January 6th, 2008
05:49 PM ET
8 years ago

Poll: Obama jumps ahead of Clinton in New Hampshire


A new CNN/WMUR poll shows Obama has a 10 point lead over Clinton. (Photo Credit: AP)

MANCHESTER, New Hampshire (CNN) - MANCHESTER, New Hampshire (CNN) - Two days before New Hampshire's Democratic primary, Sen. Barack Obama has opened a double-digit lead over Sen. Hillary Clinton in that state, a new CNN-WMUR poll found Sunday.

Obama, the first-term senator from Illinois who won last week's Iowa caucuses, led the New York senator and former first lady 39 percent to 29 percent in a poll conducted Saturday and Sunday - a sharp change from a poll out Saturday that showed the Democratic front-runners tied at 33 percent.

Former Sen. John Edwards of North Carolina is at 16 percent in the new survey, down four points from Saturday. Gov. Bill Richardson of New Mexico is in fourth place, with the support of 7 percent of likely New Hampshire Democratic primary voters, with Rep. Dennis Kucinich of Ohio at 2 percent.

Full story

Full poll results [PDF]

Related video: New poll sends shockwaves

Related video: Stakes high in New Hampshire

- CNN Deputy Political Director Paul Steinhauser

soundoff (516 Responses)
  1. John, New York, NY

    Kevin in Florida,

    Check the dates on the polls in those states. If they are any older than 5 days, they have not captured the Iowa bounce that Obama has received. Clinton had a decent lead in New Hampshire until recently as well.

    Time will tell!

    January 6, 2008 06:53 pm at 6:53 pm |
  2. G Morgan

    Is New Hampshire crazy? Why on earth would they elect Barak Hussein Obama?
    They don't even know the man. Neither does the rest of America!!! He has
    only been a US Senator for barely three years. He has very little experience
    in domestic affairs and absolutely none in foreign policy.
    We have already spent the last eight years with a President who was
    not qualified, we cannot afford to make that mistake again.
    The word "change" does not mean great, experience or wisdom,
    all it means is to "make something different".

    This election is not a popularity contest. Mr Obama might very well be
    charismatic anc charming but that doesn't make him qualified to be the
    President of the United States!

    Please think clearly before casting your vote for Barak Hussein Obama!!!

    January 6, 2008 06:53 pm at 6:53 pm |
  3. Wendy

    GO OBAMA! 08

    We've got your back in Maryland too. Feb 12th

    January 6, 2008 06:53 pm at 6:53 pm |
  4. Dee Ward Mena, AR

    Also, Iowa and New hampshire does not a President make. There are 48 more states and I'm sure obama won't win them all.

    January 6, 2008 06:53 pm at 6:53 pm |
  5. Lightning, Boston, MA

    Hey Kevin from FL,

    Wanna show a source on that? Last time I checked, half those states haven't even been polled. Nice try though. Face it, Clinton is done.

    January 6, 2008 06:53 pm at 6:53 pm |
  6. Cynos Lee

    What I can think of at the moment is that the News Agencies like CNN should have more neutral articles during this time unless they officially announce that they are supporting Obama.

    Some funny polls with only a handful of voters wont be statistically significant and will not be accurate in any means, however, the mass media based on it and run a title like this will clearly bring more undecided voters to support those the news mentioned as the lead candidate.

    This was exactly happening 4 yrs ago with Kerry's

    I can not imagine any better for America and Americans under the "president Obama"

    January 6, 2008 06:53 pm at 6:53 pm |
  7. curiosityhasme

    Obama and Oprah both belong to Trinity United "Christian" Church – Chicago. African-centered, not United States-centered. Oprah spends millions in Africa, Barack has African ties. Hey, good for them. But I don't want the country I love hijacked – and the TUCC black racist agenda "Black Values System" to be a part of it. If Obama and Oprah want to go down in history as the two who "saved" the continent of Africa – fine. But do it on your own time. This should not be front and center of the politics of OUR government. We've got our own huge hurdles. Wake up America. The Southside of Chicago coming soon to a neighborhood near you.

