March 4th, 2008
07:13 PM ET
10 years ago

Schneider: Why Obama won Vermont

(CNN) – Barack Obama is headed for an easy victory in Vermont, fueled by overwhelming victories among voting blocs that have solidly aligned with Hillary Clinton in other states.

Though women voters and seniors are the backbone of Clinton's support, in Vermont more than two-thirds of women, and roughly 60 percent of voters age 65 and higher, went for Obama.

One of the key reasons this groups went for Obama? The Iraq war. While the issue has fallen in importance among voters in several other states, Vermont voters ranked it nearly as important as the economy, and those who said it was the number one issue went for Obama over Clinton by nearly 3 to 1.

Obama often touts the fact he was initially opposed to the Iraq war while Clinton voted to authorize it. He has consistently beaten Clinton among voters concerned about Iraq - and in Vermont, this gap clearly proved decisive.

Related Video: Deputy Political Director Paul Steinhauser analyzes Tuesday's primaries

- CNN Senior Political Analyst Bill Schneider

Filed under: Bill Schneider • Candidate Barack Obama • Vermont
soundoff (232 Responses)
  1. D

    Obama keeps winning because the voting public seems to want to worship their politicians rather than look for substance. It's too bad that so many people are that ignorant.

    Hillary Clinton deserves the nomination. But, as George Bush before him Obama will get in based on popularity rather than genuine talent, proven leadership, or (God forbid) experience. For shame, American people – my family and I don't deserve what you are giving!!!!

    March 4, 2008 07:23 pm at 7:23 pm |
  2. vl

    Guess they didn't do their homework and realize that Obama DID NOT VOTE for this because HE WAS IN ILLINOIS!

    March 4, 2008 07:23 pm at 7:23 pm |
  3. Kat, San Francisco

    I don't understand how exit polls are enough to call an election. On the one hand – yes, we all want to know outcome; but can exit polls really provide an accurate reading? How many voting locations are polled? How many people / what percentage of voters are polled in the exit polls? How is this any different from pre-voting polls? Calling an election based on exit polls seems irresponsible to me – but it seems to be a widely accepted practice – I don't understand.

    Comments anyone?

    March 4, 2008 07:23 pm at 7:23 pm |
  4. FrankSmith

    Hillary's wins of the BIG states can be explained in simple terms:

    "Superstar, Name Recognition!"
    It is like the Superdelegates who made the commitment before the peoples' votes were in!!

    Hillary and her supporters do not have to worry, Obama will easily win these BIG states in the general election.

    As you can see, the Superdelegates, like the BIG states, will soon wake up!!

    March 4, 2008 07:23 pm at 7:23 pm |
  5. OBAMA 08

    I don't get the importance of winning big states when you are running against another democrat...what does that prove?? It is the number of delegates that matters11

    March 4, 2008 07:23 pm at 7:23 pm |
  6. Amy in Iowa

    Because like Iowa, the people of Vermont are tired of the game playing and nothing getting done. Hillary had 8 years while her husband was in office and failed on healthcare. We are tired of the same players, funded by lobbyists, telling us what we want to hear and getting nothing done.

    Even with all the pro-Clinton media today, people have waken up and want real CHANGE.

    March 4, 2008 07:24 pm at 7:24 pm |
  7. Janet in Missouri

    Of course! What else would we expect from the most experienced, unifying, hard-working and honest Democrat in this race?

    Barack Obama is breaking all kinds of records and it has only just begun. We will win in 2008 and we will win in 2012. This is truly a campaign of the people!

    March 4, 2008 07:24 pm at 7:24 pm |
  8. Info

    Where are all the Hillary droids @????

    – Obama slaped them in the face with a win in Vermont

    OBAMA 08!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    March 4, 2008 07:24 pm at 7:24 pm |
  9. Mischelle from Illinois

    why doe your information not include the fact that Mr. Obama opposed the war while he was ONLY in the state legislature of Illinois. he did not hold a position as a State senator when he made his "speach" and that doesn't have a impact on national politics.

    March 4, 2008 07:24 pm at 7:24 pm |
  10. Johnson

    I hear Clinton just announced that Vermont doesn't count either in the 12-state streak because it's "too white" sorry guys, Obama still hasn't won the last 12!

