February 22nd, 2008
09:30 AM ET
1 year ago

Obama, Clinton neck and neck in key states

 Obama and Clinton are neck and neck in two key states.
Obama and Clinton are neck and neck in two key states.

AUSTIN, Texas (CNN) - One day after Bill Clinton acknowledged his wife likely needs to win both Texas and Ohio on March 4 to keep her presidential hopes alive, two new polls out of those crucial states suggest it may be no easy task.

In just released Washington Post/ABC News polls, Hillary Clinton is deadlocked with rival Barack Obama in Texas (48 percent to 47 percent), and the New York senator only holds a slight edge in Ohio (50 percent to 43 percent). The poll carries a margin or error of plus or minus 4 percentage points.

A recent CNN poll out or Texas also showed the two candidates statistically deadlocked. In a CNN/Opinion Research Corporation Poll released Monday, Clinton stood at 50 percent while Obama was at 48 percent. That poll carried a margin of error of plus or minus 4.5 percentage points.

The demographics of both states would seem to favor Clinton. Latino voters - a group that has tended to break for Clinton over Obama in past primary states - are expected to make up a significant portion of the Democratic electorate in Texas. And in Ohio, working class voters that have long constituted the core of Clinton's base are expected to play a dominant role. But Obama has begun to make major inroads with both groups in recent primary contests.

– CNN Ticker Producer Alexander Mooney

soundoff (97 Responses)
  1. Randy - Denver

    Actually Nina, based on the responses from the expats yesterday and the vote of the expats yesterday, and the comments on BBC and the London Times they are SUPPORTING our selection of Mr. Obama, but as that does not fit into your world view I can understand how you would have missed that information.

    February 22, 2008 11:42 am at 11:42 am |
  2. Sue

    People need to wake up and realize that Obama is a great talker but has no real plans!! Hillary has the plan,, the courage, the strength and the experience!! I will not vote for Obama!! Hillary will be ready on day one and Obama will be looking to everyone for help!! ( A bit like the White House we have now!) Hillary will UNITE and she HAS THE SOLUTIONS FOR CHANGE!! She is very specific in her plans. Go Hillary!!!!!

    February 22, 2008 11:43 am at 11:43 am |
  3. Vince

    I have to laugh at those who think Obama doesn't talk about or understand the issues. He has clear positions on every issue. Earlier in the campaign he was scolded by the media for talking about issues to much.

    He's the one candidate that has clearly stated how he'd fix social security. His health care plans are much more realistic than Hillary's. Hillary keeps saying she'll cover everyone, but never mentions how she'll pay for it. His position on the war in Iraq was the correct position from the begginning. Hillary voted for the war because she thought it was the politically correct thing to do at the time.

    February 22, 2008 11:44 am at 11:44 am |
  4. Charlie

    Clinton supporters are getting awfully defensive, and quite angry. They're very condescending and belittling to people in support of Obama. I'm from the UK, so I don't have a say, but it's an observation. I hope Clinton's supporters are not indicative of the senator herself, as she seems like an impressive character.

    February 22, 2008 11:46 am at 11:46 am |
  5. ct

    Hillary 08, Obama later

    February 22, 2008 12:15 pm at 12:15 pm |
  6. Mark

    newsflash...Hillary Clinton can't win...get over it, move on...Obama beats McCain in all the polls, Hillary loses. Facts and facts...

    February 22, 2008 12:48 pm at 12:48 pm |
  7. An Agnostic Democrat

    Nina:

    Of course, they are! That would be why Mr. Obama trounced her overseas as well, right?

    Who's drinkin' the Clinton cocktail?

    They don't coronate a queen from over there and blindly usher her to the throne. They actually have to do their research on the candidates because they LIVE in those countries. Get it?

    Mr. Obama is also ahead in all the polls taken in foreign countries, too. But feel free to be like your delusional candidate and ignore the will and reality of voters, states and countries that "don't matter". (Hillary's continuing words of denial and dismissiveness.)

    February 22, 2008 12:48 pm at 12:48 pm |
  8. Flem

    Hillary, you are history...

    Git along now, Little Doggie, and take your nasty cackle and mindless head-nodding with you.

    GOOD RIDDANCE!!!

    February 22, 2008 12:49 pm at 12:49 pm |
  9. Anonymous

    I agree with Jack

    CNN, if you close comments on a story, remove it from the ticker, unless its just your way of showing news about Obama 24/7..When will the media ever ask this man a serious question…when its too late??

