January 6th, 2008
05:49 PM ET
8 years ago

Poll: Obama jumps ahead of Clinton in New Hampshire


A new CNN/WMUR poll shows Obama has a 10 point lead over Clinton. (Photo Credit: AP)

MANCHESTER, New Hampshire (CNN) - MANCHESTER, New Hampshire (CNN) - Two days before New Hampshire's Democratic primary, Sen. Barack Obama has opened a double-digit lead over Sen. Hillary Clinton in that state, a new CNN-WMUR poll found Sunday.

Obama, the first-term senator from Illinois who won last week's Iowa caucuses, led the New York senator and former first lady 39 percent to 29 percent in a poll conducted Saturday and Sunday - a sharp change from a poll out Saturday that showed the Democratic front-runners tied at 33 percent.

Former Sen. John Edwards of North Carolina is at 16 percent in the new survey, down four points from Saturday. Gov. Bill Richardson of New Mexico is in fourth place, with the support of 7 percent of likely New Hampshire Democratic primary voters, with Rep. Dennis Kucinich of Ohio at 2 percent.

Full story

Full poll results [PDF]

Related video: New poll sends shockwaves

Related video: Stakes high in New Hampshire

- CNN Deputy Political Director Paul Steinhauser

soundoff (516 Responses)
  1. Brent, Gulfport MS

    All the Clinton supporters want to tout her experience. Allow me to tell you someone else who had experience: George W. Bush, former governor of Texas. Experience means nothing if you have experience standing for the wrong things. Clinton supports whatever is politically expedient for Clinton at the time. Like John Kerry, she voted for the war before she voted against it. And, for those claiming she is electable, we saw how well that argument worked for Kerry in 2004.

    I'm a McCain supporter first and foremost, though Obama is my second choice. These are the two people who are most willing to reach across party lines and reunify our country, which is the most important thing right now. Do you think Clinton, she of the "vast right wing conspiracy" accusations, is going to reach across party lines? For me, an Obama vs. McCain showdown would be the perfect outcome to the primaries. A win for America either way.

    And if you Clinton supporters want to talk about electability, let me fill you in on a little secret. Republicans are praying for a Clinton win because she's got an entire cemetery worth of skeletons in her closet that our candidate could just cherry pick at his leisure. No way she'll win in the general elections. Obama, on the other hand: here I am, a longtime Republican, listing him as my second choice overall. How's that for electable?

    January 7, 2008 01:54 am at 1:54 am |
  2. PrObama

    the debate on this post has been so simple.

    anti obama clinton tallking points. vs. pro obama talking points, and the hope/change is winning. it's reshaped the debate on both sides. shaped Clinton's tone and current strategy. It's changing how the republicans are talking. he's already framing any discourse that will follow, and he's been on message and consistent with it from Day 1. Bush has not contributed anything to our politics but his victories made certain the necessity to
    1) have an excited base (evangelicals/anti-gay marriage referendums)
    2) frame the media narrative (fuzzy numbers, internet invention/flip-flopper)
    3)frame the debate (9/11, alqaeda, freedom, baby jesus, 9/11, 9/11 ...amen!)

    he lost the pop. in 2000, and eeked out victory in 04. It Looks like Obama is doing this so far. Clinton has lost control of all 3. I happen to love her. I myself regret falling in line with the mob against her, but the irrational ire she brings out in people is very real and catching. If you support her you know this. unfair, sometimes very sexist but real. Obama has been able to frame his candidacy in such a way that most criticisms are in opposition to his Epic improbable journey to restore hope and bring change and heal a divided nation (blah blah blah). But it's working. We need what works. they fight, we fight back. he has so far. and the republicans weren't ready, they didn't think he'd be in it this far. what do they do now? I think a lot more reject the potentially racist attacks than are energized by them. and it might very well have the effect of keeping some people at home unless they fit into some carefully constructed narrative.

    January 7, 2008 01:55 am at 1:55 am |
  3. Rufus, Milwaukee, WI

    You people can't handle: CHANGE!

    About the only thing you folks might be able to handle is a raise on your pay check...even then you would have an anxiety attack, wondering if someone is going to take it back!