    March 4, 2008 07:25 pm at 7:25 pm |
  11. vic nashville,Tn

    Last win for him stop ahead

    March 4, 2008 07:25 pm at 7:25 pm |
  12. Carrie PA

    12-0: YES WE CAN!!!

    March 4, 2008 07:25 pm at 7:25 pm |
  13. Deb IL

    People swallowed his constant "she voted for the Iraq War" soundbite instead of demanding that he actually say what his own foreign affairs experience was. They are probably all Teddy Kennedy relatives there anyway. Oh, by the way, didn't Teddy and Kerry vote for the same resolution?

    March 4, 2008 07:25 pm at 7:25 pm |
  14. MT

    Every State Counts, Every Delegate Counts!!!

    OBAMA 2008

    March 4, 2008 07:25 pm at 7:25 pm |
  15. SO Ashamed

    is anyone thinking or realizing..... John Edwards never endorsed anyone..... lol

    That makes him pretty much a follwer. How much you wanna bet he'll back up whoever wins the most tonight.

    March 4, 2008 07:26 pm at 7:26 pm |
  16. Bob G.

    Surely Vermont voters can't be that misinformed. They still believe that Barack made that speech in the US Senate??

    He was uninformed, not in the US Senate, probably didn't have the chance to talk with the 80% approval President or highly regarded Secretary of State, Gen. Colin Powell, or his now best buddies in the US Senate, and didn't see the WTC attacked with over 3,000 murdered.

    Fraud and hood winking americans is what's he's doing!

    March 4, 2008 07:26 pm at 7:26 pm |
  17. dem08

    Go HIllary!!!!!

    March 4, 2008 07:26 pm at 7:26 pm |
  18. Bryan

    One down, three to go.

    March 4, 2008 07:26 pm at 7:26 pm |
  19. angela benson

    the war is a factor,bush act without thinking,the add about the 3 in the morning, BILL CLINTON WILL ANSWER THE PHONE ,all that expience she keep talking about will be by BillClinton, is she is the winner and voting for her is puting Bill Clinton back in the white house.

    March 4, 2008 07:27 pm at 7:27 pm |
  20. IMO

    Why Obama won Vermont?! For the same reason he won everywhere else/ CNN saw to it. Poor form CNN... Where's Edward R. Murrow when we need him?

    March 4, 2008 07:27 pm at 7:27 pm |
  21. SO Ashamed

    I see all this hate in here man.. and it makes me really ashamed. Ashamed to be a democrat...

    You're all acting like a bunch of 5th graders!!!!

    "Obama's gonna win because he's cooler!"

    "No Hillary's gonna win because she's a woman!"

    "Obama's a cheat!"

    "Hillary's a baby!"

    GROW UP!!!! ALL OF YOU!!!

    I mean for the love of God, we're all on the same team here!!!! We need to UNITE, not DIVIDE.....

    Now, personally I'm voting for Obama because I think he would be the best suited for this job but as a Democrat, I want them BOTH on the ticket this fall. Obama P.O.U.S. and Clinton, V.P.....

    Tell me THAT wouldn't be a sweet deal.

    A black man as president.
    A woman as vice president.

    March 4, 2008 07:27 pm at 7:27 pm |
  22. Fawaz

    Obana won Vermont because Ben and Jerry's Ice Cream supported him. That's a fact. and, by the by, CNN also projects Texas and Ohio for Obama .. and the Presidency. take it from me ;p

    March 4, 2008 07:27 pm at 7:27 pm |
  23. Jaime Nava

    Let's use social security to pay for the endless war in Iraq. I think McCain might have thought about this great idea first.

    March 4, 2008 07:27 pm at 7:27 pm |
  24. Stuart

    Godspeed, Obama

    March 4, 2008 07:27 pm at 7:27 pm |
  25. Darth Vadik, CA

    Notice how HIllary people have nothing to say, where as in the previous postings they were going crazy,

    Hillary mocks,
    Obama gets the win

    get used to it Clintonistas

    March 4, 2008 07:27 pm at 7:27 pm |
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