January 5th, 2008
06:30 PM ET
10 years ago

Tight race in New Hampshire, post caucus poll shows

O'Reilly got into a confrontation with an Obama staffer Saturday.

Clinton and Obama are dead even in New Hampshire, a new poll shows.

MANCHESTER, New Hampshire (CNN) - With three days to go until the New Hampshire primary, it’s dead even in the race for the Democratic presidential nomination.

A new CNN/WMUR New Hampshire presidential primary poll conducted by the University of New Hampshire has Senators Hillary Clinton of New York and Barack Obama of Illinois all tied up, with each grabbing the support of 33 percent of likely Democratic primary voters in the Granite State.

Former Senator John Edwards of North Carolina is in third place with 20 percent. (Full poll results [PDF])

“Both Obama and Edwards appear to have benefited form the Iowa caucuses. Each picked up 3 points in New Hampshire. Clinton lost one point, since our last poll taken before the caucuses,” says CNN Senior Political Analyst Bill Schneider.

The new CNN/WMUR survey was conducted Friday and Saturday, after the Iowa caucuses.

Full story

Related video: N.H. Poll: Clinton, Obama tied

- CNN Deputy Political Director Paul Steinhauser

Filed under: New Hampshire
soundoff (226 Responses)
  1. Frank

    It shouldn't be a surprise if Obama gets nominated by the democrats! This is a great country where democracy rules, but unfortunately this nation sometimes has a tendency to make uninformed decisions that are made on impulse and not facts or good judgement! Isn't it this same nation that elected a President that ruined our image, killed our sons and daughters for a war that many still don't understand the reasons for, and got us into the biggest debt we have faced, ever! Nothing should really surprise us any more, and we can only hope that we remain the greatest and most powerful nation in the world if we keep making similar decisions. Once the Persians, the Romans and the Greeks were the greatest nations on this planet, now it is us the Americans. Are we always going to be the greatest nation on this planet, or is that going to change too? I hope what ever happens doesn't change our prospects for the future.

    January 5, 2008 06:46 pm at 6:46 pm |
  2. Eli Post

    Why not post the entire poll results? Why not provide complete information as to sampling, the protocols followed, etc. The more information you provide the better your viewers/readers are informed. Even the best conducted polls are often misinterpreted even as to basic things such as what and who exactly were surveyed. For example, with this CNN New Hampshire poll it is stated both on air and online as being the results of “likely Democratic primary voters” and “likely Republican primary voters”–not making it clear if independent and crossover voters were included in the survey. Do the results for each candidate include their support from just those people registered in their party or do the results include also a candidate’s support from independents and cross-over voters? CNN’s reporting does not make this clear. If the CNN poll results are of only Democrats choosing their preference among the Democratic candidates and the Republicans choice among the Republican candidates your poll has little value in predicting a candidates actual support among all New Hampshire voters or the outcome of the primary. The Los Angeles Times posts on their website complete poll results for all polls they sponsor and report. CNN should do the same.

    January 5, 2008 06:48 pm at 6:48 pm |
  3. swain

    That To Me Is A Very Scarey Thought That Bill Clinton Might Be Anywhere Near The White House. Hillary Could Not Keep Him In Tow Either As Gov. Or Pres. Now Its Her Turn. Imagine For A Minute Bill Being Maybe A Federal Judge Or Some Other High Position. I Dont Trust Either Of Them.

    January 5, 2008 06:48 pm at 6:48 pm |
  4. Tyler in Raleigh, NC

    I would love to see a McCain – Obama election in November.

    I hope that neither Clinton or Huckabee make it, my vote would then need to be AGAINST them, not for any candidate. I am tired of voting for the lesser of two evils.... can NH please help us get decent candidates?

    Its time to wake up and realize that while Democrats might think Clinton is electable, they thought the same thing of Kerry and gave him the 2004 nod. He could not even beat Bush, and I do not think Clinton could beat anyone with how much hatred she inspires in her party and outside.

    January 5, 2008 06:50 pm at 6:50 pm |
  5. Marko, Chicago IL

    Funny how CNN's poll always has Hillary doing better than in other polls.

