January 5th, 2008
06:30 PM ET
10 years ago

Tight race in New Hampshire, post caucus poll shows

O'Reilly got into a confrontation with an Obama staffer Saturday.

Clinton and Obama are dead even in New Hampshire, a new poll shows.

MANCHESTER, New Hampshire (CNN) - With three days to go until the New Hampshire primary, it’s dead even in the race for the Democratic presidential nomination.

A new CNN/WMUR New Hampshire presidential primary poll conducted by the University of New Hampshire has Senators Hillary Clinton of New York and Barack Obama of Illinois all tied up, with each grabbing the support of 33 percent of likely Democratic primary voters in the Granite State.

Former Senator John Edwards of North Carolina is in third place with 20 percent. (Full poll results [PDF])

“Both Obama and Edwards appear to have benefited form the Iowa caucuses. Each picked up 3 points in New Hampshire. Clinton lost one point, since our last poll taken before the caucuses,” says CNN Senior Political Analyst Bill Schneider.

The new CNN/WMUR survey was conducted Friday and Saturday, after the Iowa caucuses.

Full story

Related video: N.H. Poll: Clinton, Obama tied

- CNN Deputy Political Director Paul Steinhauser

Filed under: New Hampshire
soundoff (226 Responses)
  1. Mike Nellis

    Two other polls show Obama ahead by 12 and 10 points. A much different snapshot than what CNN is giving us.

    January 5, 2008 06:01 pm at 6:01 pm |
  2. Jim in Orlando, FL

    Momentum is a difficult thing to get the first time, but even more difficult to get back once lost. Hillary was nothing but an image hyped by the Press all these years, and God bless Tim Russert for being the first to peel the facade away. Its been "Goodbye Big MO" ever since for Hillary. Now lets see how long Obama can hold onto it.

    January 5, 2008 06:06 pm at 6:06 pm |
  3. stan pitts pa

    hillary is going to lose by a landslide to obama, her breakdown will be worse than britneys, America is all about hope and change, thats the story of our great nation, lets end the bush-clinton-bust dynasty, its not a monarchy, its a democracy, the people will vote who they want, obama seems to be the one we all want for real change and hope, hope accomplishes a lot remember it was the hope of freed slaves and the hope of women, that one day they would be able to vote, i see real change in obama, but more of the same failed washington tactics and talk and poor judgement from hrc, she really needs to quit now, before it gets much worse for her, which it will,Americans are taking back their Govt!

    January 5, 2008 06:08 pm at 6:08 pm |
  4. Ben M.

    Obama is up by 10 points according to a Rasmussen poll done today. His lead is outside the margin of error!


    January 5, 2008 06:11 pm at 6:11 pm |
  5. Spectator Consumer

    What's the margin of error? What's the methodology? Sample size? What are the models for turnout amongst likely voters? This poll is way off two other polls released so far showing Obama by 10 and another by 12. This poll was also promised to be released at 5 eastern and it was released at 6.

    January 5, 2008 06:11 pm at 6:11 pm |
  6. stan pitts pa

    p.s why would she (hrc) bad-mouth iowa after losing there? im sorry if the electoral process didnt work in her favor, the will of the people prevailed, thats all that counts, i hope newhampshire will see her for what she really is, cold calculating and insensitive and not vote for her!

    January 5, 2008 06:12 pm at 6:12 pm |
  7. jay

    I think Obama is much more electable than Hillary. Obama is a campaign manager's dream. You can put him out anywhere, in front of a small group, a big crowd, a beat reporter, doesn't matter, he'll come out well. Nothing fazes him. Hillary is like John Kerry, she has to be carefully managed. She doesn't have the rhythm of a natural politician like Obama, Huckabee, or Guiliani. Unfortunately for her, her staff doesn't seem to be especially good.

    Edwards is a potential spoiler, he gives a compelling speech about Washington being controlled by corporate interests, but that's not going to win the Presidency. Not electable.

    On the Republican side, I think either McCain or Guiliani would give Obama a good challenge. Guiliani can match Obama for glibness, McCain for integrity and inner strength. Romney has too many weaknesses, too many flip-flops and makeovers and fabrications that the Dems would be advertising all summer. Plus, he doesn't seem to stand for anything except for lower taxes for the rich. Huckabee is great on the campaign trail but his platform would be exposed in the general election. Thompson just doesn't seem interested in the job.

    January 5, 2008 06:13 pm at 6:13 pm |
  8. chad

    if you don't vote for Ron Paul, please, move to Cuba, or France, or North Korea, or some country that is already more to your liking, some country that is already Communist/Socialist/Fascist or whatever it is that you hate about Freedom and our Constitutional Republic; because if you aren't voting for Ron Paul, you are voting for a traitor that should be at the gallows, not at a caucus (at least in USA).

