February 6th, 2008
01:39 AM ET
12 years ago

Schneider: How trends played out nationally

(CNN) - Highlights from the national exit polls show how key trends played out tonight.

On the Democratic side:

–Hillary Clinton carried white voters over Barack Obama, 52 to 43 percent. Obama carried black voters 82 to 16 percent. Clinton won Latinos 61 to 37 percent, and Clinton carried Asians 68 percent to 30 percent.

–Not surprisingly, the economy ranked as the top issue. Clinton had a slight edge with these voters, 50 percent to 46 percent. The war in Iraq was also an important issue for Democrats tonight, and those voters preferred Obama by 15 points. Clinton clearly benefits from the war becoming less a concern among Democratic voters.

–Clinton won 52-43 among those who didn't graduate from college. Obama beat Clinton 54-42 among those with a college degree.

–Clinton had a 5-point edge among Democrats, while Obama had a 21-point lead among independents.

On the Republican side:

–Romney beat McCain among conservatives, 42 percent to 30 percent. Huckabee won 21 percent of the conservative vote - though among Southern conservatives, the former Arkansas governor was the top choice, beating Romney 41 percent to 28 percent. The moderate vote overwhelmingly went for McCain over Romney, 52 to 24 percent.

–The top issue was the economy, and those voters favored McCain over Romney by 9 points - despite Romney's emphasis of his economic credentials.

–Nearly half of Republican voters said they were looking for a candidate who shared their values, and those voters favored Romney by 7 points. But McCain easily one among voters looking for a candidate who says what he believes, has the experience, and has the best chance to beat a Democrat next November.

Related: Watch Bill Schneider break down Super Tuesday by the issues

–CNN Senior Political Analyst Bill Schneider


Filed under: Exit Polls
soundoff (188 Responses)
  1. john, NJ

    I think you are all gullable I have two masters degrees and I am 45 years old I voted for Hillary. Only gullable who are 18-25 who are not mature yet they just fall for the talk of the Obama. Obama just gives speeches picks out the quotes form various famous people like JFK and MLT. look at the Ted kennedy's state what happend John Kerry , Ted Kennedy the Governer and Carolyn Kennedy Maria Shriver all these people were stumping for Obama did not make any difference, because people who are over 45 are mature and know what is just the talk.

    February 6, 2008 07:55 am at 7:55 am |
  2. Roger

    –..... Obama carried black voters 82 to 16 percent.

    –Not surprisingly, the economy ranked as the top issue.

    Does not make sense.

    Man, among black voters it is NOT about economy. It is about color.

    February 6, 2008 07:56 am at 7:56 am |
  3. Amber

    Facts are even with all the extra criticism Hillary has gotten thanks to the media, CNN included, she is still winning in states that the Democrats will take in the general election. She is bringing in minorities and yes I'm sure she does want more debates. Then voters have to look at the differences between the her and Obama, so that the undecided will can decide on the issues, not the hype.

    Hillary '08!

    February 6, 2008 07:59 am at 7:59 am |
  4. david, tx

    i am glad to read the VV post..

    "Blacks are the most racist, according to these numbers."

    because the 'according to these numbers' part is the only way u will be able to come up with such a ridiculous argument.

    historically, we have never had an elected national leader who raised the people as a whole socially, economically, and professionally – together and inclusively. others have come and laid the groundwork for someone like obama to be the one to do it.

    we've not seen much interest by others to achieve this feat...in fact, we've seen alot of the opposite and everyone is tired of it.

    and so for those who want to make all americans simply americans and shed the emphasis on our hyphenated designations, obama is the first candidate we've ever had that could pull it off.... thus he has the black vote hands down.

    does that make us racist or should the blame go to those who want to keep us divided?

    February 6, 2008 08:02 am at 8:02 am |
  5. Mich

    I am a black man and really get worried to see that the African American can not rise above race in their decisions. I do not think this will help Obama on the long run.

    What I think American should really be pushing for is Clinton/Obama ticket...to be sure of having Democrats for the next 16yrs...the advantage here for Obama is 8ys as No 2 and another 8 yrs as No 1..

    Mich

    Lagos

    February 6, 2008 08:07 am at 8:07 am |
  6. Tommy2

    CNN-The most twisted name in the business.

    February 6, 2008 08:10 am at 8:10 am |
  7. GEAUX HILLARY

    I'd like some comment from the pundits on the fact that of the states Obama won last night, i.e., Georgia, Idaho, Alabama, Kansas, to name a few, are never going to be won by a Democratic candidate in the general election.

