January 6th, 2008
05:49 PM ET
3 years ago

Poll: Obama jumps ahead of Clinton in New Hampshire

ALT TEXT

A new CNN/WMUR poll shows Obama has a 10 point lead over Clinton. (Photo Credit: AP)

MANCHESTER, New Hampshire (CNN) - MANCHESTER, New Hampshire (CNN) - Two days before New Hampshire's Democratic primary, Sen. Barack Obama has opened a double-digit lead over Sen. Hillary Clinton in that state, a new CNN-WMUR poll found Sunday.

Obama, the first-term senator from Illinois who won last week's Iowa caucuses, led the New York senator and former first lady 39 percent to 29 percent in a poll conducted Saturday and Sunday - a sharp change from a poll out Saturday that showed the Democratic front-runners tied at 33 percent.

Former Sen. John Edwards of North Carolina is at 16 percent in the new survey, down four points from Saturday. Gov. Bill Richardson of New Mexico is in fourth place, with the support of 7 percent of likely New Hampshire Democratic primary voters, with Rep. Dennis Kucinich of Ohio at 2 percent.

Full story

Full poll results [PDF]

Related video: New poll sends shockwaves

Related video: Stakes high in New Hampshire

– CNN Deputy Political Director Paul Steinhauser

soundoff (516 Responses)
  1. camie

    Experience means nothing if there isn’t vision and integrity to back it. Cheney, Bush had experience- look where that got us. If HC has been such an agent of change all these years in Washington, why are we in the quagmire we are in now?

    All you have to do is look at their campaigns. In much less time than Hilary, Obama has mobilized an effective and formidable campaign organization, AND gotten out the young vote. That is effective action.

    Meanwhile, Hilary's campaign staff has send out barbs and lies about Obama- emails, false rumours, push polling in Iowa. Her response? She didn't know it was happening, and did not endorse it. She shrugs and plays the innocence card. Wow, she can’t even take responsibility or control her campaign staff – how could she handle being in the Whitehouse?

    Hilary calls Obama a 'flip flopper', but she can't even take a definitive stand on her own campaign position. Is it experience? Is it change? All of the sudden she's cultivating the youth vote. She says she would not have gone to war in Iraq, yet she voted for the war in Iraq. She doesn't care about the American people, she wants power at any cost.

    January 6, 2008 11:49 pm at 11:49 pm |
  2. Arthur

    Congratulations to Michael. Perhaps you can personally petition congress to repeal term limits so you can rally us all to give G. W. one more go. Hooray!! We don't need that old constitution, bill of rights, or especially that abomination, the geneva convention. We're Americuns, dang-it! "hey ellie-mae, go fetch me a possum from the ceement pond!"

    January 6, 2008 11:50 pm at 11:50 pm |
  3. MB in California

    I know why I'm voting for Obama, but the comments of Hillary's supporters are enlightening. They either appeal to your intolerance, spin the "experience" canard or preach fear.

    Don't let them get you down. We are going to win this thing.

    Obama 2008

    January 6, 2008 11:51 pm at 11:51 pm |
  4. Aaron Baker

    It makes me absolutely sick to see such an inexperienced individual pass someone with such a wealth of experience and ability to lead. Hillary Clinton is the only candidate able to effectively enact change–the mere joke that some believe that 'Barack' would enact a change in American politics shows how backwards America truly is. If the caucuses and primaries continue this way, it looks like I'll have to break Democratic ranks and vote Republican.

