February 6th, 2008
01:39 AM ET
12 years ago

Schneider: How trends played out nationally

(CNN) - Highlights from the national exit polls show how key trends played out tonight.

On the Democratic side:

–Hillary Clinton carried white voters over Barack Obama, 52 to 43 percent. Obama carried black voters 82 to 16 percent. Clinton won Latinos 61 to 37 percent, and Clinton carried Asians 68 percent to 30 percent.

–Not surprisingly, the economy ranked as the top issue. Clinton had a slight edge with these voters, 50 percent to 46 percent. The war in Iraq was also an important issue for Democrats tonight, and those voters preferred Obama by 15 points. Clinton clearly benefits from the war becoming less a concern among Democratic voters.

–Clinton won 52-43 among those who didn't graduate from college. Obama beat Clinton 54-42 among those with a college degree.

–Clinton had a 5-point edge among Democrats, while Obama had a 21-point lead among independents.

On the Republican side:

–Romney beat McCain among conservatives, 42 percent to 30 percent. Huckabee won 21 percent of the conservative vote - though among Southern conservatives, the former Arkansas governor was the top choice, beating Romney 41 percent to 28 percent. The moderate vote overwhelmingly went for McCain over Romney, 52 to 24 percent.

–The top issue was the economy, and those voters favored McCain over Romney by 9 points - despite Romney's emphasis of his economic credentials.

–Nearly half of Republican voters said they were looking for a candidate who shared their values, and those voters favored Romney by 7 points. But McCain easily one among voters looking for a candidate who says what he believes, has the experience, and has the best chance to beat a Democrat next November.

Related: Watch Bill Schneider break down Super Tuesday by the issues

–CNN Senior Political Analyst Bill Schneider


Filed under: Exit Polls
soundoff (188 Responses)
  1. Adrian

    Dear Obama supporters,

    Just accept it. Anger is not resolving anything.

    February 6, 2008 02:40 am at 2:40 am |
  2. Hillary supporter

    Congrats to Hillary for winning where it counts. I am an educated African-American voter who did not vote for Obama. I agree that he is a likable candidate; however, likability will only get you so far as President. We need someone who will get the job done. I echo the sentiments of Informed Democrat-Hillary's health plan makes more sense. The costs to care for the uninsured are twice the care of insured. Health insurance is necessary for all! Obama is a little too optimistic about abandoning the ways of Washington to get things done. He has to learn how to work the system before he can change it. Hillary knows how to work Washington and get things done...it's what matters at the end of the day anyway. I believe they will eventually team up after the convention; many of their policies are similar anyway.

    February 6, 2008 02:43 am at 2:43 am |
  3. cnnc

    Obama is a very rude, dirty , corrupt politician. In this prudential race, he has been play race card, victim card and the like. Without Tony Razko, he even couldn’t be elected as a Illinois congressman. He wrote letters for Razko for getting government contract, as return, He has received large amount dirty money for his political career and his current presidential campaign, and moreover He jointly bought a mansion with Razko which Obama got $300,000 discount, whereas Razko not, strange? Razko’s trial start March 3, let us seeing more Obama corrupt details revealing.

    He is nothing but empty talk. He is just another inexperienced Bush we have 8 years. We don’t want Bush, so we don’t want Obama!

    February 6, 2008 02:45 am at 2:45 am |
  4. Larry Denman

    Thank you for a clear analysis, however I have a question regarding credibility. The media has, almost overwhelmingly, put their support behind Mr. Obama, and he leads in that are 90 to 10.

    My Question; Why is the media not scrutinzing Mr. Obama as closely as they are Mrs. Clinton. Why are they not pointing to the obvious errors and ommissions that he makes daily, as they do her.

    Fair reporting.....I don't think so

    February 6, 2008 02:47 am at 2:47 am |
  5. Jaberwokie

    I am disappointed with CNN-s coverage. Sadly it relies on thoughts before results.
    It would be interesting to see how Blitzer and Co, started to question people on the subject of real change and the real difference between Mrs Clinton and Mr Obama, and not always rely on the so called /best team in television.
    People vote people count.
    As an aside I wonder here in Europe, what the next president will do, to bring back trust in the USA from the rest of the world.

