February 5th, 2008
11:43 PM ET
10 years ago

How Clinton, McCain may have won California

(CNN) - Sen. Hillary Clinton can thank Latino and Asian voters for her projected victory in California. Early exit polls indicate that Sen. Barack Obama carried white voters in California because of his overwhelming support among white men. White women, as in other states, more often supported Clinton. Black voters overwhelmingly favored Obama but Asian voters, whose numbers are comparable to blacks, went overwhelmingly for Clinton. The deciding factor may have been Latinos, who make up roughly 30 percent of California's Democratic vote. They went for Clinton by a two-to-one margin.

UPDATE: Meanwhile, exit polls show Latino and Asian Republicans may also have played an important part in John McCain's victory in the GOP primary. Mitt Romney led among white Republican voters but McCain led among Latinos and Asians, the second- and third-largest voting blocs behind whites among California Republicans.

Related: CNN Analysts say Super Tuesday didn't distinguish Democratic candidates

Filed under: California • Hillary Clinton
soundoff (572 Responses)
  1. jennifer moore

    Hillary Clinton 08
    Even with media spin!!! News and Facts not with anchors adding their own spin to things. Other states should get behind Hillary and force Obama to be VP,
    a win win for democratic party.
    Hillary Clinton bring CHANGE and Experience to the White House!

    February 6, 2008 03:47 am at 3:47 am |
  2. squirlygrrrl

    yeah, so whoopee for Hillary supporters who want to continue to (try to) win general presidential elections with california, new york and the like.

    In looking at the turnout numbers in the bread and butter states compared to 2000 and 20004, the dems have a REAL CHANCE at winning ALL of the U.S. with Obama.....

    Think about it...this is an amazing opportunity. And it's only because we have an amazing candidate.

    I hear more people say that they will crossover if Hil gets the nomination than I hear the other way. Do the math. oBAMa 2008!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    February 6, 2008 03:48 am at 3:48 am |
  3. Sharon

    Hillary wins Florida, Michigan, New York and California. That spells President to me.

    February 6, 2008 03:49 am at 3:49 am |
  4. Audrey Simmons

    The problem with California is trust among the pole volunteers. During several personal experiences persons working in these positions in California have been known to get rid of applicate information. In what is suppose to be an honest race how can you be sure all of the Obama voters were able to get their votes in without someone throwing out their vote as if it never took place. Again this is common practice in California.

    February 6, 2008 03:49 am at 3:49 am |
  5. harley j. gray

    All the newscasters on all stations are talking about what a great job obama did on tuesday and how he won in across the board, in many diverse states. I have not heard anyone analyze the fact that he really only won six states, the other seven states were caucus states. I am of the opinion that caucus states and primary are as different as apples and oranges. First of all, in both parties, it is mostly the more affuent voters who attend caucuses. That in itself would provide obama an edge. Another factor is that many white do not want to be protrayed as having any racial bias. The ballot box take that out of play.

    Jarrett "BEAR" Gray
    60+ white male for Hillary

    February 6, 2008 03:50 am at 3:50 am |
  6. Nancy

    Will there be an 'official' tally that distinguishes between the votes made yesterday and the ones mailed-in earlier?

    February 6, 2008 03:52 am at 3:52 am |
  7. Gary Zajdel Buffalo, NY

    I am a die hard Hillary supporter. I will, however, be proud to support Barrack Obama, should he win the nomination becauase, I am a democrat concerned about the FUTURE for my children....NOT JUST THE NEXT 4 YEARS. You see all I hear about Obama is about "his message, his message...his message." Unfortunately, what I fail to hear from him is the "MECHANICS" of the message! In other words...'HOW"....How do you, Mr Obama, plan on translating you message of HOPE into reality? Lotta message...Little mechanics (know how)... Barack needs to put in 8 years at work before aspiring to live in the castle.

    Just for the record and to conclude....oprah needs to do what she does best: EAT/DON'T TALK....EAT! What a disgrace to all Afro Americans for her to open her mouth politically after all these years. Do you think she would have done so had it been discovered that Mr Obama was Chinese? What a large joke she is!

    February 6, 2008 03:52 am at 3:52 am |
  8. John

    The one thing Hillary must do is select Obama as her VP. This would be the strongest team to run in the history of elections. Spanish and women need to recognize Obama is the perfect compliment to Hillary's short comings. Both are smart. Both will have to deal with policies that will take a united effort to resolve. This is a lot larger than the troops in Iraq.

    February 6, 2008 03:53 am at 3:53 am |
  9. JJ in Chula Vista, CA


    Sounds to me like YOU'RE not going to be president. You let your ego do all the talking and you sound painfully inane. But thank goodness we live in a country where imbecilic people like you have the right to regurgitate useless banter that fools you into a sense of accomplishment. And one more thing: good thing Hillary Clinton will be president. I have no doubt she will do something for you some day...but unfortunately you'll refuse to recognize it. C'est la vie!

    February 6, 2008 03:53 am at 3:53 am |
  10. silverz

    Out of all the southern states that participated today on the Republican side, only 1 state had a significant number of voters for Huckabee vs. McCain (that was Arkansas, no surprise there since Huckabee was the governor there for 10+ years). Point being, with all the people that say that McCain not winning in the south is a big deal, the actual similar number of voters for both Huckabee and McCain shows that Republicans in those traditionally conservative states like both candidates equally. Clearly, the number will increase further in McCain's favor as November nears.