    February 6, 2008 08:20 am at 8:20 am |
  8. Hilary

    From a college educated, proud Obama supporter...to "D"...
    If you noticed, for example, Obama was leading in Alabama (with something like 60 percent,) but it took CNN quite a while to project him the winner. Why? Unlike your post suggests it isn't because they don't like Obama etc. Same holds true in other races where Clinton was leading. The reason why is because they know BASED ON PAST ELECTIONS certain counties in these states that a candidate MUST win by a certain margin in order to carry the state primary. Many times the returns that are coming in are reflecting other parts of the state that don't include these "key" counties. Senators Obama & Clinton understand and know that. Projecting is very complicated because they don't want to be wrong and have to retract. Hope this helps you understand this a little better.

    As for everything else, GO OBAMA!!!! I'm proud to stand for change with him. For as long as I can remember a Clinton or a Bush have been in the White House (I'm 25) and I think that is un-American. This morning we are closer to being tied with Sen. Clinton despite having nearly a hundred less superdelegates. Amazing.

    Finally, I would like a Clinton supporter to explain how being first lady can be counted as experience. She wasn't elected. She was along for the ride. Or to actually enumerate all the "changes" she personally has made. But you can't include what Bill did. Please try to explain without attacking.

    February 6, 2008 08:37 am at 8:37 am |
  9. WMW

    Perhaps now that Hillary has won CNN will allow all people access to the discussion. Face it CNN you lost and Hillary won!

    February 6, 2008 08:38 am at 8:38 am |
  10. Gordon

    As an impartial UK observer I would have to say that my channel-hopping suggests Fox are leaving CNN behind, and are producing less partial coverage. I am distinctly unimpressed by any of the GOP candidates, whilst Obama's self- designation as the new Messiah of US politics, together with his inexperience and policy vacuum, are scary! Which leaves Hilary Clinton. God help the so-called free world!

    February 6, 2008 08:43 am at 8:43 am |
  11. barroidbonds

    Anyone who says Clinton supporters are "ignorant, gullible and uninformed" is ignorant himself. Even though I have a college degree, NOT having one does not make someone ignorant.. You want to talk about gullible? Follow a candidate with NO substance, who has continually pulled out the race card and blamed it on someone else. Obama's wife is a vicious, uncouth person and continually the press focuses on Bill Clinton. Inform yourself before you make dumb comments. Obama's followers are like sheep, blinding tailing after him because Oprah said so or its the popular thing to do or because you like his personality. Get a Grip!

    February 6, 2008 08:49 am at 8:49 am |
  12. barroidbonds

    Change. Change. Change.
    How about Substance, Barrack?
    That's right, you don't have it.

    February 6, 2008 08:51 am at 8:51 am |
  13. mary Cusack

    ObamaZombies scare me. Where have we seen people chanting the name of a man who will solve all our problems and all he had behind him was a book…. in english it was called "my struggle" in german it translates to ……. THINK

    February 6, 2008 08:58 am at 8:58 am |
  14. Phil

    Obama receives more than 80 percent of all black votes. Without the black vote Obama is out of the picture.
    Blacks want everyone to be blind to racial differences yet they can't see past Obama's race and into his empty promises.
    The National election needs someone who can draw from all groups and not just a narrow slice of the electorate.

    February 6, 2008 09:03 am at 9:03 am |
  15. Leia

    TYPO: "McCain easily one" – I think folks need some sleep after the big night!

    Poor Obama. I like him, he's a great guy with the ability to garner the trust of Americans to be heard and respected, but Clinton has carried the more liberal states with more voters (CA, NY) and will win more delegates.

    I'm not really fond of McCain or Clinton. If it came down to a McCain/Clinton election, I hope Ron Paul runs a write-in campaign!

    February 6, 2008 09:06 am at 9:06 am |
  16. Bravelion

    Obama has rhetoric. Hillary has the proven action in word and deed. Go Hillary 2008

    February 6, 2008 09:16 am at 9:16 am |
  17. TheWiseOne

    Hello my fellow Americans. Now ofcourse people who are supporting Hillary's campagin will say only good about her and only bad about the rest and Obama's supporters will do the same and the rest of the replublican voters will do the same for their candidates. But I think when we start taking sides it affects our judgement. I believe most Americans will agree with me when i say that if we evaluate each candidate based on how they come across as a person, we will reach the following conclusion:

    John Mcain, Barack Obama and Mike Hukabee come across as people who actually blieve in what is coming out of their mouth whenever they speak. We might not all agree with their policies but they are likable and blievable.

    Mit Romnee and Hillary Clinton come accross as true politicans. Whenever i watch them speak it is as if they are reading a script.

    I think that is the truth.

    February 6, 2008 09:26 am at 9:26 am |
  18. Lawyer2B

    Obama supporters really can't seem to accept reality. Hillary dominated Super Tuesday, winning all but ONE major Democratic primary.

    The caucuses and states Obama won are REPUBLICAN states that the Dems won't win no matter WHO gets the nomination.

    Hillary won California. Hillary won New York. Hillary won New Jersey. Hillary won Florida. Hillary won Michigan.

    Hillary is leading in the Pennsylvania polls. Hillary is leading in the Ohio polls. Hillary is even leading in Texas.

