February 28th, 2008
05:09 PM ET
10 years ago

Polls show Clinton, Obama in tight race in Texas

Sens. Obama and Clinton greet the audience before last weeks CNN debate.

Sens. Obama and Clinton greet the audience before last weeks CNN debate.

(CNN) – Democratic presidential candidates Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama are in a tight race in Texas, according to a “poll of polls” calculated by CNN on Thursday.

An average of three polls of likely Democratic voters has Sen. Barack Obama at 48 percent and Sen. Hillary Clinton at 45 percent. Seven percent were unsure.

The average also shows Sen. John McCain, the presumptive GOP nominee, holding a nearly 20-point lead over former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee among likely Republican primary voters. McCain has 53 percent to Huckabee's 34 percent, and Texas Rep. Ron Paul has 9 percent. Four percent were unsure.

Texas voters will be joined by those in Ohio, Vermont and Rhode Island when they head to the polls on March 4. With Obama surging into the lead on 11 straight wins since Super Tuesday, Clinton's supporters admit that she must do well in Texas and Ohio if she is continue to battle for the nomination.

CNN's Texas poll of polls results were calculated using three surveys: a Belo/Public Strategies poll conducted February 24-25, an American Research Group poll conducted February 23-24, and a CNN/Opinion Research Corporation poll conducted February 22-24.

Earlier, an American Research Group poll of likely Democratic voters on February 13-14 showed Obama ahead, 48-42, with 10 percent undecided. A CNN poll taken between February 14-17 showed Clinton ahead, 50-48.

–CNN.com Senior Political Producer Scott Anderson

soundoff (703 Responses)
  1. Cindy

    The only poll that counts is the one taken next Tuesday.

    May the best man or woman win.

    February 28, 2008 01:59 pm at 1:59 pm |
  2. Dave

    I was wondering if those Senators who are now Supporting Obama Realize that this Election is one that is very Unusual. They should stop and think about what will happen when Senatorial Elections etc come around in a few years and that they will "NOT" get the African American People to Vote in the numbers that they are doing so at the Present time. It will be for the most part Clinton Supporters who will be the majority in these Elections and they will not forget! So we will see a lot of Senators and SuperDelegates now in Office losing their Elections in the Future! Like they say, "Out with the Old Ways"!

    February 28, 2008 01:59 pm at 1:59 pm |
  3. Pete

    Hillary will probably take Texas and Ohio by 2% to 5% of the popular vote however, this will not erode Obama's lead in pledged delegates in any significant fashion. James Carville and Bill Clinton made sure that the "bar" was set so low regarding these states, that Hillary would be able to claim victory and momentum despite having achieved neither.
    Despite a "win" in Texas, because of the caucus system, Obama will gain the most number of pledged delegates...spelling the end for the Clintons.
    If unfortunately the DNC cannot convince Hillary to drop out (or make nice)after Texas and Ohio but before Pennsylvania, it won't matter if she is the ultimate Nominee, she will absolutely lose in the general election. The Democratic party will essentially be torn apart, all the Independents and soft Republicans will be disgusted and run for the hills away from the Democratic party.
    The chances, right now, of Hillary winning both the nomination and the presidency are probably less than 1%. (Whats the Vegas Line on this??)

    February 28, 2008 02:00 pm at 2:00 pm |
  4. gd

    This morning, Adelfa Callejo, a prominent hispanic leader in Texas, and a Clinton supporter, made racists statements about Senator Obama. When asked if she rejected and denounced Callejo's support, Senator Clinton had a hard time committing to that, saying that people have the right to say what they want..........

    February 28, 2008 02:01 pm at 2:01 pm |
  5. Doug

    Ya know, this is too important to let slip away. Lastnight i heard on cnn they did a fact check on the healthcare policies and they said "on cnn" that an expert did agree obama's plan does leave 15 million out and another expert said there is no way to know exactly how many could possibly be "left out". I hope i'm not 1 of those ppl. I am a husband and a father of 4. My kids can't vote and i have to be a voice for them. Their needs tell me i need to vote for clinton. my children should get the best, most experinced person to speak for them.

    hillary 08-16.....texas and ohio your vote really matters for the future of this nation. Don't take chances. we need you to speak for us now. do the right thing...for me and my family. thx

    February 28, 2008 02:01 pm at 2:01 pm |
  6. cate kennedy






    February 28, 2008 02:01 pm at 2:01 pm |
  7. Ray Baggett

    This is getting to the point of being absolutely insane. What's wrong with using someone's real name. If his middle name is Hussein then that's his middle name. Get over it !

