February 6th, 2008
01:39 AM ET
12 years ago

Schneider: How trends played out nationally

(CNN) - Highlights from the national exit polls show how key trends played out tonight.

On the Democratic side:

–Hillary Clinton carried white voters over Barack Obama, 52 to 43 percent. Obama carried black voters 82 to 16 percent. Clinton won Latinos 61 to 37 percent, and Clinton carried Asians 68 percent to 30 percent.

–Not surprisingly, the economy ranked as the top issue. Clinton had a slight edge with these voters, 50 percent to 46 percent. The war in Iraq was also an important issue for Democrats tonight, and those voters preferred Obama by 15 points. Clinton clearly benefits from the war becoming less a concern among Democratic voters.

–Clinton won 52-43 among those who didn't graduate from college. Obama beat Clinton 54-42 among those with a college degree.

–Clinton had a 5-point edge among Democrats, while Obama had a 21-point lead among independents.

On the Republican side:

–Romney beat McCain among conservatives, 42 percent to 30 percent. Huckabee won 21 percent of the conservative vote - though among Southern conservatives, the former Arkansas governor was the top choice, beating Romney 41 percent to 28 percent. The moderate vote overwhelmingly went for McCain over Romney, 52 to 24 percent.

–The top issue was the economy, and those voters favored McCain over Romney by 9 points - despite Romney's emphasis of his economic credentials.

–Nearly half of Republican voters said they were looking for a candidate who shared their values, and those voters favored Romney by 7 points. But McCain easily one among voters looking for a candidate who says what he believes, has the experience, and has the best chance to beat a Democrat next November.

Related: Watch Bill Schneider break down Super Tuesday by the issues

–CNN Senior Political Analyst Bill Schneider


Filed under: Exit Polls
soundoff (188 Responses)
  1. missouri

    Unfortunately, looks like the two dem candidates are splitting the party. Obama supporters hating Clinton because of Bill. Clinton supporters hating Obama because of racial influence. All in all, it will be a sad day for dems come November. I think the party will be so split, that neither candidate is going to be able to win against McCain.

    It can't be denied that alot of Black voters are going with Obama. Did you see the Missouri map by county last night. The entire state was for Clinton with exception of Kansas City, St. Louis (both high black population). Then one spot right in the middle of the state (college age young adults).

    McCain's people are playing political strategy. They are influencing the caucuses. Huckabee won West Virginia because the McCain supporters went his way to keep Romney from winning. Could be some independents being played the same way for Democrats caucuses.

    I vote democrate, but the way things are going, I don't see that either candidate can win come November

    February 6, 2008 10:35 am at 10:35 am |
  2. Dan, NJ

    Obama beats Clinton by a staggering 21% of independents. McCain has an even bigger margin of victory among moderates. And the Republican base (that is otherwise displeased with McCain) rallies AGAINST Clinton.

    Obama dominates Clinton in red states, and could put some of them in play.

    There is no doubt who is best for the Democratic party up and down the ticket. We could be on the verge of a revolution in American politics or we could be heading back to the past.

    February 6, 2008 10:36 am at 10:36 am |
  3. Obamanite

    The comments on this post about blacks only voting for blacks, blacks are the most racist etc., are too funny. Only in America would you hear such foolishness.
    Those who think we only vote for the same race are clueless.
    So all this time whites voting for whites meant they were racist? Wow, I didnt know this. Thank you for the information.
    We've been voting across racial lines since we had voting rights. In most cases there are rarely people of color on the ballots so who are we voting for? As long as a candidate shows he/she cares about issues that affect all of Americans they will get votes.
    Bill Clinton is widely considered the first black president among many blacks. Until recent comments by Hillary's campaign and Bill himself, she had many blacks on her side. But fairy tale comments and diminishing Obama's results as no better than Jesse Jackson alienated many of us and showed their true colors.
    This is why I'm in Obama's movement with many others. He inspires and makes you hope for greater possiblities. Until he's elected, that's really all he or anyone can do is talk. When elected then he can act on his hopes and dreams of a better country.

    February 6, 2008 10:37 am at 10:37 am |
  4. ceetip

    Clinton wins white vote 52-43. Obama wins black vote 82-16. Clinton wins latino vote 61-37. Clinton wins asian vote 68-30. Does anyone see what is going on here? White people are the least racist of all races. Looks like the African-Americans are the most racist. We've come along way baby!

