March 4, 2008
Posted: 04:28 PM ET

NEW YORK (CNN) — It's certain to be long night, but here are some early indicators I'll be keeping my eye on as the first wave of exit polls roll into the CNN Election Center.

The gender gap:
The bigger it is, the more it helps Hillary Clinton. She needs to do well with women voters tonight in order to carry Ohio and Texas. In nine Super Tuesday primary states Clinton won, men were split, but nearly 60 percent of women voters supported the New York senator. In seven states Obama won that night, the Illinois senator beat Clinton among both men and women.

Young voters
Much attention has been focused on Obama's ability to rally young voters. The number of these voters that showed up to vote and the proportion that break for Obama will be key to his chances of winning tonight. Senior voters have always been a backbone of support for Clinton, and will likely continue to be so today. In many of the states Obama has won, the youth vote has been heavy and has broken for him better than 2 to 1.

Minority turnout
Minority turnout will be crucial, but which minority? African-American voters have solidly aligned themselves behind Obama, and Latinos have usually supported Clinton. This means Obama has had the edge in states where African-American voters make up a significant proportion of the electorate while Clinton has had the advantage in states where Latinos do so. But Texas has both a heavy African-American population and a heavy Latino population. Whichever group has a higher turnout could be key to who wins the state.

Union workers
Whichever candidate wins among union voters in Ohio could very well carry the state. Even though several major unions in Ohio — like the Teamsters and the Service Workers and the Food and Commercial Workers — have endorsed Obama, the Nevada caucuses proved that union voters don't necessarily vote the way their leaders tell them to. Clinton is banking on strong support from this demographic to help her win tonight.

Independents
How much of a role will they play? Independent voters are allowed to vote in all four states today. In the past, these voters have strongly favored Obama. Will their turnout be high enough to tip the scales toward the Illinois senator tonight?

Republicans
Republicans are allowed to vote in the Democratic primary in Texas. Some conservative commentators, like Rush Limbaugh, are urging them to vote for Hillary Clinton just to keep the Democratic race going. The idea that large numbers of Republicans will vote for Clinton just to make trouble for the Democrats seems unlikely. But lots of unlikely things have happened this year.

Watch Bill Schneider break down the demographics of the March 4 primaries

Related: CNN's Ed Lavandera reports on early Texas voting

–CNN Senior Political Analyst Bill Schneider

Filed under: Bill Schneider • Ohio • Rhode Island • Texas • Vermont


Mac-D   March 4th, 2008 4:41 pm ET

What I'm hearing (between the lines) more and more as these primaries and caucuses go on is that women over a certain age are largely voting for Clinton ONLY because she is a woman and they feel she has been treated unfairly. This is terribly irresponsible and they might just as well have not bothered to vote! These are important times, and important issues and require voters to educate themselves on the issues and not vote based solely on gender. This reminds me of how women voted for JFK and Reagan just because they considered them charming and handsome. I'm ashamed of my gender in this race and feel they make a lot of us women who have fought so hard to be taken seriously look bad.

Anonymous   March 4th, 2008 4:42 pm ET

When it is all said and done, I believe the youth will rally behind Obama despite all the negative media surrounding him the past couple days. The young voters are technology savvy and tend to do research before we base our decision on news media that uses loaded language and campaigns the whine/ complain about the media. We have done our research and the youth will decide where the country will take us as we become fathers and mothers.

Obama 08!

Michiel W   March 4th, 2008 4:45 pm ET

While I have no problem with Independent voters in a Democratic primary, I do have a real problem with Republicans voting in a Democratic primary. Sorry, just my suspicious nature. If a Republican wants to change affiliation prior to the general election, ok, but I do not think the "open" primary is a good idea. As far as Rush Limbaugh urging voters toward Hillary, knowing him this is probably just a ploy to get unsuspecting Dems to vote Obama to "spite" Limbaugh. Again, just my nasty suspicious nature. Personally, I don't think anyone should bow out until all of the primaries are completed. People should have the opportunity to vote their choice. And if it is still close after June, they should go all the way to the convention. Superdelegates should vote based on popular vote!

Shannon Shiflett   March 4th, 2008 4:47 pm ET

it's painful irony when corporate media — bad for our democracy — is our only news source for elections.

when they mention rush and give him credibility as a conservative (i.e., bigot) "commentator", akin to ann coulter and bill cunningham — it's a shame they don't state the truth: THEY ARE BAD FOR OUR DEMOCRACY.

some are going to vote for john mccain — effectively giving a third term to bush; after this criminal administration, that is unbelievable. some are going to vote for clinton, even though her husband was one of the most republican presidents we've ever had. and i have to see obama's good name smeared by swift-boating. our standards are so low i don't think we can go any lower.

just sickening what our so-called democracy has turned into. as much as i despise rush, he's right–our democracy is a soap opera, it is a joke.

Jackie Davis   March 4th, 2008 4:48 pm ET

To CNN why are you reporting on Hillary all day. She is not the only candidate. Where is John McCain and Huckabee today? Send your people out and talk with the other candidates. Personally I'm sick of seeing Hillary today.

Ken   March 4th, 2008 4:48 pm ET

Can Some tell me how the displaced people from N.O. will change the demographics in Texas?