    January 6, 2008 11:54 pm at 11:54 pm |
  5. curiosityhasme

    IF OPRAH AND OBAMA, BOTH MEMBERS OF TUCC-CHICAGO, WANT TO GO DOWN IN HISTORY AS THE TWO WHO "SAVED THE CONTINENT OF AFRICA", FINE. OPRAH CAN BUILD AS MANY SCHOOLS AS SHE WANTS OVER THERE. BUT THE RACIST AGENDA PROMOTED AT THEIR "CHRISTIAN" CHURCH, THAT IS SELF-DESCRIBED AFRICAN-CENTRIST (NOT UNITED STATES), AND PROMOTES THE "BLACK VALUES SYSTEM" – IS TOTALLY RACIST. WHY AREN'T THE MAINSTREAM MEDIA REPORTING THIS? WHY DID THEY BURY THE STORY ABOUT THE LONG-STANDING (GAY) CHOIR DIRECTOR'S MURDER/SCANDAL ON 12/23/07? THE PASTOR HAS TIES TO LOUIS FARAKHAN FOR CRYING OUT LOUD! THIS "CHURCH" LOOKS LIKE A FRONT FOR THE NATION OF ISLAM IF YOU ASK ME. MEANWHILE, THRONGS OF YOUTH EDUCATED BY BET, MYSPACE, AND FACEBOOK ARE HIJACKING OUR CULTURE, AND NOW OUR NATION. THE DUMBING -DOWN OF THE PUBLIC SCHOOLS HAS RESULTED IN A GENERATION OF MINDLESS ROBOTS. AND THE MIDDLE-AGED TRYING TO RECAPTURE WOODSTOCK HAVEN'T A CLUE AS TO WHO THIS GUY REALLY IS. THIS ISN'T THE SIXTIES, AND HE'S NO KENNEDY OR KING. WHY ISN'T BARACK OBAMA HELD TO THE SAME STANDARDS AND SCRUTINY AS THE OTHER CANDIDATES? WHAT IF THE OTHER CANDIDATES WERE AFFILIATED WITH ANY ORGANIZATION THAT PROMOTED "WHITE VALUES SYSTEM"? WHERE'S IMUS WHEN YOU NEED HIM? OH, I GET IT – MSM AFRAID OF BOYCOTT, SO NO OUTLET HAS THE GUTS TO TAKE HIM ON. WELL, REPUBLICANS – DON'T THINK YOU'RE IMMUNE FROM THIS CULT FOLLOWING EITHER. THANKS IOWA AND NEW HAMPSHIRE – SO FAR REMOVED FROM THE REAL WORLD OF GHETTO / GANGSTA MENTALITY AND LIFESTYLES. LOOKS LIKE HEADLINE MAY BE: COMING SOON TO A NEIGHBORHOOD NEAR YOU – THE SOUTHSIDE OF CHICAGO. BUT WHAT DO YOU EXPECT FROM A COUNTRY WHERE AMERICAN IDOL IS THE FAVORITE SHOW (INSTEAD OF CURRENT EVENTS) AND "NEW" HOLDS ALL THE MEANING. WE WERE A GREAT NATION ONCE UPON A TIME.........

    January 6, 2008 11:54 pm at 11:54 pm |
  6. Ann Aloha, PA

    Poor misguided people. I think its time for a true independent media source. My friend called me from a Hillary Clinton campaign stop and people were packed there like sardines so where was the media report on that? My friend and I are independents and wanted to give all the candidates a chance to win us over. And now with this media mudslinging and one-sidedness, I am more disappointed in the media than any of the candidates.

    January 6, 2008 11:58 pm at 11:58 pm |
  7. karen

    Hillary has my vote.

    Hillary is very experienced whereas Obama is still green

    January 6, 2008 11:58 pm at 11:58 pm |
  8. Scott FL

    Everyone is complaining about Obama's "Change", and how he does not state his ideas. Go to his website, and watch his podcasts. He quite clearly states what he will change in America. Part of being a good leader is being optimistic and likable. Another part of being a good leader is accomplishing goals. I believe Obama has the drive and the willingness to change our country, and improve the lives of our children. The final factor is strength. He may be a tough man, he may not, but he will at least have the other two factors down, and he can work on the the Third.

    Obama 2008
    Remember, we are all Americans here, we should not fight over our presidential elections. We shouldn't denounce other members, and say it is inevitable they will lose.