    February 6, 2008 02:50 am at 2:50 am |
  6. Annette

    Can anyone explain why McCain got creamed in W Virginia?

    February 6, 2008 02:51 am at 2:51 am |
  7. Annette

    And yes, the pundits are providing nothing but comic relief this time around. Could it be that they can no longer recognize their own spin?

    February 6, 2008 02:53 am at 2:53 am |
  8. edenman622

    Speaking of trends

    Why are men, particularily White men, so afraid of electing a woman?

    February 6, 2008 02:54 am at 2:54 am |
  9. Aloha Independent for Unbias and Objective Media Coverage

    Most of the states that Senator Obama won were Republican states that are certain to vote for the Republican nominee in the National Race. What is that all about...??? Doe Not Count...that's what that means...
    So even with the media and Oprah against her...Senator Clinton cam through.
    Point and Fact.

    February 6, 2008 03:04 am at 3:04 am |
  10. Chrystal

    Let's go Hillary! I am so tired of Obama's campaign of empty buzz words. And I am tired of the media including CNN trying to push him on us (Democrats). Hillary Clinton is the strongest Democrat in the race. I am a black woman but could not vote for Obama no matter how much I wanted to. Just as McCain is deplored by conservative republicans, so should Democrats be leary of Obama. He is in line with Republican ideals and their way of thinking on a number of issues, global trade and outsourcing of jobs for one–thank God blue collar workers realize that and are backing Clinton. If Hillary Clinton is a divisive figure going into the general election, it's for all the right reasons. Please!!! Let's get a strong Democrat on the ticket to take on, not pander to, the republican's across the aisle.

    February 6, 2008 03:06 am at 3:06 am |
  11. CA Supporter

    "He certainly didn't look like a winner giving his speech tonight…no smiling, no hand clapping…not much enthusiasm on his part."

    WHAT?

    Watch it again.... I think you missed the enthusiasm – the inspiration – the truth!

    Oh.. .and if you watch it again.. you'll also miss the fact that he doesn't have to keep looking down at a sheet of notes to help him stay on track with his speech, because he is REAL – he speaks from his heart....and from his brilliance.

    Then watch Hilary 's 'victory speach' and how many times she has to look down to be reminded of what to say.. ... yeah, that's genuine and really inspirational... a pre-written speech by Bill Clinton.. woohooooo....

    February 6, 2008 03:11 am at 3:11 am |
  12. SJ CA

    "Yet Clinton still won the popular vote."

    This got me thinking. Is this true. I grabbed the vote totals (including the caucuses but excluding Michigan and Florida where the candidates agreed not to campaign) and tallied them up:

    Obama: 6,784,491

    Clinton: 5,851,003

    Granted this don't include the states that the candidates agreed not to campaign in (Michigan would be hard to figure in any case because of the drive to vote Uncommited, and in Florida Clinton only won by 300,000 votes). Furthermore, these numbers don't include the untallied votes in states like California. Still, I would like to point out that Obama is actually leading the popular vote.

    February 6, 2008 03:11 am at 3:11 am |
  13. Random Informer

    It's spelled "gullible" you brilliant, well-educated, Obama-supporting intellectual.

    February 6, 2008 03:16 am at 3:16 am |
  14. forrestine Eubanks

    African Americans have simply further marginalized an d isolated ourselves by voting race and violating support of a valuable, viable ally: Hillary Clinton. Shame on our leaders who promoted such non-strategic folly.

    February 6, 2008 03:16 am at 3:16 am |
  15. blindman

    I am a Obama supporter and I dont hate Hillary, good for her that she is ahead. It is going to make for a photo finish, so good luck to both of them. This is the way a real christian should support thier canidate and not have with all the hate and negative remarks.

