February 28th, 2008
05:09 PM ET
10 years ago

Polls show Clinton, Obama in tight race in Texas

Sens. Obama and Clinton greet the audience before last weeks CNN debate.

Sens. Obama and Clinton greet the audience before last weeks CNN debate.

(CNN) – Democratic presidential candidates Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama are in a tight race in Texas, according to a “poll of polls” calculated by CNN on Thursday.

An average of three polls of likely Democratic voters has Sen. Barack Obama at 48 percent and Sen. Hillary Clinton at 45 percent. Seven percent were unsure.

The average also shows Sen. John McCain, the presumptive GOP nominee, holding a nearly 20-point lead over former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee among likely Republican primary voters. McCain has 53 percent to Huckabee's 34 percent, and Texas Rep. Ron Paul has 9 percent. Four percent were unsure.

Texas voters will be joined by those in Ohio, Vermont and Rhode Island when they head to the polls on March 4. With Obama surging into the lead on 11 straight wins since Super Tuesday, Clinton's supporters admit that she must do well in Texas and Ohio if she is continue to battle for the nomination.

CNN's Texas poll of polls results were calculated using three surveys: a Belo/Public Strategies poll conducted February 24-25, an American Research Group poll conducted February 23-24, and a CNN/Opinion Research Corporation poll conducted February 22-24.

Earlier, an American Research Group poll of likely Democratic voters on February 13-14 showed Obama ahead, 48-42, with 10 percent undecided. A CNN poll taken between February 14-17 showed Clinton ahead, 50-48.

–CNN.com Senior Political Producer Scott Anderson

soundoff (703 Responses)
  1. Michael Dunn

    Is it March 4th yet????

    February 28, 2008 03:36 pm at 3:36 pm |
  2. Adam

    Honestly, its time to end this. We need to reorganize and get ready for the Republicans. This continued debate is somewhat hurting the party. I am hoping this will be over next week at this time. We cannot affort to have this linger too much longer.

    February 28, 2008 03:36 pm at 3:36 pm |
  3. sowhat

    caliguy...it appears you are very shallow to think a person is represented by their name. Shame on you. Who cares what a person's name is......Will that really matter in the end. Geez

    February 28, 2008 03:36 pm at 3:36 pm |
  4. tony

    how many are voter CNN reporter? How many are voter Obama campaign? How many are voter 3D person? Wake up Texas and Ohio. Don't let media affect your vote.

    February 28, 2008 03:36 pm at 3:36 pm |
  5. Donna B.

    All I can say is GO HILLARY!!!!!!! If Hillary does not make the nomination, I will vote for McGain and I doubt I will be the only one...

    February 28, 2008 03:37 pm at 3:37 pm |
  6. metroplex voloto

    what i find surprising is that everybody knows she will not succeed in front of Mc Cain in november. she is conscious of this issue herself i'm sure, but is doing nothing about it. it means she is still convinced she can do it, and during the same moment, electors are convinced she can't. for the interest of the dem party in itself, why continue such a self-destructing process? people, be kind. tell her ...

    February 28, 2008 03:37 pm at 3:37 pm |
  7. Reggy

    The polls will always be around, but only the votes count. Hay V in Ca. If you think Obamas support is dropping you definately need to pay attention to the support that Hillary's is losing. Looks like Texas is not a sure win for her now.

    Go Obama!

    February 28, 2008 03:37 pm at 3:37 pm |

    V in CA, Obama losing support? You are just as delusional as the Clinton!

    February 28, 2008 03:37 pm at 3:37 pm |
  9. Andy, New York, New York

    1. A statistical deadheat in Texas,
    2. A 7-point difference favoring Hillary in Ohio,
    3. A 7-point difference favoring Hillary in Rhode Island, and
    4. A statistical deadheat in Vermont mean this:-

    On March 4th, Hillary is not going to overtake Obama's 150-delegate lead. Actually, she will need to beat him by 15 points in each of those states.

    Therefore, the logical question is: If Obama is still ahead after March 4th, does Hillary pack it in or risk watching the party split heading into spring and summer?

    February 28, 2008 03:38 pm at 3:38 pm |
  10. mjc

    cnn, whats the margin of error on your fantastic polls? any lead under 5 points has to be actually a tie. polls schmolls!

    February 28, 2008 03:38 pm at 3:38 pm |
  11. many

    Finally we see Obama = Empty words, Empty Suit, Speech Maker.

    Hillary 08 !!!


    February 28, 2008 03:38 pm at 3:38 pm |
  12. BMR

    Claims of betrayal by Clinton backers on the part of John Lewis are just plain idiotic. Isn't the whole Clinton argument that superdelegates should be allowed to vote as they see fit?

    Obviously, political considerations are important for any superdelegate. John Lewis' congressional district voted *overwhelmingly* for Obama in the Georgia primary. In Lewis' position, you'd switch too.