Latina for Obama   March 4th, 2008 4:49 pm ET

to keep hammering that women will vote for her because she is a woman shows that you are out of touch with reality. The older women might vote for her because that is who they know and because they seen her crying. But I know for a fact that women, want someone with honesty, integrity, who gets to where she is because of her merits, not her cheating husband.
I am sorry but i am sick of the media using the gender issue. There are other amazing women who would make superb candidates, and men and women would not hesitate a moment to vote for them.
But Clinton? She is negative, divisive, liar, she polarizes, she voted for the war, she lies, she ir racist, she and her husband need to go build homes in New Orleans…………..
Shame on you Hillary

Dee   March 4th, 2008 4:50 pm ET

Why is Schneider always right? I'm jealous.

Latina for Obama   March 4th, 2008 4:51 pm ET

Your comment is awaiting moderation.
I am a woman, a Latina woman. I would never vote for this woman. She represents not just the most negative characteristics in one sole individual, but she has multiple personalities, she is so negative, she stood all the way with her cheating husband (what a message for our daughters) she lies, makes up things, it is very racists and uses the issue of civil rights to get to what she wants.

I have learned that she and her campaign purposely darkened the Senator's picture in the latest add… go see for yourselves. While I get it, that this is politics as usual (yes, she is running it, she herself is the status quo and politics as usual) have a little decency and for those of you who think she is not racist, listen carefully, go see what has done lately with Senator's Obama's picture in the latest of her darkest negative campaign.

By the way, to the women who vote for her because she is a woman: I guess all we can say is that you support cheating husbands, that you agree that is OK to be as aggressive if not more aggressive than the old boys club; that you agree with the war in Iraq, and with having a permanent Dynasty in our country.
She has not integrity and or honesty, so in the name of Democracy of our daughters, our soldiers, our veterans, our teachers, our sons, our future, please step out of the race…………..
Think twice if you are voting for Billary, (yes for Bill and Hillary) you are paving the road for another 8 years of Republicans in the White House. Also Rush and Ann Coulter supports Hillary, one must wonder……… about her supporters those included. I am one of those that will vote Republican if Hillary is the nominee, and I know I am not alone in this.
GO Obama,

Jed in Texas   March 4th, 2008 4:52 pm ET

You forgot the illegal voters with false I.D.S here in Texas.Must be about 5 million here.

Mike   March 4th, 2008 4:52 pm ET

Unlikely??
This Republican crossed over to vote for Hillary to help her get over Obama so she could go toe to toe with our man McCain.
There are lots of Republicans doing this in Texas becaue we already know who our candidate is going to be.

Marcelo   March 4th, 2008 4:52 pm ET

Don't forget to look for the r3VOLution! Ron Paul will surprise you.

Franky   March 4th, 2008 4:52 pm ET

We're going old-school today Bill!!!! Bust out…….BUST OUT!!! I'm surprise no one left a comment. Don't worry Bill, I got your back….

Raymond   March 4th, 2008 4:53 pm ET

HILLIARY MRS B I L L CLINTON The EVA Perone today wants to RULE the country BEWARE BEWARE BEWARE OF THIS EVIL WOMAN

Minority Too   March 4th, 2008 4:53 pm ET

My estimate is that Hillary will win Texas by 5-6%, win Ohio by 9-11% and win RI by 15%. Obama will win Vermont by 15%.

If this is correct then Hilary will and should win the normination because she has won 90% of the states that a Democratic president must win. Obama won 90% of the states that the Republican will definitely win. The math might be too hard for black enthusiats but should be too easy for a serious Democratic and its leaders.

ross   March 4th, 2008 4:55 pm ET

Is Rush almight God for the Republicans? Vote with your heart and mind, Republicans.

OBAMA 08

Charlotte   March 4th, 2008 4:55 pm ET

Look at it this way, if Hillary wins you guys in the media can all blame Rush and make it look as if SHE did not win. You and your male counterparts are all male chauvinest pigs. None of you can stand the thought of having to say "Madame President."

natasha williams   March 4th, 2008 4:58 pm ET

This election is another joke they are only going to let barack get so far and then give the nomination to hilary which in turn will only put another out of touch republican in office . Never trust politicains .

GGamma   March 4th, 2008 4:59 pm ET

Don't forget, you also looking for Barack to win!!!

Go Obama

CLINTON FOR PRESIDENT   March 4th, 2008 4:59 pm ET

DEMOCRATS should be the only people voting in the DEMOCRATIC primaries and caucuses because we are choosing the DEMOCRATIC representative for the DEMOCRATIC party!!

It's ridiculous. So is the entire "primary" season.

I vote for a national primary with Democrats only - curbs all the spending and gets done so much faster!!

HILLARY CLINTON FOR PRESIDENT!!!

Tim   March 4th, 2008 4:59 pm ET

You forgot another segment, Bill. The "Anyone But Hillary" crowd.

Texas is full of 'em. They will do whatever it takes to keep Hillary out of the White House. And yes, that means even Republicans voting for Obama to make sure we don't have another Clinton presidency.

That's why Obama is the best shot for the Democrats after all. If Hillary is the candidate, Republicans, Independents and yes, even some Democrats will come out in droves to vote AGAINST HER.

Whereas Obama can draw voters from every party to vote for him…giving him a much better chance against McCain that Hillary could ever have.

Even the polls this website link to show that. Obama has a 6-12% lead on McCain in a head-to-head matchup. Hillary is dead even, if not trailing behind.

