February 28th, 2008
05:09 PM ET
10 years ago

Polls show Clinton, Obama in tight race in Texas

Sens. Obama and Clinton greet the audience before last weeks CNN debate.

Sens. Obama and Clinton greet the audience before last weeks CNN debate.

(CNN) – Democratic presidential candidates Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama are in a tight race in Texas, according to a “poll of polls” calculated by CNN on Thursday.

An average of three polls of likely Democratic voters has Sen. Barack Obama at 48 percent and Sen. Hillary Clinton at 45 percent. Seven percent were unsure.

The average also shows Sen. John McCain, the presumptive GOP nominee, holding a nearly 20-point lead over former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee among likely Republican primary voters. McCain has 53 percent to Huckabee's 34 percent, and Texas Rep. Ron Paul has 9 percent. Four percent were unsure.

Texas voters will be joined by those in Ohio, Vermont and Rhode Island when they head to the polls on March 4. With Obama surging into the lead on 11 straight wins since Super Tuesday, Clinton's supporters admit that she must do well in Texas and Ohio if she is continue to battle for the nomination.

CNN's Texas poll of polls results were calculated using three surveys: a Belo/Public Strategies poll conducted February 24-25, an American Research Group poll conducted February 23-24, and a CNN/Opinion Research Corporation poll conducted February 22-24.

Earlier, an American Research Group poll of likely Democratic voters on February 13-14 showed Obama ahead, 48-42, with 10 percent undecided. A CNN poll taken between February 14-17 showed Clinton ahead, 50-48.

–CNN.com Senior Political Producer Scott Anderson

soundoff (703 Responses)
  1. Florida voter

    Open your eyes America, with the current U.S and world situation, we need someone with experience in office. We cant experiment with Obama, it's to risky. VOTE HILLARY 08!

    February 28, 2008 03:52 pm at 3:52 pm |
  2. Glenn

    I personally love how the top ticker story was the amount of money Sen. Clinton raised, with this poll story below it. NOW, the poll is the top story and the money story have reversed. How nice is that?? Yes, I am a Clinton supporter, but come on now...I'd be just as upset if the same happened to Sen. Obama.

    February 28, 2008 03:52 pm at 3:52 pm |
  3. Stephanie

    UNIVERSAL HEALTHCARE!!! if it's not mandated, it won't happen!!

    HILLARY '08

    February 28, 2008 03:52 pm at 3:52 pm |
  4. Helen

    Remember the poll before NH primary? Go Hillary. You are the qualified commander in chief. The Obama bubble is going to burst.

    February 28, 2008 03:52 pm at 3:52 pm |
  5. Kimberly in Texas

    The only poll that will matter is the one given the evening of March 4th!

    Obama for President!

    February 28, 2008 03:52 pm at 3:52 pm |
  6. Atty. K.

    People calm down. Let's see what the great people of Texas have to say. I expect turnout to be exceptionally high across the board. If Obama wins TX or Ohio, it's over.

    Look out for more fear-mongering from the Clinton and McCain camps as Obama edges closer to the nomination. All of the demons are lining up against him, but God has the ultimate say.

    Go Barack Go, all the way to the White House.

    February 28, 2008 03:53 pm at 3:53 pm |

    GO OBAMA GO!!!!!!


    February 28, 2008 03:53 pm at 3:53 pm |
  8. Murry

    Looks like Hillary will be losing Texas. It's about time we move on to the general election.

    Obama 08

    February 28, 2008 03:53 pm at 3:53 pm |
  9. Paul

    Hillary you will be our President!

    Hillary 08 !!

    Claro que podemos!
    We can make it happen together!

    February 28, 2008 03:54 pm at 3:54 pm |
  10. JimS.

    Who trusts polls or the press anymore?

    Up till now, it's been a total Obama love-fest, with the press annointing him the defacto nominee and MAKING the story instead of just reporting it.

    But Obama supporters may soon see, the press may turn on Obama and feed on him too, the way they've been decimating Hillary up till now. As soon as they decide they need a new, "fresh" story, the next story may be "Obama's lead slips as HIllary regains support, etc".

    The point is, reporters don't even make any attempt to be objective anymore. It's disgusting. Shame on CNN, and shame on brainwashed voters for not realizing when they're being fed "info-tainment" instead of real issues.

    February 28, 2008 03:54 pm at 3:54 pm |
  11. Kathy

    I believe I heard 400.000-600,000 Texans have already voted early. This bodes very well for the Senator from Illinois, Texas wants CHANGE!!

    February 28, 2008 03:55 pm at 3:55 pm |
  12. rich

    Clinton is finished. Except for a few diehards, America does not like her. Plain and simple. America does like Obama, much to the chagrin of clintonites and right wingers.

    February 28, 2008 03:55 pm at 3:55 pm |
  13. david

    I'm sure these polls included the thousands of mexicans with no computers that are Hillary supporters along the borders...NOT.