    NObama does NOT have the EXPERIENCE to bring about REAL CHANGE, unless, of course, you might want a First Lady running around the globe telling everyone her husband is, well, STINKY!

    January 7, 2008 01:59 am at 1:59 am |
  4. Janell Tessaro

    Obama = change of America's world view and the world's view of America
    Hillary = change of life

    January 7, 2008 02:00 am at 2:00 am |
  5. Raj - California

    This is completely insane..... why do Americans have to always pick the easy choice – Barack is a really nice guy and has an amazing future ahead of him, but he is NOT the man for the job.

    He is inspirational but as as Hillary pointed out quite rightly in the debate yesterday, poetry will not pass legislation, inspiration will not mend fences, inspiration will fall on deaf ears with terrorists wanting to harm us. Hillary is the woman who can get the job done. If it's change you are looking for – (the people voting blindly for Barack) then go with Hillary – she is a woman – there has never ever been a woman president in the West – there is no precedent of what she can do. She knows what she is talking about and it too forthright sometimes but she has to be to be heard amongst the boys. Listen to her in the debates – her answers were spot on while Barack shied away from debate. Electability is huge – we have to place a Democrat in the White house in 2009 if we are to survive.

    We cannot let the "company" dictate who gets to go to the white house – because you know there are invisitble hands pushing you all towards Barack for a reason. He is not ready, he is not the man for the job – THIS TIME ROUND. If another one of those idiotic republican candidates gets elected – I'm leaving this country for sure!!

    January 7, 2008 02:08 am at 2:08 am |
  6. scared in the USA

    I agree with you MG. I am fearful for my children, as well as our country's future. I don't understand how ppl could want someone with no experience when it has done nothing but hurt or country in the past 8 yrs. We are falling into a trap of the republicans, Obama cannot win and they know that. When they get their hands on him they are going to rip him into shreds. Why are we handing over another 4 or maybe even 8 yrs to them? We need someone who is going to take our country in the right direction and that takes someone with experience. Please ppl when you go in to vote think of where your vote is going to take our country.

    January 7, 2008 02:09 am at 2:09 am |
  7. Aidyn

    I cannot believe people can be so blind. Obama is not ready!

    January 7, 2008 02:10 am at 2:10 am |
  8. Jaqueline

    I just read about what happened at the 100 Club Dinner. I am STUNNED. I have been to two of these events in the past and DEMS do not act the way Obamas bussed in young people did. First of all, you need a ticket to get in and I read where these kids were at the door trying to get in without a ticket. The guys at the door told them they needed a ticket and from what people who were at the event said, they cursed and screamed and stormed in. A lady sitting at a center table said it was like a mob came to town. Senator Clinton was speaking and they went to the middle of the room crowding the tables and the people sitting there and starting booing her. Also, screaming Obamas name and wildly waving their Obama signs in the air. This is always a love feast for all the DEMS running. There is applause but never have I ever seen booing. Usually, there is a deep respect for everyone running for office. The Jefferson Jackson dinner is the exact same way. My husband and I went to one just a few months back with Joe Biden. Everyone was so happy for Joe. No booing or hatefulness. Those kids were plants from Obamas campaign and we do not do that to other Democrats. This is a dirty trick. I wonder what else Obama has up his sleeve? Another George Bush. Wake up America.

    January 7, 2008 02:12 am at 2:12 am |
  9. Hehe..in Cali

    Yes, all you Dem's...vote for Obama. That's what we Republicans want. You'ren making this way too easy for us. When we have our Candidates, and we expose the how little your candidate kows about security, we'll have another term of a great leader, a leader in the GOP. Thats what the USA needs, a strong leader that knows what to do and t's definitely not Obama. So yes...plz give us this Fight, becus it aint gonna even be one with this joke. hehe >=)

    January 7, 2008 02:13 am at 2:13 am |
  10. LaMom

    I'm sure Hillary Clinton has had a Sally Field moment this week:

    "You DON'T like me! You really DON'T like me!

    Yes, Hillary, we don't like youl. Never have, never will.

