January 6th, 2008
05:49 PM ET
4 years ago

Poll: Obama jumps ahead of Clinton in New Hampshire

ALT TEXT

A new CNN/WMUR poll shows Obama has a 10 point lead over Clinton. (Photo Credit: AP)

MANCHESTER, New Hampshire (CNN) - MANCHESTER, New Hampshire (CNN) - Two days before New Hampshire's Democratic primary, Sen. Barack Obama has opened a double-digit lead over Sen. Hillary Clinton in that state, a new CNN-WMUR poll found Sunday.

Obama, the first-term senator from Illinois who won last week's Iowa caucuses, led the New York senator and former first lady 39 percent to 29 percent in a poll conducted Saturday and Sunday - a sharp change from a poll out Saturday that showed the Democratic front-runners tied at 33 percent.

Former Sen. John Edwards of North Carolina is at 16 percent in the new survey, down four points from Saturday. Gov. Bill Richardson of New Mexico is in fourth place, with the support of 7 percent of likely New Hampshire Democratic primary voters, with Rep. Dennis Kucinich of Ohio at 2 percent.

Full story

Full poll results [PDF]

Related video: New poll sends shockwaves

Related video: Stakes high in New Hampshire

– CNN Deputy Political Director Paul Steinhauser

soundoff (516 Responses)
  1. Scott

    Kevin,
    That's a great list and an excellent reminder to Team Obama about how much work has to be done to topple a machine. Incumbents don't just hand over the keys. HRC's misleading attack mailer and Bill's lies today in NH about Obama's record are just indications of how they react when they're down. Just what we need on "Day 1," right?

    And Kevin, you don't realize how wrong you are about the nomination. I was at an event yesterday for Obama volunteers in California that had remarkable attendance from Indepedents and even a few former Republicans. And before you even think, "why should Dems support someone Indies and former Repubs like," I'll remind you: that's how you take back the White House. Indies and former Repubs would NEVER vote for Hillary. You can't win the White House without reaching across the aisle. If that's what you want (a win in November), dive off the careening Clinton train as soon as you can.

    January 6, 2008 06:41 pm at 6:41 pm |
  2. Fred, Walnut Creek, CA

    Bill and Hillary need to go back to Arkansas and RETIRE. The American people don't want those two hypocrites, liars, self-centered and egotistical elitists in our politics anymore. WE'VE HAD ENOUGH OF THEM.

    Let's hope that some new politicians can lead this Country in a way that is positive and upbeat.

    January 6, 2008 06:41 pm at 6:41 pm |
  3. Reggie, Germany

    It's not just america thats Fired UP about Obama. Barack has captured the imagination of the world.

    January 6, 2008, 1:34 pm

    Germany’s Got a Crush on Obama

    By Nicholas Kulish

    BERLIN — Germany has developed a serious case of Obama-mania.
    Barack Obama’s high standing in Germany goes beyond his opposition to the unpopular war in Iraq. The country’s sudden crush is bound up with near-constant comparisons here between the young senator from Illinois and President John F. Kennedy Jr. – still admired in Germany and particularly in Berlin.

    The Berliner Morgenpost over the weekend ran with the headline, “The New Kennedy.” The tabloid Bild declared, “This Black American has become the new Kennedy!” And the headline for the editorial in the Frankfurter Rundschau read simply: “Lincoln, Kennedy, Obama.”

    “Only a small, informed minority knew about Barack Obama in December,” said Christoph von Marschall, Washington bureau chief for the Tagesspiegel newspaper, whose book, “Barack Obama, The Black Kennedy,” came out then. He said after the Iowa Caucuses last week, interest in Mr. Obama and sales of the book – which is presently sold out on the German Amazon Web site – suddenly surged.

    Mr. Obama’s newfound popularity among Germans underscores not only the breadth of his appeal but also the opportunity he might have as president – though far from even his party’s nomination – to mend fences abroad.
    “There are similarities between JFK’s time and today,” said Karsten Rossow, 49, of Berlin, who was visiting the small Kennedy Museum by the Brandenburg Gate Sunday, on a dark, snowy afternoon, with his wife. “People are ready for the politics of change.”

    While the whole world follows American elections, Germans learned to pay particularly close attention because of the unparalleled influence that the United States had as both occupier and protector after their country lost World War II.
    Some are reserving judgment. “It’s too early,” said Udo Schacht, 53, at a train station on Friedrichstrasse, the street where the
    Checkpoint Charlie border crossing once stood, “to say that he’s the new Kennedy.”

    You wanna restore our standing in the world and get things done ...... OBAMA!!

    January 6, 2008 06:42 pm at 6:42 pm |
  4. hnhoyt

    torn between the two, but it is not hard to sense the excitement of Obama.

