March 4th, 2008
07:13 PM ET
10 years ago

Schneider: Why Obama won Vermont

(CNN) – Barack Obama is headed for an easy victory in Vermont, fueled by overwhelming victories among voting blocs that have solidly aligned with Hillary Clinton in other states.

Though women voters and seniors are the backbone of Clinton's support, in Vermont more than two-thirds of women, and roughly 60 percent of voters age 65 and higher, went for Obama.

One of the key reasons this groups went for Obama? The Iraq war. While the issue has fallen in importance among voters in several other states, Vermont voters ranked it nearly as important as the economy, and those who said it was the number one issue went for Obama over Clinton by nearly 3 to 1.

Obama often touts the fact he was initially opposed to the Iraq war while Clinton voted to authorize it. He has consistently beaten Clinton among voters concerned about Iraq - and in Vermont, this gap clearly proved decisive.

Related Video: Deputy Political Director Paul Steinhauser analyzes Tuesday's primaries

- CNN Senior Political Analyst Bill Schneider

Filed under: Bill Schneider • Candidate Barack Obama • Vermont
soundoff (232 Responses)
  1. Renee

    There tied in Ohio.... thats a good sign if she wins it won't be by much

    March 4, 2008 07:35 pm at 7:35 pm |
  2. nih

    the whole big state theory is incorrect:

    5 have voted for Obama: IL, WA, MO, VA, and GA and 5 have voted for Clinton: CA, NY, NJ, MA, and TN

    among those states Obama won all of them that could possibly be considered swing states in the general election.

    March 4, 2008 07:35 pm at 7:35 pm |
  3. twila

    i dont think that the delgates should pick out who they want i think the peoples votes should be all you need not a small bunch of policatians i was going to vote like i always have but my vote doesnt count so iam not voting this nov. also i think they picked on hillary clinton quite a bit they all need to back off.

    March 4, 2008 07:35 pm at 7:35 pm |
  4. Patrick

    Thank you Vermont! I live in California and couldn't deliver my state to Obama, but i have a cabin in Vermont so at least my home away from home state came through! I ❤ you guys!

    March 4, 2008 07:35 pm at 7:35 pm |
  5. Tony, Eugene Oregon

    Vermont went for BO because the press told them to. The average American only hears what he/she is told by the press. There is no access directly to the candidates. So why is Obama winning? Because some reporters in the various media sectors find him to be more fun and exciting to write about. Forget policy issues or anything related to running the country. BO will ultimately face a dissection by the Republicans and I guess we are going to find a lot of dirt that we all wished we knew about before Hillary was dumped.

    March 4, 2008 07:35 pm at 7:35 pm |
  6. Napoleon in Providence

    Way to GO Obama!
    Since Hillary has no way to make up the delegate count, why is she still playing the spoiler? Spoiled.

    March 4, 2008 07:36 pm at 7:36 pm |
  7. Anonymous

    Economy and War are closely related. People don't realize this.
    It is the war, stupid.

    March 4, 2008 07:36 pm at 7:36 pm |
  8. Eric

    Typical, All of Hilary supporters saying Vermont doesn't matter. Just like the other 11 states didn't matter and the caucuses don't matter. Its time for America to get smart and see this. Hilary doesn't care about you.

    March 4, 2008 07:36 pm at 7:36 pm |
  9. Janet in Missouri

    It doesn't matter where Barack Obama made the speech, it doesn't matter if he was in the Senate or not. The point is that he was against the war and was vocal about it. What about Hillary Clinton? She trusted GEORGE W. BUSH and voted to give him all the power he wanted to invade Iraq. How stupid can she be to trust him or ANY republican. I guess her saying that John McCain has more experience than she does is another sign that she panders to Republicans too much.

    March 4, 2008 07:36 pm at 7:36 pm |
  10. John

    Senator Obama's great perspective point is that he(Obama) voted against the Iraqi war! Our question,is Senator Obama ruling out any future military attack?No matter under what circumstances? That is not the Commander in Chief America is looking for! Alternative is none but Hillary!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Go Hillary!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!Go 08-012.