    February 6, 2008 03:54 am at 3:54 am |
  11. NickAtNight

    There are a lot of people on here tonight who just love corrupt politicians...

    What is up with that?

    February 6, 2008 03:54 am at 3:54 am |
  12. JohnS

    I don't know HOW Hillary will ever argue with McCain about the issue of EXPERIENCE or years of accomplishment. I guess we have to look up to Bill to come up with another line for us: "I never made that point, that...!!!" Poor running mate for Hillary, Bill will be in your way!!!

    February 6, 2008 03:55 am at 3:55 am |
  13. james

    why is CNN so hard on Mrs Clinton, she had a very good night;;;;;;;;;;;;

    February 6, 2008 03:55 am at 3:55 am |


    February 6, 2008 03:57 am at 3:57 am |
  15. JJ in Chula Vista, CA

    I don't know "Delegate Count", you're asking if they checked whether all the Latino voters were citizens... maybe the bigger, more important question should be: Did they check whether YOU are a citizen or not? Sounds a little iffy to me....

    February 6, 2008 03:58 am at 3:58 am |
  16. Emeralds

    I don't think the majority of americans are up for a Black president and first lady yet. It would seem that although most who vote for O'Bama think idealistically, most don't quite realize that by doing so they would be shooting themselves in the foot by pushing in a Republican ...... Again.

    Democrats best bet...... A Clinton-Obama ticket in that order. They will break all barriers and win. Hillary should also keep the Veep in the spotlight during the presidency for a world recognized presidency.

    February 6, 2008 03:58 am at 3:58 am |
  17. Baron

    Jessica Says

    "How in the hell does someone win the nomination without carrying states like CA, MA, NY, and NJ????????? "

    Just look at the stat, many candidates have Won CA,MA etc without winning the race and many more have lost CA, MA and still won the presidency.

    You need to look at the Beltwether state : MISSOURI. They have consistently pick the US president for 100 years . Obama Won in MISSOURI.

    Hillary watch out !

    February 6, 2008 03:58 am at 3:58 am |
  18. Sharon

    The Dems have a winner.

    Not nominating Clinton will only dilute her victory, thus making her AND Obama weaker against McCain, his party's clear frontrunner. Both have clear supporters and Clinton's are the combo that will win. Take the Latinos, Asians and her white women vote away and it will not go to Obama. The people have spoken, and don't want to be jacked around for months to come.

    Instead of promoting bickering between Clinton and Obama for months, Hillary should have the chance to win over moderates who have voted for McCain by focusing her campaign against McCain. At this point, I believe she would offer V.P. to Obama. This would unite Dems, imo.

    THAT would be a strategy that would win for Dems. Elongating the show down between Clinton and Obama makes the party look indecisive or as if the party wants a different outcome. Bad for November, imo.

    February 6, 2008 03:59 am at 3:59 am |
  19. benb

    Can some smart political analyst give the vote split by religion instead of race? Maybe we'll see that 78% of atheists voted Clinton and 54.18% of progressive catholics voted for Obama... Oh wait... porgressive catholics? How many of them are Latinos?
    These analysis don't bring anything to the debate or understanding of the vote. It's the economy (and the education), stupid.

    February 6, 2008 04:00 am at 4:00 am |
  20. ??

    CA proved the Obama trend in recent days. When polls first closed, Clinton had 20+% lead on Obama. That reflected absentee ballots sent in weeks ago. As the night has gone on, Obama has closed that gap to 14 (as of 1AM PST). That means he did pretty well among those who showed up today – better than Hillary.

    February 6, 2008 04:05 am at 4:05 am |
  21. Yfr

    When will Americans realize what they need is a brain (Clinton), and not a(nother) mouth (Obama), to lead the nation.

    I'm surprised why the majority are so easily wooed by Obama's words and shun intelligence and experience of Clinton.

    You can say that Obama has advisers, but didn't Bush Jr. also have advisers? And look where it's gotten your country now – into war and economic disaster.

    You all fell for Bush in 2000 & '04. When will you learn? :/

    February 6, 2008 04:05 am at 4:05 am |
  22. Baron

    After looking at the datas, the verdict is out :

    Hillary won in CA because of ABSENTEE BALLOTS. I'm checking the MA datas.

    February 6, 2008 04:06 am at 4:06 am |
  23. Dan

    You Dems! Obama is the only one who can beat McCain! There are SO many people – myself included – who will vote McCain over Clinton! If it's Clinton- Romney, I'm voting third party! WAKE UP! It's time for CHANGE! We've had enough Clintons!

    February 6, 2008 04:06 am at 4:06 am |
  24. Rocco

    Clinton won California primarily because Asians and Latinos hate Blacks. It really is that simple.

    February 6, 2008 04:08 am at 4:08 am |
  25. John

    Have you ever wondered why the republican nominees represent a marginal selection of conservatives? Answer: There is a financial time bomb ready to explode. Hillary and Obama will inherit a mess. A Macro resolution viewed by a micro perspective will take more than a few years to remedy

    February 6, 2008 04:08 am at 4:08 am |
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