January 6th, 2008
05:49 PM ET
8 years ago

Poll: Obama jumps ahead of Clinton in New Hampshire


A new CNN/WMUR poll shows Obama has a 10 point lead over Clinton. (Photo Credit: AP)

MANCHESTER, New Hampshire (CNN) - MANCHESTER, New Hampshire (CNN) - Two days before New Hampshire's Democratic primary, Sen. Barack Obama has opened a double-digit lead over Sen. Hillary Clinton in that state, a new CNN-WMUR poll found Sunday.

Obama, the first-term senator from Illinois who won last week's Iowa caucuses, led the New York senator and former first lady 39 percent to 29 percent in a poll conducted Saturday and Sunday - a sharp change from a poll out Saturday that showed the Democratic front-runners tied at 33 percent.

Former Sen. John Edwards of North Carolina is at 16 percent in the new survey, down four points from Saturday. Gov. Bill Richardson of New Mexico is in fourth place, with the support of 7 percent of likely New Hampshire Democratic primary voters, with Rep. Dennis Kucinich of Ohio at 2 percent.

Full story

Full poll results [PDF]

Related video: New poll sends shockwaves

Related video: Stakes high in New Hampshire

- CNN Deputy Political Director Paul Steinhauser

soundoff (516 Responses)
  1. Nick Wilson, Richardson, TX

    Clinton has very little experience, honestly. Someone above made a metaphor about having a pilot fly your family across the country – you will pick the pilot with the most experience, correct? Except the problem is, Hillary can't count the first 30-odd years of her "experience" which are only qualified via matrimony. The pilot's wife can't claim she has 30 years of piloting experience when her husband was the one behind the wheel and she sat and watched him. It's better than no experience, but until she's the one that takes the actual wheel and flies the plane she can't claim she has been the pilot this whole time.

    Bill Richardson is the only candidate with significant and broad experience in this campaign. He has been immensely successful as governor of New Mexico, worked in the Clinton administration (not necessarily a big plus, but...) and has extensive foreign policy experience. Obama represent change. If Obama and Richardson were on the ticket together, they'd be unbeatable. McCain-Thompson could be a likely and potentially the most viable matchup on the Republican side. A Ron Paul independent campaign would keep things exciting.

    January 7, 2008 12:48 am at 12:48 am |
  2. Real (Native) American in California

    Yeah, GO Obama, go back to whereever you came from. I've watched you on the debates and haven't seen anything that impresses me. Your responses are pure politics – saying nothing specific, just idealistic rhetoric that doesn't exhibit insight into the real problems this country faces. I've seen motivational speakers, that you resemble, and quickly recognized that that is all they were. They aren't experts, as some would believe, just gifted gabbers. Unfortunately your talent is being similarly mistaken. I can only hope that for the sake of MY country and my son who is in the army overseas that Americans have learned a lesson and don't elect someone who lacks the qualificatons, like our current incompetent good ol' boy in office. Please Americans, think this time!!! I hope this won't be the first time in my life that I don't vote Democratic!

    January 7, 2008 12:49 am at 12:49 am |
  3. Jimmy from colorado

    The poll reflects only one thing People are sick and tired of fight of 90s.It was hard time during those scandals at the white house.Anybody but Hillary

    January 7, 2008 12:55 am at 12:55 am |
  4. Joseph Johnson

    All I have heard throughout this early primary season, is Obama talking about change. The media and others are trying to say that Hillary Clinton is status quo, just because she is a Clinton and her husband was President. Hillary Clinton is change and portraying her as status quo is just not fare. If you are going to compare her to her husband, lets hope whoever the next president is that they can lead our country in the direction he did, which is forward not backwards like the republicans have for the last 8 years. Vote Hillary Clinton!

    January 7, 2008 12:57 am at 12:57 am |
  5. jon

    Barack Obama bused people in from Illinois to vote in the Iowa caucus.

    January 7, 2008 12:58 am at 12:58 am |
  6. MB Nekog

    I challenge ANYONE who supports Barack Hussein Obama's record to take a look AT his record. He voted "present" for 70% of the votes he was SUPPOSED to take an actual stand on as a Senator! His records speak volumes of his LACK of experience and inability to not only talk the talk but walk the walk. Don't be enamored by his eloquence, check his viability. If you don't, the republicans will and we will have another in the White House!

    January 7, 2008 12:59 am at 12:59 am |
  7. Philo

    Go Obama!!!

