February 28th, 2008
05:09 PM ET
10 years ago

Polls show Clinton, Obama in tight race in Texas

Sens. Obama and Clinton greet the audience before last weeks CNN debate.

Sens. Obama and Clinton greet the audience before last weeks CNN debate.

(CNN) – Democratic presidential candidates Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama are in a tight race in Texas, according to a “poll of polls” calculated by CNN on Thursday.

An average of three polls of likely Democratic voters has Sen. Barack Obama at 48 percent and Sen. Hillary Clinton at 45 percent. Seven percent were unsure.

The average also shows Sen. John McCain, the presumptive GOP nominee, holding a nearly 20-point lead over former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee among likely Republican primary voters. McCain has 53 percent to Huckabee's 34 percent, and Texas Rep. Ron Paul has 9 percent. Four percent were unsure.

Texas voters will be joined by those in Ohio, Vermont and Rhode Island when they head to the polls on March 4. With Obama surging into the lead on 11 straight wins since Super Tuesday, Clinton's supporters admit that she must do well in Texas and Ohio if she is continue to battle for the nomination.

CNN's Texas poll of polls results were calculated using three surveys: a Belo/Public Strategies poll conducted February 24-25, an American Research Group poll conducted February 23-24, and a CNN/Opinion Research Corporation poll conducted February 22-24.

Earlier, an American Research Group poll of likely Democratic voters on February 13-14 showed Obama ahead, 48-42, with 10 percent undecided. A CNN poll taken between February 14-17 showed Clinton ahead, 50-48.

–CNN.com Senior Political Producer Scott Anderson

soundoff (703 Responses)
  1. Mille, NYC

    Experience and judgement matters and HRC has shown poor judgement on issues affecting the long-term growth of our country. NAFTA, IRAQ and the judgement she used to try to create a health care plan in 1992. Now, Obama has great judgement and enough experience to run the country. Look at how well he has run his campaign. Far superior to HRC. Plus, Obama will surround himself in the White House with the top democratic leaders. Dodd, Kerry, Kennedy all have much more experience than HRC and for some reason support Obama. Curious... Maybe we plain folk don't know what it is that has driven top democrats to support Obama and then maybe we do. She is divisive, arrogant, hostile at times and we need a calm, cool and collect leader. GO OBAMA!

    February 28, 2008 04:11 pm at 4:11 pm |
  2. BL-NYC

    Senator Clinton is a perfect example of the strength that is needed to Govern our land!!!
    This woman has taken a serious beating due to the fact that the press hates her... They hate her because she is a total threat to the Republican party, she will defeat them...
    Mr. Obama has never done a thing for his state, never done a thing for our country, never owned a business and has served two years in public office...
    Think People!!!!

    February 28, 2008 04:11 pm at 4:11 pm |
  3. Chuck

    Good! I look forward to having an honest person in the White House again!

    February 28, 2008 04:11 pm at 4:11 pm |

    I have not slept well ever since Bush (somehow) got to be Presdent and it looks like I will still not get much sleep if Obama gets in. Bush really messed things up and now Obama wants to finish the job.

    Hillary would be like a breath of fresh air – GO HILLARY

    February 28, 2008 04:12 pm at 4:12 pm |
  5. Willie

    This is sooooooooo stupid!!! When Clinton had the edge in Texas, why didn't CNN just say that "Clinton has the edge in Texas"? Now CNN is trying to push Obamas ratings up. I am getting so tired of this. I HOPE that he does not win the nomination.

    February 28, 2008 04:12 pm at 4:12 pm |
  6. Nate in Mpls

    The math doesn't add up for a Clinton nomination. In order for Hils to get close to even with Barack [WMDs in his garage no doubt] she would have to win on March 4 60%/40% and he would STILL be ahead. And that certainly hasn't been the trend. By next Tues, Obama could potentially be ahead by 200 or more delegates, essentially doubling his current 102 point lead.


    Obama on Mar. 4: 1649 delegates
    Hils on Mar. 4: 1431 delegates

    Change you can stomach.

    February 28, 2008 04:12 pm at 4:12 pm |
  7. JpJ

    "Senator Clinton can get the job done to help with jobs, housing, mortgages (has a plan – Senator Obama does not), overall economy, foreign affairs! Name it – she can take care of it."

    Did you forsee this by looking into your crystal ball?

    February 28, 2008 04:12 pm at 4:12 pm |
  8. Sean

    Three weeks ago, the polls were calling for a major Clinton win in Texas and Ohio. Now, Obama is edging Clinton in Texas, and I'm sure Ohio will be close as well. How can anyone say that Obama is losing support? Clinton lost the nomination as much as Obama won it. She made some horrible campaign choices and she suffered because of it. No one gave Obama a chance, and here he sits with a substantial lead in delegates going into the last couple of races. The people have spoken. 11 contests in a row! Superdelegates making the jump. It's clear that at least some people realize what's best. Now if the rest of the Clinton followers can just accept reality instead of blaming everyone BUT Clinton, we can move on and beat McCain!

    February 28, 2008 04:13 pm at 4:13 pm |
  9. Todd in AZ

    Who's fault is it that

    1 – Hillary was NOT ready on day 1 of her campaign
    2 – Hillary did NOT have a plan for action after super Tuesday
    3 – Hillary could NOT keep her staff in line
    4 – Cold NOT keep her husband in line
    5 – Could not manage her budget
    6 – Did NOT campaign in smaller states.