    January 7, 2008 12:01 am at 12:01 am |
  9. angelina_ MN

    food for thougth:

    is this change:

    Clinton, Bush, Bush, Clinton = NO CHANGE = dynasty= power handed down from relative to relative

    35 years of experience? if her experience is that of her husband, then, many politicians, including world politicians and simple voter, and just regular people are wlling to lend Senator Obama all our experience.

    Hillary's claimed 35 years of experience= taking credit for Bill's clinton presidency = no experience

    Hillary's politics= sense of entitlement to govern this country at whatever cost
    Hillary's way of addressing other runners: condescending and negative, is this change?
    Her view of the world: the Hamptons and NY city is her oyster.
    Hillary's years in the Senate= may she can provide a clear answer on this...

    WE NEED CHANGE, THE WORLD IS DEMANDING CHANGE. this is the US of America, where people decide who wins and power is handed down from the people to their leader. The people everywhere in the US are sending a clear message: we need change, Obama is the agent of change. The world awaits this much needed change.

    January 7, 2008 12:01 am at 12:01 am |
  10. Mike

    Obama is a second mistake after bush. Is MABUS by Nostradamus mean Obama-Bush or Osama-Bush?

    January 7, 2008 12:06 am at 12:06 am |
  11. ldc

    SUMMUS

    You post carries not an ounce of logic.

    You can't say people like Hillary more than Obama.

    Polls are already showing that Obama is outpolling Clinton against other GOP candidates.

    Polls also show time and again that about half the electorate does not like Hillary.

    Even Bill Clinton never received over 50 percent of the vote in any election.

    Is it because Obama is African American? Iowa showed that whites, including independents and some Republicans, are more than willing to embrace his candidacy. He has brought out NEW voters who will certainly follow him into the general, and those NEW voters could put him over the top in states like Iowa and New Hampshire.

    He can't carry PA or Ohio? Please. PA has trended blue for the past decade. PA also has a large number of African American voters and urban voters who have no problems voting for an African American (of course, in case you missed it, Obama just won one of the whitest, rural states in America.).

    Ohio is the same, and in 2004, Kerry lost Ohio because 15 percent of the black vote went to Bush. That won't happen with Barack, as he appeals to the majority of blacks, including those of faith.

    In fact, I could argue that Obama, due to his likeablity, his appeal to younger voters and independents, and his obvious appeal to African Americans could bring in play a lot of southern states the Dems haven't carried for sometime.

    A large progressive youth and African American (or Latino)turnout, combined with the snag of a few independents, could place, Arkansas, South Carolina, Georgia and Mississippi in play, because they have such large populations of color - nearly 40 percent in some cases. Virginia, which has already elected a black to a nation-wide office and is trending blue, would also be in play, if he bring out the vote.

    And again, this is good for the Democratic party. If there is a groundswell of new voters for Obama - especially if the GOP nominates a weak candidate like Romney or Huckabee - those new voters would likely support Democrats down ballot.

    If this happens, the Dems could pick up four to seven senate seats, and manybe another 15-20 seats in the house. Those are the majorities we need to set forth a progressive coalition in the United States.

    One thing is certain. Hillary will not grow the party as much, and she will not be able to bridge the partisan gridlock.

    Barack is not only good for our nation, he is good for the Democratic Party.

    He will reenergize the AFrican AMerican base - which HAS been trending to the right or away from the box altogether, and he will bring in new, younger voters to the party.

    GO OBAMA GO!

    January 7, 2008 12:07 am at 12:07 am |
  12. Yinka

    I admire obama, he is good orator. But for goodness sake let him be be governor of his state first before he can be president of USA. He's a first term senator and does not yet have the experience to lead America and the world. Eight year from now he can come back. Being the president of the US requires experience and not just talk. He keep talking about change but he's yet to tell us what he has done to make him qualify like Clinton or McCain, he has not even been a Mayor of a city.
    If the Democrat really want a change, they better be carefull having obama as their front runner or else they run the risk of loosing to the republican or an independent with experience, especially in foreign pollicies.