    Mitt (a disciple of an evil cult, a liar/pretender of the highest order, a corporate puppet).
    Huck (a total moron – look into his background – a total liar/crook/criminal).
    McCain (a crook, a liar, a traitor – duplicitous at best).
    and all the rest are just the same.

    Ron Paul is the only one that is honorable, honest, respectable, Constitutional/lawful, intelligent (and with integrity) ...

    January 5, 2008 06:13 pm at 6:13 pm |
  9. Marie

    Fired up Ready to go !

    January 5, 2008 06:14 pm at 6:14 pm |
  10. dpg

    CNN polls, huh?
    Who CNN is kidding? We know you guys are in the tank for the clintons. Let's just wait next tuesday, i can't wait to see the face that Wolf Blitzer will have on air when he announces the NH results.
    Folks, it's not too late to get on the Change bandwagon.
    Yeah, i know, Obama fans are cocky, so what? I still remember 2 months ago, when everything said was like this: "he cannot win", "clinton is inevitable"
    There is old french saying that goes like this : Rira bien qui rira le dernier


    January 5, 2008 06:17 pm at 6:17 pm |
  11. Steve

    Romney is now positioning himself as the agent of change. Good luck with that, he's finished.

    January 5, 2008 06:19 pm at 6:19 pm |
  12. Tyrone

    The WHALES (white Homosexual And Liberal Elites) realize to stop Obama they must put on a good show.

    Hillary has been rejected by youth after planting questions about global warming, they might be young but they are not stupid.

    Clinton manipulation strategy has backfired she is just not sincere.

    January 5, 2008 06:23 pm at 6:23 pm |
  13. Rosemary

    With Bill out there on the stomp telling everyone that effectively Hillary was a huge part of his Presidency and that she made a lot of the decisions, maybe people are beginning to feel we don't want another dynasty or a "Two For One " Presidency this time. Or maybe he has gotten the message through that he really wants to be President this time if she wins.

    Hopefully, the Mainstream Media will take Obama's bid seriously. He was called everything from too soft, fold his tent and go home, and why are all of these people donating to his campaign. The Media is even worried that Hillary is taking the African American Vote from him. "FAT CHANCE". There are more African Americans in his corner that the mainstream realizes, just because you have a few Political leaders speaking up for Clinton while the Clintons are sucking all of the oxygen out of the Political back-room, does not mean people are not out their finally thinking for themselves. Just what African Americans are you polling?

    This is a side Note: Another big blunder on the part of the Media, Jesse and Al Sharpton do not speak for the Black community even though you, the Media, who want to give them all of this power you think they have. It is a new day! They never had it. Barack Obama is running for President, they are activists. Big Difference. So stop crowning them as the Black community leaders and putting them up to answer questions on Barack's candidancy. It is getting tiresome.

    Maybe the Media won't be coronating someone so soon in the future as the inevitable. Because of you guys, Hillary did not think she really had to campaign. Bill said the Media is making her go negative. Go Figure.

    January 5, 2008 06:24 pm at 6:24 pm |
  14. Hugh Roland

    It seems to me very strange that CNN/WMUR polls always differ from other polls and strangely to the benefit of Hillary.
    I am starting being disappointed in CNN ethics of equal coverage and provide viewers with the reality...

    You can do what you want to influence people for Hillary but you will be the first one to announce the victory of Obama and to comment that your analysts predicted so...

    Not a passionated analyst but just commenting what I have experience while I am surfing on your site...

    January 5, 2008 06:25 pm at 6:25 pm |
  15. Herold

    Herold of Brooklyn, NY

    As an African American, I have no doubt about Barack Obama's ability to run this country. However, I will support Hillary Clinton all the way because I believe if she can pick up where her husband left off, we will have a great Country again.

    I am an 11 year-Veteran who has been travelling quite extensively, never had we have more respect than when Bill Clinton was in the White House. We seem to care about internal issues, rightfully so, but, we also must care about our moral standing and authority around the world. The International community used to look up to us when Clinton was there and they genuinely loved us. Now, most of us hide the fact that we're Americans. That's must change.

    If one's looking for reasons to back Hillary Clinton, just over look the fact that there were a few scandals; just look at what where accomplished during her husband's Administration:

    A lot of job creation
    A balanced Budget with big surplus
    A great Economy which lifted my family out of poverty
    Most importantly, our moral authority was outstanding around the world.

    I want to see that again. With Hillary in the White House, I believe there won't be any such scandals, in fact, there will be more order in our government.