Trina   March 4th, 2008 5:02 pm ET

I AGREE 100% I HAVE THE RIGHT TO CAST MY VOTE ALSO. I WON'T HAVE THAT OPPORTUNITY UNTIL MAY. I THINK IT SHOULD BE THAT ONLY REGISTERED DEMS CAN VOTE IN THE DEM PRIMARY AND ONLY REG REPUBLICANS VOTE IN THEIRS. AND OF COURSE THE INDEPENDENTS VOTE IN EITHER ONE. THAT WOULD BE THE ONLY FAIR WAY TO DO IT. IN THE FALL, YOU ARE RIGHT, THEY COULD VOTE WHICH EVER WAY THEY WANT TO. BUT TO DATE, THE DEMOCRATIC PRIMARIES HAVE BEEN USED TO BEAT EACH DEMOCRATE OUT.

IF THE SUPERDELEGATES VOTE BASED ON POPULAR VOTE, SENATORS KERRY AND KENNEDY WILL HAVE TO SWITCH CANDIDATES……………THE SUPERS ARE SUPPOSE TO VOTE FOR WHICH CANDIDATE IS MORE QUAILIFED TO LEAD THE COUNTRY.

IF IT WERE A PERFECT WORLD, WE WOULD HAVE ONE PRIMARY FOR THE DEMOCRATES AND ONE FOR THE REUPBLICANS ALL ON THE SAME DAY. THEN THE POPULAR VOTE WOULD COUNT AND WE COULD HAVE A VOICE IN THIS ELECTION, THE WAY IT IS SET UP SO FAR, IT'S A JOKE.

Tim   March 4th, 2008 5:02 pm ET

Charlotte,

Not wanting Hillary Clinton as president has nothing to do with being a male chauvenist. It has everything to do with not wanting to decrease the integrity of the White House any further than the Clinton's and Bush's have already done.

There is a woman out there who should be the first female president of the United States. It's just not Hillary Clinton. She's a bad person, a failure as a lawmaker and a not right for this country.

Dan, NJ   March 4th, 2008 5:03 pm ET

Why not look at the delegate numbers. HRC cannot catch up without double digit wins in Texas and Ohio tonight. If that doesn't happen, she would need 62% of the delegates from here on out just to get back to even.

(Note: 62% of the delegates is not nearly the same as 62% of the vote.)

Bill   March 4th, 2008 5:04 pm ET

Carol Fowler (SC Democratic Chair) and Mary Long (Dem. National Committee) have both declared for Barack Obama.

maziar mafi   March 4th, 2008 5:05 pm ET

Open primary allows for more non-partisans to effect the election, which in turn produces more centrist candidates. It not only brings in more people into the Democratic fold but more centrist candidates will have higher likelihood of success in the general election, and they will produce better policies. While some Republicans may vote in the Democratic primary with ill intentions, there is no evidence that their numbers has ever been significant enough to matter. Its good for Democrats and it's good for the country.

KC Atlanta   March 4th, 2008 5:05 pm ET

I lived in S. Texas and agree with Jed!! Hillary will go on to win the nomination because the DNC is too smart to let a guy with NO experience go up against McCain. He'd be chewed up and spit out.

Does anyone really care what Rush Limbaugh says? I think not.

nick   March 4th, 2008 5:06 pm ET

Blackout on Clinton. No Obama No vote.

Leah DiMarco, TX   March 4th, 2008 5:06 pm ET

The only thing I am looking for is for the Clintons to go home and for them to stop disgracing America!

RPF   March 4th, 2008 5:06 pm ET

… maybe all the Independents will vote for Dr. Ron Paul.

Sherylanne   March 4th, 2008 5:08 pm ET

It's a shame that politics is still a "big boys club" and the sign on the door says "No Women Allowed".

We, as a country are not ready (unfortunately) to have a woman lead us and succeed where no man could. Clinton is a strong woman and has stood up against more public negativity than any man and she still stands tall and fights for what is good for all of us.

It will be our destruction as another ignorant man leads us.

FAYE B BLACKWELL   March 4th, 2008 5:09 pm ET

I BELIEVE THAT OBAMA SEES THE HANDWRITING ON THE WALL. I AM RELIEVED AND PROUD THAT HE REMEMBERED RTHAT HE WENT INO THIS CAMPAIGN WITH DECENCY AND REMAINED A STATESMAN. HE WAS RUNNING BE THE PRESIDENT AND NOT THE GARBAGE MAN. TO HAVE TO STOOP TO SOMEONE ELSE" TACTIS ISNT WORTH IT. I AM DEEPLY APPRECATIVE OF THE FACT THAT HE DIDNT MENTION VINE OR RON BROWN. THEY RE DECEASED ALREADY , AND IF HE HAD BY NOW HE MAYBE THE NEXT ON THE LIST.

Angelika   March 4th, 2008 5:11 pm ET

"The math might be too hard for black enthusiats but should be too easy for a serious Democratic and its leaders."

…That is ENTIRELY racist. Are you voting for Hillary simply because she's white?

"March 4th, 2008 4:55 pm ET

Look at it this way, if Hillary wins you guys in the media can all blame Rush and make it look as if SHE did not win. You and your male counterparts are all male chauvinest pigs. None of you can stand the thought of having to say "Madame President.""

Oh, I'm WILLING to say it. Just not to lying, cheating, scandal-heavy Billary/Hellary. IT's the same with a LOT. Or do you want a bipoalr, lying, cheating, stealing, unrealistic, selfish, arrogant, 'the-presidency-is-my-birthright,' cry when things don't go her way, whine at the media that supported her originally, not-release-my-tax-returns-because-I-have-something-to-hide, can't run my campaign efficiently woman in the White House…?

CHERYL   March 4th, 2008 5:11 pm ET

SENATOR CLINTON WAS NOT CAUGHT LYING!

