February 28th, 2008
05:09 PM ET
10 years ago

Polls show Clinton, Obama in tight race in Texas

Sens. Obama and Clinton greet the audience before last weeks CNN debate.

Sens. Obama and Clinton greet the audience before last weeks CNN debate.

(CNN) – Democratic presidential candidates Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama are in a tight race in Texas, according to a “poll of polls” calculated by CNN on Thursday.

An average of three polls of likely Democratic voters has Sen. Barack Obama at 48 percent and Sen. Hillary Clinton at 45 percent. Seven percent were unsure.

The average also shows Sen. John McCain, the presumptive GOP nominee, holding a nearly 20-point lead over former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee among likely Republican primary voters. McCain has 53 percent to Huckabee's 34 percent, and Texas Rep. Ron Paul has 9 percent. Four percent were unsure.

Texas voters will be joined by those in Ohio, Vermont and Rhode Island when they head to the polls on March 4. With Obama surging into the lead on 11 straight wins since Super Tuesday, Clinton's supporters admit that she must do well in Texas and Ohio if she is continue to battle for the nomination.

CNN's Texas poll of polls results were calculated using three surveys: a Belo/Public Strategies poll conducted February 24-25, an American Research Group poll conducted February 23-24, and a CNN/Opinion Research Corporation poll conducted February 22-24.

Earlier, an American Research Group poll of likely Democratic voters on February 13-14 showed Obama ahead, 48-42, with 10 percent undecided. A CNN poll taken between February 14-17 showed Clinton ahead, 50-48.

–CNN.com Senior Political Producer Scott Anderson

soundoff (703 Responses)
  1. College Student, TX

    Texas for Obama. I can proudly say that I contributed to that 48%!

    Obama 08!

    February 28, 2008 02:06 pm at 2:06 pm |
  2. Claudette, TX

    Most of the democrats in Texas aren't swayed by feel good speeches and copycat rhetoric. We have problems in this nation that need to be solved NOW. We are in a recession. Point blank. And if the major issues hitting every hard working man and woman in the pocketbook and livelyhood aren't solved soon...then we will be in another depression. Government needs to STOP cowering and coveting the handouts from major corporations and HELP AMERICANS. Most people are in a hole and see no way of escaping thanks to the blind sighted that are in power now. The only ones surviving in this economy are the big corporations. Americans need to realize that we have the voice. We need to use the powers that have been granted to us by the US Constitution. We WILL impeach the NEXT president if you can not solve these issues in a very timely manner. So all of you running better make dang sure that you can deliver on your promises. AMERICANS have had ENOUGH!

    February 28, 2008 02:06 pm at 2:06 pm |
  3. Ted

    With the economy in a mess and being in two wars we need experience not hope or change .Granite Obama is a nice guy but right now we need experience so it should be Clinton or McCain .The housing market has hit rock bottom ,inflation is on the rise,unemployment is on the rise ,god knows whats going on with these two wars .The world hates America and we need to get somebody in there who can take charge from day one .

    February 28, 2008 02:07 pm at 2:07 pm |
  4. Cali guy

    Sorry this is off topic but since it won't post in the section where it was asked I'll ask the the moderators allow this post here..... What really bothers me here isn't that Obummer's full name was used, it's that Obummer supporters as well as \the media and others don't question why his name was kept so quite for so long. A campaign of transparancy doesn't have deception. It's obvious that a majority of Americans don't know his middle name and I agree it was said to make people think., but let's really be real, if Obummer and his campaigh as well as the Democractic party hadn't been trying to keep it out of the public eye this wouldn't be an issue. It's his real name for Pete sake and should be said all the......

    February 28, 2008 02:07 pm at 2:07 pm |
  5. Dave

    Neither democratic candidate has a long history of top-tier leadership.

    Those who consider having been First Lady a qualification for the Presidency baffle me. Obama, on the other hand, is less divisive, is less hindered by the political establishment, and has a personal dynamic that could draw widespread support and force a mandate for- hey, it's true- real change.

    A return to 'ask what you can do for your country' is long overdue. Challenge the American people to do great things, and history has proven we will succeed. This is Obama's strength and I believe why people are supporting him in ever increasing numbers.

