February 5th, 2008
11:43 PM ET
10 years ago

How Clinton, McCain may have won California

(CNN) - Sen. Hillary Clinton can thank Latino and Asian voters for her projected victory in California. Early exit polls indicate that Sen. Barack Obama carried white voters in California because of his overwhelming support among white men. White women, as in other states, more often supported Clinton. Black voters overwhelmingly favored Obama but Asian voters, whose numbers are comparable to blacks, went overwhelmingly for Clinton. The deciding factor may have been Latinos, who make up roughly 30 percent of California's Democratic vote. They went for Clinton by a two-to-one margin.

UPDATE: Meanwhile, exit polls show Latino and Asian Republicans may also have played an important part in John McCain's victory in the GOP primary. Mitt Romney led among white Republican voters but McCain led among Latinos and Asians, the second- and third-largest voting blocs behind whites among California Republicans.

Related: CNN Analysts say Super Tuesday didn't distinguish Democratic candidates

Filed under: California • Hillary Clinton
soundoff (572 Responses)
  1. Valpo Mike

    Hillary most likley won CA because of the early absentee ballot voting, period. Votes were cast early and before Obama's message really got out in CA. I'm really amazed at the blind support for the establishment and the status quo. If Hillary is in, nothing will get done. She speaks in terms of dividing, not uniting. There are plenty of strong, great women out there that would make a great President, but let's be honest with ourselves, Hillary is not one of them. Join the historical movement here folks, we need your help to change our Country!

    February 6, 2008 01:11 am at 1:11 am |
  2. Jennifer

    So it isn't true, after all, that Obama has the most diverse coalition. He is most popular with white men (hello Idaho and North Dakota) - so now they are left with the chore of trying to represent themselves as "diverse." Fun!

    February 6, 2008 01:11 am at 1:11 am |
  3. Tony Ramos

    I am a latino voter and did not vote for Hillary but I believe the rest of my family did, so it was probably 1 to 10 for Obama. I like both candidates though and don't mind either getting the nomination and better yet winning the Presidency.

    February 6, 2008 01:11 am at 1:11 am |
  4. rw

    Hillary Will be the next president of the USA.
    Hillary Will be the next president of the USA.
    Hillary Will be the next president of the USA
    Hillary Will be the next president of the USA.
    VIVA Hillary amigos.

    February 6, 2008 01:11 am at 1:11 am |
  5. Corey

    " agree. Let's can the race talk. It's irrelevant and feels like race baiting to me."

    The exit polls showed people voted very differently based on their race. Race is still relevant. If race were irrelevant Obama and Clinton II would have identical percentages amongst each race. Instead:

    60% of whites for Obama
    80% of blacks for Obama
    80% of asians for Clinton
    70% of latinos for Clinton

    How can you explain that in non-racial terms? I wish it were not this way but apparently, it is.

    February 6, 2008 01:11 am at 1:11 am |
  6. Boogie

    Hey Mike...

    This is text book "rope a dope"...and it works.
    At the Republican debate before the SC primary...the Republicans helped scare all the democrats/independants into voting for
    Obama by spending half their debate slamming Clinton.

    This is stratagy...they know they would rather run against
    Obama in a general election...so, they make
    you think they can take on Clinton.
    When in fact it's CLINTON they fear in a general election.

    ask yourself...why have the Republicans
    been virtually silent about Obama...when he is in a clear tie with Clinton.
    Answer...they feel they have a better chance
    tearing him apart in a general.
    No team gives away their gameplan intentionally...DUH!!!

    February 6, 2008 01:11 am at 1:11 am |
  7. fish

    I told you we'd DELIVER California for her !!!!

    February 6, 2008 01:12 am at 1:12 am |
  8. Chad

    Obama has had nothing but positive press for weeks. Whenever anyone tries to question his record, they are called a racist. Let's have more debates with each other, not just ourselves. Consider the issues, not the rap videos.

    Hillary is far smarter and more experienced.

    February 6, 2008 01:12 am at 1:12 am |
  9. Benjamin

    Lesson in American Politics:

    Obama won states with small #'s of delegates and electoral votes
    Clinton won the states with the largest # of delegates (and big) and largest #'s of electoral votes

    Obama could win half the midwest, and combined they would not have the electoral vote power of NY. (Not to mention that the midwest tends to be Red States, and will likely be Red in November)

    Then comes California....where only NY and PA combined can top the number of electoral votes.

    (and let's also ignore the power of electoral votes from Florida and Michigan)

    February 6, 2008 01:12 am at 1:12 am |
  10. Andrew

    Of all the reports that California votes would not be counted for at least a day, e.g., East Coast viewers waking up to still not winner in California, how are you predicting a win for Clinton? Some counties in the state have reported it may be as late as Friday to have the votes counted?!