THIS CANNOT BE DENIED!

IF OBAMA MAKES IT TO THE NOMINATION HOW DO ALL YOU DREAMERS THINK THAT HE WILL FARE WITH THE REPUBLICANS?

THEY ARE CIRCLING LIKE VULCHERS WAITING!!!!!!!!!!!

VOTE FOR THE ONE THAT THEY HAVE NOTHING ON! SENATOR CLINTON!!!!!!!!!!

SHE WILL GO TOE TO TOE WITH THEM!!!!!!!!!!!!

kevin   March 4th, 2008 5:13 pm ET

All I have heard for the past two days is how many votes Obama voted present for in his 8 years in the Illionis Senate
How about CNN report that Hillary Clinton MISSED 175 of 2429 votes in the US Senate since she got into the Senate, Jan 23, 2001.
I am sure that this will not be posted because CNN is all negative press for Obama. It's kind of sad, and disappointing that CNN is so biased. Find the news, and print it, and stop waiting for soundbites, and press releases from Hillary Clinton.

shaun   March 4th, 2008 5:14 pm ET

Minority Too

Your racist comments are not wanted on this blog, so why don't you do us all a favor and beat it. As far as your calculations go it seems if you need a little dose of reality. Hillary can win every state tonight and still lose the nomination because she will not have caught up to barack in pledged delegates. Do your math my friend. She would have to beat barack 70-30 in both texas and ohio to even come close to over taking him, and if you think that's gonna happen then your even dumber than your comment. Delegates are dispersed proportionately young one, so barack can make up the difference of what he might lose today or in penn when they get to N.C which is the last state with a sizable amount of delegates. It's just too bad that this horrible loser Hillary would rather destroy her own party than help Barack win the nomination in Nov. What a joke

walli   March 4th, 2008 5:15 pm ET

Democracy 101: the winner is based on popularity..the media determines who becomes more popular…the rich control the media…therefore the rich rule. The end result? Democracy is a farce.

Peahen   March 4th, 2008 5:15 pm ET

Give me a break, Charlotte. I'm a liberal woman in my early 50's. I work in a female dominated job (translation: lower pay, although middle income). I voted for Obama. Am I a male chauvinist?

Hardly. There are reasons to vote other than gender.

Marco   March 4th, 2008 5:16 pm ET

Michelle Obama is only just now proud of her country, and doesn't know if she would support the nominee if it were not her husband.

First lady material? I think not.

tony   March 4th, 2008 5:16 pm ET

Hillary wants to split the party if she dont win no one will win. The machine! at its best in better terms sore loser…

Brian   March 4th, 2008 5:16 pm ET

"Minority Too" - thank you for the racist comments. You are a fool.

Clinton can have all four states today. Obama won the last eleven, I feel bad for Clinton for losing by 25+ points in so many contests. Obama's smallest margin of victory in the past eleven contests was winning by 17 points. Clinton is a failure. She can win all four tonight (though she won't) and she'll still be far behind in delegates. Poor Clinton - she needs to rely on the superdelegates to overturn the popular vote, which just isn't going to happen. Stop wasting money on commercials and withdraw from the race after tonight, Hillary.

Mac-D   March 4th, 2008 5:16 pm ET

No need to worry about Hillary having an Eva Perrone complex…Bill would never let her lead alone. A vote for "Billary" is a vote for a team Presidency….does anyone else see anything wrong with that besides me?

Mandy   March 4th, 2008 5:16 pm ET

Experience… experience. . I am sick of hearing it from Clinton any more. In my own opinion, her profound experience was to deal with Bill's affairs, Clinton's scandal… by the way, when is she going to show American her tax returns????

Cesar in Texas   March 4th, 2008 5:17 pm ET

I'm a young (under 35), male, white collar (read $150k/yr) Latino in Texas and am certain that Hillary Clinton is the right choice for leading this country to where it needs to be.
To underline the huge HRC support I see here, I have at least 100 close friends and family members who have or still will vote for HRC here today. So there!

mike   March 4th, 2008 5:17 pm ET

Thank you for changing to Hillary…It is about choices, experience, change, past voting records, and serving the people. I am proud Hillary is making yet another stand against the negative media.
Another business man for Hillary!

Mac-D   March 4th, 2008 5:18 pm ET

ross:
Limbaugh's followers are as ignorant as he is…they're hopeless. You can't fix "them." We can only pity them and try to educate them.

Republican   March 4th, 2008 5:18 pm ET

Good luck Sen. Obama.

Linda - Wisconsin   March 4th, 2008 5:18 pm ET

The reason the Republicans are voting for Democrates is because McCain says he aligns himself with Bush's policies. Nobody wants another "Bush follower" in power.

collinsbamalot   March 4th, 2008 5:19 pm ET

Viva, president Obama.

Limbaugh Lemming   March 4th, 2008 5:19 pm ET

Rush is scared to death of Hillary as president. If she wins, she'll go after him and Clear Channel.

I'm a recovering dittohead.

After 30 days of not listening to Rush, I'm happy to say that I've recoverd 12% of my normal brain function.

spirit of america   March 4th, 2008 5:20 pm ET

Here's an exit poll from two precincts in NE Ohio: Hillary took 92% of the vote! Of 84 Democratic voters who responded in the morning vote, 78 voted for Clinton and only 6 for Obama. There may be double-digit Ohio victory in the works after all!

yoshi927   March 4th, 2008 5:21 pm ET

Charlotte-

Don't ever try to draw a line between supporting Obama and being sexist. The truly sexist is the one who votes for Hillary just because she happens to have an XX chromosome. I don't care if we have white male christian presidents from here till doomsday as long as they're all good. Conversely, I don't care if we have a black president, a woman president, or a black woman president, or an awakened squirrel president as long as they're good.