    January 6, 2008 06:54 pm at 6:54 pm |
  8. Kara

    To Kevin from FL, who felt compelled to list out all of the states where Hill still leads... While I'm well aware of the Feb. 5 attempt to stack the primaries in Hill's favor, she & her DLC pals arranged that condensed schedule assuming she would be the frontrunner. Do you not realize that most (if not all) of those leads will disappear if Obama beats Hill by a substantial margin in NH–thereby reaffirming his true status of a frontrunner who was won the hearts of the people against the steepest of odds?? The endorsements & volunteers will start coming out of the woodwork...Bradley is only the tip of the iceberg. A day after he won Iowa, I saw a posting stating that registeration for a Obama volunteer training in a small CA city had swelled from 12 to 130. So forgive for taking issue with your assertion about what "can't" be done. It's time to throw the old-guard Dem rule book & crystal ball out, because we're not buying what Clinton & her cohorts are selling anymore.

    Obama '08

    January 6, 2008 06:55 pm at 6:55 pm |
  9. r.h

    the BIIL'O of fox would have said .......... "T H I S I S H U G EEE"

    January 6, 2008 06:56 pm at 6:56 pm |
  10. nydem

    Snake oil salesman? The guy graduated from Columbia University and Harvard Law School where he was editor of the Harvard Law Review. You don't get on to the Harvard Law Review, let alone head it unless you are super smart and a super hard worker. Then community activist and state senator and law professor and writer. I concede that after having gotten the job through nepotism, Hil has been a good senator from NY but not memorable in the way that Moynihan or RFK were memorable. And then there was her stint at the Rose Law Firm, not exactly public service was it.

    January 6, 2008 06:57 pm at 6:57 pm |
  11. Jake, California

    If you don't you are bluffing!

    you sound scary, relax!
    we'll get the terrorists in a fewer than 10 years time..that's too long a time to think and act. You should be this worried if things were going to remain in George W's hands..

    For your comfort, wait until Super Tuesday's over.

    January 6, 2008 06:57 pm at 6:57 pm |
  12. Sam

    This is amazing...I want Democrat to come back in power. But with Obama as Democrat candidate... with no experience...whose foreign experience is born outside US.. I think someone from Republican (Romney, McCain or Giuliani) can do better job.

    January 6, 2008 06:58 pm at 6:58 pm |
  13. nadeem

    This just in ....

    Obama up by 13 points, McCain up by 4 in USAT/Gallup Poll in N.H.

    Sen. Barack Obama has opened up a 13 percentage point lead over Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton in the battle for votes in Tuesday's New Hampshire primary, according to a USA TODAY/Gallup Poll conducted in the state from Friday through this afternoon. The results were just released.

    On the Republican side, Sen. John McCain is 4 percentage points ahead of Mitt Romney.

    The surveys of 776 New Hampshire residents who are "likely" to vote in the Republican primary and 778 New Hampshire residents who are "likely" to vote in the Democratic primary were all completed after the news from Thursday's Iowa caucuses had been reported.

    The rundowns:


    • Obama: 41%; up from 32% in the last USA TODAY/Gallup New Hampshire poll, taken in mid-December.
    • Clinton: 28%; down from 32%.
    • John Edwards: 19%; up from 18%.
    • Gov. Bill Richardson: 6%; down from 8%.
    • No one else above 3%.


    • McCain: 34%; up from 27% in mid-December.
    • Romney: 30%; down from 34%.
    • Mike Huckabee: 13%; up from 9%.
    • Rep. Ron Paul: 8%; down from 9%.
    • Rudy Giuliani: 8%; down from 11%.
    • No one else above 3%.

    Each figure has a margin of error of +/- 4 percentage points. So Obama's lead is "outside" that range, while McCain's is not.

    January 6, 2008 06:58 pm at 6:58 pm |
  14. Hel n roy

    Obama is a ego hungry nut followed second by his wife Michele. What a horrible comment on American Election Process. if you have the right money(Oprah) behind you you can buy alot of poll power

    January 6, 2008 06:58 pm at 6:58 pm |
  15. chris, FL

    I'm a registered independent and member of the military and I cannot support a candidate whose experience is SO lacking as Obama's. Those people who want to compare Obama to Kennedy are absolutley blind optimists- Kennedy's leadership was tested in the crucible of combat. Obama has no such credentials.