    I see no more substance in Hillary than Obama. Therefore, I'm leaning toward Obama.

    February 28, 2008 02:07 pm at 2:07 pm |
  6. heather.elliott


    February 28, 2008 02:07 pm at 2:07 pm |
  7. JW in Houston

    I will be honest. I am not sure why I even bother putting a comment because it never gets posted. It seems like these days anything not singing the praises of HRC never makes the cut.

    I see a comment where someone claims that Lewis betrayed Hillary. I find that to be an ignorant comment. Lewis followed the will of the people that voted for him. His districts voted for Obama in a runaway. He is responsible to the will of the people that voted for him not friendships.

    Winning Texas and Ohio is not going to be enough for Hillary. She needs to win in a landslide. Anything less and her campaign is pretty much finished. She had a huge lead in Texas and Ohio and for Obama to make it close will be a huge win for him.

    February 28, 2008 02:07 pm at 2:07 pm |
  8. ED

    People have been so narrow minded in the past and put Bush in for 2 terms.Obama is the man w/fresh ideas we need in the white house.Voting for Mc Cain would be like electing Eddie Haskell from Leave It To Beaver.Mc Cain mustve idolised Eddie as a kid as he can talk thru both sides of his mouth like Haskell did.Anyone who votes for Mc Cain is deaf,dumb,blind gullible and stupid!

    February 28, 2008 02:08 pm at 2:08 pm |
  9. jose luis

    can Hillary just run as independent and forget the Democratic nomination? Recent national poll suggested that McCain is just 6 percent ahead of her, which really statistically insignificant lead and I am sure alot HIllary's supporters will be loyal to her until Nov. comes so forget about the flip flopping elected officials and bitter Democratic nomination and just start campaining as presidentail contender.
    Go Hillary!

    February 28, 2008 02:08 pm at 2:08 pm |
  10. dick

    If its a tight race the 4th it won't settle anything the way the delegates are divided up. Hope you all have your prozac on hand.

    February 28, 2008 02:09 pm at 2:09 pm |
  11. Jonathan

    Let's talk about the candidate that has energized the voters, and yes even the youth voters. I just booked my flight and will be in Columbus, Ohio from March 1st -4th to help campaign. Let's face it we need immediate solutions to the problems facing America, healthcare, social security, and a return to sound foreign policy. That candidate is Hillary Clinton. I can see why the Go Obama!! camp can't see that he will definitely be great for America, but for now better to serve his country in moving forward chand in Congress on domestic issues. He is currently best positioned for congress, not President. Give him some time to mature and broaden his knowledge on foreign policy, Obama 2016!!

    February 28, 2008 02:09 pm at 2:09 pm |
  12. California 4 Hillary

    The RNC's use of Obama's middle name controversy that is in the news today is just the tip of the iceberg of what is to come. I mean, Hussein IS his middle name, through no fault of his own, but this will haunt him in the general election. I'll admit, there is so much to attack both candidates for and the RNC will leave no stone unturned. I don't know who will win the nomination, but over and over again, Hillary Clinton has shown she can take it. If there is any chance of taking back the WH, it lies with HRC...not BHO.

    February 28, 2008 02:09 pm at 2:09 pm |
  13. MelMarie

    I am so proud of Obama! You Hillary supporters are forgetting that Obama was the underdog... He has come a long way! Hillary said that she would be the nominee by Feb. 5th! I am offended by people saying that we are in a cult or somehow stupid for supporting someone that we feel will make a change for america.

    Obama '08!!!

    February 28, 2008 02:09 pm at 2:09 pm |
  14. Harry, NY NY

    Interesting to see how a comfortable 10 point lead Hillary Clinton had in Texas has eroded into a report3d 3 point deficit.

    I think its transparent that she is running on "thin" experience, and is just not the answer to what is troubling the United States today. Going back to the policy of her husband's administration of the 90's is not going to help.

    She has at best 6 years of actual political experience. Her only elected office is the NY Senate seat.

    She has no experience in the health care field. At least if Michelle Obama were to help as first lady she has actual hand on experience in the health care field.