    I've been checking the "election center on CNN." The polling results are almost reported as actual election results. So far, Obama is winning not Hillary. Please report the polling results separate from genuine results, like you've done on the Republican side. Please just give us true and real results in the election center and create a new webpage labeled "polling results." When real results and polling projections are presented together it becomes an editorial endorsement versus honest reporting.

    I am happy to see that there is once again, since Carter and Bill Clinton , an intelligent candidate in the mix. All the best to Obama.


    January 7, 2008 01:01 am at 1:01 am |
  8. John

    Go Obama!

    January 7, 2008 01:03 am at 1:03 am |
  9. Rob

    You lefties have resorted to eating your young. I hope you drive yourself to oblivion before you get it resolved.

    January 7, 2008 01:04 am at 1:04 am |
  10. ReversethinkerMN

    Napoleon said a leader is a "dealer in hope." Obama is a leader for our times. He is a manifestation of the great dream Martin Luther King Jr. had for our country.
    Obviously, his message has touched something deep and primal in our nation's psyche. Iowans signaled it. New Hamspherites will second it on Tuesday. Let us tell the merchants of fear and despair that we choose hope and change. Obama for a new America! God bless America!!

    January 7, 2008 01:08 am at 1:08 am |
  11. Philo

    During the debate, I noted that Hillary kept citing that she has 35 yrs of experience
    in politics. If my wife were elected to office and I wasn't, I would not count her service as my own. For me to do this would be flat out dishonest. If you do a websearch on Hillary, you'll find that she has been an elected official only 8 yrs. She would do better to distinguish her actual service from her vicarious service through Bill Clinton.

    I think people want truth and honesty, and we can sense when a candidate is resonating with us. Hillary claiming Bill's service as her own is not truth and does not resonate with any honest person.

    January 7, 2008 01:08 am at 1:08 am |
  12. Boz

    Iowa Turnout
    356,000 (239,000 Dem. 117,000 rep.)

    Percentage of total vote
    24.5% Obama
    20.5% Edwards
    19.8% Clinton
    11.4% Huckabee (R)

    (Thanks for the Math Group News Blog)

    How exactly does Obama lose in November?
    The Dem. Top three beat the guy with the top Rep. 2 to 1

    January 7, 2008 01:08 am at 1:08 am |
  13. Benjamin Herron

    In a country and frankly, a world, where religious ideology has often led large populations astray from a focus on the human condition, it is wonderful to see a person, whether you are a believer or not, to utilize a belief in a "higher power" to a "higher purpose." That purpose is not divine, but cloaked in a spirit of taking care of our fellow brothers and sisters who live in this world with us. "Taking care" does not involve tax cuts for the wealthy, less privacy, discrimination against different types of people, a refusal to provide health services to all, an idle response to the millions of undereducated children and teens, and larger prisons. It is about a philosophy that transcends everything, with a purpose to fullfill the needs of human beings in a responsible way, while protecting the rights humans are endowed with at birth. This is done by changing America so that there are less black men in prison than there are in our colleges. It is done by saying no to the giant interest groups and corporate giants that enslave our nation and the world, and making it at least possible for every single American to have reasonable access to health care. It is done by working with every nation in the world to seriously work towards reducing the impact of global warming on the rest of the world, especially in third would countries that are impacted the most and not continuing to provide revenue for states that abuse the rights of humans. It is done by telling the world that we are no longer in the business of dictating to others around the globe how they should do things, but by encouraging democracy and setting the example that we mean what we say and what we do is completely in the interest of the freedom of human beings. These are the great issues that must be tackled in this day and age. We need a leader who will address them with great knowledge and a philosophy and approach that is best suited to tackle the issues facing not only our country, but the entire planet. I believe Mr. Barack Obama is the one who provides this approach best and I hope you will support this historic and defining moment in our nation, and perhaps the world's history. Let no one tell us that our hopes are false!

    January 7, 2008 01:08 am at 1:08 am |
  14. Joseph Johnson

    Our country is facing problems like we have never faced before. The environment, global terrorism, economy decline, and millions of families and children without healthcare. Its nice to hear the things that Obama is bringing to the table, and he would be change. But with the issues that face us as a country, we need to take better look at our candidates. Hillary Clinton not only brings change, but she brings the experience and know how to solve some of the existing problems. Lets not get confused over speeches or words that individuals say, because we do not have the time to elect a president and wait and see if he or she can produce. Thats why Hillary Clinton is not only the best choice but the smart one. I believe that HIllary Clinton can deliver on the promises that she makes. So, when you are deciding on the right candidate, think for a while and make the right choice. Vote for Hillary Clinton!

