nominee as will many men and republican women and the vast majority of the independents. Your only hope is Romney. Republican women have a tendency to vote for handsome. Just ask Bill. bwahahaha

You do the American public a great injustice by reporting biased information as fact.

I suspect that your next report will proclaim that Hillary has already been inaugurated.

You've lost credibility and my viewership.

I also am supporting Biden. I really don't know about the accuracy of this poll, or really any of them for that matter, but I know my husband is supporting him and most of his co-workers (90% being males) are supporting him also. I really believe he is going to do surprisingly well here in Iowa.

You cant be the nominee when 40% of your own party is ready to vote against you. Its unheard of in US history.

As a statistician…
Posted By EE : December 25, 2007 6:55 am

What kind of logic from a statistician?
That means hillary has 60% vote support from her party, and the remaining 40% (against her) is shared by several other remaining candidates. A candidate would win the nomination with 51% votes, and generally win with much less days before the voting day because she/he may get additional votes when a few losing candidates drop out.

Breaking away from the pack? At least we're finally identifying Hillary as a wild animal and part of a feral pack. That's a big start!

Now let us start going through all the mysterious unsolved questions and potential felonies that plague this notorious pair of lying crooks.

What kind of logic from a statistician?
Posted By jd, des moines, iowa : December 25, 2007 7:52 am

DJ , sorry u got it wrong.A party candidate is supposed to have near 100% of his party vote at the general elections.He/she then tries to get votes from the other party to make up the majority.

Take this scenario: there are 1000 democratic voters and 1000 republican voters , Hilary loses 40% of democrats in the general elections implying she gets 600 democrats and 400 votes against her or sit home. This means either the Repblican nominee wins by 1400 to 600 (or 1000 to 600 if the 40% stay home).

Mind you ,independents hate Hilary to the core, so its a fact they will vote Republican if she gets the nomination. Hope u got the stats this time.

http://www.obamatruth.org and the video download site of http://www.youtube.com.

After viewing the video, some will think OBAMA is an acronym for Overly Bothersome Aggressive Money Appetite. The video includes information on

" How the Senator’s wife received an unusual and extremely generous salary increase from a hospital that seeks to protect its not-for-profit status, shortly after her husband was sworn in as a U.S. Senator.

" How the abuses of the not-for-profit hospital where Michelle Obama works directly contradict the Senator’s oft stated promise of making health care more affordable.

" How by working with a political fixer who at the time was the public target of a U.S. Justice Department investigation (the political fixer was later indicted), Senator Obama was able to save money when buying his new mansion.

" How Senator Obama, who had addressed a union group that is outspoken in their opposition to Wal-Mart (especially the compensation of the CEO of Wal-Mart), failed to tell the group about the compensation of the CEO of the company where his wife sits as a member of the Board of Directors-an amount more than double the compensation for the Wal-Mart executive, for a company whose revenues are 400 times less.

" How the company his wife sits on the board of directors closed a plant staffed mainly by low-paid Hispanics in Colorado.

The bias media won’t tell you so visit the website http://www.obamatruth.org where more information on these and other issues concerning Obama’s lust for wealth can be found, including interviews with people affected by the plant closing in Colorado.

You obviously didn't do very well in math did you JD. The point EE is making is that if you reduce the pool of Democratic voters by 40% you than have no realistic chance of reaching the 51% you are refering to. When you add to that the point that EE left unsaid, but is a obvious part of his/her analysis, that an even wider margin od independents will wage and open revolt against her candidacy and that the repulicans will be more united than they have been in years then you have the making exactly what EE is stating.

But all thst notwithstanding this poll is a farce and Rebecca if you intend to do this job for some period of time my suggestion would be to first LEARN the JOB. Ask simple questions of yourself for example does what I have here make sense??? Then do some "research" before putting something like this out there and embarassing yourself and you employer with such shoddy work.

But wait it's not all your fault Rebecca, your editor hasn't learned the job yet either.

I wonder if the fact that this poll was conducted while the college students (and perhaps many academics) are away for xmas has anything to do with the results.

as far as the comment "Hillary is ready to lead from Day One"…I can only ask "where will she be leading us? to war with Iran?"

someone should tell about the recent Iowa Poll showing Hillary with a 15% lead. Because he just reported on CNN that all early state polls show a close race. This is misleading and neglirent that your lead political pundit is so anti-Hillary. I'm sure if Obama were leading jn Iowa by such a margin , he would have reported it. He owes an explanation to CNN Viewers today.

There's only one reason I'd vote for a Republican- if Hillary was the Democratic nominee. I'd take any of the Republican candidates over her.

I can't believe Obama supporters can not even take the fact of the polls. I never hear Clinton supporters react this way. Poll is poll. Chnage subjects, focusing on the issues more important for America. Waist time !

the people in the polls have to show up 1st, most of hillarys support is from 1st time caucaus voters who rarely show up, much less if there is a blizzard, plus if her support is less than 15% at each caucaus center in Iowa then it's state law says it is mandatory that they swing there support to another candidate or decline to vote. GO EDWARDS! "the electible candidate in the south."

Iowa, you are wonderfull. Please let elect Mrs Clinton to shut down all the right wing. She is the only one in demo side that can win this election. She is going all the way to get a strong mandate. I was leaning Obama but I think if Carl Rove ,Limbaugh etc..are ruling against her it's because they know that HRC will kick their butt. So I am casting my vote for Mrs. Clinton on January the 3rd 08.