    Bottom line: The only change that's been Xeroxed is Clinton, for the last six weeks, getting her derriere handed to her on a "Change We Can Believe In" poster.

    February 28, 2008 03:39 pm at 3:39 pm |
  13. Sue

    ...The Obama Drama bubble will burst....hopefully it will happen before it's too late. Great speaker but he is a little confused and impulsive....especially with regard to foreign policy. It's a mine field out there...i don't want him to be the one trying to wander us thru it. And at home, he thinks he can make all the republicans go away! What will they make of him? How do you spell MINCEMEAT!

    February 28, 2008 03:39 pm at 3:39 pm |
  14. eddie n. powellnye

    Hillary, God don't like ulgy. Rejection from your mouth, like your tax returns, seems to be questions of trust. If anyone seeking public office
    nowdays can't be open about their income, one must wonder how open they are going to be about the people's money. We have had enough of the Bushs behind close doors "FIGHTER'S" politics. That is why Billary's unversial health care plan fell like a lead ballon the last time. "ENOUGH OF THE ALREADY PREPARED ON DAY ONE"!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    February 28, 2008 03:39 pm at 3:39 pm |
  15. Sara

    SH, plan to cut child poverty in half? Can you say more taxes for you and me?

    February 28, 2008 03:39 pm at 3:39 pm |
  16. Barb

    I really do not know who I will choose but it seems to me like Hilary is in a panic mode lately. Obama just seem so cool and collected really do not understand if he is that confident or just composed. Basically what it will come down to for me is experience and what bills have been voted for or against.

    February 28, 2008 03:39 pm at 3:39 pm |
  17. Iggy

    I do not know why this country spends time talking and situations that don't even count. The majority of the posting these comments are not even in Texas/Ohio. Let the states involved in these primaries decide on 4/4/2008 when the polls close and the results are in. Talk is cheap, let the real champion be revealed. Good luck to both candidates.

    February 28, 2008 03:39 pm at 3:39 pm |
  18. Confused

    CNN, please post this for others to consider:

    First, you quote an average of 3 polls without giving individual numbers. Then, you site individual polls taken on previous dates. Why not another average of 3?

    The inconsistency in your reporting leaves people to wonder what your true intentions might be. You clearly would like us to compare an average of 3 to random individual pollings that YOU selected seemingly at random.

    I see it is working, as some were duped into thinking Obama's momentum is slowing. Look again people, in any one of the 3 averaged polls CNN failed to cite, his numbers could be way up.

    Thanks CNN for reporting the truth in its entirety, as if these polls matter anyways.

    February 28, 2008 03:40 pm at 3:40 pm |
  19. JH Texas

    Whoever is reporting these poll numbers are either totally stupid or think the american public really swallows this "hook line and sinker"....what a joke. Look at the dates and who is reporting what.

    February 28, 2008 03:42 pm at 3:42 pm |
  20. TexasVet


    You could be right, but she'd have to make it to the White House in order to implement those plans. I just don't believe she would win THE BIG ONE against John McCain. Independents don't like her, they prefer him over her. But when faced with the choice between McCain and Obama they choose Obama. I want the Republicans OUT and I believe Obama can make that happen...NOT HRC.

    February 28, 2008 03:42 pm at 3:42 pm |
  21. Faizan Ali

    So, what's new?

    February 28, 2008 03:42 pm at 3:42 pm |
  22. Sunny

    Why would someone vote for Clinton?
    She is nobody without her husband. Has no experience at all....
    As an elected public official she has barely 4 years in US senate.... thats it...
    Obama has 8... Just because she was first lady does not make her qualified... far from it... Would a wife let her husband cook dinner at thanksgiving just becuase he has lived with her for years and watched her do it? give me a break....!
    She has accomplished NOTHING and screwed up when she voted for Iraq war...
    So tell me again, why should I vote for Hillary?

    February 28, 2008 03:42 pm at 3:42 pm |
  23. many

    .....Hillary –Solid plans, intensive experience !!

    .....Obama - Empty Words, No Substance !!

    ....Vote for Hillary 08 !!!!.

    February 28, 2008 03:43 pm at 3:43 pm |
  24. Eric

    I must agree polls, pundits, and prognosticators can not truly measure the Obama – mojo. There has never been in the history of political campaigns a coalition of force like what Barack brings. He has inspired ALL to take a stake in the political process. I believe both he & Hillary have similarities in policy and all the tangibles, but Barack has that (thing) you can't quantify! He brings a different perspective that both Hillary and McCain lack.

    February 28, 2008 03:43 pm at 3:43 pm |
  25. MBG

    This is interesting, but I would like to hear more about the polls in Ohio. Texas's polls have been talked about often in this blog. I'm more interested in how Barrack is doing in the rest of the states on March 4th. Thank you.

    February 28, 2008 03:43 pm at 3:43 pm |
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