February 28th, 2008
05:09 PM ET
10 years ago

Polls show Clinton, Obama in tight race in Texas

Sens. Obama and Clinton greet the audience before last weeks CNN debate.

Sens. Obama and Clinton greet the audience before last weeks CNN debate.

(CNN) – Democratic presidential candidates Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama are in a tight race in Texas, according to a “poll of polls” calculated by CNN on Thursday.

An average of three polls of likely Democratic voters has Sen. Barack Obama at 48 percent and Sen. Hillary Clinton at 45 percent. Seven percent were unsure.

The average also shows Sen. John McCain, the presumptive GOP nominee, holding a nearly 20-point lead over former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee among likely Republican primary voters. McCain has 53 percent to Huckabee's 34 percent, and Texas Rep. Ron Paul has 9 percent. Four percent were unsure.

Texas voters will be joined by those in Ohio, Vermont and Rhode Island when they head to the polls on March 4. With Obama surging into the lead on 11 straight wins since Super Tuesday, Clinton's supporters admit that she must do well in Texas and Ohio if she is continue to battle for the nomination.

CNN's Texas poll of polls results were calculated using three surveys: a Belo/Public Strategies poll conducted February 24-25, an American Research Group poll conducted February 23-24, and a CNN/Opinion Research Corporation poll conducted February 22-24.

Earlier, an American Research Group poll of likely Democratic voters on February 13-14 showed Obama ahead, 48-42, with 10 percent undecided. A CNN poll taken between February 14-17 showed Clinton ahead, 50-48.

–CNN.com Senior Political Producer Scott Anderson

soundoff (703 Responses)
  1. vl

    Why are we still quoting polls? Like the weather forecaster, they're often wrong.

    February 28, 2008 01:22 pm at 1:22 pm |
  2. mjc

    enough with these polls!!!!!!!!
    especially the general election matchups... they don't reflect the electoral vote system we have.

    February 28, 2008 01:23 pm at 1:23 pm |
  3. Vig

    Clinton's journey has become a crucifixion. She has been betrayed by those she trusted in (John Lewis); lashed by the media, press, late night tv & talking heads, scorned, ridiculed and belitled by the public – in a word nailed to the cross and buried. But we all know the ending of this story – Texas & Ohio – it's in your hands

    February 28, 2008 01:23 pm at 1:23 pm |
  4. Amy in Iowa

    Surely by now we don't trust the polls, now do we? It all smells funny the way the media is hyping Texas.

    February 28, 2008 01:24 pm at 1:24 pm |
  5. James Smith

    Sen. Clinton is holding her own in Texas, despite the perceived momentum of Sen. Obama. I think she'll win, and wins in Texas and Ohio will keep her in the race. And for those supporters of Sen. Obama who say Sen. Clinton should drop out, I say that you shouldn't be afraid of a little competition. We're not.

    February 28, 2008 01:24 pm at 1:24 pm |
  6. Cali guy

    Well at least the people of Texas and Ohio will know Obummers full name before they do or don't vote for him. They have that knowledge going into the election. I can't vote for a man that allows his campaign to hide ihs full name becasue of fear that people might take it the wrong way. How are they supposed to take it after the fact should have been one of the question Obummer asked himself before he condoned the tactic,

    February 28, 2008 01:25 pm at 1:25 pm |
  7. She's a fighter!

    I wonder if this will get posted

    TEXAS – OHIO – and all of the remaining states –

    Senator Clinton can get the job done to help with jobs, housing, mortgages (has a plan – Senator Obama does not), overall economy, foreign affairs! Name it – she can take care of it.

    I am asking that you make a choice to have someone as President who CAN and WILL get the job done. Someone who does not support nuclear weapons, someone who takes care of her job in Washington (even while campaigning), someone who knows the HOW to get things done. Someone who will not knowingly disenfranchise millions of voters (Michigan & Florida), someone who will not leave anyone behind with healthcare, someone who after being around Washington KNOWS HOW TO GET THE JOB DONE. IT IS THIS EXPERIENCE THAT IS REQUIRED TO GET THINGS ACCOMPLISHED.

    No pie in the sky – no telepromters – nothing but ACTION!

    Senator Clinton will work for you, me and all the people of the United States. A vote for Senator Clinton is a vote for progress! It is a vote for significant improvements! It is a vote that will take the Democratic Party to the White House in November!!!!!!!!

    Go Texas, Go Ohio, GO GO GO Hillary Rodham Clinton for President!

    February 28, 2008 01:26 pm at 1:26 pm |
  8. Carla F. Mollica, Albuquerque, NM

    Who's winning the popular vote? You know, the votes that the American people cast?

    February 28, 2008 01:27 pm at 1:27 pm |
  9. V in Ca

    It looks like Obama's support is dropping a bit. People are finally starting to question him. Lots to be worried about, there.

    February 28, 2008 01:27 pm at 1:27 pm |
  10. LatinoNation

    By the Numbers: A new Latino Decisions poll has Hillary up by 41 points over Sen. Obama among registered Latino voters in Texas (62-21).
    go Hillary 🙂

    February 28, 2008 01:27 pm at 1:27 pm |
  11. SharonR

    and we should believe the polls why

    February 28, 2008 01:28 pm at 1:28 pm |
  12. ariel

    I've been to Texas.Everything there is oversized.I hope Texans will give Obama an oversized victory so the Democrats can prevail over John McCain In November.