    January 7, 2008 02:15 am at 2:15 am |
  11. Cleveland believer

    I think America is a place I want to live in. A place where HOPE is attainable. As a 27yr old black man in one of the poorest cities in America, Hope is all we have. There is a different feeling in Cleveland in 08', people are ready for something new and realistic. Everyday in Cleveland there are murders and it's not getting better. People bring up millions of issues about other countries problems, what about our own problems. All the billions of dollars we give to other countries should be used for America's problems. Obama can relate to the problems of the poor people, that's why he has my vote and everybody in Cleveland is talking about Obama. EVERYBODY!

    January 7, 2008 02:32 am at 2:32 am |
  12. ishok

    Clinton supporters!
    Give it up and....

    OBAMA '08

    January 7, 2008 02:40 am at 2:40 am |
  13. Kyle

    This republican is jumping on the Obama train. Enough partisanship. I don't agree with all of his politics, but he has the strength of character to change our standing in the world! Go Barack!

    January 7, 2008 02:44 am at 2:44 am |
  14. Dan, TX

    Seems like there are people saying they don't know where detailed plans from Obama are. "Where's the beef?".

    I say, why the heck are you all so ignorant? What's wrong with you?

    He has very detailed plans outlining his stand on every major issue accessible to anyone who cares to examine those plans.

    Anyone who has posted that Obama hasn't given specific and detailed plans is a liar. If they really wanted to know, they'd just go look it up. Get real.

    January 7, 2008 02:45 am at 2:45 am |
  15. Andrew

    Hillary is not taking credit for Bill's presidency, and I'm getting tired of Obama groupies and Hillary-haters spouting off over-simplified lies like that. She was a very involved part of Bill's presidency, which is part of the experience she is talking about in that case. As they tell it, she was a part of Bill's discussion and decision making process. How can you say she wasn't? Were you in the White House?

    As for the rest of her experience (not in chronological order):

    *Working (successfully) to reform education standards in Arkansas among other things (Arkansas Educational Standards Committee)
    *Working for the Children's Defense Fund
    *Worked as a consultant to the Carnegie Council on Children
    *Pro bono work for child advocacy
    *Co-founder of the Arkansas Advocates for Children and Families
    *appointed by Jimmy Carter as a member of the Board of Directors of the Legal Services Corporation (and was the first woman to serve as the chair)
    *Appointed chair of the Rural Health Advisory Committee in Arkansas
    *Introduced the Arkansas' Home Instruction Program for Preschool Youth
    *Politically involved when she was younger (kinda general, i know)
    *Working at her college even to more fully integrate African-Americans into it,
    *Battling against Conservatives and the special interest groups to try and institute universal health-care
    *She successfully sought to increase research funding for prostate cancer and childhood asthma at the National Institutes of Health.
    *With Janet Reno, Clinton helped create the Office on Violence Against Women at the Department of Justice.
    *In her second term in the Senate
    *Was a integral part of the creation of SCHIP and The Adoption and Safe Families Act,
    *Helped lead the way to get National Guardsmen healthcare
    *Served on Five Senate sub-committees: Committee on Budget, Committee on Armed Services, Committee on Environment and Public Works, Committee on Health, Education, Labor and Pensions, Special Committee on Aging.
    * A Commissioner of the Commission on Security and Cooperation in Europe
    * Took a leading role in investigating the health issues faced by 9/11 first responders
    *Co-introduced legislation to increase the size of the regular United States Army by 80,000 soldiers to ease the strain on forces

    And there's more. I think it's safe to say Hillary Clinton has worked very hard to make people's lives better and to make quality change for many in our country.

    January 7, 2008 02:49 am at 2:49 am |
  16. Jason

    Come on people, it is just a stupid poll. And with the margin of error, they are still tied!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Wake up and smell the coffee. Hillary is going to bring change to this country, and I look forward to it. Go Hillary 🙂

    January 7, 2008 02:51 am at 2:51 am |
  17. Jack_OR

    To Michael on: January 6, 2008 5:55 pm ET

    Maybe those who don't know how many terms a president can be elected for shouldn't be voting or participating. Especially one who wants to vote for Bush again... Have you been paying attention to the world AT ALL lately?

    Frikkin' idiot...

