February 6th, 2008
01:39 AM ET
12 years ago

Schneider: How trends played out nationally

(CNN) - Highlights from the national exit polls show how key trends played out tonight.

On the Democratic side:

–Hillary Clinton carried white voters over Barack Obama, 52 to 43 percent. Obama carried black voters 82 to 16 percent. Clinton won Latinos 61 to 37 percent, and Clinton carried Asians 68 percent to 30 percent.

–Not surprisingly, the economy ranked as the top issue. Clinton had a slight edge with these voters, 50 percent to 46 percent. The war in Iraq was also an important issue for Democrats tonight, and those voters preferred Obama by 15 points. Clinton clearly benefits from the war becoming less a concern among Democratic voters.

–Clinton won 52-43 among those who didn't graduate from college. Obama beat Clinton 54-42 among those with a college degree.

–Clinton had a 5-point edge among Democrats, while Obama had a 21-point lead among independents.

On the Republican side:

–Romney beat McCain among conservatives, 42 percent to 30 percent. Huckabee won 21 percent of the conservative vote - though among Southern conservatives, the former Arkansas governor was the top choice, beating Romney 41 percent to 28 percent. The moderate vote overwhelmingly went for McCain over Romney, 52 to 24 percent.

–The top issue was the economy, and those voters favored McCain over Romney by 9 points - despite Romney's emphasis of his economic credentials.

–Nearly half of Republican voters said they were looking for a candidate who shared their values, and those voters favored Romney by 7 points. But McCain easily one among voters looking for a candidate who says what he believes, has the experience, and has the best chance to beat a Democrat next November.

Related: Watch Bill Schneider break down Super Tuesday by the issues

–CNN Senior Political Analyst Bill Schneider


Filed under: Exit Polls
soundoff (188 Responses)
  1. CA Supporter

    February 6, 2008 2:47 am ET

    "Thank you for a clear analysis, however I have a question regarding credibility. The media has, almost overwhelmingly, put their support behind Mr. Obama, and he leads in that are 90 to 10.

    My Question; Why is the media not scrutinzing Mr. Obama as closely as they are Mrs. Clinton. Why are they not pointing to the obvious errors and ommissions that he makes daily, as they do her.

    Fair reporting…..I don't think so"

    Hi Larry,

    What the hell are you talking about?

    My question is regarding your credibility. Tell me, how has CNN (the media that you are writing to) put their support behind Mr. Obama?

    Accusations without any proof, or at least reference to some attempt at proof, seems a bit silly....

    February 6, 2008 04:04 am at 4:04 am |
  2. CA Supporter

    To everyone who says that Hillary won the most delegates.... umm.... you might want to just wait.

    And to the professor who wrote this:

    "NewZealander in USA February 6, 2008 2:30 am ET

    I am a Political Sciences Professor from New Zealand, I have lived in the US for 2 years and though my political affliation is Republican, I am watching the democratic race very closely.

    When you put the names Obama and Clinton side by side and ask "who earned the right to be the Democratic candidate?" Both are qualified candidates who bring a lot to the table.

    The defining difference between them is that Hillary Clinton would not even be in this race if she wasnt married to Bill Clinton. She has had years in the political spot light, which has brought her name recognition. Barack Obama, however, has been a virtual unknown as a Junior Senator but it's his vision and his ability to communicate his vision that has moved the American people, moved them enough to get them out of their political ruts and make change.

    I can see it in Americans eyes; they want to be inspired, they want to be united and they are starting to see he is that opportunity. With all her clout and Bill campaigning for her, Obama is still neck and neck and surging (within 100,000 votes, of nearly 12 million votes)

    I think Barack Obama is what American desperately needs. I will also conceed that Hillary is an expectional candidate as well and it will be an awesome run to the nomination."

    You are absolutely correct.

    For almost half of my entire life, I've known nothing but Bush and Clinton in our Whitehouse...... there is something quite wrong with that. My sister who is in her early twenties.... she's not known another president in our country without the name of Clinton or Bush.....

    All of these people who talk about wanting change, but yet support Hillary Clinton for the nomination...... where's the change? A woman president who brings no change other than her sexual orientation? ....... wow.........