    February 22, 2008 12:49 pm at 12:49 pm |
  10. ceetip

    1. .

    Let’s make change in the best possible way we can. Vote for someone with some credentials. Someone who is known for reaching across the aisle. Not someone who just HOPES he can. THEN This is what I think:

    2. Remember when the media asked. ”Who would you rather have a beer with? George Bush or John Kerry?” Americans overwhelmingly answered George Bush, and then they voted for him. LOOK WHAT HAPPENED TO OUR COUNTRY.

    3. Experience is important. George Bush and Jimmy Carter had very little. LOOK WHAT HAPPENED TO OUR COUNTRY.

    4. Joe Klein says “Obama’s flights of rhetoric are the stuff of legend. But Clinton simply knows more." NOW THINK WHAT MIGHT HAPPEN TO OUR COUNTRY.

    5. Joe Klein says “Obama’s comments are not only maddeningly vague but also disingenuous: the campaign is entirely about Obama and his ability to inspire” I can’t eat inspiration and neither can anyone else. NOW THINK WHAT MIGHT HAPPEN TO OUR COUNTRY.

    6. NBC has virtually endorsed the Obama campaign. Shades of 2000 and 2004. LOOK WHAT HAPPENED TO OUR COUNTRY.

    7. There is an old saying THE PEOPLE GET THE GOVERNMENT THEY DESERVE. LOOK WHAT HAS HAPPENED TO OUR COUNTRY.

    8. GROW UP AMERICA! Think with your heads and not with your hearts. Don’t vote for a person just because they make you feel good. Stop the all consuming desire for change and start focusing on the issues. Our economy is sinking fast and it needs an expert to fix it. JUST THINK WHAT MIGHT HAPPEN TO OUR COUNTRY YOU WILL SEE WHAT WONDERFUL THINGS WILL HAPPEN TO OUR COUNTRY.

    February 22, 2008 12:50 pm at 12:50 pm |
  11. Andy, New York, New York

    This was Hillary's race to lose six months ago, and for a no-name fresh faced senator from Illinois to be doing this to Hillary says Hillary is done. Stick a fork in her and serve her up for Thanksgiving to Harlem's hungry.

    February 22, 2008 12:50 pm at 12:50 pm |
  12. Vince Los Angeles, CA

    Judy, TX February 21st, 2008 6:55 pm ET

    As an avid Hillary supporter, I must admit that this in itself must be viewed as a victory for Obama, regardless of the end result. The fact that he has been able to close the gap so significantly is a major blow for Hillary.

    Judy....I have the utmost RESPECT for this post of yours! It is such a refreshing departure from the usual Hillary supported posts...I am speechless...THANK YOU! I completely agree with you and will admit that after yesterday's debate I have a newfound respect for Senator Clinton. Although I am a strong Obama supporter, I believe that Senator Clinton will be extremely valuable to the Democratic party and the newfound path that we will lead this country.

    February 22, 2008 12:50 pm at 12:50 pm |
  13. marge

    Sharon February 21st, 2008 7:32 pm ET

    I have to say it, I voted for John McCain in the primaries here in Florida and have been keeping up with Clinton and Obama just to see who he would be running against.
    The thing is, if we do end up having a democratic President I would rather it be Hillary because a least she is campaigning on issues and not trying to play a flute and gather votes the wrong way. She keeps it real and I can appreciate

    Thanks for sharing ((Sharon))), but who cares about what you appreciate???
    I would think all the Mccain supporters would use their energy trying to get better turn outs at the polls,to support him.
    100 MORE YEARS IN IRAQ?????? I personally can do without that!

    February 22, 2008 12:51 pm at 12:51 pm |
  14. David, Dallas Tx

    I am surprised that nobody has called attention to the fact that Clinton wants to criminalize the poorest Americans if they fail to support Big Business and buy insurance, regardless whether they can afford it or not. THAT is how she gets "100% coverage".

    Why should a person who can't afford a $25 deductible be forced to buy insurance? It's not for their benefit–it's for Big Money–Hillary's consitiuents!