That being said, I think that Obama is the better choice.

averagejoe   March 4th, 2008 5:21 pm ET

Bill, you may also have to look at the number of voters who change their minds very recently. These may be former undecided voters who finally made up their minds based on the very recent issues being thrown at Obama, namely, the Rezco trial and affair and the senior aide NAFTA meeting w/ the Canadians. You could also look at whether candidate's credibility is of great importance to these voters. If your results show that it is, then there would be a high correlation between the above two data points. It would be that those who believe credibility should be very important and who recently made up their minds on who to vote are more likely to withdraw their support from Obama and even possibly switch over to the Clinton side.

simple thought ?   March 4th, 2008 5:22 pm ET

she who laughs last, may have the last laugh

Mac-D   March 4th, 2008 5:23 pm ET

Trina: That is Texas' Democratic Party stupid rules (to allow people to cross Party lines and vote). You can't do that in some other states. For instance in Florida, only registered voters of each party can vote in their OWN Party's Primary (Independents can't vote there) AND there is a deadline that you have to be registered by…long before the Primary. You can't just show up and declare a Party and vote. This is the way it should be everywhere. The Texan Dems do it this way so Party officials can over-rule the popular vote if they don't like it (same with Super everywhere. They don't serve "democracy," they serve their Parties interests)

Reality check   March 4th, 2008 5:23 pm ET

There are many high ranking military men that are voting for Hillary. I think you will find that you are very wrong saying just women are voting for her. Why is she getting the votes? She is expierenced, tried, and has stood the test. Quit blaming her for everything her husband has done, all she did was once again, work very hard to keep her family together and raise a brilliant young lady, Chelsey. What if her daughter acted in the same manner Bush's daughters acted, then you could complain. Hillary will run the White House and it will be run on her agenda, not Bill's.

Ken, Suitland MD   March 4th, 2008 5:23 pm ET

Tim (5:02pm), take your head out of your nether-parts, and get a grip on reality. To compare the Clinton white house with the brain-damaged Bush white house is absurd.

You really think president Clinton getting a BJ compares to the mutliple messes and damaged integrity that Busch has given us? If so, you must be one of the knat-heads that voted for our current disaster-in-charge.

If Hillary wins, and her time in office is anything like her husband's, you and this country will be DAM LUCKY!!!! The funny thing is, you morons won't even know it.

Jack from WV   March 4th, 2008 5:23 pm ET

Well CNN has finally turned back to Hillary and her campaign and why one must ask, because all the attention was given to Obama, and Hillary complained to the boss of CNN a liberal, and now she is getting her fame once again, but is it in time for her, I hope not. Wolf is a Hillary fan and much to much vocal on this, being a reporter you are suppose to “report the news”, not interject your own opinion! Shame on Wolf! There’s a movement in this country and it’s called Obamamania. I believe Hillary has some time left in her campaign but in the end those in high places will ensure she will not gain the nomination, she’s 1990’s and times are different, and with the possibility of Bill returning to the White House you have to ask your self what is he going to do this time and will he get caught again and for what. 8 years of Bush is done and 8 years of Clinton was enough let another family try and run this country!

Stephanie Omaha   March 4th, 2008 5:24 pm ET

I dont think the CNN politicalticker moderator likes me :((

I have posted twice and think its a conspiracy.

LongHorns in Texas liken to Beef in Nebraska.

GO HILLARY!!!!

Thanks for showing America you can have a sense of humor.
Many dont realize there is a silent majority that will show up at
the polls today.

OBAMAS rhethoric is a MILE long and an inch deep.

I attended my first caucas in Nebraska and the Obama followers
were rude. I will chalk it up to inexperience and the average age
of the Obama Followers.

"Better to remain silent and be thought a fool than to speak out and remove all doubt." - Abraham Lincoln

Edgar   March 4th, 2008 5:24 pm ET

To the Latina for Obama:

I've been reading your comments all day on Hillary on how she is such a fake and no good for America yet you are so sure that Obama is!

I also notice that you attack her on what Bill did in their personal marital issue! It seems to be that you were probably betrayed yourself and that is why you express yourself in that matter.

Your not focusing on the issues and what matter to our nation. How well do we know Obama and can we really trust him the way we trusted Bush in 2000.

No experience and promised a united Nation.

uchujin   March 4th, 2008 5:24 pm ET

Consider this supposition, which is probably reasonably accurate even w/o documentable support:

If 75% of all voters under 25 have only cell phones, and
If 65% all voters under 25 vote for Obama, andPollsters contact only voters with land lines or previously registered voters who listed cell numbers (which means they voted in the last general election), and
Cell phone market penetration is nearly double what it was prior to the last general election while affordability of cell phones has increased,

How many Obama voters have been omitted from the polls.

Obama puts an end to HRC tonight as the polls will be as misrepresentative of the results in TX & OH as they have been in any of the recent Obama victories.

Leah DiMarco, TX   March 4th, 2008 5:26 pm ET

Cheryl in a post above said: SENATOR CLINTON WAS NOT CAUGHT LYING!

I say to Cheryl — WHAT PLANET are you living on? Both Clintons are FAMOUS for their lying! You really should do some research on the Clintons so you know what you are talking about! And also be sure to google the Peter Paul vs. Clintons lawsuit that is CURRENTLY going on the California court system!