    Hillary's entire platform of experience is very thin. Her reactions to being asked questions first, and her complaining about the media are not what I am looking for in the next President.

    The Democratic Party, the American Voter, any citizen owes her nothing based on her political "lineage". Her campaign reminds me a lot of the overconfidence shown by the New England Patriots. They played every game as if the outcome was predetermined and took some opponents for granted. That is what is telling about this election year.

    It really appears to me as if she is running more on a platform of entitlement, and that should make us, the American people, ignore all the obvious flaws in her as a candidate.

    As far as the media treatment to Senator Clinton. Its not unprecedented. Let's recall what happened to Howard Dean due to his 5 seconds outburst captured on the web. If anything I think she is catching a break. I am trying to picture the media's reaction to a male candidate that broke down and cried due to the 'rigors of the campaign trail'.

    I think most readers of these forums can see through the duplicate posters above who copy and paste most of their comments and just alter their 'Names'.

    February 28, 2008 02:09 pm at 2:09 pm |
  15. Arlington Texas

    If my wish came true Hillary would lose by at least 25% so the her and Bill and sell some sand in Bubai.

    February 28, 2008 02:09 pm at 2:09 pm |
  16. carrie from CO

    The trouble with these polls lie right in the wording – "poll of LIKELY democratic voters." The vast numbers of voters this year makes it very clear that this year's voters are very unlikely. That alone makes these polls particularly unreliable.

    February 28, 2008 02:09 pm at 2:09 pm |
  17. I denounce and reject the polls

    Ohio and Texas should realize that Senator Obama is for them, their health, livelihood, and advancement. He has the sense to unite rather than divide,as this is how the USA STANDS STRONG. This is why he denounced and rejected Senator Clinton's rhetorical attempts to perpetuate intolerance by divisively interjecting RACE, SEX, and RELIGION into her speeches on the stump and in the debates. It is good that he doesn't try to ailienate any American, during his run to become the Commander in Chief of the UNITED Sates of America. If Hill would release her "pristine" tax returns prior to 3/4/08, maybe Ohio and Texas would have an opportunity at making an informed decision and putting the "Polls" to shame!

    February 28, 2008 02:10 pm at 2:10 pm |
  18. MJB

    Is he ashamed of the name his parents gave him?

    February 28, 2008 02:10 pm at 2:10 pm |
  19. Micahel Guinn, Ventura, CA

    It is done for Hillary. She needs at least a 20% in Texas AND Ohio- NEITHER will happen! I really think Senator Obama will win Texas!

    February 28, 2008 02:11 pm at 2:11 pm |
  20. Coby Austin, Tx.

    After all of the Clinton dishonesty why do people still support them. That makes them look like the most naive people in the world. She wont even release her income tax records. She's been stalling. Stop being so retarded Clinton supporters.
    I guess it wont matter to you to be lied to for another 4 years.

    February 28, 2008 02:11 pm at 2:11 pm |
  21. nader go home


    Remember when the polls said Clinton was down by over 10 points in California THE DAY BEFORE SUPER TUESDAY



    February 28, 2008 02:11 pm at 2:11 pm |
  22. Ron, TX

    What's the margin of error on the poll of polls CNN?

    Can't figure it out? Maybe it's because you CAN'T just average a bunch of random polls and have it anywhere close to statistically accurate!

    February 28, 2008 02:12 pm at 2:12 pm |
  23. Ray F.

    Well, I'd like to post a thought-provoking comment here but I'm not sure it's worth the time since it probably won't get posted...like my last several attempts.

    OBAMA '08!
    CLINTON '08!
    MCCAIN 'O8!
    NADER '08!

    There! All the bases are covered. Can I get on AT LEAST once?

    February 28, 2008 02:12 pm at 2:12 pm |
  24. Video Guy

    The polls are only showing the results of voters with Land Lines. Thousands of us have dropped our land line and do not have to be bothered by "junk Phone Calls"

    February 28, 2008 02:13 pm at 2:13 pm |
  25. Steve H minneapolis

    To Be tied is a big deal Considsering he came from behind

    February 28, 2008 02:13 pm at 2:13 pm |
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