    February 22, 2008 12:52 pm at 12:52 pm |
  15. matt

    I am a long time democrat. IF obama wins im voting McCain. He is clearly the better canidate. America will not unite under OBama. He is to in experienced, and does not have any plans!
    HILLARY 08

    if Hillary loses texas, I agree. .SHE WONT WIN!.... its sad that i might have to Vote Republican.
    Democrats need to WAKE UP

    February 22, 2008 12:52 pm at 12:52 pm |
  16. Lucy

    I agree with Nina we look like morons, chanting as if Obama is the second coming of Jesus. While CNN fosters this behavior, it appears we are more in touch with the outside then what is on the inside. There is another thing that people do not want to believe. Some MEN clearly do not want to see a woman in power. I have spoken to allot of people in CA and AZ who regret they voted for him. His arrogance rings louder then his so called call for change.

    February 22, 2008 12:54 pm at 12:54 pm |
  17. FROM TEXAS

    I was backing HRC, but after last night I am voting for Obama and I call on all Texans to do the same.

    Obama was very reserved, and answered questions and gave specifics on his plans. Calling someone out on plagirism, and then using words from her husbands 1992 speech, and words that Jon Edwards said on many occasions, and her decisions that went along with our current establisment is enough for me to see the truth behind her character.

    To me, changing strategies at this point signifies not that concern is on the issues, but on just getting the votes in any way possible. I have yet to hear that Obama may change his campaign strategy, and from last night I can see that is not needed since he connects and talks to the American people as equals.

    Texas for Obama!

    February 22, 2008 12:57 pm at 12:57 pm |
  18. Joe

    Joseph, your post makes no sense. How can you say that Hillary would do better than McCain in a national election when practically every statewide and national poll suggest otherwise?

    And your delegate math is fuzzy at best. "IF" we count Michigan (where Obama's name wasn't even on the ballot) and "IF" we count Florida (where none of the candidates campaigned; and it being a statistical fact that Obama sways voters in states where all candidates campaign) and "IF" we count the superdelegates and "IF" we used a winner-take-all system (which most people dislike), Hillary would be ahead. That's a lot of "IF"s, buddy.

    Furthermore, Obama has won more counties, he has won more states, he has was more pledged delegates, and he has won more total votes. How can you possibly believe that the country prefers Hillary??? Do you actually believe that your opinion is more valid than statistical evidence?

    February 22, 2008 12:57 pm at 12:57 pm |
  19. Boss Dawg

    For all you haters talking about jumping the fence if Obama wins the Domcrat nominee – See Ya. Get on your horse and ride -out. Because you'll are fake like Billary (Hillary & Bill) Clinton.

    February 22, 2008 12:57 pm at 12:57 pm |
  20. BMR

    It's easy to clamor for "experience", which is what a lot of Clintonites are doing now. However, let's take a look at the aggregate elective political experience for a number of well-known politicians, starting from their first state or national election win and ending with their eventual election to the Presidency. (Obvious exception: Obama and Clinton haven't been elected President yet.)

    Barack Obama – 12 years (Illinois state senator, 1996)
    Hillary Clinton – 8 years (US Senator, 2000)
    George W. Bush – 6 years (US Senator, 1994; US President, 2000)
    Bill Clinton – 16 years (Arkansas A.G., 1976; US President, 1992)
    Ronald Reagan – 14 years (CA Governor, 1966; US President, 1980)
    Jimmy Carter – 14 years (Georgia state senator, 1962; US President, 1976)
    John F. Kennedy – 14 years (US Representative, 1946; US President, 1960)

    So, if the cry against Obama is "inexperience", what do we make of the rest of the politicans listed above? Does experience make you a *better* President? If so, explain these two:

    Richard Nixon – 22 years (US Representative, 1946; US President, 1968)
    George H. W. Bush – 22 years (US Representative, 1966; US President, 1968)

    Please, can we stop with the "experience" argument now? Obviously, you don't have to have 20+ years in elective office to be President. And Hillary Clinton's "35 years of experience" clearly doesn't include much in the way of elective office – sorry, being First Lady of Arkansas and the US doesn't cut it.

    February 22, 2008 01:03 pm at 1:03 pm |
  21. Mike

    Obama is nothing but a parrot. He repeated everything Hillary answered in the debate in Austin. But when he was asked a question first, he just couldn't put a coherent thought together. The guy is a fake.

    February 22, 2008 01:53 pm at 1:53 pm |
  22. Joseph

    The democratic party scares me. Through them we continue to move towards complete socialism.

    February 22, 2008 02:29 pm at 2:29 pm |
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