    February 28, 2008 02:01 pm at 2:01 pm |
  8. Rich in Seattle

    Over the past ten years, Washington has been paralyzed by partisan bickering and fighting. Hillary has shown that she thinks this is "fun" and that she expects a fight. She feeds into this mentality over the past ten years of "us vrs them" and in this battle lost the concept that we are one country. She'd keep us divided just as Bush has done. If we looked back at her experience, Republicans will do everything they can to derail her and thus do the same for her Presidency. Can we afford that? Can we afford a divisive President in a time when we need someone who can bring the country together. How can we fix the economy if we hate and distrust one another. I don't want more of the same. I don't want to keep electing the same people over and over again. We need to move on and get away from the divisive politics of the past. We need to stop bickering and get working on our problems, on our future. As you can see, when we take the eye off the ball there are big consequences. I'm not saying the sky will open up or anything like what Hillary mocked Obama for saying. I am saying if we don't change the way we go about it, then why should we expect anything different?

    Let's move on in this country. Let's be Americans again and not let the people in this country who thrive on our division run the show.

    February 28, 2008 02:01 pm at 2:01 pm |
  9. Ronald, American living abroad

    Come on CNN! Averaging the polls, as you is done to hide trends. Can't you report that Obama's lead is increasing over HRC?

    February 28, 2008 02:02 pm at 2:02 pm |
  10. ben

    hillary has to win texas by atleast 20 points difference if she wanna stay in the race, but polls are showing that obama is on the lead.....it seems like our girl aint gonaa survive the texas tuesday.

    February 28, 2008 02:03 pm at 2:03 pm |
  11. Obama all the way...

    Polls mean nothing. Polls have been wrong. Up one day, down the next. Enough with the polls. Let the voters speak...than report on the outcome!!

    February 28, 2008 02:03 pm at 2:03 pm |
  12. shamous mc

    You know, there's this pole in poland that thinks 100 pecent of the polls are inaccurate.

    February 28, 2008 02:03 pm at 2:03 pm |
  13. JF

    Hilary will get blown out of the water if it is between her and McCain. The base will line up behind 'Cain the day after her nomination (which she won't win, obviously) and independents don't like her enough to vote for her.

    For all of Obama's rhetoric he uses to unite the base for the nomination, he's more centrist; for all of McCain's rhetoric he uses to unite his base, he's more centrist. McCain's problem will be that he'll have to take a hardline stance from now until November to keep the base, and democrats are so tired of the way things are they'll vote for Obama even with a center-left message.

    February 28, 2008 02:03 pm at 2:03 pm |
  14. aware

    What a contrast! Britain's Prince Harry is in Afghanistan in combat, and America is swooning over a politician who promises change but is just another status quo politician with a sneaky feminine brand. This is giving him the bucks to buy his spot as nominee.

    Do we want a president who makes women faint at emotional rallies or a president who can get the job done! At the moment its an American meltdown.

    Wake up America! Barack will come down but it may be too late for the Dems again.

    Hillary 08 or McCain 08 🙂

    February 28, 2008 02:03 pm at 2:03 pm |
  15. DrFill

    Obama needs to win 3 states Tuesday to close this deal out.
    I think she will get Ohio.
    I get the feeling the delegate picture won't change much next week.
    The worst thing that could happen is a split of the 4 contests.
    Then we have another 6 weeks of desperation to endure.