    February 6, 2008 10:38 am at 10:38 am |
  5. Virginian for Hillary

    Corey, your comments are very offensive on so many levels. I don't get the 'Obama will unify the country' if you are a representation of his supporters insulting those who vote for Clinton.

    Respect my decision to disagree in my vote.

    Hillary 08!!

    February 6, 2008 10:42 am at 10:42 am |
  6. Jasira

    The reason this country is in a mess is because the white majority voted in George Bush – TWICE. WHITE VOTERS WHEN HAVE YOU EVER VOTED FOR A NON WHITE CANDIDATE FOR ANY OFFICE? Before you post complainsts about how blacks are voting along racial lines in these primaries, name one black candidate you've ever voted for in your life first.

    Don't tell me blacks vote based on color when we've demonstrated historically our willingness to carry the Democratic party and whatever white candidate (male or female ) that is put in front of us to the tune of 80+ sometimes even 90% of our votes. We came out in record numbers for Kerry and Gore. Black men and women carried Hillary Clinton to her win in the Senate as well putting other white female democrats into office across this country.The Democratic party has taken the black vote for granted for years, has counted on our votes bringing the typically white male candidates within striking distance of whatever office they're going after. I get it now. Its only okay for blacks to vote in a way that serves the agenda of white democrats and white women. Its supposed to be usiness as ususal and blacks are supposed to put aside our own agenda for everybody else's once again.

    February 6, 2008 10:44 am at 10:44 am |
  7. JB

    It doesn't matter at this point who you like more, or if you'd really like a female candidate. What matters is who can beat John McCain. Hillary will unite the republicans against her, and she cannot campaign effectively in red states. Obama is building a coalition across party lines and has done amazingly well in red states. Hillary voted for the Iraq war, and will be lampooned for being a "flip-flopper" by the republicans. Barack was against the war, and is the only dem left in a strong position to make the case for withdrawel. Hillary draws in some new voters, but Barack draws in amazing quantities of voters. Hillary can run a campaign, Barack can run a movement. The stakes are too high to take a risk with a candidate that 50% of the nation says they would never vote for under any circumstance. If you want to beat John McCain, Obama is the clear choice.

    February 6, 2008 10:45 am at 10:45 am |
  8. Minda Lillie

    FYI caucus states, red all day long, small number of voters vote for Obama. Big deal. News flash: states with big Black votes go for Obama, otherwise, Hillary wins.

    Obama and wife are racists all you have to do is listen to her especially at a black rally, Its impossible to believe people actually think Obama could win in this country. Get real people, Obama cannot win in this country.

    The grown ups in the democratic party will select Hillary as the nominee, all this other stuff is fluff. The democratic party can see where this is going even if this Obamanation can't or won't. Obama excites, Hillary actually does. That makes all the difference. Listen, McCain will take independent men because of the testosterone. Hillary is the only hope for the democrats. She can win across all demographics, all races, both genders, and yes, even the black voters would vote for her if their black boy was not in the race.

    Obama cannot win a coalition of voters like Hillary has already proven she can. We need all these voters in the fall. Sure it will be close, but with Obama? He's not electable in the final analysis.

    February 6, 2008 10:57 am at 10:57 am |
  9. Bulu, Lafayette, Indiana

    Hillary won the states that will matter for democrats in the general election. Obama won states that no democrat, especially a liberal like Obama, can win in November. Republicans are saying good things about Obama now, but wait until he is the nominee of the party. He is the tax-and-spend big liberal. Obama will not get more than 40% of the votes based on his highly liberal record. He is like McGovern, big with the liberals, but a total flop nationally. Obama also tried to pander by saying his for drivers license for illegal immigrants. This did not work for him with the hispanics because they know who is their real friend. They would rather vote for McCain than Obama. This drivers license thing going to haunt Obama. How is he going to get out of this? He has a tendancy of pandering. Spoke against the war, but voted for funding the war. For the Iran vote that obama criticizes HRC for, he chose not to vote. This is a pattern for Obama- running away from difficult decisions and pandering. At least with HRC you know what you are getting.