Justin   March 4th, 2008 5:28 pm ET

This is one Texan who cast his vote for Mrs. Clinton and will be voting for Mr. McCain in the fall. Dems who don't like it, I apologize, but I am playing by the rules and it does make sense!

Sue Z   March 4th, 2008 5:29 pm ET

Unfortunately, the media is deciding once again who the country should support. It has been so painfully obvious that they were pulling for Obama, then when they were called on it, decided to push Clinton. Enough already. Just present the facts and allow the voters to make their own decisions.

annie   March 4th, 2008 5:30 pm ET

Obama you should know the media can bring up or take you down I just hope the American people are too smart to be told what to do by media don't befriend them Obama try to avoid them they were tough on you when you started now that you are winning they are bringing you down so be carefull America is smart anyway and don't forget they said you were not black enough or white enough then what do you expect from the media they are bad news. Be carefull out there.

Dennis   March 4th, 2008 5:31 pm ET

Cheryl: VOTE FOR THE ONE THAT THEY HAVE NOTHING ON! SENATOR CLINTON!!!!!!!!!!

SHE WILL GO TOE TO TOE WITH THEM!!!!!!!!!!!!

Are you kidding? They have nothing on HIllary? They are salivating to go after Hillary. They'd love to take out a Clinton after a Clinton beat them twice in the 1990s. Speaking of the 1990s–that decade alone gave the RNC enough campaign fodder to use against Hillary. Just because she claims to have been vetted doesn't meant the Republicans can't and won't attack her.

James ( Independent )   March 4th, 2008 5:31 pm ET

Hillary is Texas Toast plain and simple.

PATHHHHHHETIC   March 4th, 2008 5:32 pm ET

Cheryl,

you may want to go check the words PETER PAUL + Clinton on YOutube before pretending that Senator CLinton does not LIE

Dennis   March 4th, 2008 5:33 pm ET

Marco: Michelle Obama is only just now proud of her country, and doesn't know if she would support the nominee if it were not her husband. First lady material? I think not.

Good thing we are voting for a President and not a first lady then, isn't it? Or, did you forget that? But hey, we could have Bill as the First Gentleman, or whatever they'd call him. We know his ability to control himself in the White House is top notch.

Lowell   March 4th, 2008 5:34 pm ET

And what about the african americans just voting for Barack H. Obama because he is black…….

Pia   March 4th, 2008 5:35 pm ET

Whenever Clinton speaks, I feel like she is lecturing me. Whenever Obama speaks, I feel like he is having a conversation with me.

Marta-FL   March 4th, 2008 5:36 pm ET

In poll after poll, Obama is seen as beating McCain in a general election. The Republicans want Hillary NOT because they think she's a good candidate but because they believe she is the candidate they can BEAT. By the way, those same polls show Hillary LOSING to McCain.

Peg from Ohio   March 4th, 2008 5:39 pm ET

My 85 year old mother and I both caucasion voted for Obama . What do the pollsters think of that?

terry   March 4th, 2008 5:39 pm ET

I am a proud American and Texan. Watch the news tonight when all of the Obama supporters are going to be crying!

Clintion 2008

Alex   March 4th, 2008 5:40 pm ET

Hillary either doesn't have the guts to leave her cheating husband, or is too conniving to do so. Either way, hardly presidential.

mike   March 4th, 2008 5:41 pm ET

Let' not forget about his not voting for 120 senate bills, and her actually voting. Is that the kind of leader we need? Lets not forget about how he took a stand against the war. Not wanting to chase those who just attacked us. Please make the sensible choice, Hillary for President!

Katie   March 4th, 2008 5:42 pm ET

It may be just me but im so sick of the term "billary" not many people can give me 1 or 2 reasons why they don't like Hillary just (well her cheating husband) so for instance if your husband (or wife) cheated on you its your fault especially if you somehow find a way to forgive them. Im 23 and voting for Hillary one of the main reasons is experience because the last president we elected had hardly any so why would I want to vote for someone who has any again?

kathy   March 4th, 2008 5:42 pm ET

Hi, I just got a phone call from a friend in Texas. I wonder what is going on with the Texas caucus. Seems like obama supporters are handing out caucus forms and collecting caucus signatures now (in the day time) before 7pm. This is against party rule!! No caucus vote could be casted before 7pm , and not when the voter does not physically show up at the voting location!!! This is the kind of "new politics" are can believe in?? This is the kind of hope we can believe in?? This is the "Florida 2000″ Shame on you, obama

La Raza   March 4th, 2008 5:42 pm ET

I will just wait for the results thank you.

Nita   March 4th, 2008 5:43 pm ET

This is driving me nuts. I promise this is the last posting. I can't take it anymore. I just wanted to say that She will stop at nothing. She doesn't have America's best interest at heart. She feels this is an entitlement and I'm sick of her bottom line. It's time for OBAMA to stop being a gentleman and throw her under the bus!

a foreign student in US   March 4th, 2008 5:43 pm ET

Why the media is not discussing about how all blacks vote for Obama. The percentage is way higher than any other category. Therefore, this is a real problem in this country. How can you say that he is not divisive? Almost entire black population reject other candidates, and onbly choose the perople of their own color, this is not divisive???

Lee   March 4th, 2008 5:44 pm ET

voters: When you vote, p;ease open your eyes and mind. Obama is losing more and more supporters now. American people are waking up: Only Hilary can bring the food onto our talbe.