    February 6, 2008 04:14 am at 4:14 am |
  3. seattle4obama08

    it is a tie. sen clinton is ahead on deligates because of the super deligates (of course she was a former 1st lady and a longterm senator, so she got the connections)

    here in washington state obama leads the polls, caucus will be on Saturday

    as an expectator i think,

    this is a win for Barak obama because 2 weeks ago would you think he could get this much deligates? and even win more state than sen. clinton(in the general election winning by state is more important than the popular vote) , this mean he gain the momentum and is in the same level as her. people are already knowing the name Barak Obama, now that the people already knows about him we'll see what happen next.

    in california, more than a million votes were already cast before Sen Obama got his momentum, 2 weeks to campain for 22 states that would be difficult, but still he won 13 plus/minus that is a phenomenon,

    February 6, 2008 04:15 am at 4:15 am |
  4. Ron

    The democratic primary proves racism is still alive and well in the United States. But its not the white people who are the racists its the black people. Does anyone even think that Obama would have gotten 70% to 80% of the black vote if he would have been white.

    February 6, 2008 04:16 am at 4:16 am |
  5. democrat

    What is wrong with you people? Democrats on this thread are on the same side – why yell back and forth with spouts of "uneducated", "give up", "[my choice] is OBVIOUSLY America's choice" Rah Rah Rah!

    Hello, this is *still* the closest, delegate-wise (forget "popular vote", forget "number of states 'won'" – delegates determine the candidate) primary race in decades. Nobody has "won" yet, we're only halfway through this.

    And some of us from states who haven't voted yet would like to get a chance to have a say, hmm? So why don't we act like adults.

    February 6, 2008 04:23 am at 4:23 am |
  6. Tom

    Asians and Latinos do not want to see the Black as the President. CA actually prove this. I am sure that Asian and Latino Votes will go to McCain if Obama get the nomination. This will be the end of Dmocrats...

    February 6, 2008 04:24 am at 4:24 am |
  7. Faye D

    I surely hope American women wake up, we have an oppitunity to make history and put Hillary Clinton in as President. This has been a long time coming and I just can't believe the American women can't unite and put there vote to the most qualified. This is not the years for Mr. Obama, He will make a good President in the next election , he just needs some time as a Junior Senator. Men still look at Women like we have no say or can't make decisions. They finally let us vote. How long did that take? Wake up Women.

    February 6, 2008 04:26 am at 4:26 am |
  8. Danny

    Wow, the TaylorMarsh crew is out in force tonight.

    Tonight was interesting, and settled absolutely nothing. Except that Obama was able to take what was supposed to be Clinton's best chance for a knockout punch with no trouble. Now to bring on Louisiana and Nebraska. There's a long way for this thing to play out.

    February 6, 2008 04:34 am at 4:34 am |
  9. marc

    Why Obama is even in the race: "Obama had a 21-point lead among independents."

    Guess what? Indpendents consistently have voted REPUBLICAN in the General Election.

    The Independent vote is the Democratic artificial adjusted vote in the Primaries.

    If we were dealing with simply Closed Primaries through all states then Barack wouldn't even be close.

    Independents traditionally vote REPUBLICAN in the General Election.

    The most notable Independent vote of recent renown was the 1992 General Election which had Ross Perot taking 18.9% of the Total Vote. Those who voted for him were disgruntled Republicans who were sick of the 1000 Points of Light Policy of George H.W. Bush.

    Just keep this in mind.

    February 6, 2008 04:47 am at 4:47 am |
  10. marc

    Why Obama is even in the race: "Obama had a 21-point lead among independents."

    Guess what? Independents consistently have voted REPUBLICAN in the General Election.

    The Independent vote is the Democratic artificial adjusted vote in the Primaries.

    If we were dealing with simply Closed Primaries through all states then Barack wouldn't even be close.

    Independents traditionally vote REPUBLICAN in the General Election.

    The most notable Independent vote of recent renown was the 1992 General Election which had Ross Perot taking 18.9% of the Total Vote. Those who voted for him were disgruntled Republicans who were sick of the 1000 Points of Light Policy of George H.W. Bush.

    Just keep this in mind.