    Should Obama take NH, as now seems probable, it seems MORE than likely he will take S.C. as people of color realize what a state with 4% black population had to say- seconded by NH.

    I feel bad for Hillary, she is great person and candidate with deep experience. But sometimes historical moments just happen.
    Yes, I worry about Obama's experience– but rejoice in my perceived reaction of reaction on the world stage. The message of hope for the downtrodden can not be underestimated. What a counter to the cowboy mentality he would be.

    Logical- perhaps not. But humans are a creature of hope and look for inspiration.
    For whatever reason Barack seems to have harnessed the excitement of younger voters.

    Frankly, I would celebrate election of EITHER HRP or BO but it is my sense that Barack has inspired a, perhaps, unstoppable movement..

    January 6, 2008 06:43 pm at 6:43 pm |
  5. Andre Smith

    What is wrong with people? Can't you all see Barack Obama is not qualified enough to win. Why do people support him?

    January 6, 2008 06:43 pm at 6:43 pm |
  6. Carolyn Grace

    Obama will win the nomination and the general. This will be done with democrats, independents and some republicans.

    This country is sick and tired of Bush-Clinton-Bush-Clinton, no more. Make America proud again and elect Senator Obama.

    Minnesota for Obama!!

    January 6, 2008 06:46 pm at 6:46 pm |
  7. Will

    The poor guy who just listed the thirty states where Clinton leads doesn't have a political clue. It reminds me of Guiliani crowing about his multi-state lead as the sand around him slips. Obama should be ObaMO-he clearly has the momentum and probably the nomination. Voters tend to flock to those with wins and Obama seems likely to string three early victories together.

    January 6, 2008 06:46 pm at 6:46 pm |
  8. Eric in Massachusetts

    The problem here is that Obama is getting people fired up, but it's all about "change". What is that? People don't ike Bush, so Obama has decided he will feed off that. BUT, he is just one man. One man does not run the Federal Government. He has absolutely no executive experience. Being an orator is by no means carte blanche to the White House. Sorry. The man cannot even be honest with himself about who he is and where he comes from, how on Earth can he lead and MANAGE our country.
    I am an independent and will vote for Hillary in a heartbeat. The Republicans are looking weak. With Hillary, we know that she will be able to quickly build a Federal Government that will work.
    Go Hillary!

    January 6, 2008 06:46 pm at 6:46 pm |
  9. Jake, California

    Tony, Enterprise, Alabama

    as an Obama supporter, I am sorry to see that you fell this way about your Hillary comments not being posted by CNN.. the idea is that CNN wants to have sensible and discussion-wise posts so that this thing can be used for debate amongst the supporters. Unfortunately, a lot of the folks backing Senator Clinton attempt to post really nasty comments especially in these losing times for her.

    Obama for President!
    Thank you Senator Clinton for making this race a competitive one...we might call on you to be our adviser when we get to '1600 Pennsylvania Avenue' next year

    January 6, 2008 06:46 pm at 6:46 pm |
  10. Roger

    How is Hillary any more qualified than Obama? She has LESS experience as an elected official than he does!

    All she can do is viciously attack people who stand in the way of her annointment as President. She's so two-faced that she's never even known what state to call home... and she expects us to hand her the keys to the White House?? Incredibule.

    January 6, 2008 06:46 pm at 6:46 pm |
  11. E. C., Houston, Texas

    Obama is not qualified because of indequate experience. We're at war and don't need a 'novice President.......' This is exactly what Obama would be. Not to say that Hillary is the answer, better look twice at Edwards, Democrats! Edwards seems to know what is making our government so sick in Washington and isn't afraid to tackle it. As for Republicans.......who wants a man who ridicules another member of his party like McCain did during the Debates. Mitt Romney remained a gentleman to the core and remained on track. Yes, he defended himself, as well he should. The ATTACKS and BARBS from McCain made McCain nothing better, but much worse in the eyes of future Independent and Republican Voters. McCain owes Romney an apology. McCain went too far trying to 'belittle' Romney and his last crack which McCain thought quite amusing....FELL FLAT! Viewers and the audience didn't think McCain was so funny. He lost my vote because of his rude and corrupt behavior toward Romney.

    January 6, 2008 06:47 pm at 6:47 pm |
  12. CJ

    Go Obama Go. People, wake up! It's time for REAL change. Hillary is more of the same.

    January 6, 2008 06:47 pm at 6:47 pm |
  13. Jim in Orlando, FL

    To answer some of the shortsightedness above. GB won twice because Al Gore and John Kerry were bigger doofusses. I am a die-hard conservative libertarian. Obama can beat a Republican (not saying he will). If its Obama as the Democratic nominee on general election night, I go to bed early, as I can live with the outcome either way. Maybe '08 will be an election where both candidates are capable and honest.