    January 7, 2008 01:09 am at 1:09 am |
  15. Hope

    Iowa and NH? k. two states? Obama the choice? Nope. This is truly remarkable. Some can maybe even laugh. I guess some may have not paid much attention at last nights debate. This is beyond words for our great country. I guess all of us old folks should be put out to pasture?

    I am like Clinton a true figther. Against all odds. age, being a woman and being slammed by Obama and Edwards. She is far more than both of these two men combined. For that matter all of them Both republicans and democrats.

    January 7, 2008 01:22 am at 1:22 am |
  16. Anonymous

    Jimmy, just because your whole family supports clinton does not mean you have to fall victim to the conformity of the status quo! think about it

    January 7, 2008 01:25 am at 1:25 am |
  17. connie floyd

    I really hope that New Hampshire voters realize the gravity of their job and not be fooled by a good speech. Afterall the devil can deliver a thoughtful and beautiful speech to get you to do what you should not.
    I truly believe we need to be carefull with Obama, afterall he has no real experience and doesnt give exact plans for our future.
    His background in islam is shakey, exactly what year did he join a Christian church? Does anyone know?
    He also has no experience, remember when we all fell in love with George Bush? He could talk people into alot of bad things. He was a guy we could talk to. Look what happened! HILLARy08' At least we know what we are getting!!!!!

    January 7, 2008 01:26 am at 1:26 am |
  18. Gane

    -GO GIRL, GO!!!!

    Dear Mrs Clinton,

    I do relate to you very much. I am a mechanical engineer who works with 99.9% guys.

    Oh boy, they can be sooo mean!

    Please, do not aloud them to intimidate you! You are very , very smart woman.

    I am Canadian. We are nor directly affected from american choice of President, but we care.

    I was watching the debate and judging on the merit. You girl, was on the TOP- well informed , articulate, on the point, charming...but I have some suggestions: (I wish I ware in your team)

    – Please pay attention that Mr.Obama very carefully listen what you are saying , make marks and then use the information paraphrased and presenting it "very knowledgably" (Plagiarism). Please , thy to talk after him.

    Bay the way, I really steak my ears out to hear something substantial from him; goes around, around... entertainer.

    – At the debate several time Obama kind of "bay the way" has mentioned the time presided G.Bush???!! Halloo? PLease , do not aloud him to do that. Only once you effectively reacted. May be you want to reconsider your position , there is nothing wrong to defend Clinton's era. Do not mess any opportunity.

    – Tell people : yes you are tough but the job is more than tough. Every day!

    – The only remark that I have from the debate evening was: you should be the last with your closing wards. It was Obama repeating your statement make it sound like his.

    – If you have a time and see the tape of that debate you will see a lot. Obama- black,white or pinkish is just ENTERTAINER .

    P.S. Every time spellchecking Obama there is suggestion to be change to Osama!!??

    Gane, Toronto< Canada

    January 7, 2008 01:27 am at 1:27 am |
  19. Anonymous

    NH will do Obama the Same Thing Iowa Did Howard Dean In 2004 Watch and See..

    January 7, 2008 01:29 am at 1:29 am |
  20. CS

    Every indication is that this election is very much a departure from the norm. in Carter and Bill Clinton you had very outside-of-Washington politicians that many people thought were a departure from what was electable/sensible. and 2 democrats over more than 30 years is NOT a trend. to the people that say Edwards' southernness puts him in play, well it didn't help in 2004 – anywhere! And please let's not forget, though dems (self included) liked Clinton, he won a plurality in 92, and had serious trouble against a weak candidate in Dole, in 96.

    TYo those that decry what think is blind following for Obama, I say YOU are the fools. It completely dismisses the very real sentiment that many voters have that they they hunger for a candidate who (at least on their tv screens) appeals to them to rise to some higher purpose to some higher ideal and *seems* genuine and trustworthy. It is not foolish to question. It is certainly not foolish to criticize and even attack inconsistencies and glaring weaknesses, but to dismiss the people who support him is a mistake. Should Obama fail to capture the nomination JE and more likely HRC has to find a way to tap iinto that inclusion, optimism, hope, etc. And I don't think HRC can. And despite her many arguments the polls and momentum and ground level sentiment all seem to be in Obama's favor. SO it is wise for her to question his actions and experience, but it hasn't been working.