    February 6, 2008 04:47 am at 4:47 am |
  11. Freefall26

    The blacks will turn out for O.J. and Obama. They proved that but in the final analysis they have only hurt themselves by demonstrating their dislike for white people. Hillary will win simply because she is the most qualified and will be the best leader for America among world leaders.

    February 6, 2008 04:49 am at 4:49 am |
  12. Baron

    Dear Adrian & Larry Denman

    Who Won Super Tuesday ?

    Just look at the delegate count:

    OBAMA = 540
    CLINTON = 531

    Don't include the superdelegates given on silverplate without a fight.

    On the finally analysis , Obama won more delegate through people vote. Now this is fair report. Stop blaming CNN for Clinton poor show.

    February 6, 2008 04:53 am at 4:53 am |
  13. marc

    NewZealander in USA: You should give yourself another term before analyzing US Politics. I don't begin to analyze New Zealand.

    However, research on both candidates backgrounds should reveal that Hillary Clinton would have been in Congress decades prior if she didn't marry Bill Clinton. Don't believe me. Just research her background fully.

    The reason senior US Senators and House of Representatives have a long list of endorsements behind her is that she is one of the most competent, well-versed and current candidate on the issues that are written into US Congressional Law.

    As a Libertarian, I sit back and it's clear that Barack Obama is getting a Yellow Journal Press combined with an overwhelmingly Independent [Republican] vote to make this close.

    Guess what? I live in Washington State. Oregon and Washington don't role like Idaho.

    They are much larger and Barack hasn't even bothered to run local ads in Eastern Washington. I've already cast my vote.

    Many I know have already cast votes.

    The more I see of this election that insists on the average consumer to be a complete novice on Congressional Law it's clear that it's going to be close. It won't be closer after Washington and more are done.

    She'll have a larger lead.

    February 6, 2008 04:55 am at 4:55 am |
  14. Dave in Australia

    Hello Fellow Members of the Free World

    It really has been entertaining watching the primaries and super Tuesday count on CNN. I like most of the rest of the world have a bias view to see the end of GOP rulers of the free world.

    As for the two Democrat candidates and my observations of the race- I can't see how Camp Clinton can be happy with the way things are heading. When i checked the game out a month or so ago, Obama was getting flogged across the country and now he's coming home like a freight train.

    From a foreign (but strongly allied) perspective, I would be happy to see the lobbyists take more of a back seat in Washington, clearly your democracy can still be bought- the primaries are also further evidence of that and some candidates think thats still fine.

    Looking forward to watching the rest of the race.

    February 6, 2008 04:57 am at 4:57 am |
  15. Trent fr Texas

    The pollsters, the pundits spin and rave that voters think EXPERIENCE is not important. CHANGE is more "hip".

    The economy on free fall is REAL.
    The wars in quagmire are REAL.
    The healthcare problems are REAL.

    No more games. No more sermons, please!
    We want Hillary.

    This male Texan, college graduate will vote for a workhorse, not a show horse

    February 6, 2008 04:59 am at 4:59 am |
  16. Trang, Fremont CA

    By popular vote, Hillary is 49%, Obama is 48%. She wins the big states, he wins many smaller states. Both are strong candidates. The Super Tuesday will not settle the matter. Look like it will be up to the remaining states. I doubt if neither will give up. She currently has roughly 100 delegate over him – counting the superdelegates, but I think they can switch later if they want. We'll see. The race goes on.

    February 6, 2008 05:03 am at 5:03 am |
  17. Rand Lander

    An observation:
    Obama won in several states Dems do not usually win.
    Clinton won in states Dems usually take.
    McCain won in states that Reps don't usually win.
    Huckabee is a one trick pony,
    Romney a no trick pony.

    Did you notice the turnout?
    Amazing numbers of more Dems than Reps on a state by state basis.
    Dems look competetive even in Dixie.
    Thank Bush for being a uniter-of Democrats.

    February 6, 2008 05:07 am at 5:07 am |
  18. Kris Wilde

    Wow! This primary is crazy. I want to put my voice in for Mitt Romney and you can help get your voice for Mitt Romney out there as well with the blog tools at dotblog.biz. Check out the web site and see all of the tools to build any blog site you need to get your voice out there.