    March 4, 2008 07:36 pm at 7:36 pm |
  11. DC Hillary 08

    This is not a good news.

    March 4, 2008 07:37 pm at 7:37 pm |
  12. Roger from Arkansas

    Two words Vermont! Secret Memo.

    Obama's campaign gave the Canadians "the old wink-wink."

    March 4, 2008 07:37 pm at 7:37 pm |
  13. Norm FL

    Give it up Hillary, the party is over. Thanks for revealing the true "power at any cost " person you are. With your demagogery you will certainly hand the presidency to John McCain.

    March 4, 2008 07:37 pm at 7:37 pm |
  14. Proud American

    Hope does exist no matter what the cynics may say.
    Obama '08

    March 4, 2008 07:37 pm at 7:37 pm |
  15. AtlantaVoter

    Guess they couldn't figure out that his "against" the war amounted to giving a speech. HE DID NOT HAVE A VOTE! And when he did get a vote he voted just like Hillary.

    Sorry, sorry, sorry. I had no idea we had so many people in the US willing to belly up to the bar and believe in anything without giving it thought. I feel sorry for you when he disappoints you....and he will.

    I voted for the candidate who can put action where her words are and I plan to vote for her again in the General Election!

    Hillary Clinton 2008

    March 4, 2008 07:37 pm at 7:37 pm |
  16. ;D

    Woot! Woot!

    This is what I like to call a RRRRRRRRRRevolution!


    March 4, 2008 07:37 pm at 7:37 pm |
  17. Jim in Oregon

    The begining of a great night for a great American.

    March 4, 2008 07:37 pm at 7:37 pm |
  18. LNAB

    Exactly when was it that Vermont was the bellwether for electable candidates?

    Vermont, not exactly mainstream America.

    March 4, 2008 07:38 pm at 7:38 pm |
  19. LFree

    give me a break. How can evrone want to ote for someone ho has only been in politics fo a few years. I will tell you wht will happen .It will be just like George Bush ll over again ,with everyone who voted for him sying what di i do

    March 4, 2008 07:38 pm at 7:38 pm |
  20. Chuck

    OK, so Obama is like Guiliani, every sentence he utters contains Iraq, a noun and a verb. Talk about a single-issue candidate! While the Obama people are fixated on Iraq, other major powers are electing experienced and well-seasoned statesmen (stateswomen) as their leaders. And we are doing American Idol on a national scale, good grief. No doubt we are witnessing the reason for the decline of American global power.

    March 4, 2008 07:39 pm at 7:39 pm |
  21. Diego Villareal 13

    i agree with the comment 2nd under me OBAMA!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    March 4, 2008 07:39 pm at 7:39 pm |
  22. Jeff

    There was no such thing as the "war" vote. It was a vote to authorize the use of force should diplomacy fail authored by Carl Levin-(D-MI). The majority of voters in Vermont feel that Hillary Clinton was the commander in chief. Says a lot about Vermont.

    March 4, 2008 07:39 pm at 7:39 pm |
  23. Andrew K.

    Thanks for keeping our politicians accountable for the Iraq War, VERMONT! 🙂 YAY!

    March 4, 2008 07:40 pm at 7:40 pm |
  24. Mike Denhof, PhD

    Hillary needs to drop out for teh sake of the party.

    That's 12 in a row. She is not entitled to the nomination or the presidency. She chose to campaign dirty and it has backfired. Poor choice.

    Only Obama can beat McCain!

    Go Barack!!!

    March 4, 2008 07:40 pm at 7:40 pm |
  25. Dean in London

    The electoral college elects the president at the november election, popular votes comes second, remember Al Gore in 2000 winning the popular votes but kissig white house goodbye. 11-0 in the small states amounts to 2000 election. The big states matters. Hillary is the way. The youths will be hibernating come falls.

    March 4, 2008 07:40 pm at 7:40 pm |
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