GGK   March 4th, 2008 5:50 pm ET

Bill, as commentators go, you are always so incisive. Thank you. As a lifelong 49 year old Democrat, who worked on Gore and Dean's campaigns, I gotta say, so many people are so very sick of the environment Hillary Clinton has fostered. We really can't wait for the reasoned positivity of Obama to prevail, so we can get back to VISION.
To better days, cheers!

Antoinette   March 4th, 2008 5:53 pm ET

The prob with the Latino's in Texas is that they didnt vote so they dont get alot of delegates

And the African Americans last time did vote, so they are delegate rich

So Obama could manage to pulll the most delegates in Texas. He has a higher percentage of Latino's than she does African Americans

And he does better in Caucases also

So it could be a win in Texas, but i think Ohio will be Hillary. Not by a susbtantial margin for her to get ahead though

Keri-Texas   March 4th, 2008 5:53 pm ET

If Obama wins I will vote for McCain, the 1st time in my 42 years to vote republican. But to me experience is just too important and I don't want another Pres that lets his advisors and politcal friends (Kerry, Kennedy, Farakahn) treat him like a puppet.

E. Stafford   March 4th, 2008 5:56 pm ET

Mrs. Clinton, should be the next President of the United States of America. She is a strong woman, and we need her to be the leader of this country. The other candidate will not be able to lead the country.

Peg from Ohio   March 4th, 2008 5:57 pm ET

Apparently you do not want to hear from a white 52 year old nurse with 4 grandchildren from Ohio who has always voted Republican but now has voted for Obama.

Hermas   March 4th, 2008 5:57 pm ET

For those who say they're sick just for seeing Hillary today, i think they wre very very healthy the last days, when the media was giving a lot of coverage for Obama. Probable, they're more happy when they see 30 minutes of Obama and 5 minutes of Hillary every hour, like in the past day, especially before super tuesday.

Not only taht. also, most of the comments and news were against her.

Probably they believe (I don't know why) this is more fare.

Jason --- Ohio   March 4th, 2008 5:59 pm ET

How makes up exit-polling? I've always wondered this. Is it really just someone standing outside the polling station asking how they just voted? This doesn't seem to me to be a very efficient way to accomplish the end result. How do you determine which polling stations to stand at? Each polling area is so different among voters. How many people does it take? How many people are usually polled? Is that enought to produce an effective sampling? In such large states like Texas and Ohio the task just seems to big to get real information and then advertise if Obama won amongst White Male Lutherans over 40.

Tyrone Brown, Seattle, WA   March 4th, 2008 6:00 pm ET

I just hope Texas, Ohio, Vermont and Rhode Island put an end to this part of the campaign…so we can focus our time and energy on getting our future President (Obama) into the White House.

Joyce   March 4th, 2008 6:00 pm ET

I think that the negative publicity that Obama is has gotten will only prove to everyone after tonight how strong his reach is..that despite everything he will continue to overcome…and if and when he does..what will the media have to say then???

I can't believe how the dig things from the bottom of monkeys barrels and try to feed it to us like we're too ignorant to know what are lies…

And for all of you out there that ask what does he stand for , what other than charisma does he have that is causing this movement… The answer is he gives us "New Hope"..that there may be a chance that there is a decent , caring , and genuine individual out there that went into politics… and we have the chance to elect him as president.

Obama supporter   March 4th, 2008 6:02 pm ET

I am black and has been supporting Obama until now. I am going to vote for Clinton. He is full of excuses.

Interested In Life   March 4th, 2008 6:02 pm ET

It is unfortunate that the new media hasn't (particularly MSNBC & NBC affiliates) investigated and reported on Obama's record. If he does receive the democratic nomination, the republicans and the media will then destroy him. All of you that THINK you are doing your country justice by voting for Obama, are really just thowing your vote in the toilet.

The cold hard truth here is, Obama DOESN'T have the record to beat McCain. Hillary does, so a vote for Obama is a vote for McCain. Think about it!

Victor   March 4th, 2008 6:03 pm ET

I am amazed that I actually read this entire Blog. The Republican Party wants us Democrats divided - so that their man McCain has an easier road to the White House. Looks like it is happening. The math shows that Senator Clinton will not have the majority of the delegates by the convention - no amount of shouting at the moon over what has transpired in this campaign is going to change that. We should all get behind Senator Obama now and expend our energy on insuring that there is not a Republican in the White House next January.

Texan   March 4th, 2008 6:05 pm ET

I was just listening to sean hannity radio and a few Texas voters called in to say that they have voted for Hillary following rush limbaugh's suggestions. I think this pathetic that the Texas Dem party allows non-Democrats to vote in this primary.

Pat in Idaho   March 4th, 2008 6:05 pm ET

Isn't it interesting that Hillary never quite made it a priority in releasing her tax return, as she promised, ..prior to today's primaries.
Do you think she will release the information before the next round? Obama already released his tax return information. I wonder what it is that she and "Uncle Bill" are so afraid of the public finding out about? Might it change the minds of some of her supporters, if they knew the truth regarding her sources of the financial "war chest"?

gail   March 4th, 2008 6:10 pm ET

MacD, spare us your regrets on your gender. How dare you decry voting along gender lines as if it betrays poor thinking. I vote for Hillary not only b/c of her stellar professional record and her sterling credentials but because of her astonishing ability to battle out an overwhelming media bias to take this race back. This woman knows more about challenges, unfairness and inequality than any man ever could.