    It's not the CNN'S fault she's losing, it's not "these racist superdelegates" or the "evil Obamabot's. it's Hillary's management skills that's doing her in. READY ON DAY ONE!!!!

    February 28, 2008 04:13 pm at 4:13 pm |
  10. Obama'sBabyMAMA

    Obama 2008!

    February 28, 2008 04:13 pm at 4:13 pm |
  11. Gina, Los Angeles

    Of note – this is record turnout in voting – yes. But, not only because of Barack Obama . . . because of Hillary Clinton as well. I've never been so involved with politics before. Now I find myself checking CNN all day long to get the latest updates. Go Hillary!!!!

    February 28, 2008 04:13 pm at 4:13 pm |
  12. James

    It is not statistically valid to combine polls. Each poll has its own methodology and weighting. Combining them is an exercise in violating statistical theory.

    But it's fun, I know.

    February 28, 2008 04:13 pm at 4:13 pm |
  13. someone

    First off let's try and find the last credible thing to come out of Texas, they have produced idiot presidents, oitchers that take steroids and tainted beef. So until I see the full results on tuesday I personally will not trust any poll that is coming out of Texas. Also, why are all the Latino's supporting Hillary Clinton? Did she do something for them? Please someone inform me of this, thanks.

    February 28, 2008 04:14 pm at 4:14 pm |
  14. Beverly

    Hillary will win overall in the upcoming race. Go vote for Hillary.
    If you are undecided go to HilliaryClinton.com. If you have children or one day will have children, she is the best candidate. If you have a pre-existing health condition or can not afford health insurance, she is the candidate. Obama made an absurd comment during the debate. Obama said that insurance companies would love Hillary's plan because everyone is in it. What a joke. Insurance companies exclude you if you have cancer, high blood pressure or other deseases, if you are older they discriminate against you,ect,ect----they don't want everyone, it may be you or someone you love.
    Insurance companies want only the healthy, that's how they make billions. Check it out VOTERS!

    February 28, 2008 04:14 pm at 4:14 pm |
  15. Carlos P. Bulling

    No way I would trust the polls this year.

    February 28, 2008 04:15 pm at 4:15 pm |
  16. Dan, NJ

    For all the talk of anti-Hillary bias, its funny that when HRC had huge leads in Tx and Oh, the talking heads all said she had to win both states big (which she does to get back in the pledged del.) race but now that the polls are close, the talk is she must win both (or even just win one.

    However, the media has treated her to get to the 11 straight, they want her to stay in now bc the primaries are driving ratings. No primaries, no ratings.

    February 28, 2008 04:16 pm at 4:16 pm |
  17. daigsone

    Hopefully Hillary will win Texas and Ohio. I am a registered Democrat. If Hillary doesn't make it, I will vote Republican.

    February 28, 2008 04:17 pm at 4:17 pm |
  18. Jack Robertson

    It would be a blessing for the Democrats if the voters of the next four primaries (Texas, Ohio, Vermont and Rhode Island) could bring down the curtain on the drama queen from Arkansas. If she can't sing any tune other than 'Cry me a river', it's time for her to leave the stage.

    February 28, 2008 04:18 pm at 4:18 pm |
  19. amanda


    February 28, 2008 04:18 pm at 4:18 pm |
  20. dia20

    tired of fake clintons storys she is a bog liar bye lets see you taz pls hill you cant produce them and yet you want us to hire you to take care of are money you must be jocking show me you tax and i vote for you if not i go obama cuz atleast he is real go obamaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa.

    February 28, 2008 04:19 pm at 4:19 pm |
  21. S.B. Stein E.B. NJ

    We'll find out in less than a week how correct these polls are. It has really been hit or miss with these. All I can say is that the Clinton campaign can't like the numbers they are seeing. Many of them have Obama catching up and shrinking the gap.

    February 28, 2008 04:19 pm at 4:19 pm |
  22. Clinton


    February 28, 2008 04:20 pm at 4:20 pm |
  23. Janey,Naples, Florida

    The truth has emerged. When Karl Rove suggest that Obama's middle name should not be used, we know what is really happening. The Republican Party is scared to death to run against Hillary. The talking "heads" have in every way tried to destroy her while protecting Obama in every way. Of course, when you sway the polls in Obama's favor, many people who do not have time to research the subject will just vote for the "popular" one. CNN, I am really disappointed in you. Is there no "news" media that just reports the facts, not personal opinions?

    P.S. Hussein is Obama's middle name. Why should he be ashamed of it?

    February 28, 2008 04:20 pm at 4:20 pm |
  24. Clinton


    February 28, 2008 04:20 pm at 4:20 pm |
  25. Rachel

    All of you people who continue to criticize Obama based on his name are absolutely ridiculous. But then what should we expect from people who back a candidate who relies on typical slash and burn politics to fuel their ailing campaign? It's sad and quite pathetic. I can't wait for March 4th to be over so Obama can stop defending himself from useless attacks by his Democratic 'competitor' and focus on beating McCain in November.

    February 28, 2008 04:20 pm at 4:20 pm |
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