    January 7, 2008 12:09 am at 12:09 am |
  13. stu

    anyone who questions barak obama's "values" because of his having spent time as a child in Indonesia is WAY off track.
    obama grew up–spent his formative years–in hawaii, where people are raised with the best values–community and respect for the environment, an appreciation of, and comfort with, a multi-racial culture, and the valuing of relationships more than material wealth.
    obama's values are what's needed in the country–in all of us–if anything is really going to change. he represents a change in CONSCIOUSNESS better than any other candidate. Obama is the only one who can really inspire hope and represent a change in direction for this country..
    PERIOD.

    January 7, 2008 12:18 am at 12:18 am |
  14. Judd

    I am curious as to whether the poll was taken before the debate or after the debate.
    Who was polled.
    What questions were asked.
    CNN has clearly shown bias towards Obama.

    Obama is smart and can give a great speech.

    Hillary is brilliant, can give a great speech, and will lead this country the minute the electorate gives her the nod.

    There will not be all the warm fuzzy of do you like me or not, or hope, hope, hope....

    She will hit the ground and begin saving this country and our democracy and she has clear, precise plans do to it, she has the know how, she has ability to build a collaboritive government even before she is sworn in that will be able to start day one and work in a bi-partisan manner and because she knows Washington she knows the strengths and weaknesses of people that would be good for various positions in her cabinets and other positions of importance.
    She will not have to be trained on the job.
    She will not be a security risk like Obama will be.

    People wake up!!!!!!!!

    Hope is Hillary!

    I am so sick of the press and everyone else bringing up the "likeability crap"
    I ask.....anyone that ever says that to me...I say....do you know her personally? They say no....I say I do...and I know 5 others who do and we think she is truly brilliant and we like her very much.

    With that said......

    Obama is a security risk and cannot save our failing democracy with his words of hope and lack of experience. He is new and wants change.

    The change we need is more severe than he can even imagine and we adults know this.

    You can dream all you want and that is admirable.

    But Hillary is the one to save our country! Obama is not!

    CNN get off your high horse and start giving fair coverage to Hillary.

    By the way.... I was in Iowa and I watched the caucus. Obama's people used intimidation tactics agianst the elderly. That is how he won. I saw it in action. Where were you?

    January 7, 2008 12:22 am at 12:22 am |
  15. Elmo in MN

    Hello :) I'd just like to comment on a comment. ARTT, I don't understand how you could say that because Obama's father is Kenyan and his mother is Caucasian, he is not African American. I can safely assume that since the country of Kenya is in Africa, the people from that country are called African. And since he was born in America, he is American by birth. So when you put those two together you get African American. The reason Obama won the Iowa caucus was because he cared about the country as a whole, not a particular group of people. And just because he hasn't been in the game for very long, doesn't mean that he doesn't know what he's talking about. Experience shouldn't be defined by how long you have worked on something, rather it is what you have learnt while you worked on that something. You can work in the world of politics for your whole life and yet not learn anything, while a person who comes in with a fresh open mind (that hasn't been tarnished from listening to years of "experienced" men and women and their one sided views) and picks up more in a year than that "experienced" person did in years. For the past eight years we have been trying to do the "experienced" thing, don't you think that it's about time for a change? A fresh start? I most certainly do, and I think we, as Americans, deserve a second chance.

    -Elmo

    P.S. Have you guessed who I am supporting yet??? It's................Clinton :)

    No, I'm joking :)? I support Barack Obama 100% :)

    January 7, 2008 12:22 am at 12:22 am |
  16. hyd

    It is sounds ridiculous to listen to Hillary talking about her 35 years of experience. Loads of nonsense.