    January 7, 2008 02:53 am at 2:53 am |
  18. Mei Tang

    Obama said "we want to 'change' ".
    I want to know how much do you want to change? What do you want to change and in what ways? How do you make changes? What do you have to make the US change?

    I think people want to see the actions not only the speaches.

    January 7, 2008 02:56 am at 2:56 am |
  19. Andrew

    In researching, I have yet to find much substantive info on Obama's work. I've seen that he lectured at a college and was active in his community. He represented community organizers, discrimination claims, and voting rights cases. And he directed a voter registration drive. Oh, and he's made it illegal for Lobbyists to have lunch with senators, if they're sitting down. He has also sponsored some bills in the Senate, some of which have passed, others not.

    Somehow, that all seems kinda dwarfed by Hillary's list of work.

    Who has the track record of being a leader and bringing about huge change?

    Hillary Clinton.

    January 7, 2008 02:57 am at 2:57 am |
  20. Kobi

    GWB had 4 years of governorship of Texas and another 8 years of presidency, what did that experience get us? even as we speak there is plenty the current administration can do and is not doing and yet, we seem to think that so called experience is necessary when all you need to be is have compassion and noble goals for the country.

    January 7, 2008 02:59 am at 2:59 am |
  21. lisa

    Too many believe that experience is what we need. I say that experience is why we have fallen short of many issues not being resolved. Obama come with Honesty, Integrety, and the passion to make things right in THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA. It is time for a change, and maybe it's the CHANGE that some AMERICANS are afraid of. I say onward for better health care, education, more jobs in the united states and not overseas. We need to focus on what is happening in our own backyard. There are too many suffering within our walls. It's time for change!! Time for Obama!!

    I vote Obama 2008!!!!!!

    January 7, 2008 03:00 am at 3:00 am |
  22. Jaqueline

    What happened to Obamas bounce? He is tied with Hillary in most polls and ahead of her in just a few. Average them all togther and it is less than 4. Contrast that with the 17 points John Kerry gained in 2004 in the Boston Globe poll, which catapulted him from a 17-point deficit to a 20-point lead in New Hampshire after the Iowa caucuses. How sad for Obama. Isn't Obama suppoust to be God. He should be ahead of Hillary by at least 50 points. And by the way, you don't double team ( Obama and Edwards) Hillary unless your very, very worried about her. Think about it.

    January 7, 2008 03:04 am at 3:04 am |


    January 7, 2008 03:06 am at 3:06 am |
  24. cris

    I think there are no currently appealing candidates:

    Obama- resembles ML King speech in having a dream, due to oprah trying to get him in as the first candidate she has ever endorsed, I question the comfort of that choice. He has no real plans just ideology. He is not experienced enough to run country, and change card has been used too many times with same result, no results.

    Clinton- says she has the experience, but as a senator, that doesnt qualify her directly. She should elaborate, possibly that she has seen in and learned from President Clinton, but she makes no mention of that. She is not the best communicator as she is cold, or angry often when talking, not the most likable. Nonetheless, she has brilliant, and has specific plans of action on every issue. I would vote for her if I chose today.

    Edwards- likable candidate but not outfitted to run country.

    Huckabee- making religion an issue, and promoting his religion, sincere, but disjointed in methods of getting things done. unrealistic, no income tax will not pass through congress, would waste time/money, hes just trying to get elected.
    Hes very likeable, but not necessarily a practical choice. I would still consider him, I just need to learn more about his ideas, they need to be refined. I like the guy, I have to admit.

    McCain-used war experience to claim he should be president. says he has the experience, senate experience doesnt justify being president. He is a nice guy also, I dont like his stance on supporting war it was ludicrous, but I will give him a chance and see how he progresses.

    Romney-very strong debator, and confident, I do not like that he thinks government should not pay for health care, he is probably well off so thinks its the wrong move. For that, i would run to a democrat, but I will see what else he thinks and decide from there.

    January 7, 2008 03:27 am at 3:27 am |
  25. hmlira

    Either Hillary or Obama will make excellent choices as president compared to Bush. However, I believe Obama will be the better candidate for this country despite Hilary's experience. I'm sorry if that hurt your FEELINGS Hillary;)

    Go Obama!

    January 7, 2008 03:28 am at 3:28 am |
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