    February 6, 2008 01:12 am at 1:12 am |
  11. Jack

    Wait until the Bay Area is counted; her margin will shrink.

    February 6, 2008 01:12 am at 1:12 am |
  12. Stephanie Alexandra

    I have been watching the US Election carefully since it began months ago. In Canada many of us as interested in the election south of us as any here at home. I must say that tonight I felt great excitement about the candidates on the Democratic side, however, I truly believe that Hillary Rodham Clinton's speech tonight was one of her best, certainly far more inspiring and yet substantive at the same time, no easy feat, than Barack Obama's. I disliked his manner of name dropping in recent speeches, while Hillary stuck to her issues while lifting emotions upwards at the same time. I wish both candidates well and look forward to that historical moment when one of these two wins the Presidential election in the fall.

    Stephanie Alexandra
    Vancouver, BC

    February 6, 2008 01:12 am at 1:12 am |
  13. Mercedes Rodriguez

    The only reason latinos voted for Hillary is because many are first generation of immigrants who just see white or black and no other way. They do feel that problem among the blacks and latinos that most of the second and third generation of latinos don't feel. I personally voted for Obama. Never allowed my parents or anyone else to tell me who was best. I did my own research and felt that he is the best candidate. However, the spanish broadcasting channels did not give Obama a full coverage as they did for Hillary. My family up in New York were upset at me because I as a woman did not vote for her. I hope she doesn't get the nomination.

    February 6, 2008 01:12 am at 1:12 am |
  14. AN

    Absentee ballots really hurt Obama, as Edwards got early votes that would likely have gone to Barack otherwise. I am curious as to whether there will be talk about the voting scandals early in the day, where voters were turned away (especially independents, who generally favor Obama). High turnouts also favor Obama, and it seems like many were prevented due to voting centers opening late, running out of ballots, or turning away voters.

    February 6, 2008 01:12 am at 1:12 am |
  15. Albanian

    Good and prosperous time are coming back for America and for the world.
    While Clintons were in The White House things were really good.
    Now its time again that The Clintons move back to The White House again.

    Hillary Clinton will be the next PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA.

    Thank You America, Thank You Clinton for supporting Kosova.

    February 6, 2008 01:12 am at 1:12 am |
  16. Obamadude

    Absentee ballots were the reason why Clinton coasted the most, she got her votes before the Obama movement made their charge.

    February 6, 2008 01:13 am at 1:13 am |
  17. Atl, GA

    It is very frustrating that even when Hillary wins the media does not give her the credit she deserves. She is TRULY a change that I believe in…I just wish that CNN would acknowledge her victories.

    February 6, 2008 01:13 am at 1:13 am |
  18. Texan for Hillary

    "Hillary will not be the next president of the United States. Why? Americans in the vast majority are people with a good judgment. " – Dusacre

    You mean those same people who elected George W. Bush to not one, but 2 terms?! Thanks, but the rest of us will vote for Hillary. You go girl!

    February 6, 2008 01:13 am at 1:13 am |
  19. peter troy

    It is so sad, some people can be so negative in there opposition to Obama. Oprah and others brought out a lot of new voters to our American process. I hope, the bridges you burn today, you willn't have to cross in November. No, God is LOVE!

    February 6, 2008 01:13 am at 1:13 am |
  20. Seattle Dude

    California should be ashamed of itself. They have always been a leader and this just shows that they are a follower.

    Why can't people see that without Bill, Hillary wouldn't even be a consideration for President. Bill isn't running for president so stop using him as the reason!

    February 6, 2008 01:13 am at 1:13 am |
  21. Mercedes Rodriguez

    I hope you post my opinion. The past few times I try posting it you never take me out of awaiting moderation.

    February 6, 2008 01:13 am at 1:13 am |
  22. mzcmt


    February 6, 2008 01:13 am at 1:13 am |
  23. Andrew

    CNN, explain how you are calling this race so soon, when you reported ALL DAY it would take SO long - even days - to have even close to an accurate prediction!

    February 6, 2008 01:14 am at 1:14 am |
  24. jane

    Hillary won California. She won the night!!! That is what CNN predicted, although they back tracked when Hillary won. The media bias continues! Despite it all....she won!

    February 6, 2008 01:14 am at 1:14 am |
  25. Rob

    Who cares winning Calin means nothing...Obama is crushing her every where else I can care less about Cali...he needed to split the delegate vote not win the state...these Clinton fanatics can put the pom poms away...

    February 6, 2008 01:14 am at 1:14 am |
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