February 28th, 2008
05:09 PM ET
10 years ago

Polls show Clinton, Obama in tight race in Texas

Sens. Obama and Clinton greet the audience before last weeks CNN debate.

Sens. Obama and Clinton greet the audience before last weeks CNN debate.

(CNN) – Democratic presidential candidates Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama are in a tight race in Texas, according to a “poll of polls” calculated by CNN on Thursday.

An average of three polls of likely Democratic voters has Sen. Barack Obama at 48 percent and Sen. Hillary Clinton at 45 percent. Seven percent were unsure.

The average also shows Sen. John McCain, the presumptive GOP nominee, holding a nearly 20-point lead over former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee among likely Republican primary voters. McCain has 53 percent to Huckabee's 34 percent, and Texas Rep. Ron Paul has 9 percent. Four percent were unsure.

Texas voters will be joined by those in Ohio, Vermont and Rhode Island when they head to the polls on March 4. With Obama surging into the lead on 11 straight wins since Super Tuesday, Clinton's supporters admit that she must do well in Texas and Ohio if she is continue to battle for the nomination.

CNN's Texas poll of polls results were calculated using three surveys: a Belo/Public Strategies poll conducted February 24-25, an American Research Group poll conducted February 23-24, and a CNN/Opinion Research Corporation poll conducted February 22-24.

Earlier, an American Research Group poll of likely Democratic voters on February 13-14 showed Obama ahead, 48-42, with 10 percent undecided. A CNN poll taken between February 14-17 showed Clinton ahead, 50-48.

–CNN.com Senior Political Producer Scott Anderson

soundoff (703 Responses)
  1. Mick

    Ron Paul has 9 percent.

    Jus saying.

    February 28, 2008 04:01 pm at 4:01 pm |
  2. prakash chand for HILLARY

    What a joke ,false promise for CHANGE a man withiut experience ,does not even know if there is AL QAEDA in Iraq.

    Did anyone asked Obama what Changes he will bring?

    CNN polled in Ca that Obama is tied with Clinton,she won by 10 points.

    Who does your poll cnn?

    Go Hillary

    February 28, 2008 04:01 pm at 4:01 pm |
  3. sam

    It is looking more and more like an Obama nation.

    February 28, 2008 04:02 pm at 4:02 pm |
  4. debbi

    Go Hillary! HILLARY!

    February 28, 2008 04:02 pm at 4:02 pm |
  5. texasforhillary

    it ain't over till the fat lady sings!!

    come on women YES you can stand behind hillary!! we are not so emancipated yet that we can not vote for a woman are we? Do not listen to the media and make your own decision.

    she is qualified and can do the job !

    February 28, 2008 04:03 pm at 4:03 pm |
  6. Jim, Green Bay

    I might be cynical, but I don't believe there's any way that either Clinton or Obama will have the other as their veep. If Obama wins the nomination, he won't have Hillary because of the nasty way she's conducted her campaign. If Clinton wins the nomination, she won't have Obama because he won't want to be third in line behind her and Bill, so he won't take it.

    February 28, 2008 04:03 pm at 4:03 pm |
  7. Matt

    Hillary's leaking air in Texas faster than Rush Limbaugh after a cheese and bean burrito.

    She's going down in Texas, and this race will be history next Wednesday.

    February 28, 2008 04:04 pm at 4:04 pm |
  8. Howard Hewlett Des Moines IA

    Hey Vig, that is nothing short of horrible that you compare the plight of Jesus to that of Hillary Clinton. What is up with that?!?

    February 28, 2008 04:05 pm at 4:05 pm |
  9. Ivory Tower

    My, My , Is this the same CNN/ONN. Wow you( Obama News Network) has actually carried positive blog on Hilary, my Did you forget that she is a WOMAN?

    Go Hilary!


    February 28, 2008 04:05 pm at 4:05 pm |
  10. Nick the Greek

    Dear CNN,

    Please stop publishing the results of the "poll of polls." By averaging polls with different sampling methods, sample sizes, margin of errors and confidence intervals, you are destroying any predictive nature of the poll. They are worthless.

    That's said: Go Barack!

    February 28, 2008 04:05 pm at 4:05 pm |
  11. Annamica, OH

    Hillary will blow them away with her comeback on March 4th. A clean sweep would be so awesome, but hey 3 out 4 isn't so bad!

    Yes we Will ,Hill!!!!!

    February 28, 2008 04:05 pm at 4:05 pm |
  12. Mashawnda Dowell

    Obama will win all.

    February 28, 2008 04:05 pm at 4:05 pm |
  13. akaDoug

    I'm doubtful that CNN will post this...since they seem to be pro-Hillary these days (like they were for Jan 2007-February 6, 2008)!

    The key words in this release is "likely Democratic voters," Obama crushes Clinton when Independants and Republicians join the mix! The trends look like Wisconsin did, Hillary up by 10 with 2 weeks to go, Hillary up by a couple with a week to go, tied in the last few days, and finally last polls had Obama up by a couple...then bam election day Obama up by 17! He obviously closes stronger! The more people get to know him (not just his funny name) they usually like him...which is why he has been winning the last minute deciders.