    The large, Democratic strongholds went for Hillary. Hillary also has a commanding lead in Super delegates and NO we're not going to forget the Super delegates.

    No matter how hard CNN tries to spin Obama's poor showing, the facts are in.

    February 6, 2008 09:27 am at 9:27 am |
  19. Tom Wittmann

    I ask myself why many, including TIME, are insisting that the lack of attraction of
    McCain of the extreme right is a problem.

    By the contrary, it is a plus point for the Election in November, because:

    1) The attacks of this people only makes him attractive for Independents and
    Democrats

    2) He do not need them to be nominated.

    3) Conservatives which voted Romney will vote McCain/Huckabee,except possibly some ultras, which are not able to accept that being a small minority, they are not longer able to blackmail their will into the GOP.

    TOM

    February 6, 2008 09:35 am at 9:35 am |
  20. Beth

    Obama has plenty of substance–don't drink the kool-aid fed to you that he's all rhetoric. Listen when he discusses his plans–his economic plan should he be elected is more feasible and more economically viable than Hillary's. His economic stimulus proposal received higher marks than Hillary's as well. His health care plan is much more feasible and doesn't require garnishment of wages to penalize people who do not pay.

    Michelle and Barack care about America. This is obvious. Does HIllary care about America? Absolutely...but sometimes it comes across as if she cares more about power. She and Bill have acted as if they are entitled to the nomination because it's "her time". Wrong. It's OUR time. And Barack wants to change what is accepted by cynics as "normal politics". Did Hillary do well yesterday? Absolutely. But Obama beat what EVERYONE thought he would do. Hillary had herself noted a month or so ago that the nomination would be locked up by today, and the press had already coronated her. But Obama has shown that his stock is rising...the longer this race continues, the better it is for Barack–and, I believe, for this country!

    February 6, 2008 09:41 am at 9:41 am |
  21. Rose

    Bill Schneider is a wonderful compliment to CNN. He is so fair and balanced. I listen with interest to his every word. He is a terrific political analysts. Thanks Bill.

    February 6, 2008 09:44 am at 9:44 am |
  22. Billy

    John Smith February 6, 2008 1:44 am ET

    Clinton won 52-43 among those who didn't graduate from college. Obama beat Clinton 54-42 among those with a college degree.

    –Clinton had a 5-point edge among Democrats, while Obama had a 21-point lead among independents.

    This speaks volumes about Clinton supporters– ignorant, guillable, and very uninformed!!!!
    -------------------------------------------------------------------------– Its Crap like this that keeps the democratic party split..Since you seem so well educated and i'm ignorant, guillable and uniformed i would be more than happy To Pokeurhontus..john smith..Its a play on words ask any 3rd grader and the'll explain it to you...God have mercy on us if john smith is the type of people that wants to lead this country.

    February 6, 2008 09:56 am at 9:56 am |
  23. Virginian for Hillary

    I support Clinton and take offense at John Smith's comment about being 'ignorant, guillable and very uninformed'.
    What 'change' is Obama going to bring? He probably has no idea, except that it captures people's imaginations. We need substance. If Obama is the Democratic nominee, I'm voting Republican for the first time ever.
    I'm college educated, know many very educated, articulate people without degrees who see through Obama.

    February 6, 2008 10:07 am at 10:07 am |
  24. Paul Ooi

    To my fellow Americans,

    As a Clinton supporter, I would like to see her win, but anyone of the front-runner candidates from both parties will be a HUGE improvement over Mr. Bush. I am just glad that we are beginning the countdown to end this disastrous administration.

    To the "foreign" observers,

    Please keep your political punditry to yourselves. We do not try to second-guess the politics of your countries and I suggest that you keep out of ours.

    February 6, 2008 10:08 am at 10:08 am |
  25. James

    The day when Fox News has more fair and balanced coverage of a Democratic Primary Race than CNN is probably one of the four horseman of the apocoplypse. CA was originally key and it was all about the delegates...then Clinton got those advantages and all the "best" team kept going on about how many states Obama won. They also discussed the importance of winning Red States on the Republican side and ignored discussing who won them on the Democratic side. (Clinton) You do realize that the more biased your coverage is during this election...the more you are begging for that heavy Regulation thing that you guys don't want. [clearly needed badly]

    The real general election strategy for either party is to lock up all their states and flip a couple of the swing states or change a state if possible (but less likely). Clinton's strength in Florida even though it was a beauty pagent and when you look at the numbers who voted with no delegates indicate that she could lock up that key state and much of the older vote who you can actually count on to show up in Nov...no matter what.

    I must say I am also very disturbed by the extreme hate and nastiness expressed on the Obama supporters online against Hillary or the Clinton's and it seems either very sexist or misogynist and/or sounds exactly like the Rush/Hannity talking points.

    February 6, 2008 10:17 am at 10:17 am |
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