Bev   March 4th, 2008 6:15 pm ET

The youth WILL rally around Obama not because they are technically savy and can research issues? Technology as we know produces lots of false information that is packaged as truth. They will vote for Obama because they are the feel-good, over-indulged, me generation. They scream "Yes we can" at the rallies but mostly don't have a clue when asked, "Who can do what?" These are the students I taught in school a few years back. The students who were bathed in outcome-based, we're-all-winners education, leaving excellence and hardwork in the dust. Get real America! Don't mistake their enthusiasm for discernment, their screams for knowledge. It just isn't so.

bond   March 4th, 2008 6:17 pm ET

Obama will solidy his lead. This will be the only thing to look for tonite.

Texans for Obama

mike   March 4th, 2008 6:17 pm ET

Obama did not win in my neck of the woods. Not because of his any factors either. Just plain and simple…No experience, no voting record in the senate, no original plan of his own, and oh by the way,
choose not to engage with terrorists in Iraq…Sounds pretty spineless if you ask me. Americans for Hillary Clinton who does stand up to all the sillyness.
Another over 40 Business man for Hillary Clinton!

mike   March 4th, 2008 6:20 pm ET

Pat:

Who cares what she makes..The last debate she said she is busy and will make that public before the general election…
Another business man who has he facts straight for Hillary!

Bill C   March 4th, 2008 6:21 pm ET

A sage once said: THE MEDIA ELECTS THE PRESIDENT BUT WHO
ELECTS THE MEDIA ???????????????????????????????

Anonymous   March 4th, 2008 6:24 pm ET

How does it make sense to have non-democrats perhaps being the folks who tip the balance one way or the other. No one has explained if this has always been the case, or when this practice started.

michael johnston   March 4th, 2008 6:24 pm ET

Here is the deciding difference between clinton and obama
"yes we can" and "yes i have"

mike   March 4th, 2008 6:29 pm ET

Please anybody, post what he has accomplished? Other than yes we can…YES SHE CAN! WITH BI-PARTISAN SUPPORT….

maynard   March 4th, 2008 6:30 pm ET

its people like rush the skumbag of reporters that are making the political world the mess it is. also who cares who rambo backs or any other high profile name this is what our media is stooping to

Bill   March 4th, 2008 6:34 pm ET

Today 3 more super delegates declare for Obama!

Clinton retire with dignity, or carry on and be tossed aside like a discarded old ciggerette packet. Your choice Mrs. Clinton

Gail Smith   March 4th, 2008 6:37 pm ET

On 60 Minutes the other night one of the ladies that was being interviewed on which way she was voting she said ," When Bill was president the economy was good and if he was going to be an advisor she felt good with Hiliary."Just think about how many times that someone said Bill's name more than Hillary's name, is it really a change at all when people really don't know who is running for President and no wonder Bill is round up like a clock thinking that he might lose his campaign.

Sukie   March 4th, 2008 6:40 pm ET

If those voters who originally planned to vote for Hillary, but were persuaded to "switch" because of the Obama Overtures, will vote for her, I have no doubt she will win Texas and Ohio today.

Whatever today's turnout, when Oregon votes, I will still write in Hillary.

Ochoano   March 4th, 2008 6:41 pm ET

I just wonder how publicly the union leaders have endorsed the wrong person and Senator Clinton continues to get strong support. That tells you. I still wonder that Senator Clinton continues to get almost half of the whole nation populaton vote without the frenzied nonsense movie star status. But I don't wonder anymore because I know she is the best candidate.

Allen   March 4th, 2008 6:43 pm ET

I have family that live in Ft. Worth. They don't listen to Rush but typically vote for Repubs anyway. They voted for Hillary because they want McCain to have an easy road to the WH.

The Texas Dem primary is a sham. The Repubs are hand-picking thier opponent.

Jaime   March 4th, 2008 6:48 pm ET

No matter how you spin it people are ready for a change in politics. It is sad that although most voters decry negative ads and want something different from our candidates they are still being swayed by the Clinton machine negative tactics. Look at what has happened this past week to Obama's lead. It has shrunken with all of the attack ads. Only we the people can change negative politics. Vote against the candidates who use them.

Vig   March 4th, 2008 7:43 pm ET

Let's hope all your negative commentary and negative interpretations of the debates that were televised about Clinton - don't have any influence on the way people vote. Go Hillary!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

ChicoSez   March 4th, 2008 7:53 pm ET

How will the Obama camp spin a loss in Texas, Ohio and Rhode Island? That will be interesting to read. Or maybe he should just drop out?

Geri   March 4th, 2008 8:00 pm ET

It would be absolutely pathetic if Obama won because he has 90% of the black population voting for him on race and not issues.

Joyce   March 4th, 2008 8:06 pm ET

The slanting by the press is so prominent. I am surprised everyone is not aware of the biases that is warping most reports. From the intros, to the wrap-up, the language, the tones are obvious.

I do hope the American people are smarter than the journalists.

My question is: what's the "pay off" to the journalists?

Young Latina for Hillary   March 4th, 2008 8:18 pm ET

We young people are not an homogenous group. We latins are also not an homogenous group. And we women are not "defined" by our boyfriends, husbands or any other men related to us… The most powerful nation in the world lead by an experienced and strong committed woman, what an opportunity! Even "less developed" countries such as Chile, Argentina and "1st world" countries such as Germany have experienced women as their president/chancelor, women and men in these countries value a "women's perspective" and experience as mothers, daughters, wifes, professionals, will our country embrace this unique moment in history???….

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