If Republicans are so eager to see Clinton as the Democratic Nominee, why is Obama receiving tips from none other than Karl Rove? Hm…

If the Republicans win the presidency again in 2008, then I can say something is wrong with the American brains that needs a major brain surgery…..any democrat candidates should be an easy winner against any Republican. Republicans mean incompetence, arrogance, narrow-mindedness and prejudice.

It's a BAD poll when Hillary is leading and a GOOD poll when she is behind.

HILLARY!!!!

This is why I can no longer stomach your programming.

Why is obama down? they found out that karl rove is running his campaign.

If you look at the pollster.com website, you'll notice that the ARG polls are completely out of sync with all other presidential polls.

I would trust this poll at all, my friends.

That poll makes sense considering:

- Hillary has received ALL newspapers' endorsements. That is critical in getting the votes from undecided voters

- Obama, may be due to his inexperienced, relaxed in his Iowa compaigning and spent time in new hampshire and elsewhere, while Hillary started his 99 counties tour in Iowa. The Iowa voters wanted attention and concerns from a candidate.

- I predict that Obama's final votes will be worse on the voting date, because many of his predominantly young voters may not other to show up (too much time, dude).

My money is on Edwards.Obama is just something the press likes to write about and the Republicans hope will win, because this is the only candidate they can beat.
In order to win the presidency the Dems need red states.Obama can not win in these states.

Call it an early Christmas gift for Hillary Clinton’s campaign ?

No. I call it an outright LIE! I have been in polling for four years and I KNOW what's really going on. I am not worried a single bit.

If Republicans are so eager to see Clinton as the Democratic Nominee, why is Obama receiving tips from none other than Karl Rove? Hm…
Posted By Paul, Rochester, MN : December 25, 2007 10:47 am

Mayhap because they're trying to tie him to the Republican party to draw Democratic support away from him? Really, there are so many ways to spin a move like that, both for or against Obama, that it's almost impossible to guess his true motive. Unfortunately, that's why some would call Rove a genius of politics.

Go Hillary go!!! By the way, right wing nut jobs, don't think for one minute that democrats will withhold their vote if Hillary is the nominee. We will support ANY democrat to get us out of this mess that the republicans have gotten us into, even if it's not our first choice.
Posted By Mark R. Fort Lauderdale FL : December 24, 2007 9:08 pm

That's a lie. I am an African American woman who is very disgusted with the Clinton Campaign using blatant racism to defeat Barack Obama . If she is on that ticket, I am voting for Mike Huckabee and so are MANY other Africans Americans who are sick of the Democratic Party and using the "Southern Strategy" and then apologizing for it later. That's it. We are DONE!

You better believe it.

Paul, as a native of Rochester, MN, quit making that city look like idiots. The only way the Republicans can win in 2008 is if something divisive brings the Republicans together. That something is Hillary Clinton and they know that.

Obama/Edwards '08

Polls are worthless and I don't know why they are even in the so called process except for propaganda hectoring !

Hubert Humphrey is Walter Mondale is Michael Dukakis is John Kerry is Hillary Clinton.Why does the Democratic Party eschew its future in Obama and parade forward with its past? It is a history of lemming-like party selections. Why go back when one can go forward? The previous Clinton adninistration was fraught with breeches of the public trust and confidence.The current Clinton campaign has used tactics which are quite Bush-like in their substitution of falsehood for truth. Change? The change this nation needs is from the misappropriation of progress by both parties. Barack Obama represents this change.

What Would Huck Do?
1.) Pardon convicted felons in Federal prisons (if they find Jesus).
2.) Subsidize illegal immigration education at American colleges… for our Mexican brethren. (Jesus loves them too!)
3.) De-militarize our Armed Forces and give them all 'Crosses' with which to fend off our Nation's enemies. (Perhaps the US Navy will get an ark or two. ???)
4.) Embrace the United Nations (so we can all get along).
5.) Capitulate to the Democratic Congress, so as not to make Nancy Pelosi cry… with the expectation that she will do unto him, the same. _R_i_g_h_t_.
6.) Bulldoze San Fransisco (in God's name). Those immoral heathens.

A preacher - Yes. A President - God, no!

Ah … yes !The polls have pleased people during this christmas time!

Our nation will need leader who holds strong leadship skills, wise, a qulaified and no traning needed president 2009, senator Hillary Clinton is the best so far ! She will take the strong lead for the nation.

Why is it that when the polls favor Obama or Edwards then everything is on the up and up but when it favors Ms. Clinton, you all start thinking it's a corrupt
process?

This is just plain silly!

Glad to hear the Iowan men are waking up before it's too late!!! Hillary Clinton is the ONLY candidate who can get this country back on the right track!! She is a change agent and yet she has the experience, intelligence and qualifications to be president on DAY 1!!!

PRESIDENT HILLARY CLINTON - 2008!!!

OBAMA - STAY IN CHICAGO WITH OPRAH!!!
EDWARDS - GO TAKE CARE OF YOUR WIFE!!!

AMERICA; ELECT HILLARY CLINTON OUR NEXT PRESIDENT!!!

I don't understand with this. When Obama is up on poll, its great, when Hillary is up its fake. I'm not a huge Hillary fan but comments like