WASHINGTON (CNN) – The Democratic and Republican races in Iowa have both become statistical dead heats in a new poll released Sunday.
The battle for first place on the Republican side is, at the moment, a toss-up between Mitt Romney and Mike Huckabee in the new MSNBC/McClatchy/Mason-Dixon survey of likely caucus goers. Hillary Clinton, John Edwards, and Barack Obama appear to have virtually identical levels of support with four days to go before the state’s first-in-the-nation caucuses.
The poll mirrors the results of other recent surveys, many of which have found Republican and Democratic races in Iowa too close to call. One out of every three likely Republican voters surveyed, and one of every five Democrats, say they may still change their minds.
The phone poll of 400 likely Democratic caucus attendees and 400 likely Republican caucus attendees in Iowa was conducted December 26-28, and has a margin of error of plus or minus 5 percentage points. (Full results after the jump)
An American Research Group poll released Saturday had a different view of the race. It found Mitt Romney had regained his lead over Mike Huckabee in Iowa — the first Hawkeye State survey in over a month to show the former Massachusetts governor in the top spot there.
On the Democratic side, the ARG survey found Hillary Clinton held a narrow lead over rivals Barack Obama and John Edwards. Other recent polls, including Mason-Dixon, have shown the Democratic race in a statistical dead heat. (Full MSNBC/McClatchy/Mason-Dixon results after the jump)
Likely Democratic Caucus Goers'
Choice for President
John Edwards 24 percent
Hillary Clinton 23 percent
Barack Obama 22 percent
Bill Richardson 12 percent
Joe Biden 8 percent
Chris Dodd 2 percent
Dennis Kucinich 1 percent
Likely Republican Caucus Goers'
Choice for President
Mitt Romney 27 percent
Mike Huckabee 23 percent
Fred Thompson 14 percent
John McCain 13 percent
Rudy Giuliani 5 percent
Ron Paul 5 percent
Duncan Hunter 1 percent
Sampling error for both polls: plus or minus 5 percentage points