    January 6, 2008 06:47 pm at 6:47 pm |
  14. Steve

    Kevin

    No horse required. If Obama wins NH, he is almost certain to carry South Carolina. That means your list of states there will be a massive coronation.

    January 6, 2008 06:47 pm at 6:47 pm |
  15. Dee Ward Mena, AR

    I hope he does get over confident...he should remember, it ain't over until the fat lady sings. As for him being the first black president, remember, he is half black. I know he is proud of his black heritage but does that mean he is not proud of his white heritage. His mom was white, his dad black. Voters should not vote for obama because he is black (or white) and they should not vote for Hillary because she is a woman, they should vote for the person most qualified and that is Hillary. Think about it voters before going to the polls.

    January 6, 2008 06:47 pm at 6:47 pm |
  16. Donald, Butte, MT

    Let Obama be the darling of the news media at the expense of Clinton.
    IF, he does become the parties nominee, the Republicans will crucify him.

    Wake up, you want 8 more years of republican arrogance????

    January 6, 2008 06:47 pm at 6:47 pm |
  17. Cory, Port Saint Lucie, Florida

    i don't see how many of you are saying that Obama has no chance to be a republican, he is drawing many independents and among democrats has the highest favorable rating. Clinton is viewed unfavorably more than any other candidate(around 50 percent say they will not vote for her in the general) how can SHE win? She can't

    January 6, 2008 06:48 pm at 6:48 pm |
  18. Amy in Ohio

    Why is it that some people think that year's in the U.S. Senate is the only experience that counts for a president? I don't think so. Senator Obama has more years in elected office than Senator Clinton, and I am much more impressed with his experience prior to politics than hers.

    The press has thrown out the idea that we are making a choice between experience and likeability, and thats just not true. While yes, Senator Obama does seem to be more likeable than his Hillary, there is a lot more that goes into that decision for most of us, and it's just not that simple.

    Senator Obama is intelligent, wise, listens to others, and can think an issue through to the end. He has amazing writing skills, speaking skills, and people skills. He has years of experience of overcoming obstacles, getting done what he was told couldn't be done, and getting the opposing sides to come together for a common cause.

    I know that he has a lot of the youth support, but I am a middle-aged white woman from the mid-west, who firmly believes that he will be one of the greatest presidents that this nation has ever seen. I have NEVER campaigned before. he is the first to inspire me to do so, and the first the gain my trust and respect to this degree.

    January 6, 2008 06:48 pm at 6:48 pm |
  19. Bill

    With the people behind him it is not hope that they believe in it is a destiny they will fullfill. We will take this country back. Fired up ready to go!!!!!!!!!!!

    January 6, 2008 06:48 pm at 6:48 pm |
  20. E. C., Houston, Texas

    WHO ON THIS BOARD........BELIEVES THE POLLS WE'RE SEEING?

    January 6, 2008 06:48 pm at 6:48 pm |
  21. GoldCanyonGal

    My response is still 'awaiting moderation'? After 12 minutes?! Not in much of a hurry to post anything pro-Clinton are you?

    January 6, 2008 06:49 pm at 6:49 pm |
  22. adam

    Kevin,

    good luck chasing your windmills.

    ya think those polls will change after Obama sweeps IA, NH and SC??? gee...i wonder.

    nobody wants to back a loser. support will switch overnight.

    January 6, 2008 06:49 pm at 6:49 pm |
  23. Patty D.

    I think Hillary and her Staffers are going to need a valium

    January 6, 2008 06:49 pm at 6:49 pm |
  24. joan skipper

    the obama supporters are going to guaranty a republican victory in nov. can't you people see his inexperience? all you have to do is actually watch the debates and listen to his answers. our country's future is at stake. granted he is a great speaker, with the help of his speech writers, but he has no clue as how to solve the problems. all he says he will lead with the help of the people, what is he going to do if a catasraphy happens, hold a press conference and ask the people to call in to tell him what to do? the republicans will make mince meat out of him. PEOPLE USE YOUR HEADS. In eight years yes but not now

    January 6, 2008 06:51 pm at 6:51 pm |
  25. Europa_man

    I'm European and following this very exciting election. Not since Kennedy has a US election interested me this much. I am really impressed by the integrity of your Illionis Senator Obama. I wish we had those kind of politicians over here today. Most of our politicians are blindly following Bush and basing their politics on fear. Has the world gone craze. It will be nice to get some normalcy introduced again and I am sure that our European politicians will follow the principles of this eloquent gentleman.

    January 6, 2008 06:52 pm at 6:52 pm |
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