    February 28, 2008 01:28 pm at 1:28 pm |
  13. Jacob, DC

    The race in Ohio isn't a walk in the park for Hillary either, at this point.

    I'm net that the Hillary camp changing their "Do or Die" attittude within the next day or two. All the winnings from this bet will, of course, be donated to Obama.

    February 28, 2008 01:28 pm at 1:28 pm |
  14. Tony, MD

    I will be so glad when Texas and Ohio, and Vermont, and Rhode Island finally vote. I want to get the primaries over so Americans can start thinking about more important things. We need to focus on the economy and the Iraq war. We need to hear the two nominees talk about issues that are important to us.

    My choice is Senator Obama, but I am open to hear what Senator McCain has to say.

    I wish Hillary well, but hope she doesn't win, she's not an honest person. I don't think she will serve the people, but want to be served. She is shrewd though, I listened to her say something about getting up at 3:00 in the morning to answer calls. What president wouldn't? That is part of the job, and all of the candidates understand they will have to take calls at odd hours. I'm tired of her game playing.

    America 08

    February 28, 2008 01:30 pm at 1:30 pm |
  15. Justine, Cincinnati

    I'm tired of the polls. I cannot wait till Tuesday! Then all will be settled and we can start campaigning against the next threat – McCain!

    Obama 08!

    February 28, 2008 01:30 pm at 1:30 pm |
  16. Texasgirl

    Let's go Hillary!!!!

    We are behind you 100%

    Clinton-Obama '08

    February 28, 2008 01:32 pm at 1:32 pm |
  17. Jim

    Since I've been watching the polls on other sites I can tell you that it depends on which 3 polls you choose to average. That can change things!

    Most of us reading CNN stories have also learned math at school!

    February 28, 2008 01:33 pm at 1:33 pm |
  18. SH

    Wake up people. Look at our economy, the value of the dollar and the loss of jobs. Gas, energy, food, education, and medical care are all going up as fast as the value of our dollar is going down. It is vital for us to look past all of the rhetoric and look at the plans of these candidates. Which candidate has brought forth the most workable plans that will help our economy? In my opinion, that is Senator Clinton. I feel she has more well-thought-out plans than the others. She certainly has tried to address more of the issues that we face than any other candidate. Recently, she has offered a plan to cut child poverty in half. Go read all of the plans from the candidates and quit depending on others to do your homework. This is our country, our economy and our lives that we are talking about. We must put the person who has the greatest potential to solve these problems in the White House. Experience does matter. Solid plans do matter. To be filled with positive thoughts, hope and inspirations are good things, but they do not make problems disappear.

    February 28, 2008 01:33 pm at 1:33 pm |
  19. Donna

    You go Hillary. Yes you can and will do it.
    Your strength, courage and determination is admirable.
    Just what is needed as a President.

    February 28, 2008 01:34 pm at 1:34 pm |
  20. Texas & Ohio for Obama

    Obama will Win Texas!!!!!

    Obama '08

    February 28, 2008 01:34 pm at 1:34 pm |
  21. Will

    This controversy came about when uber-conservative talk radio host Bill Cunningham used Obama's middle name at a McCain rally. When Cunningham was interviewed by John Roberts, he said he always uses a middle name. But he only Uses Obama's middle and Hillary's hyphenated name. He never uses McCain's or any other GOP members full name. Cunningham's action and tone was meant to be disrespectful.
    He also went on to say McCain, without middle name, was not a true conservative. He also claimed to have met McCain twice before. When he used the names of the two host, to reference where he met McCain before, he did not use there middle names.

    February 28, 2008 01:34 pm at 1:34 pm |
  22. Adam

    That seems to me like a large number of "Undecideds" for anybody to be making prediction on....

    Go Get'em Hillary!!!!!

    February 28, 2008 01:35 pm at 1:35 pm |
  23. fonsworth for OBAMA

    There have been a few, quite a few, that seemed tight but Senator Obama won them. I have faith in Texans. Most just want to pursue the American dream, just like the rest of us. And got fooled quite a few times just like the rest of us. This time most of us including the Texans, have had enough. We pay to keep the lights on, in the White House. And we want a say in who lives there.

    February 28, 2008 01:35 pm at 1:35 pm |
  24. Jenni

    This is very interesting. Again, the American public is showing they are not to be taken for granted. This is what democracy is all about. Every candidate in this race should expect the unexpected until the November, 2008 election is over. Also, please ENOUGH! with the primary debates. I think by now everyone should have an idea of their candidate. Procrastination does nothing but waste time.

    February 28, 2008 01:35 pm at 1:35 pm |
  25. Anonymous

    My prediction for march 4, 2008
    Texas Obama 56 to Clinton 43
    Ohoio Obama 48 to Clinton 41
    Then March 5, 2008 wil Be the end of Clinton Long Amabition for Power for self fullfilment.

    February 28, 2008 01:36 pm at 1:36 pm |
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