    January 5, 2008 06:51 pm at 6:51 pm |
  6. Anne -Detroit MI

    Obama does come across way more honest and trustworthy than Hillary, but there don't seem to be any 100 % honest politicians on either side of the aisle does there?

    January 5, 2008 06:54 pm at 6:54 pm |
  7. Cathy

    Obama has momentum behind him. Clinton's humiliation in Iowa and the independents in New Hampshire are paving the way to Obama '08!

    January 5, 2008 06:55 pm at 6:55 pm |
  8. Simon, IA

    It will be McCain-Huckabee Republican ticket and Democrats will lose again in Nov.

    January 5, 2008 06:59 pm at 6:59 pm |
  9. John Lee

    CNN has it sights set on seeing Clinton losing the primaries. There has been nothing but negative statements about Clinton for months. I have been checking all current polls and ypurs is the only one that Hillary is not winning in. All cnn can talk about is the "devastating " third place finish in Iowa. While Edwards finished less than a half percent better his is called a victory. Your station should not be trying to build momentum for Obama while you constantly criticize Clinton.

    January 5, 2008 07:00 pm at 7:00 pm |
  10. John

    We need all Democrats to get out and vote for Hillary Clinton. Hillary still has the most experience. Iowa does not tell the whole story of the mode of America. America wants change. America wants Hillary as President. We need a strong candidate for President in this day and time. Hillary Clinton is a true Leader for the people of America.

    Hillary 08

    January 5, 2008 07:04 pm at 7:04 pm |
  11. Connie, Richmond, CA

    This poll is unreliable. The CNN poll for Iowa was totally off. Keep dreaming, CNN, if you want people to believe that Obama did not get a bounce in New Hamphire, and that the race is a "toss up."

    January 5, 2008 07:06 pm at 7:06 pm |
  12. Nancy, NH

    It will be McCain-Huckabee Republican ticket and Democrats will lose again in Nov under Obama.

    Obama wrongfully, alongwith media, made people suspicious of Clinton's integrity. He wont be able to do that with McCain and Huckabee. Only reason Obama is getting the votes is because some people hate Clinton at any cost and find Edwards too phony.

    January 5, 2008 07:07 pm at 7:07 pm |
  13. Ed, NC


    January 5, 2008 07:11 pm at 7:11 pm |
  14. Obituary - Hillary


    It is with deep regret to announce the passing of the Clinton campaign.
    The campaign saw its moments but after a long hard fight with credibilty it passed away after a long hard fight in Iowa.
    In lew of donations to the Democratic Party please send flowers.

    Arrangments for burial of the signs will be for immediate supporters only.

    January 5, 2008 07:12 pm at 7:12 pm |
  15. Jay Adkisson

    I wondered why this poll differed so much from the ARG and Rasmussen polls (on the Dem side); but I think the survey format (in long form) is something that a Clinton supporter would participate in before an Obama supporter. Obama's supporters aren't in it to evaluate each candidate from a logical perspective as the survey requires – that's Clinton's field. We're seeing here a sort of politics that we've never seen before, and I think that's worth taking into consideration.

    January 5, 2008 07:27 pm at 7:27 pm |
  16. rex

    The question paramount today is " who will the democrat president nominee appoint as his / her vice president ?

    January 5, 2008 07:27 pm at 7:27 pm |
  17. Anonymous

    why he didn't mind his own biz where he belongs, or he thinks his fox security is gonna come to save his ass. him & people like him are destroyin' this country. He thinks he is all that, the go cover THE REPUBLICANS, who support yr' sick mentality and wicked ideology... leave this people alone, no more preaching of fear ... again this is not the fox studio or news room, where you harass people physically & sexually & by the way this is America.

    January 5, 2008 07:47 pm at 7:47 pm |
  18. Liam

    Hillary keeps repeating that she is the one that can bring about change because she has worked hard at it for more than thirty years. Here is my question: If you have not been able to bring about change in over thirty years on the job, doesn't that mean that you are not able to get it done?

    You had eight years in the White House with Bill, and you did not get it done then, and your screw up set back Health Care reform by about twenty years.

    Sorry Hillary,

    You are not entitled to take a thirty year mulligan.

    Time to step aside, and let someone else take over.