    I'm more worried about the caucuses and how 1/3 of texas votes come from that. Hillary should win the popular vote.

    HILLARY GO GO GO !!!!!!!!!!


    February 28, 2008 03:56 pm at 3:56 pm |





    February 28, 2008 03:58 pm at 3:58 pm |
  15. EB Barbados

    If Hillary was winning in this polls would you still be saying do not believe these polls?

    When Hillary was ahead of Obama in the polls no one said "don't believe the polls." Now that has changed.

    It seems to me as if the Hillary camp and supporters are scared and it is showing.

    One America One People 08

    February 28, 2008 03:58 pm at 3:58 pm |
  16. Vote2008

    It's amazing. When the polls show Obama in the lead, all of the sudden the Clinton supporters are convinced that the polls must be wrong. Well, they may be right, Obama may have an even bigger lead than the polls indicate.

    February 28, 2008 03:59 pm at 3:59 pm |
  17. BH

    I was just on a different site and it stated that Hillary was ahead in Texas. What gives?

    February 28, 2008 03:59 pm at 3:59 pm |
  18. JD

    What about the InsiderAdvantage poll conducted 02/27 showing Clinton in the lead 47% to 43% in TX? Oh wait, it's because Clinton's in the lead!! I think CNN will be in for a shock on March 4. Might as well start warming up to her now.

    Since other Clinton supporters have had success with this:

    **I bet CNN will not post this comment because it comes from a HILLARY CLINTON supporter**

    HRC 08!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    February 28, 2008 03:59 pm at 3:59 pm |
  19. Jacob


    If experience mattered you'd be supporting Rove and Cheney over Hillary any day. The reason you are not is because vision and ideals trump the "I was married to the President...that kind of counts as experience....right?" card. Besides, since when was it considered a bad thing to think that this country could make something of itself? The pessimism within the Hillary and McCain campaigns is telling me that this country is willing to just roll over moan “but it’s too haaaaaard!” if either of these two get elected.

    Besides, experience in starting wars, supporting the Patriot Act, and bring NAFTA into this world is not exactly the 'well thought out plans' this country needs at the moment.

    February 28, 2008 04:00 pm at 4:00 pm |
  20. Disgusted

    Polls are only as good as the questions asked and where they are asked. South Texas is as different from North Texas as night and day. So the polls don't matter. What does matter is that the Democrats pick the best candidate to represent them. Right now it looks like a popularity contest and because Hillary is not popular she is loosing to the American Idol candidate. She is the BEST candidate,so people of Texas and Ohio, don't disappoint us. Remember Hillary is running not her Husband.

    February 28, 2008 04:00 pm at 4:00 pm |
  21. Eli

    Lights shining on TEXAS since Obama is speaking today. Hopefully he brought enough kool-aid.

    February 28, 2008 04:00 pm at 4:00 pm |
  22. Bebble

    Polls are only as good as the small minority of people they poll. They don't ask ALL of us.

    Actual votes is what counts; not polls (exit included) or predictions. The last debate Obama looked unprepared the the "ultimate job".

    The questions were asked to Hillary first and the open question on Russia I waited to see who would respond. Obama sat there and Hillary jumped in. Obama's answer was to say Sen. Clinton is right. I was hoping he would answer, but I guess he didn't want to come across as ignorant in foreign affairs as he is.

    Then on Iraq. He would withdraw, but if necessary re-enter.

    Polls are as slanted as the media.

    February 28, 2008 04:00 pm at 4:00 pm |
  23. Jim Straughan

    I wonder if Clinton is A: more likely to be tested by Muslim extremists,I hear they do not respect women ?
    B: if so is Clinton likely or forced to an extreme response to prove herself ?

    February 28, 2008 04:00 pm at 4:00 pm |
  24. connie

    we are working parents of 3 from ohio ,that hope people really do the right thing by voting for hillary. I know she is a fighter,she will fight for us Dont know about you but Im tired of working so many hours just too keep my home. Our kids need us to.OHIO ,TEXAS,RHODE ISLAND,VERMONT LETS COME TOGETHER AND PUT HILLARY IN THE WHITE HOUSE

    February 28, 2008 04:01 pm at 4:01 pm |
  25. FYI to TonyMD

    To TonyMD, There are still states that need to vote in the primary after TX, OH, VT, and RI. so this primary is not over yet....as to your remark re: anwering calls @ 3:00 a.m., I believe her point and her words were more to the effect of WHO DO YOU WANT TO BE ANSWERING THOSE CALLS...Personally, I vote for someone who will use their given name first, middle and last, and someone who can think on their feet, and not need a teleprompter or have someone else to answer a question first. Also, FYI many women and mothers are experts at handling emergencies in the middle of the night....it is in our DNA!

    Go Hillary '08

    February 28, 2008 04:01 pm at 4:01 pm |
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