    February 6, 2008 10:58 am at 10:58 am |
  10. Reed

    Republicans are sitting ducks...unless Hillary wins the nomination. C'mon, Dems! Hil has no chance in red states. Vote for change! Obama will take independents away from McCain who is a shoo-in for the GOP nomination. Stop living in the past! Barack Obama is the future!

    February 6, 2008 11:00 am at 11:00 am |
  11. Smile

    It's amazing that when blacks vote for Obama they are racist BUT when white women vote for Hillary the hillary supporters don't say they are racist and only voting for hillary because she's a women....

    Obama08!

    February 6, 2008 11:09 am at 11:09 am |
  12. Ben, MA

    ENOUGH OF THE RACE, GENDER, ANALYSIS.

    These are two good candidates, let's focus on issues and character.

    February 6, 2008 11:12 am at 11:12 am |
  13. John, NC

    As a Democrat supporting HILLARY b/cos she has SUBSTANCE (over OBAMA's FLUFF), I want to make an observation after Super Tuesday:

    We are headed for a UNITED CANDIDACY – No matter who (Hillary or Obama) wins the nomination, they would be FOOL-HARDY not to select the other candidate as their RUNNING MATE!

    Given the wave of independents and political ZEALOTS that OBAMA has attracted, Hillary would go into the general election severely handicapped if she completely ignores OBAMA's supporters, and nothing less than a VP POSITION would do – that is, if OBAMA's ego and self-perceived Messianic Calling would let him accept. At the very least, Hillary should make that offer... if he turns it down, then we'd all know his true colors.

    On the hand, some say OBAMA would not need HILLARY b/cos he needs to break free from the so-called past. Well, guess what, if he thinks that he can ride on the wave of emotion to the White House by ignoring the majority of Democrats (who are siding with HILLARY now), he must be deceiving himself. And, in fact, if he is a true uniter, selecting HILLARY for VP his SIGNAL action to start the national healing that he preaches. Unite your won house (Democrats), then you can unite the whole nation.

    Either way, the accident of these two minority candidacies (WOMAN and AFRICAN-AMERICAN) being imposed upon our nation at this time, and the closeness of the race thus far, requires (no, DEMANDS) that either one of these that wins seriously consider the other as RUNNING MATE, to avoid the tragedy of another REPUBLICAN in the White House.

    Fellow Democrats, let us therefore NOT tear each other apart so badly that we go into the General Election in November hobbled.

    We live in unbelievable times, indeed!

    Go HILLARY '08 !!!

    February 6, 2008 11:28 am at 11:28 am |
  14. Illinois Democrat

    Pardon me, Mrs. Clinton, if I may please borrow your recent Super Bowl analogy? Only in real life YOU, Mrs. Clinton, are the New England Patriots. YOU were tagged early and often as the prohibitive favorite. Now, Mr. Obama, he represents the New York Giants. No one gave him much of a chance several months ago; however, suddenly we're going into the second half of the campaign...and Obama's still standing strong and proud. And we ALL know how the Super Bowl...and this analogy...will end, don't we Senator Clinton? Peace to you all, from the Land of Obama!

    February 6, 2008 11:33 am at 11:33 am |
  15. Peanuts

    These comments are so ugly. Is this really American Voters? It's not about blacks or whites, it's not about young and old. It's abot Hillary and Obama. Two great candidates fighting to be chosen presindent of our country.
    Fact: Obama needs to talk more about the changes, I only hear the word change.
    Hillary talks about the things she wants to do and will fight to do them. Both are very strong candidates and deserve more respect from all you bashiers. I am white, educated and over 60. I am not senile or stupid. Shame on all of you for your discriminating words of hate. Just vote for who you want as long as you keep McCain out. And by the way, I am Republican, I will cross my party line and vote Democratic come November, and I am leaning more everyday towards Hillary. Sorry McCain and Obama voters. I don't care what polls or caucaues say. Come November ........................................ I will vote for Hillary Clinton, win or loose. It's still my choice.

    February 6, 2008 11:34 am at 11:34 am |
  16. pshep

    Look at the actual voter counts… Obama is going to take this Election all the way to the White House… The comparison between the parties is amazing, and Obama has far more #'s than anyone… I'm keeping a chart, which I will post when the results (from 100% of all the states who have voted) are in… These numbers are staggering…
    We have begun the change we need…
    OBAMA…. is our best option and the voters are telling it…!!