    January 5, 2008 07:49 pm at 7:49 pm |
  19. Lisa

    I think that the ticket should be Clinton-Obama since Obama doenst have the experience on International issues. This would mean that he would be getting hands on training and then we can see what he is really capable of doing. At this point he hasnt demostrated or said what he would do except for sayng that he would meet with the leadears of other countries. After being in the VP position for 8 years he would have the knowledge that a presidential should have…..

    Young people dont lose sight of the big picture……..It’s a crazy world we are living in and we need experience not a persone that needs on the job training. Let’s get it right this time and let’s stop waisting time on the whole CHANGE if there’s no exprerience to go along with it…..

    January 5, 2008 07:54 pm at 7:54 pm |
  20. william

    Clearly, the spectacular victory by Barack Obama in the first campaign of the 2008 primary election in Iowa has given him an all important bounce in the polls in the first-in -the-nation primary and that speaks volumes about the strength of his message of change.

    More than that, however, what a great statement his victory was to the changing quality of American society that a state like Iowa could cast a plurality of its votes for an African American candidate hopefully bringing to fruition the dream of Martin Luther King that a person be judged by the content of their character rather than the color of their skin. This offers hope for a changing America that will benefit not only African Americans but all citizens of this great experiment in melding cultures that is the United States.

    That said, however, I am concerned about the Democrats nominating Barack Obama as their standard bearer in 2008, and that concern about an Obama candidacy isn't the fact that he's black, but rather that he's green. 8 years as a state legislator and 3 years as a U.S. senator are a start on the education of a person who desires to lead America in a world with many dangers and challenges but pale in comparison to the intimate knowledge required for the domestic and international problems that will be faced in the years ahead. Islamic fascism, Iran, and Russia, internationally, or recession, $100-a- barrel oil, or spiraling health care costs demand the long term involvement and work in these issues from candidates like Hillary Clinton and John McCain. Now that would be a ticket, McCain/Clinton or visa-versa.

    Barack Obama's candidacy and victory in Iowa is great and cannot be understated as a tremendous step forward for the political culture, but now is not the time to take a chance on America's security and economic strength. We need Clinton or McCain now more than ever. It's great to have a honeymoon with your heart that Obama's candidacy represents but, over the long term, we need to have a marriage with our heads and know that the man or woman we elect is ready for the challenge on the very first day in the Oval Office.

    January 5, 2008 07:58 pm at 7:58 pm |
  21. Vincent, Tamaqua, Pa

    goo HILLARY! she is definitely the best candidate to bring about CHANGE!

    January 5, 2008 08:03 pm at 8:03 pm |
  22. Jeff Spangler, Arlington, VA

    She: shrill, phony, inexperienced, poor lawyer, socialist "takes-a-village" philosophy, unelectable. He: academic lawyer with little real experience, naive about the role of hope in politics without concrete policies, lots of sizzle but little steak, black power church affiliation, unelectable.

    January 5, 2008 08:05 pm at 8:05 pm |
  23. walter lacy

    It is going to be a wonderful new beginning for our beautiful country we are hoping. we can see the sunshine beginning to glow over this great country. Let's all hope and pray that our hero, mr obama, does not align himself with the likes of al sharpton or jesse jackson. we feel mr obama is smarter than that. lets all pray so. here's to the wonderful new begining of a new era. we are 67 yrs old.

    January 5, 2008 08:05 pm at 8:05 pm |
  24. Samuel Adams,brewery nearyou

    Fellow Americans,
    John Edwards is whom you should vote for because a government owned and operated by multinational corporations will be completely impotent whme it come to functioning in a demacratic fashion. Simply put candidates who are corporate funded will be worthless no matter what kind of retoric they spew forth. A good example is the curent bush administration, its every action seeks to perform a function that benefits corporate profits and interests. These short sighted acts are destroying our country both economically and politically and are now even hurting the greedy corporations who wanted them. An example is the current mortgage situation, See what happens when government gets out of the way and lets the super smart private sector work its magic !!!!!

    January 5, 2008 08:06 pm at 8:06 pm |
  25. FAIR TAX,LA.


    January 5, 2008 08:09 pm at 8:09 pm |
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