    January 7, 2008 12:25 am at 12:25 am |
  17. Scott FL

    Oh yeah, EDWARD LEAK, your an idiot.
    The world unification of God is the worst idea I have ever heard in my life. Why can't it be the world unification of Allah, or the Tao.
    The world doesn't revolve around your religion.

    January 7, 2008 12:26 am at 12:26 am |
  18. judith escalona

    The reality is that the candidate of substance is Clinton. The media is distorting the role of these primaries.

    Both Iowa and New Hampshire are small states that do not reflect in any way the states with larger populations. I myself do not in any way see myself reflected in any of these states. The real event is not in the primaries but in the coverage and how the media is spinning the primaries and what they supposedly mean.

    The media is really offensive and pathetic. Let's not talk about experience and change in a vacuum.

    Clinton took Edwards to task with the Patients Bill of RIghts–showing that this was a hollow accomplishment for Edwards since it was actually never passed. Then what else did he have to list as his accomplishments in the Senate? He said nothing.

    And what was this Edwards-Obama tag team? Obama basically played safe and once again showed little substance. He seemed almost insipid and his message was already showing wear and tear. What about his accomplishments in Congress?

    Hillary was powerful in stating that her record speaks for itself and her ability to produce results. She made a distinction between experience that effects change versus words that speak of change without a specific agenda or background for producing results.

    January 7, 2008 12:27 am at 12:27 am |
  19. FrankTX

    A quick scan of the commentary here leaves me with the impression that the so-called Hillary supporters with particularly nasty things to say about Obama are not Hillary supporters at all. Even in a message board the intelligence quotient for posters of that nature would be higher.

    Regarding the vapidity or ambiguity of Senator Obama's change message, simply put, there is none. He explains explicitly and in great detail HOW he plans to create change in Washington. If you don't understand this, you are choosing not to listen, or don't understand the message. Read some more, and not from the media. Read his plans and explanations, then read his opponents'. The choice for Obama in 2008 is clear.

    January 7, 2008 12:29 am at 12:29 am |
  20. rrose

    I think the Republicans are happy to see Obama surge in the polls....because they are confident they can beat him in the general election. Hillary is the stronger candidate all around in terms of experience and education and the best prepared to fend off the Republicans in November. If the Democrats do not nominate her, there is a good chance that we will have a Republican president in 2009.

    January 7, 2008 12:32 am at 12:32 am |
  21. Steve, Texas

    "Why are people always talking about Obama's experiences? You can have all the experience in the world and not know how to command people. People fail to realize that if you are the head of the company the best job you can do is be a great DELAGATOR!!!!! "

    If Democrats can spell, they might win elections more often. However, they are usually much better at committing political seppuku....

    GWB is an excellent delegator as well, and he was inexperienced, but he sure was not as glib of speech as BHO. We know how much damage has been done to this country.

    Maybe BHO will talk his way out of any situation out country can face.....while the US slowly goes the way of Argentina in the first quartile of the 20th century.

    January 7, 2008 12:41 am at 12:41 am |
  22. Phil

    To all you closet racists -

    It's 2008.

    Come on out into the light so we can see who you are.

    January 7, 2008 12:45 am at 12:45 am |
  23. Joseph Johnson

    Everyone knows that New Hampshire voters, do not let poll numbers decide you they will vote for! The Republican want Obama to win the democratic nomination, because they know that they cannot beat Hillary Clinton in the general election. If we want a democratic president in the White House, then vote for Hillary Clinton the only democratic candidate that can bring about true change.

    January 7, 2008 12:46 am at 12:46 am |
  24. Mary

    I wanst really paying attention - toying with the idea of any of the top 4- until Iowa voted and I heard Obamas speech.
    Im old enough to remember RFK– I got that feeling again.
    Im not 18-34 but I will be voting for Barak Obama.

    January 7, 2008 12:46 am at 12:46 am |
  25. Matt Walsh

    Obama has something. Everyone feels it. Even the fearful nay-sayers.

    I thank God for this.

    January 7, 2008 12:47 am at 12:47 am |
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21