    people who care more for experience are not new to the process, they're mostly older, and have in many cases expressed a cynicism at the possibility of an Obama candidacy. Obama is getting people excited. In our very deep Dem field experience withered. the story is the same on the republican side, to such degree that Romney is now an "agent of change" the way Hillary for the past few weeks has been an "agent of change." A rabid and excited base is palpable and it shapes the coverage. Bush had a more excited base, it rejected the bad press, it demanded bad press for the other candidates – he won twice. If Obama is able to keep people getting excited some may not care for him, but he's already got repubs using his slogans cuz they're working. the Repubs have in McCain and Huckabee two formidable candidates, but If the Dems can get serious turnout the lack of enthusiasm on the GOP side will make this race very winnable. he has high positives (upon first impression) from most republicans. in fact better than Clinton has amongst Dems. the choice is simple.

    January 7, 2008 01:31 am at 1:31 am |
  21. Chaos45i

    It can be verified Barrack Obama as an Illinois Senator has been placed on
    repeated written notice of ongoing illegal race discrimination against American Hispanics. I ,a Hispanic American, have been denied the right to formally officially file race discrimination “IDHR & EEOC” charges against Hormel Foods Corporation and UFCW at the agencies IDHR & EEOC in Illinois since 2004 when in fact other nonHispanics are allowed to file such charges of Race discrimination. Despite Barack Obama and his office having full knowledge and understanding of this serious situation Barrack Obama a civil rights attorney himself has refused to hold anyone at IDHR & EEOC accountable for their actions regarding the issue of IDHR & EEOC discriminating against Hispanic American complainants and to date Barack Obama is not investigating or even asking for any independant third party to investigate this racial discrimination citing only a separation of powers. It is unconscionable for Barack Obama to have used this device as it regards race discrimination which has effectively empowered IDHR & EEOC to maintain their illegal & discriminatory position and with Barack Obama’s inaction Barack Obama is in fact discriminating against Hispanic American constituents of Illinois. I have been reporting this information on blogs longer than he has been running for president. I wonder how he would have done in Iowa if more poeple knew the truth. And if he is truly open and honest he should tell America himself what is going on in Illinois right now!

    January 7, 2008 01:34 am at 1:34 am |
  22. curiosityhasme

    It's such ashame Ann Richards and Molly Ivins aren't here to shake down Obama in true Texas tradition. Now, both of these yellow roses would have been the first to admit that Obama could "charm the snakes out of the trees", but those two Lone Star broads could see right through anybody or anything. Ann Richards could have been the first female president, if the idiots (Molly's words) in Texas hadn't listened to "W's" fluff talk as well. Many were fooled, and with the help of the Rove machine, he made it all the way to D.C. Stupid people continue to overlook the real gems – the smart gals – right in front of their eyes. Boy, if we ever needed Annie, it's now. I can hear here now saying, "Hillary, honey – you've already proven that a lady's place is in the dome (Senate) ......now get out there, get your confidence back, expose 'em for the fluff they are, and dance all the way backwards in high heels down Pennsylvania Avenue – and tell them that Ann sent ya!" She knew the brilliance of not only Bill Clinton, but Hillary as well. Like any real Texan (not a Bush) ,these women knew a winner when they saw one. Channeling Ann and Molly .......................................

    January 7, 2008 01:36 am at 1:36 am |
  23. Beach bum

    Thought I'd leave a word or two before I delete the CNN shortcut off my desh top.
    In the past CNN was the first thing I turned to in the morning and the last thing I listened to at night. That, of coarse was before they stopped reporting the news and became Obama's campaign manager. By the way Joe Biden was my guy so it has little to do with the sleezy way they treat Senator Clinton. It certainly still is men's club politics.

    January 7, 2008 01:37 am at 1:37 am |
  24. Robert M. Reidy N.Y.

    Hillary and Bill who supported Dr. Martin Luther King and his dream are now caught up in a nightmare of they're own making – They are trying to block the most viable black candidate, Barak Obama, from becoming perhaps one of the most effective uniter presidents with vision in sync with his time marking a sea change in America spiritual growth ever, have they lost their soul or their minds?- most curious....

    January 7, 2008 01:41 am at 1:41 am |
  25. jeff nyc

    I am a republican at heart and would probably vote for Obama should he make it that far. If Hillary gets the nod I will absolutely vote against her. She is the epitome of bs.

    January 7, 2008 01:42 am at 1:42 am |
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