    Go Mitt!!

    February 6, 2008 05:08 am at 5:08 am |
  19. Wade SD

    If anyone is really paying attention to total delegate votes:

    Obama 540 delegates
    Clinton 531 delegats

    of course this is without Super Delegates added into the mix.

    I would be careful Clinton Supporters of how you tout this day. Everyone has said this is not the deciding factor in the race. And if you really understand and have been following the political environment.

    February 9, 2008 are major caucus states and well if you look at the track record we all know who wins Caucus states. Obama.

    even with Super Delegates added in and the total distribution of delegates Clinton only shows a +9 delegate lead.

    After February 9th Obama will be in a significant lead over Clinton, even with her Super Delegate lead.

    So Hillary supporters…..have you heard the expression….. "Don't count your chickens before they've hatched?" Well, I would really be careful with your pride and ego.

    Also don't forget when Hillary Supporters tout she won big.....the popular vote was split 49% Hillary and 48% Obama, not such a decisive win if you really look at it.

    and Mike......Stop with the race card....good God......Obama actually won a significant amount of the white vote in these primaries upward mid to high 40's.

    Instead of dividing which most Hillary supporters do in these rooms, we know that some uniting is really what is needed. EVERYONE KEEP YOUR PRIDE IN CHECK!!!!

    February 6, 2008 05:10 am at 5:10 am |
  20. BV

    "Dear Obama supporters,

    Just accept it. Anger is not resolving anything."

    Accept that Clinton won by 1% of the popular vote and that we have a better organization, better planning, and momentum in this race?

    Accept that this little campaign which was down by as much as 20 points in places like Missouri, Minnesota, and Connecticut still pulled out victories and has been narrowing Clinton's lead for weeks?

    Accept that the longer this race goes on, the more likely people are to switch their vote to Obama?

    Yes, We CAN accept that.

    February 6, 2008 05:12 am at 5:12 am |
  21. Ron

    Hillary Clinton did win the majority of the popular vote today, but by a margin of less than 100,000 votes out of more than 12 million cast. That is approximately eight tenths of one percent. Hardly the clear victory Hillary supporters are making it out to be.

    February 6, 2008 05:12 am at 5:12 am |
  22. Wade SD

    Has anyone recognized the fact that more people voted for Obama in Illinois than Hillary had vote for her in New York?

    February 6, 2008 05:21 am at 5:21 am |
  23. D

    I am personally VERY SHOCKED at the obviously blatant sexism I saw while sitting up all night watching CNN…
    Every time Obama won a state, it was HUGE PRAISE and tons of too heaped on him ..
    when Hillary won , they tried to figure out WHY she won and what it meant to Obama, and the CAST of "pundits" seemed to get more and more caught up in it as the night went on…..
    I also noticed …that when Hillary was leading in a state, CNN and the powers that be, wouldnt call it for HILLARY until it was over 60 sometimes 70 percent, and they would say ITS BECAUSE IT WAS JUST TOO CLOSE … But once the votes were actually IN … She beat Obama handily …But they would call an OBAMA win a lot faster and PRAISE AND PRAISE and spend lots of time on him …
    The only people I noticed who tried to keep the folks away from that was LOU DOBBS and ANDERSON COOPER …
    Please guys.. I know some of you cant stand the IDEA of a FEMALE president , but please …..keep it to yourselves …….. it was SHOWING BAD last night … very BAD …….
    I love my PARTY and will support whoever wins my PARTY …
    But please be FAIR "GENTLEMEN" and keep your personal ideas and feelings at HOME ….
    I watched this go on AND on ...on FOX … but we all EXPECT it from them … NOT CNN…

    February 6, 2008 05:33 am at 5:33 am |
  24. Becky Montgomery

    I think there are a LOT of things that could be said about Clinton and am surprised they are not. All the scandals, her failure at health reform behind closed doors, her sealed documents, etc. If she gets the nomination, McCain WILL bring them up.

    February 6, 2008 05:35 am at 5:35 am |
  25. Charlie

    Amen,Chad,but how in the world did you get such a truthful,unbiased message posted? GO,HILLARY!!

    February 6, 2008 05:36 am at 5:36 am |
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