    So, I call upon all Democrats today to support Hillary Clinton, despite the fact that some of the Republicans are trying to set the Party up for failure. They just want him to win the primaries so that they can beat him in the Fall. Do not believe the hype. Do what's right; support Hillary Clinton for a sure victory in the general elections.


    January 5, 2008 06:25 pm at 6:25 pm |
  16. Dan, Saint Louis, MO

    John McCain was a perfect fit for New Hampshire back in 2000. Now he's a dud. New Hampshire is known as fiscally conservative, anti-war and tough on immigration. John McCain was one of the two Republicans to vote against the Bush tax cuts and has shown no ability to communicate a conservative economic message. McCain has promoted escalating the Iraq war and was recently quoted as saying he hopes the US is in Iraq "for at least 100 more years". He joined Ted Kennedy to propose amnesty for illegal immigrants and was outright rejected. He has now flip-flopped completely on immigration.

    The man is simply too old and too wrong on so many important issues to be the winner in New Hampshire and other Republican primaries. Maybe that why, even with all the media attention, he still finished a distant 4th in Iowa.

    January 5, 2008 06:26 pm at 6:26 pm |
  17. Wade Enns

    Hillary – I've fallen and I can't get up.

    Hillary has aged 10 years and just is not up to the task.

    If she was married to an Elvis that would not make her a good singer either.

    Bill Clinton seems to be fullfilling his marital responsibility by blowing her horn,
    but he just does not come across a genuine.

    Its time America closed the nasty Clinton Chapter and moved forward.

    January 5, 2008 06:28 pm at 6:28 pm |
  18. anna

    Interesting, but I suggest checking your grammar before submitting articles. "'Now McCain now leads Romney by 6 points,' says Schneider." -the article above.

    Now, now, this is an article that will be read worldwide, not a high school journalism project.

    January 5, 2008 06:31 pm at 6:31 pm |
  19. Janice

    Hillary uses her daughter as a stage prop, and I don't like that.

    I am a woman and I am more impressed with Mitt Romney and Obama and the Huckster fella all three seem to have more respect for women. Hillary seems to just take us for granted.

    Hillary to me seems like she would be very dangerous in the white house because she is such a know it all and she is rude.

    January 5, 2008 06:32 pm at 6:32 pm |
  20. Andy

    Two typos in your pdf:
    1. Page 11: in the Democratic Summary Table for Questions 13-17 you say 'Best represents values of REPUBLICANS like you.'
    2. Page 15: in the All Respondents section, the first line reads 'Next I'd like to get your overall opinion of some REPUBLICANS who have indicated they plan to run for president in 2008.' Then you list the top three Democrats.

    January 5, 2008 06:34 pm at 6:34 pm |
  21. Garfield - Cool to Hillary

    The Bags that have begun to appear under Hillarys eyes say it all. She is done.

    I think it won't be long untill Bill is gone too. The Hill Billy gang has been enough of an embarassment to America already.

    America is cooling off to Hillary seeing her claim to fame is I married a cheater but stuck with him for power.

    Can their daughter even bring friends over with grampa Bill around.

    January 5, 2008 06:36 pm at 6:36 pm |
  22. Linda

    Obama is not getting my vote on Feb. 19 in Wisconsin. If he gets in it is because the media is doing the same brain washing that Bush did to get us into war. The media acts like Obama is the next coming of Christ. His speeches are taken right out of the mouths of Clinton, King, the Kennedy boys and others. Obama doesn't have a history so he has to steal it from those who have gone before him.

    January 5, 2008 06:40 pm at 6:40 pm |
  23. Philippe

    Bravo Barack. Here in Europe, we are all behind you, even if we do not take part directly in your election. You represent a hope for those which consider that the Bush's administration is a painful bracket of this history that the old world divides with the new continent. Continue like that. Philippe from Brussels, Belgium.

    January 5, 2008 06:40 pm at 6:40 pm |
  24. Tannim

    Rasmussen says otherwise about Dr. Paul, and CNN's coverage of Dr. Paul is infamous and notorious for its blatant inaccuracy and bias against the good doctor!

    So these results are basically menaingless.

    January 5, 2008 06:41 pm at 6:41 pm |
  25. ava

    Two other polls show is surging in NH big time!

    The new post-Iowa caucus polls released today (Jan 5th):

    ARG – Obama +12 (previously Clinton +4)
    Obama 38% (+7)
    Clinton 26% (-9)
    Edwards 20% (+5)

    Rasmussen – Obama +10 (previously Clinton +3)
    Obama 37%
    Hillary Clinton 27%
    John Edwards 19%

    January 5, 2008 06:42 pm at 6:42 pm |
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