    February 28, 2008 02:03 pm at 2:03 pm |
  16. JDM

    The polls are talking points. It depends on who you ask and what you want the poll to say . I would like the Obama- Hillary ticker, but I don't think Bill could stay away. He would not allow them to do what I feel they could do if they had a chance.
    Obama is a leader who can get people to listen long enough to think about the mission and Hillary ( the Warrior) can rally the troops to focus the figth at the target. I would love to have her leading the charge, but once the figth is over, she dosen't know how to stop figthing. But you always need Warriors! To bad we can't make the into one person. Mcain once was a Warrior, but now he is a confuse man living in his past life that has long gone. Sad to see he being use as a puppet. Truly sad!

    February 28, 2008 02:03 pm at 2:03 pm |
  17. Phil, MN

    First of all Hillary, where is the WH china you stole when you left? Where are your tax returns? Is it true that you charge the Secret Service 10K a month to stay in your "guest house" while they are protecting YOU? Why don't you stop getting the service, and save the taxpayers that 10K a month.

    If America votes for this woman heaven help us. She is selfish, greedy, obsessed with power, and dishonest. What do people see in Hillary? Everything she has ever done has been because she knew she was running for the presidency when Bill took office. She has used New Yorkers, African-Americans, Latino Americans...who else Hillary?

    If I were Representative John Lewis I wouldn't lose one minute of sleep over a woman who would sell her soul for a vote. Did she care about John, or any other black person when her husband pulled the race card in SC?

    She thinks she "won" the debate but she didn't. I'm looking for someone with integrity and she doesn't have any. There isn't one sincere bone in her body. Anybody like that does not need to stick one toe in the WH. Even when she was there, she was running for the presidency with that feeble Health Care stunt. She didn't even have a security clearance and she was ordering government workers around, so she could "look" good for her own selfish ambitions. She's shrewd, and if she is elected, it will be "All About Hillary", 24-7. Well, I'm not crowning her yet, she will never get my vote, or my soul for that matter.

    A New York Observer Political Cartoonist said:

    A book by Hillary Clinton:

    "The Audacity of Nope" –how I single handedly stopped the most exciting campaign in decades.

    February 28, 2008 02:04 pm at 2:04 pm |
  18. latevi

    I m don't care about the polls.All I know is that people are tired of politics us usual,
    Go Obama

    February 28, 2008 02:05 pm at 2:05 pm |
  19. Changing times

    Hillary is a smart lady but let's face it. Her peers won't work with her. She comes across too strong and unyielding.

    The Republicans won't let her get anything done. That's what they did to Bill remember and they'll do it to her also.

    February 28, 2008 02:05 pm at 2:05 pm |
  20. Alice

    Obama fever seems to be dying down a bit, thank God!!!!!

    I have to wonder if he wouldn't be totally out of the picture by now if the media had treated him the way they've been treating Hillary all along. My guess is yes. He can't seem to take the heat as well as she can, which is not a good thing for someone who wants the toughest job in the world.

    February 28, 2008 02:05 pm at 2:05 pm |

    Vote for the candidate who has been tested and vetted.

    Vote for the candidate who will FIGHT for us.

    Vote for the candidate with ANSWERS and SOLUTIONS.


    February 28, 2008 02:05 pm at 2:05 pm |
  22. Anna, NY

    No one has any right to say who is honest and who is not. Not one candidate has ever been complately honest. Not one candidate has ever said anything completely from their heart. This as well as every other campeign is a contest. That is all there is. Whoever wins does not win because they were the most honest, but because the people have some stupid reason to hate the other candidates whether they want to admit it or not.

    February 28, 2008 02:05 pm at 2:05 pm |
  23. Tabby

    I have been a Hillary Clinton supporter for many years and I plan to continue that support. I cannot consciously vote for Senator Obama, so if he is the party's candidate, Senator Clinton will be my write-in vote in November. The media is making Senator Obama out to be the second coming of the Messiah. Unfortunately for him, the same media will crucify him, if and when he is in the White House.

    February 28, 2008 02:05 pm at 2:05 pm |
  24. Jed in Texas

    Polls should no longer be believed after the vote here,Its not even close.The illegals cant even save Hillary now.

    February 28, 2008 02:05 pm at 2:05 pm |
  25. H

    GO HILLARY!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! SHOW THEM HOW A WOMAN CAN KICK BUTT.

    February 28, 2008 02:05 pm at 2:05 pm |
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