    February 6, 2008 11:37 am at 11:37 am |
  17. Pat

    I don't understand why Clinton supports believe that a vote for Obama is a vote against women. My vote is for Obama and against Clinton. Period! And my vote against Clinton is because of her policies and votes on the war and also against the continuation of the two family dynasties of the past 20 years. It is well past time to move on to fresh ideas, new policies, new people and renewed hope for the future. Will everything suddenly change for the better overnight with an Obama victory? Of course not. But will things stay the same as they have been for the past 16 years with a Clinton victory? I believe they will and I am not willing to go back.

    February 6, 2008 11:48 am at 11:48 am |
  18. deeanna jacobs

    Obama won small red states that the Dem can't win in the General election.
    Go Hillary you won California after all the endorsements for Obama, and won by 378,073. Hillaryyyy 08

    February 6, 2008 11:54 am at 11:54 am |
  19. Obamanite

    If I had a dollar for everytime someone says Obama only talks about change and doesn't talk about facts I'd be very rich. Do people actually listen to his speeches or only going by what the pundits on T.V. say? (especially FOX)
    If you've heard even one of his speeches you will know he lays everything out that he want to do. If you want to know listen to him. I'm not going to lay it out for you.
    Otherwise go ahead and vote like the many penguins-er I mean americans who fell in line the last two elections and voted as if scared of change and went for status quo.
    Look where it got us.
    Anyone who is not republican and had anything to to with the last aministration can't do any worse than what we've had

    February 6, 2008 12:17 pm at 12:17 pm |
  20. Ike

    This election clearly exposes voters illitracy and riotous emotion that blind reality.Gender, race, charisma, smooth talk, eloquency, likability conservatism are canker warms that degrade the fabric of our political process and becloud our view of awful reality; what a shame. Our nation political destiny any hope?My name is Sam and I approve this message

    February 6, 2008 12:22 pm at 12:22 pm |
  21. Ike

    This election clearly exposes voters illitracy and riotous emotion that blind reality.Gender, race, charisma, smooth talk, eloquency, likability conservatism are canker warms that degrade the fabric of our political process and becloud our view of awful reality; what a shame. Our nation political destiny any hope?My name is Sam and I approve this message

    February 6, 2008 12:23 pm at 12:23 pm |
  22. Illinois Democrat

    Check out this online news flash from the 'Albuquerque Journal' dated 02-06-08; and then consider if this reminds you of the infamous 2000 election day results from Florida. Hmmm…counting must continue until the candidate preferrred by the Lt. Governor of New Mexico has secured her victory?

    "Clinton holds narrow lead over Obama with thousands of votes to be counted.
    8:15am UPDATE: As many as half of the nearly 17,000 provisional ballots to be hand-counted today could be thrown out, New Mexico Lt. Gov. Diane Denish — a strong backer of Hillary Clinton — told 770 KKOB Radio's morning show host Bob Clark just moments ago."

    February 6, 2008 12:24 pm at 12:24 pm |
  23. larry buchas, new britain, ct

    How can Hillary claim an advantage dealing with the economy? Her vote to support military action in Iraq contributed to the largest budget deficit in history.

    She should be held responsible for her votes and for not questioning the so-called intelligence. She couldn't perform her most important function, Congressional approval in going to war.

    Bad judgment overrules experience.

    February 6, 2008 12:28 pm at 12:28 pm |
  24. Judith

    John Smith, I am an African American female college graduate who happens to be a Hillary supporter. I am an intelligent individual who is very informed about the state of our country and its future. I understand that she is BY FAR the most qualified person for this job! And I don't consider myself gullible either ( and gullible is spelled with an 'i' not an 'a')

    It seems to me that you are the ignorant, uninformed, gullible person in this situation.

    February 6, 2008 01:27 pm at 1:27 pm |
  25. Anna

    Obama's red state wins won't help in the fall, and polls suggest that in the primaries in red states only the more left leaning voters are coming to vote. ELECTABILITY is huge! Hillary won the crucial states!

    Hillary Rodham Clinton for president!

    February 6, 2008 01:37 pm at 1:37 pm |
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