    And sorry to break it to you but the Latino vote gap has been consistantly a 15-20 percent gap in Hillary's favor not 41...look at the poll demographic breakdowns and you'll see. Obama won't win if the gap is 41 or higher.

    Predictions in Texas; Obama 55 – Clinton 44
    and Ohio Obama 50 – Clinton 49

    February 28, 2008 04:05 pm at 4:05 pm |
  14. Mick

    Attention TX Repubs!! So McCain has the the nomination locked. But it's not over to let him know that many of us do NOT agree with him!! Especially in Texas!! VOTE RON PAUL. SEND A MESSAGE!!

    February 28, 2008 04:06 pm at 4:06 pm |
  15. gloria

    Billary is done. They have lied from pillow to post, about everything. I really wonder about people who join billary, in saying hope doesn't matter. We have the american dream should we discard that. Martin Luther King, Jr. said, I have a dream. Should we discard that? If you support that kind of rhetoric, it seems like your hopes and dreams have been stamped out. As an Obama supporter, I am so exhausted by the billary supporters, saying that we are just fooling ourselves. You are voting for billary, that fine with us. After 11 straight victories, you must realize there are more of us.

    OBAMA '08

    February 28, 2008 04:06 pm at 4:06 pm |
  16. Steve

    We will see. I think it is the press trying to add fuel to the fire. Hope you aren't disapointed next week. Don't mess with Texas!

    February 28, 2008 04:06 pm at 4:06 pm |
  17. Robert

    I think Obama will continue with his momemtum and I like the idea of looking at these candidates based on issues. The racist attack on his supposed faith is based on lies. Obama has chosen to be a Christian and has been with a specific Christian church for twenty years but as related by CNN, he has the most liberal voting record in the senate which is demonstrated by having denounced the Supreme Court's upholding of the partial-birth abortion ban. Doesn't anyone have a problem with that? His faith values doen't match his issue stance. To me, that is a problem. Look at the issues. Where does this man stand. I like him but he doesn't stand for what I believe in.

    February 28, 2008 04:07 pm at 4:07 pm |
  18. Howard Hewlett Des Moines IA

    V in CA, you are an idiot! Obama was down by 20 points in Texas and is now either tied or in the lead. That is not a sign of weakness, it is a sign that he is getting stronger. It is times like this that I get sick that people like you have a vote that counts as much as mine does!

    February 28, 2008 04:07 pm at 4:07 pm |
  19. donnajp

    Hillary Clinton is going to win Texas and Ohio even though the media is doing Barak Obama's PR for free. We who support Hillary know well that the American people will know who is the better qualified person for the job. Who would you want to represent you to the rest of the world – one that knows what she is talking about or one who needs to use a teleprompter to deliver his message. Hillary keep on keeping on until its over. We love you.

    February 28, 2008 04:08 pm at 4:08 pm |
  20. Goodheart

    Polls had Hillary and Obama virtually tied in California, and Hillary won by over 10%. I can't believe CNN or anyone else is even talking about polls. You would think the media would learn its lesson from past blunders.

    February 28, 2008 04:09 pm at 4:09 pm |
  21. Skippy

    I want to get the primaries over so Americans can start thinking about more important things. Like whether Brittney is drinking again and how Lindsey Lohan is doing in rehab. I hear rumors that Pam Andersen may be getting a divorce. Enough with the primaries... let's get on with the real news.

    February 28, 2008 04:09 pm at 4:09 pm |
  22. Jack

    Since when did experience become a dirty word?

    How can you effect change without experience?

    I like Barack Obama a lot, but he isn't exactly describing how he will bring people together, especially bringing Republicans to the Democrats' side on *serious* issues.

    Until he explains *how* he'll do it, it just seems like "all talk" to me.

    February 28, 2008 04:09 pm at 4:09 pm |
  23. Sly Domber

    it's been a great race. the press has tried to keep hillary in the race. No candidate would've stayed after 11-0. He has beating her on delegate count every night, except for NH where they took 9 delegates each. He has won 26 of 37 states. He's ahead by a million popular votes. He is outpacing her in fundraising and no turmoil in his campaign. Come on, Hillary supporters...let's be honest, Obama has done it. Time to come together as DEMS and put a winning ticket for the General election.

    February 28, 2008 04:09 pm at 4:09 pm |
  24. gill

    and where is the line (+- percentage error) that usually shows up when Clinton is ahead in polls

    February 28, 2008 04:10 pm at 4:10 pm |
  25. Houston, TX Resident

    For the past week, every other commercial has been about the elections, with Obama airing more than Hillary. Almost to the point where he is forcing for your vote. I did my research and long ago made my mind clear on my vote and no amount of publicity will change it. This is a presidential election and not American Idol. And yes, we do every thing big in Texas and we are going to vote BIG for Hillary Clinton!

    February 28, 2008 04:10 pm at 4:10 pm |
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