    As American's I believe we grasp onto the latest fad- Obama is a fad with no solid foundation. People jumped onto the Obama bandwagon because Oprah said so- certainly a great way to choose a leader. I can't believe that Obama could beat candidate of, for instance, John McCain's stature.

    Finally, I'm tired of these constant CNN Polls. This is sensational media conveage a it's finest...personally I'm a tired of seeing all of this. It's as if CNN is whipping this race up to get ratings points.

    I'm still undecided,but I won't be voting for Barack.

    January 6, 2008 06:58 pm at 6:58 pm |
  16. jim H, Glendale, CA

    You know, time was the media wouldn't release polls too close to an election, because they might unduly influence voters. Those days are gone, though, aren't they? Since the MSNBC debate, with Russert, Matthews and Williams entering the race in favor of Obama, the press has been carrying no message but "Hillary bad, Obama good."

    January 6, 2008 06:59 pm at 6:59 pm |
  17. Adriana

    Yes!!!!!! Change is finally coming!!! Obama '08!!!!

    January 6, 2008 07:00 pm at 7:00 pm |
  18. Mikka

    I know if Hillary gets the nomination against John McCain she will lose, and I will help her lose. She is not an honest candidate, her opinions and tactics change with the polls. I don't want someone like that running my country. At least with McCain I know who I'm getting. And I'm in Ohio, a state where the democrats need all the votes they can get. OBAMA '08!!

    January 6, 2008 07:00 pm at 7:00 pm |
  19. DEL

    Cheney Has experience, Rumsfeld has experience, and Hillary has experience. They have been in power for close to 35 years. The country is in bad bad bad shape because of them. We need change. Change in the people and the way politics is done.

    Obama 08

    January 6, 2008 07:01 pm at 7:01 pm |
  20. Steve

    The CNN story on the frontpage, says that McCain's lead is "narrowing". Can someone do the math please, a six point lead yesterday, and a six point lead today is called "steady"

    "On the Republican side, Sen.John McCain leads former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney by a narrower margin, the survey found,"


    January 6, 2008 07:02 pm at 7:02 pm |
  21. John from SoCal

    Keith – in case you haven't noticed, the inevitability arguement isn't working. The Obama tidel wave has already started and will swamp you on Tsunami Tuesday.

    January 6, 2008 07:02 pm at 7:02 pm |
  22. Candice

    GO OBAMA!!

    I just want to thank everyone for doing their research and choosing the best person for the job!!

    I'm so proud of you Obama!! Oh and good job in the NH debates last night.

    January 6, 2008 07:02 pm at 7:02 pm |
  23. Shane

    In response to Kevin and the list of states Hillary Clinton is currently polling ahead of Obama in: Don't forget that Hillary was also polling ahead of Barackin Iowa and New Hampshire until voters get a first hand glimpse of his charismatic charm and grasp on what voters want- someone who will inspire, work with others, and change a dirty and filthy culture in Washington.

    January 6, 2008 07:03 pm at 7:03 pm |
  24. scott

    MG, you cannot be serious. In the alleged 35 years of "experience", all she's done is travel around with Sinbad and get health care for reservists' children – a legitimate achievement but hardly earthshattering. You would like to think someone vying for the biggest job on the planet might have accomplished a bit more IN 410 MONTHS OF PUBLIC SERVICE. At least BHO slugged it out in the projects in Chicago (selflessly, I'd add) – you'd never catch HRC working around poor people for longer then 20 minutes without 25 Secret Service.

    January 6, 2008 07:03 pm at 7:03 pm |
  25. DC

    It amazes me to think that so many posters here actually believe Sen. Clinton is electable in the general election. The independent voters of this country have the final say, and they are overwhelmingly rejecting her and her policies. If she makes it to the general election, it will be a referendum on the Clinton Administration, the pardons, the scandals. We need to move forward, don't forget what happened last time we allowed a political dynasty to be established. American can be run by more than just the Clinton's and the Bush's. ANYBODY BUT HILLARY 2008!

    January 6, 2008 07:04 pm at 7:04 pm |
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