    February 6, 2008 03:21 am at 3:21 am |
  16. John

    Obama win nearly 80% black votes. Oh how important factor of the black votes for him.

    February 6, 2008 03:21 am at 3:21 am |
  17. Tiffany

    80% of the registered Democrats in Utah voted! Too bad Obama only won because there is serious anti-Clinton sentiment here. We may be liberal, but we still can seem to forgive an adulterer, or anyone connected to them. I would be curious to see who would have won if it had really been a race about policy.

    February 6, 2008 03:32 am at 3:32 am |
  18. Lawyer2B

    Exactly.

    Either the media's pro-Obama bias is misplaced, or they are giving Obama a false sense of security and will scrutinze his every move in a general election against McCain. Everyone in America who has any grasp of Karl Rove and the Republican political machine knows that the GOP wants Obama so it would be easier to win in November.

    The Republican Party, in full war mode, has never defeated a Clinton in a high profile national election (0 for 2 vs Bill, 0 for 2 vs Hillary). The GOP is 0 for 4 against the Clintons. They don't want to be 0 for 5.

    February 6, 2008 03:34 am at 3:34 am |
  19. Tiffany

    80% of the registered Democrats in Utah voted! Too bad Obama only won because there is serious anti-Clinton sentiment here. We may be liberal, but we still can't seem to forgive an adulterer, or anyone connected to them. I would be curious to see who would have won if it had really been a race about policy.

    February 6, 2008 03:34 am at 3:34 am |
  20. Mike

    Tonight we stand in the midst of a sea change in the democratic race. Despite Hillary's win in NH, she did not capture the races, percentages or delegates that she needed. Obamas momentum will continue beyond this night and soon he will pull ahead. The superdelegates will not give Clinton the nomination when the momentum has so obviously swung so far in favor of Obama.

    "Never in the unlikely story of America, has there ever been anything false about hope."

    Obama "08

    February 6, 2008 03:38 am at 3:38 am |
  21. Anonymous

    Why the asian plp voted for Hillary?

    February 6, 2008 03:38 am at 3:38 am |
  22. Tim

    It's a shame that voters still think "how does this candidate identify with my race or gender?" rather than "what does this candidate want to do for my country?".

    I am certain you can't make heads or tails of the Clinton blowouts in CA, AZ, NY or NJ without paying attention to the influence of the Democratic National Committee on the demographic numbers reported above. The only way she gets the benefit of that stark a divide is to convince minorities (in this case Asians and Hispanics) that she, the white person, is the safe choice and that they should mistrust the black guy. After all, that's what they learned in their neighborhoods.

    And it's pretty hard to convince blacks that a black candidate is out of touch with their needs, but she has tried awfully hard to do that, too, by calling the political debts of every exploitative black "community leader" she knows from her time doling out special favors to those leaders from on high in exchange for ward influence. In doing so, she does the constuents of those ward-captain exploiters no favors at all. Shame on her.

    The irony of her strategy will become blindingly obvious at the innevitable conclusion of this mess: when after 8 wretched years of the worst Presidency ever, the country reluctantly returns a Republican to the White House because the Democrats could not be bothered to produce a viable alternative.

    February 6, 2008 03:44 am at 3:44 am |
  23. Another Hillary's fan

    Hillary is clearly the right choice for our country. I am proud to be a college-educated Asian American who voted for Hillary in California. Way to go, Hillary!

    Obama is all hype with no substance. He keeps talking about change, but he has no experience in making changes, nor does he know how to make change. Talk is cheap.

    It is time to elect someone who knows to get things done in Washington. Go Hillary!!

    February 6, 2008 03:47 am at 3:47 am |
  24. KennyB

    "But McCain easily one among voters..."

    Not to be picky, Mr. Schneider, but I believe you meant "won".

    February 6, 2008 03:55 am at 3:55 am |
  25. v.ananthan

    I am really sorry OBAMA supporters..............

    ITS OUR DAY !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    HILLARY 08.

    February 6, 2008 03:55 am at 3:55 am |
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